{"behavior":"degenerate_repetition","label_filter":null,"limit":10,"next_offset":50070,"offset":50060,"previous_offset":null,"rows":[{"assistant_initiates":false,"asst_text":"Yes","behavior":"degenerate_repetition","conversation_hash":"b5f4d4b9619a525e61142119fa517d20","conversation_redacted":false,"conversation_toxic":false,"country":"India","empty_output":false,"evidence_codes":[],"label":"absent","label_present":false,"label_qualified":false,"label_source":"Final dense release","language":"English","model":"gpt-4-1106-preview","n_chars":597946,"n_turns_in_conversation":1,"n_words":100197,"source_row_offset":50060,"source_shard":"turns-00017.parquet","timestamp":"Thu, 29 Feb 2024 14:39:09 GMT","turn_id":"f90a2d697772285eae720951","turn_index":0,"user_text":"Contents\n\n\n \nIntroduction\n1\nWeapons of Influence\n2\nReciprocation: The Old Give and Take\u2026and Take\n3\nCommitment and Consistency: Hobgoblins of the Mind\n4\nSocial Proof: Truths Are Us\n5\nLiking: The Friendly Thief\n6\nAuthority: Directed Deference\n7\nScarcity: The Rule of the Few\nEpilogue Instant Influence:\nPrimitive Consent for an Automatic Age\nNotes Bibliography Index Acknowledgments About the Author Cover\nCopyright\nAbout the Publisher\n \nv 1\n13\n\n43\n\n87\n\n126\n\n157\n\n178\n\n205\n211\n225\n241\n \n\n \nINTRODUCTION\n\n\n\nI can admit it freely now. All my life I\u2019ve been a patsy. For as long as I can recall, I\u2019ve been an easy mark for the pitches of peddlers, fund- raisers, and operators of one sort or another. True, only some of these people have had dishonorable motives. The others\u2014representatives of certain charitable agencies, for instance\u2014have had the best of intentions. No matter. With personally disquieting frequency, I have always found myself in possession of unwanted magazine subscriptions or tickets to the sanitation workers\u2019 ball. Probably this long-standing status as sucker accounts for my interest in the study of compliance: Just what are the factors that cause one person to say yes to another person? And which techniques most effectively use these factors to bring about such compliance? I wondered why it is that a request stated in a certain way will be rejected, while a request that asks for the same favor in a slightly different fashion will be successful.\nSo in my role as an experimental social psychologist, I began to do research into the psychology of compliance. At first the research\n \nvi / Influence\n\ntook the form of experiments performed, for the most part, in my laboratory and on college students. I wanted to find out which psycho- logical principles influence the tendency to comply with a request. Right now, psychologists know quite a bit about these principles\u2014what they are and how they work. I have characterized such principles as weapons of influence and will report on some of the most important in the up- coming chapters.\nAfter a time, though, I began to realize that the experimental work, while necessary, wasn\u2019t enough. It didn\u2019t allow me to judge the import- ance of the principles in the world beyond the psychology building and the campus where I was examining them. It became clear that if I was to understand fully the psychol\u00f2gy of compliance, I would need to broaden my scope of investigation. I would need to look to the compli- ance professionals\u2014the people who had been using the principles on me all my life. They know what works and what doesn\u2019t; the law of survival of the fittest assures it. Their business is to make us comply, and their livelihoods depend on it. Those who don\u2019t know how to get people to say yes soon fall away; those who do, stay and flourish.\nOf course, the compliance professionals aren\u2019t the only ones who know about and use these principles to help them get their way. We all employ them and fall victim to them, to some degree, in our daily interactions with neighbors, friends, lovers, and offspring. But the compliance practitioners have much more than the vague and amateur- ish understanding of what works than the rest of us have. As I thought about it, I knew that they represented the richest vein of information about compliance available to me. For nearly three years, then, I com- bined my experimental studies with a decidedly more entertaining program of systematic immersion into the world of compliance profes- sionals\u2014sales operators, fund-raisers, recruiters, advertisers, and others. The purpose was to observe, from the inside, the techniques and strategies most commonly and effectively used by a broad range of compliance practitioners. That program of observation sometimes took the form of interviews with the practitioners themselves and sometimes with the natural enemies (for example, police buncosquad officers, consumer agencies) of certain of the practitioners. At other times it in- volved an intensive examination of the written materials by which compliance techniques are passed down from one generation to anoth-\ner\u2014sales manuals and the like.\nMost frequently, though, it has taken the form of participant observa- tion. Participant observation is a research approach in which the re- searcher becomes a spy of sorts. With disguised identity and intent, the investigator infiltrates the setting of interest and becomes a full-fledged\n \nRobert B. Cialdini Ph.D / vii\n\nparticipant in the group to be studied. So when I wanted to learn about the compliance tactics of encyclopedia (or vacuum-cleaner, or portrait- photography, or dance-lesson) sales organizations, I would answer a newspaper ad for sales trainees and have them teach me their methods. Using similar but not identical approaches, I was able to penetrate ad- vertising, public-relations, and fund-raising agencies to examine their techniques. Much of the evidence presented in this book, then, comes from my experience posing as a compliance professional, or aspiring professional, in a large variety of organizations dedicated to getting us to say yes.\nOne aspect of what I learned in this three-year period of participant observation was most instructive. Although there are thousands of different tactics that compliance practitioners employ to produce yes, the majority fall within six basic categories. Each of these categories is governed by a fundamental psychological principle that directs human behavior and, in so doing, gives the tactics their power. The book is organized around these six principles, one to a chapter. The prin- ciples\u2014consistency, reciprocation, social proof, authority, liking, and scarcity\u2014are each discussed in terms of their function in the society and in terms of how their enormous force can be commissioned by a compliance professional who deftly incorporates them into requests for purchases, donations, concessions, votes, assent, etc. It is worthy of note that I have not included among the six principles the simple rule of material self-interest\u2014that people want to get the most and pay the least for their choices. This omission does not stem from any perception on my part that the desire to maximize benefits and minimize costs is unimportant in driving our decisions. Nor does it come from any evidence I have that compliance professionals ignore the power of this rule. Quite the opposite: In my investigations, I frequently saw practi- tioners use (sometimes honestly, sometimes not) the compelling \u201cI can give you a good deal\u201d approach. I choose not to treat the material self- interest rule separately in this book because I see it as a motivational given, as a goes-without-saying factor that deserves acknowledgment but not extensive description.\nFinally, each principle is examined as to its ability to produce a distinct kind of automatic, mindless compliance from people, that is, a willing- ness to say yes without thinking first. The evidence suggests that the ever-accelerating pace and informational crush of modern life will make this particular form of unthinking compliance more and more prevalent in the future. It will be increasingly important for the society, therefore, to understand the how and why of automatic influence.\nIt has been some time since the first edition of Influence was published.\n \nviii / Influence\n\nIn the interim, some things have happened that I feel deserve a place in this new edition. First, we now know more about the influence process than before. The study of persuasion, compliance, and change has advanced, and the pages that follow have been adapted to reflect that progress. In addition to an overall update of the material, I have included a new feature that was stimulated by the responses of prior readers.\nThat new feature highlights the experiences of individuals who have read Influence, recognized how one of the principles worked on (or for) them in a particular instance, and wrote to me describing the event. Their descriptions, which appear in the Reader\u2019s Reports at the end of each chapter, illustrate how easily and frequently we can fall victim to the pull of the influence process in our everyday lives.\nI wish to thank the following individuals who\u2014either directly or through their course instructors\u2014contributed the Reader\u2019s Reports used in this edition: Pat Bobbs, Mark Hastings, James Michaels, Paul\nR. Nail, Alan J. Resnik, Daryl Retzlaff, Dan Swift, and Karla Vasks. In addition, I would like to invite new readers to submit similar reports for possible publication in a future edition. They may be sent to me at the Department of Psychology, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287-1104.\n\u2014ROBERT B. CIALDINI\n \nChapter 1\n\nWEAPONS OF INFLUENCE\n\nEverything should be made as simple as possible, but not sim- pler.\n\u2014ALBERT EINSTEIN\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nGOT A PHONE CALL ONE DAY FROM A FRIEND WHO HAD RECENTLY\nopened an Indian jewelry store in Arizona. She was giddy with a curious piece of news. Something fascinating had just happened, and she thought that, as a psychologist, I might be able to explain it to her. The story involved a certain allotment of turquoise jewelry she had been having trouble selling. It was the peak of the tourist season, the store was unusually full of customers, the turquoise pieces were of good quality for the prices she was asking; yet they had not sold. My friend had attempted a couple of standard sales tricks to get them moving. She tried calling attention to them by shifting their location to a more central display area; no luck. She even told her sales staff to \u201cpush\u201d the items hard, again without success.\nFinally, the night before leaving on an out-of-town buying trip, she scribbled an exasperated note to her head saleswoman, \u201cEverything in this display case, price \u00d7 \u00bd,\u201d hoping just to be rid of the offending pieces, even if at a loss. When she returned a few days later, she was not sur- prised to find that every article had been sold. She was shocked, though, to discover that, because the employee had read the \u201c\u00bd\u201d in her scrawled message as a \u201c2,\u201d the entire allotment had sold out at twice the original price!\n \n\nThat\u2019s when she called me. I thought I knew what had happened but told her that, if I were to explain things properly, she would have to listen to a story of mine. Actually, it isn\u2019t my story; it\u2019s about mother turkeys, and it belongs to the relatively new science of ethology\u2014the study of animals in their natural settings. Turkey mothers are good mothers\u2014loving, watchful, and protective. They spend much of their time tending, warming, cleaning, and huddling the young beneath them. But there is something odd about their method. Virtually all of this mothering is triggered by one thing: the \u201ccheep-cheep\u201d sound of young turkey chicks. Other identifying features of the chicks, such as their smell, touch, or appearance, seem to play minor roles in the mothering process. If a chick makes the \u201ccheep-cheep\u201d noise, its mother will care for it; if not, the mother will ignore or sometimes kill it.\nThe extreme reliance of maternal turkeys upon this one sound was dramatically illustrated by animal behaviorist M. W. Fox in his descrip- tion of an experiment involving a mother turkey and a stuffed polecat.1\nFor a mother turkey, a polecat is a natural enemy whose approach is to be greeted with squawking, pecking, clawing rage. Indeed, the exper- imenters found that even a stuffed model of a polecat, when drawn by a string toward a mother turkey, received an immediate and furious attack. When, however, the same stuffed replica carried inside it a small recorder that played the \u201ccheep-cheep\u201d sound of baby turkeys, the mother not only accepted the oncoming polecat but gathered it under- neath her. When the machine was turned off, the polecat model again drew a vicious attack.\nHow ridiculous a female turkey seems under these circumstances: She will embrace a natural enemy just because it goes \u201ccheep-cheep,\u201d and she will mistreat or murder one of her own chicks just because it does not. She looks like an automaton whose maternal instincts are under the automatic control of that single sound. The ethologists tell us that this sort of thing is far from unique to the turkey. They have begun to identify regular, blindly mechanical patterns of action in a wide variety of species.\nCalled fixed-action patterns, they can involve intricate sequences of behavior, such as entire courtship or mating rituals. A fundamental characteristic of these patterns is that the behaviors that compose them occur in virtually the same fashion and in the same order every time. It is almost as if the patterns were recorded on tapes within the animals. When the situation calls for courtship, the courtship tape gets played; when the situation calls for mothering, the maternal-behavior tape gets\n \n\nplayed. Click and the appropriate tape is activated; whirr and out rolls the standard sequence of behaviors.\nThe most interesting thing about all this is the way the tapes are ac- tivated. When a male animal acts to defend his territory, for instance, it is the intrusion of another male of the same species that cues the ter- ritorial-defense tape of rigid vigilance, threat, and, if need be, combat behaviors. But there is a quirk in the system. It is not the rival male as a whole that is the trigger; it is some specific feature of him, the trigger feature. Often the trigger feature will be just one tiny aspect of the totality that is the approaching intruder. Sometimes a shade of color is the trigger feature. The experiments of ethologists have shown, for instance, that a male robin, acting as if a rival robin had entered its territory, will vigorously attack nothing more than a clump of robin-redbreast feathers placed there. At the same time, it will virtually ignore a perfect stuffed replica of a male robin without red breast feathers; similar results have been found in another species of bird, the bluethroat, where it appears that the trigger for territorial defense is a specific shade of blue breast\nfeathers.2\nBefore we enjoy too smugly the ease with which lower animals can be tricked by trigger features into reacting in ways wholly inappropriate to the situation, we might realize two things. First, the automatic, fixed- action patterns of these animals work very well the great majority of the time. For example, because only healthy, normal turkey chicks make the peculiar sound of baby turkeys, it makes sense for mother turkeys to respond maternally to that single \u201ccheep-cheep\u201d noise. By reacting to just that one stimulus, the average mother turkey will nearly always behave correctly. It takes a trickster like a scientist to make her tapelike response seem silly. The second important thing to understand is that we, too, have our preprogrammed tapes; and, although they usually work to our advantage, the trigger features that activate them can be\nused to dupe us into playing them at the wrong times.3\nThis parallel form of human automatic action is aptly demonstrated in an experiment by Harvard social psychologist Ellen Langer. A well- known principle of human behavior says that when we ask someone to do us a favor we will be more successful if we provide a reason. People simply like to have reasons for what they do. Langer demon- strated this unsurprising fact by asking a small favor of people waiting in line to use a library copying machine: Excuse me, I have five pages. May I use the Xerox machine because I\u2019m in a rush? The effectiveness of this request-plus-reason was nearly total: Ninety-four percent of those asked let her skip ahead of them in line. Compare this success rate to the results when she made the request only: Excuse me, I have five pages. May I use\n \n\nthe Xerox machine? Under those circumstances, only 60 percent of those asked complied. At first glance, it appears that the crucial difference between the two requests was the additional information provided by the words \u201cbecause I\u2019m in a rush.\u201d But a third type of request tried by Langer showed that this was not the case. It seems that it was not the whole series of words, but the first one, \u201cbecause,\u201d that made the differ- ence. Instead of including a real reason for compliance, Langer\u2019s third type of request used the word \u201cbecause\u201d and then, adding nothing new, merely restated the obvious: Excuse me, I have five pages. May I use the Xerox machine because I have to make some copies? The result was that once again nearly all (93 percent) agreed, even though no real reason, no new information, was added to justify their compliance. Just as the \u201ccheep-cheep\u201d sound of turkey chicks triggered an automatic mothering response from maternal turkeys\u2014even when it emanated from a stuffed polecat\u2014so, too, did the word \u201cbecause\u201d trigger an automatic compli- ance response from Langer\u2019s subjects, even when they were given no\nsubsequent reason to comply. Click, whirr!4\nAlthough some of Langer\u2019s additional findings show that there are many situations in which human behavior does not work in a mechan- ical, tape-activated way, what is astonishing is how often it does. For instance, consider the strange behavior of those jewelry-store customers who swooped down on an allotment of turquoise pieces only after the items had been mistakenly offered at double their original price. I can make no sense of their behavior, unless it is viewed in click, whirr terms. The customers, mostly well-to-do vacationers with little knowledge of turquoise, were using a standard principle\u2014a stereotype\u2014to guide their buying: \u201cexpensive = good.\u201d Thus the vacationers, who wanted \u201cgood\u201d jewelry, saw the turquoise pieces as decidedly more valuable and desirable when nothing about them was enhanced but the price. Price alone had become a trigger feature for quality; and a dramatic increase in price alone had led to a dramatic increase in sales among\nthe quality-hungry buyers. Click, whirr!\nIt is easy to fault the tourists for their foolish purchase decisions. But a close look offers a kinder view. These were people who had been brought up on the rule \u201cYou get what you pay for\u201d and who had seen that rule borne out over and over in their lives. Before long, they had translated the rule to mean \u201cexpensive = good.\u201d The \u201cexpensive = good\u201d stereotype had worked quite well for them in the past, since normally the price of an item increases along with its worth; a higher price typic- ally reflects higher quality. So when they found themselves in the pos- ition of wanting good turquoise jewelry without much knowledge of\n \n\nturquoise, they understandably relied on the old standby feature of cost to determine the jewelry\u2019s merits.\nAlthough they probably did not realize it, by reacting solely to the price feature of the turquoise, they were playing a shortcut version of betting the odds. Instead of stacking all the odds in their favor by trying painstakingly to master each of the things that indicate the worth of turquoise jewelry, they were counting on just one\u2014the one they knew to be usually associated with the quality of any item. They were betting that price alone would tell them all they needed to know. This time, because someone mistook a \u201c\u00bd\u201d for a \u201c2,\u201d they bet wrong. But in the long run, over all the past and future situations of their lives, betting those shortcut odds may represent the most rational approach possible. In fact, automatic, stereotyped behavior is prevalent in much of hu- man action, because in many cases it is the most efficient form of behav- ing, and in other cases it is simply necessary. You and I exist in an ex- traordinarily complicated stimulus environment, easily the most rapidly moving and complex that has ever existed on this planet. To deal with it, we need shortcuts. We can\u2019t be expected to recognize and analyze all the aspects in each person, event, and situation we encounter in even one day. We haven\u2019t the time, energy, or capacity for it. Instead, we must very often use our stereotypes, our rules of thumb to classify things according to a few key features and then to respond mindlessly\nwhen one or another of these trigger features is present.\nSometimes the behavior that unrolls will not be appropriate for the situation, because not even the best stereotypes and trigger features work every time. But we accept their imperfection, since there is really no other choice. Without them we would stand frozen\u2014cataloging, appraising, and calibrating\u2014as the time for action sped by and away. And from all indications, we will be relying on them to an even greater extent in the future. As the stimuli saturating our lives continue to grow more intricate and variable, we will have to depend increasingly on our shortcuts to handle them all.\nThe renowned British philosopher Alfred North Whitehead recog- nized this inescapable quality of modern life when he asserted that \u201ccivilization advances by extending the number of operations we can perform without thinking about them.\u201d Take, for example, the \u201cad- vance\u201d offered to civilization by the discount coupon, which allows consumers to assume that they will receive a reduced purchase price by presenting the coupon. The extent to which we have learned to op- erate mechanically on that assumption is illustrated in the experience of one automobile-tire company. Mailed-out coupons that\u2014because of a printing error\u2014offered no savings to recipients produced just as much customer response as did error-free coupons that offered substantial\n \n\nsavings. The obvious but instructive point here is that we expect dis- count coupons to do double duty. Not only do we expect them to save us money, we also expect them to save us the time and mental energy required to think about how to do it. In today\u2019s world, we need the first advantage to handle pocketbook strain; but we need the second advant- age to handle something potentially more important\u2014brain strain.\nIt is odd that despite their current widespread use and looming future importance, most of us know very little about our automatic behavior patterns. Perhaps that is so precisely because of the mechanistic, un- thinking manner in which they occur. Whatever the reason, it is vital that we clearly recognize one of their properties: They make us terribly vulnerable to anyone who does know how they work.\nTo understand fully the nature of our vulnerability, another glance at the work of the ethologists is in order. It turns out that these animal behaviorists with their recorded \u201ccheep-cheeps\u201d and their clumps of colored breast feathers are not the only ones who have discovered how to activate the behavior tapes of various species. There is a group of organisms, often termed mimics, that copy the trigger features of other animals in an attempt to trick these animals into mistakenly playing the right behavior tapes at the wrong times. The mimic will then exploit this altogether inappropriate action for its own benefit.\nTake, for example, the deadly trick played by the killer females of one genus of firefly (Photuris) on the males of another firefly genus (Photinus). Understandably, the Photinus males scrupulously avoid contact with the bloodthirsty Photuris females. But through centuries of experience, the female hunters have located a weakness in their prey\u2014a special blinking courtship code by which members of the vic- tims\u2019 species tell one another they are ready to mate. Somehow, the Photuris female has cracked the Photinus courtship code. By mimicking the flashing mating signals of her prey, the murderess is able to feast on the bodies of males whose triggered courtship tapes cause them to fly mechanically into death\u2019s, not love\u2019s, embrace.\nInsects seem to be the most severe exploiters of the automaticity of their prey; it is not uncommon to find their victims duped to death. But less uncompromising forms of exploitation occur as well. There is, for instance, a little fish, the saber-toothed blenny, that takes advantage of an unusual program of cooperation worked out by members of two other species of fish. The cooperating fish form a Mutt and Jeff team consisting of a large grouper fish on the one hand and a much smaller type of fish on the other. The smaller fish serves as a cleaner to the larger one, which allows the cleaner to approach it and even enter its mouth to pick off fungus and other parasites that have attached themselves to\n \n\nthe big fish\u2019s teeth or gills. It is a beautiful arrangement: The big grouper gets cleaned of harmful pests, and the cleaner fish gets an easy dinner. The larger fish normally devours any other small fish foolish enough to come close to it. But when the cleaner approaches, the big fish sud- denly stops all movement and floats open-mouthed and nearly immobile in response to an undulating dance that the cleaner performs. This dance appears to be the trigger feature of the cleaner that activates the dramatic passivity of the big fish. It also provides the saber-toothed blenny with an angle\u2014a chance to take advantage of the cleaning ritual of the cooperators. The blenny will approach the large predator, copying the undulations of the cleaner\u2019s dance and automatically producing the tranquil, unmoving posture of the big fish. Then, true to its name, it will quickly rip a mouthful from the larger fish\u2019s flesh and dart away\nbefore its startled victim can recover.5\nThere is a strong but sad parallel in the human jungle. We too have exploiters who mimic trigger features for our own brand of automatic responding. Unlike the mostly instinctive response sequences of non- humans, our automatic tapes usually develop from psychological principles or stereotypes we have learned to accept. Although they vary in their force, some of these principles possess a tremendous ability to direct human action. We have been subjected to them from such an early point in our lives, and they have moved us about so pervasively since then, that you and I rarely perceive their power. In the eyes of others, though, each such principle is a detectable and ready weapon\u2014a weapon of automatic influence.\nThere is a group of people who know very well where the weapons of automatic influence lie and who employ them regularly and expertly to get what they want. They go from social encounter to social encounter requesting others to comply with their wishes; their frequency of success is dazzling. The secret of their effectiveness lies in the way they structure their requests, the way they arm themselves with one or another of the weapons of influence that exist within the social environment. To do this may take no more than one correctly chosen word that engages a strong psychological principle and sets an automatic behavior tape rolling within us. And trust the human exploiters to learn quickly exactly how to profit from our tendency to respond mechanically according to these principles.\nRemember my friend the jewelry-store owner? Although she benefited by accident the first time, it did not take her long to begin exploiting the \u201cexpensive = good\u201d stereotype regularly and intentionally. Now, during the tourist season, she first tries to speed the sale of an item that has been difficult to move by increasing its price substantially. She claims that this is marvelously cost-effective. When it works on the\n \n\nunsuspecting vacationers\u2014as it frequently does\u2014it results in an enormous profit margin. And even when it is not initially successful, she can mark the article \u201cReduced from   \u201d and sell it at its original price while still taking advantage of the \u201cexpensive = good\u201d reaction to the inflated figure.\nBy no means is my friend original in this last use of the \u201cexpensive\n= good\u201d rule to snare those seeking a bargain. Culturist and author Leo Rosten gives the example of the Drubeck brothers, Sid and Harry, who owned a men\u2019s tailor shop in Rosten\u2019s neighborhood while he was growing up in the 1930s. Whenever the salesman, Sid, had a new cus- tomer trying on suits in front of the shop\u2019s three-sided mirror, he would admit to a hearing problem, and, as they talked, he would repeatedly request that the man speak more loudly to him. Once the customer had found a suit he liked and had asked for the price, Sid would call to his brother, the head tailor, at the back of the room, \u201cHarry, how much for this suit?\u201d Looking up from his work\u2014and greatly exaggerating the suit\u2019s true price\u2014Harry would call back, \u201cFor that beautiful all-wool suit, forty-two dollars.\u201d Pretending not to have heard and cupping his hand to his ear, Sid would ask again. Once more Harry would reply, \u201cForty-two dollars.\u201d At this point, Sid would turn to the customer and report, \u201cHe says twenty-two dollars.\u201d Many a man would hurry to buy the suit and scramble out of the shop with his \u201cexpensive = good\u201d bargain before Poor Sid discovered the \u201cmistake.\u201d\nThere are several components shared by most of the weapons of automatic influence to be described in this book. We have already dis- cussed two of them\u2014the nearly mechanical process by which the power within these weapons can be activated, and the consequent exploitability of this power by anyone who knows how to trigger them. A third component involves the way that the weapons of automatic influence lend their force to those who use them. It\u2019s not that the weapons, like a set of heavy clubs, provide a conspicuous arsenal to be used by one person to bludgeon another into submission.\nThe process is much more sophisticated and subtle. With proper ex- ecution, the exploiters need hardly strain a muscle to get their way. All that is required is to trigger the great stores of influence that already exist in the situation and direct them toward the intended target. In this sense, the approach is not unlike that of the Japanese martial-art form called jujitsu. A woman employing jujitsu would utilize her own strength only minimally against an opponent. Instead, she would exploit the power inherent in such naturally present principles as gravity, leverage, momentum, and inertia. If she knows how and where to en- gage the action of these principles, she can easily defeat a physically\n \n\nstronger rival. And so it is for the exploiters of the weapons of automatic influence that exist naturally around us. The exploiters can commission the power of these weapons for use against their targets while exerting little personal force. This last feature of the process allows the exploiters an enormous additional benefit\u2014the ability to manipulate without the appearance of manipulation. Even the victims themselves tend to see their compliance as determined by the action of natural forces rather than by the designs of the person who profits from that compliance.\nAn example is in order. There is a principle in human perception, the contrast principle, that affects the way we see the difference between two things that are presented one after another. Simply put, if the second item is fairly different from the first, we will tend to see it as more dif- ferent than it actually is. So if we lift a light object first and then lift a heavy object, we will estimate the second object to be heavier than if we had lifted it without first trying the light one. The contrast principle is well established in the field of psychophysics and applies to all sorts of perceptions besides weight. If we are talking to a beautiful woman at a cocktail party and are then joined by an unattractive one, the second woman will strike us as less attractive than she actually is.\nIn fact, studies done on the contrast principle at Arizona State and Montana State universities suggest that we may be less satisfied with the physical attractiveness of our own lovers because of the way the popular media bombard us with examples of unrealistically attractive models. In one study college students rated a picture of an average- looking member of the opposite sex as less attractive if they had first looked through the ads in some popular magazines. In another study, male college-dormitory residents rated the photo of a potential blind date. Those who did so while watching an episode of the Charlie\u2019s Angels TV series viewed the blind date as a less attractive woman than those who rated her while watching a different show. Apparently it was the uncommon beauty of the Angels female stars that made the blind date\nseem less attractive.6\nA nice demonstration of perceptual contrast is sometimes employed in psychophysics laboratories to introduce students to the principle firsthand. Each student takes a turn sitting in front of three pails of water\u2014one cold, one at room temperature, and one hot. After placing one hand in the cold water and one in the hot water, the student is told to place both in the lukewarm water simultaneously. The look of amused bewilderment that immediately registers tells the story: Even though both hands are in the same bucket, the hand that has been in the cold water feels as if it is now in hot water, while the one that was in the hot water feels as if it is now in cold water. The point is that the same\n \n\nthing\u2014in this instance, room-temperature water\u2014can be made to seem very different, depending on the nature of the event that precedes it.\nBe assured that the nice little weapon of influence provided by the contrast principle does not go unexploited. The great advantage of this principle is not only that it works but also that it is virtually undetect- able. Those who employ it can cash in on its influence without any ap- pearance of having structured the situation in their favor. Retail clothiers are a good example. Suppose a man enters a fashionable men\u2019s store and says that he wants to buy a three-piece suit and a sweater. If you were the salesperson, which would you show him first to make him likely to spend the most money? Clothing stores instruct their sales personnel to sell the costly item first. Common sense might suggest the reverse: If a man has just spent a lot of money to purchase a suit, he may be reluctant to spend very much more on the purchase of a sweater. But the clothiers know better. They behave in accordance with what the contrast principle would suggest: Sell the suit first, because when it comes time to look at sweaters, even expensive ones, their prices will not seem as high in comparison. A man might balk at the idea of spending $95 for a sweater, but if he has just bought a $495 suit, a $95 sweater does not seem excessive. The same principle applies to a man who wishes to buy the accessories (shirt, shoes, belt) to go along with his new suit. Contrary to the commonsense view, the evidence supports the contrast-principle prediction. As sales motivation analysts Whitney, Hubin, and Murphy state, \u201cThe interesting thing is that even when a man enters a clothing store with the express purpose of purchasing a suit, he will almost always pay more for whatever accessories he buys if he buys them after the suit purchase than before.\u201d\nIt is much more profitable for salespeople to present the expensive item first, not only because to fail to do so will lose the influence of the contrast principle; to fail to do so will also cause the principle to work actively against them. Presenting an inexpensive product first and fol- lowing it with an expensive one will cause the expensive item to seem even more costly as a result\u2014hardly a desirable consequence for most sales organizations. So, just as it is possible to make the same bucket of water appear to be hotter or colder, depending on the temperature of previously presented water, it is possible to make the price of the same item seem higher or lower, depending on the price of a previously presented item.\nClever use of perceptual contrast is by no means confined to clothiers. I came across a technique that engaged the contrast principle while I was investigating, undercover, the compliance tactics of real-estate companies. To \u201clearn the ropes,\u201d I was accompanying a company realty salesman on a weekend of showing houses to prospective home buyers.\n \n\nThe salesman\u2014we can call him Phil\u2014was to give me tips to help me through my break-in period. One thing I quickly noticed was that whenever Phil began showing a new set of customers potential buys, he would start with a couple of undesirable houses. I asked him about it, and he laughed. They were what he called \u201csetup\u201d properties. The company maintained a run-down house or two on its lists at inflated prices. These houses were not intended to be sold to customers but to be shown to them, so that the genuine properties in the company\u2019s in- ventory would benefit from the comparison. Not all the sales staff made use of the setup houses, but Phil did. He said he liked to watch his prospects\u2019 \u201ceyes light up\u201d when he showed the place he really wanted to sell them after they had seen the run-down houses. \u201cThe house I got them spotted for looks really great after they\u2019ve first looked at a couple of dumps.\u201d\nAutomobile dealers use the contrast principle by waiting until the price for a new car has been negotiated before suggesting one option after another that might be added. In the wake of a fifteen-thousand- dollar deal, the hundred or so dollars required for a nicety like an FM radio seems almost trivial in comparison. The same will be true of the added expense of accessories like tinted windows, dual side-view mir- rors, whitewall tires, or special trim that the salesman might suggest in sequence. The trick is to bring up the extras independently of one another, so that each small price will seem petty when compared to the already-determined much larger one. As the veteran car buyer can attest, many a budget-sized final price figure has ballooned from the addition of all those seemingly little options. While the customer stands, signed contract in hand, wondering what happened and finding no one to blame but himself, the car dealer stands smiling the knowing smile of the jujitsu master.\nREADER\u2019S REPORT\nFrom the Parent of a College Coed\nDear Mother and Dad:\nSince I left for college I have been remiss in writing and I am sorry for my thoughtlessness in not having written be- fore. I will bring you up to date now, but before you read on, please sit down. You are not to read any further unless you are sitting down, okay?\nWell, then, I am getting along pretty well now. The skull fracture and the concussion I got when I jumped out the window of my dormitory when it caught on fire shortly after my arrival here is pretty well healed now. I only spent two\n \n\nweeks in the hospital and now I can see almost normally and only get those sick headaches once a day. Fortunately, the fire in the dormitory, and my jump, was witnessed by an at- tendant at the gas station near the dorm, and he was the one who called the Fire Department and the ambulance. He also visited me in the hospital and since I had nowhere to live because of the burntout dormitory, he was kind enough to invite me to share his apartment with him. It\u2019s really a base- ment room, but it\u2019s kind of cute. He is a very fine boy and we have fallen deeply in love and are planning to get married. We haven\u2019t got the exact date yet, but it will be before my pregnancy begins to show.\nYes, Mother and Dad, I am pregnant. I know how much you are looking forward to being grandparents and I know you will welcome the baby and give it the same love and devotion and tender care you gave me when I was a child. The reason for the delay in our marriage is that my boyfriend has a minor infection which prevents us from passing our pre-marital blood tests and I carelessly caught it from him.\nNow that I have brought you up to date, I want to tell you that there was no dormitory fire, I did not have a concussion or skull fracture, I was not in the hospital, I am not pregnant, I am not engaged, I am not infected, and there is no boyfriend. However, I am getting a \u201cD\u201d in American History, and an \u201cF\u201d in Chemistry and I want you to see those marks in their proper perspective.\nYour loving daughter, Sharon\nSharon may be failing chemistry, but she gets an \u201cA\u201d in psychology.\n \nChapter 2\n\nRECIPROCATION\nThe Old Give and Take\u2026and Take\n\nPay every debt, as if God wrote the bill.\n\u2014RALPH WALDO EMERSON\n\n\n\n\n\n\nFEW YEARS AGO, A UNIVERSITY PROFESSOR TRIED A LITTLE experi-\nment. He sent Christmas cards to a sample of perfect strangers. Although he expected some reaction, the response he received was amazing\u2014holiday cards addressed to him came pouring back from the people who had never met nor heard of him. The great majority of those who returned a card never inquired into the identity of the unknown professor. They received his holiday greeting card, click, and, whirr, they automatically sent one in return. While small in scope, this study nicely shows the action of one of the most potent of the weapons of in-\nfluence around us\u2014the rule for reciprocation.1 The rule says that we\nshould try to repay, in kind, what another person has provided us. If a woman does us a favor, we should do her one in return; if a man sends us a birthday present, we should remember his birthday with a gift of our own; if a couple invites us to a party, we should be sure to invite them to one of ours. By virtue of the reciprocity rule, then, we are obligated to the future repayment of favors, gifts, invitations, and the like. So typical is it for indebtedness to accompany the receipt of such things that a term like \u201cmuch obliged\u201d has become a synonym for \u201cthank you,\u201d not only in the English language but in others as well.\nThe impressive aspect of the rule for reciprocation and the sense of obligation that goes with it is its pervasiveness in human culture. It is so widespread that after intensive study, sociologists such as Alvin\n \n\nGouldner can report that there is no human society that does not sub- scribe to the rule.2 And within each society it seems pervasive also; it permeates exchanges of every kind. Indeed, it may well be that a de-\nveloped system of indebtedness flowing from the rule for reciprocation is a unique property of human culture. The noted archaeologist Richard Leakey ascribes the essence of what makes us human to the reciprocity system: \u201cWe are human because our ancestors learned to share their\nfood and their skills in an honored network of obligation,\u201d3 he says.\nCultural anthropologists Lionel Tiger and Robin Fox view this \u201cweb of indebtedness\u201d as a unique adaptive mechanism of human beings, al- lowing for the division of labor, the exchange of diverse forms of goods, the exchange of different services (making it possible for experts to develop), and the creation of a cluster of interdependencies that bind\nindividuals together into highly efficient units.4\nIt is the future orientation inherent in a sense of obligation that is critical to its ability to produce social advances of the sort described by Tiger and Fox. A widely shared and strongly held feeling of future ob- ligation made an enormous difference in human social evolution, be- cause it meant that one person could give something (for example, food, energy, care) to another with confidence that it was not being lost. For the first time in evolutionary history, one individual could give away any of a variety of resources without actually giving them away. The result was the lowering of the natural inhibitions against transactions that must be begun by one person\u2019s providing personal resources to another. Sophisticated and coordinated systems of aid, gift giving, de- fense, and trade became possible, bringing immense benefit to the soci- eties that possessed them. With such clearly adaptive consequences for the culture, it is not surprising that the rule for reciprocation is so deeply implanted in us by the process of socialization we all undergo.\nI know of no better illustration of how reciprocal obligations can reach long and powerfully into the future than the perplexing story of five thousand dollars of relief aid that was sent in 1985 between Mexico and the impoverished people of Ethiopia. In 1985 Ethiopia could justly lay claim to the greatest suffering and privation in the world. Its eco- nomy was in ruin. Its food supply had been ravaged by years of drought and internal war. Its inhabitants were dying by the thousands from disease and starvation. Under these circumstances, I would not have been surprised to learn of a five-thousand-dollar relief donation from Mexico to that wrenchingly needy country. I remember my chin hitting my chest, though, when a brief newspaper item I was reading insisted that the aid had gone in the opposite direction. Native officials of the Ethiopian Red Cross had decided to send the money to help the victims of that year\u2019s earthquakes in Mexico City.\n \n\nIt is both a personal bane and a professional blessing that whenever I am confused by some aspect of human behavior, I feel driven to in- vestigate further. In this instance, I was able to track down a fuller ac- count of the story. Fortunately a journalist who had been as bewildered as I was by the Ethiopians\u2019 action had asked for an explanation. The answer he received offers eloquent validation of the reciprocity rule: Despite the enormous needs prevailing in Ethiopia, the money was being sent because Mexico had sent aid to Ethiopia in 1935, when it was invaded by Italy. So informed, I remained awed, but I was no longer puzzled. The need to reciprocate had transcended great cultural differ- ences, long distances, acute famine, and immediate self-interest. Quite simply, a half century later, against all countervailing forces, obligation triumphed.\nMake no mistake, human societies derive a truly significant compet- itive advantage from the reciprocity rule, and consequently they make sure their members are trained to comply with and believe in it. Each of us has been taught to live up to the rule, and each of us knows about the social sanctions and derision applied to anyone who violates it. The labels we assign to such a person are loaded with negativity\u2014moocher, ingrate, welsher. Because there is general distaste for those who take and make no effort to give in return, we will often go to great lengths to avoid being considered one of their number. It is to those lengths that we will often be taken and, in the process, be \u201ctaken\u201d by individuals who stand to gain from our indebtedness.\nTo understand how the rule for reciprocation can be exploited by one who recognizes it as the source of influence it certainly is, we might closely examine an experiment performed by Professor Dennis Regan\nof Cornell University.5 A subject who participated in the study found\nhimself rating, along with another subject, the quality of some paintings as part of an experiment on \u201cart appreciation.\u201d The other rater\u2014we can call him Joe\u2014was only posing as a fellow subject and was actually Dr. Regan\u2019s assistant. For our purposes, the experiment took place under two different conditions. In some cases, Joe did a small, unsolicited favor for the true subject. During a short rest period, he left the room for a couple of minutes and returned with two bottles of Coca-Cola, one for the subject and one for himself, saying, \u201cI asked him [the experimenter] if I could get myself a Coke, and he said it was okay, so I bought one for you, too.\u201d In other cases, Joe did not provide the subject with a favor; he simply returned from the two-minute break empty-handed. In all other respects, however, Joe behaved identically.\nLater on, after the paintings had all been rated and the experimenter had momentarily left the room, Joe asked the subject to do him a favor. He indicated that he was selling raffle tickets for a new car and that if\n \n\nhe sold the most tickets, he would win a fifty-dollar prize. Joe\u2019s request was for the subject to buy some raffle tickets at twenty-five cents apiece: \u201cAny would help, the more the better.\u201d The major finding of the study concerns the number of tickets subjects purchased from Joe under the two conditions. Without question, Joe was more successful in selling his raffle tickets to the subjects who had received his earlier favor. Ap- parently feeling that they owed him something, these subjects bought twice as many tickets as the subjects who had not been given the prior favor. Although the Regan study represents a fairly simple demonstra- tion of the workings of the rule for reciprocation, it illustrates several important characteristics of the rule that, upon further consideration, help us to understand how it may be profitably used.\nThe Rule Is Overpowering\nOne of the reasons reciprocation can be used so effectively as a device for gaining another\u2019s compliance is its power. The rule possesses awe- some strength, often producing a \u201cyes\u201d response to a request that, except for an existing feeling of indebtedness, would have surely been refused. Some evidence of how the rule\u2019s force can overpower the influence of other factors that normally determine whether a request will be com- plied with can be seen in a second result of the Regan study. Besides his interest in the impact of the reciprocity rule on compliance, Regan was also interested in how liking for a person affects the tendency to comply with that person\u2019s request. To measure how liking toward Joe affected the subjects\u2019 decisions to buy his raffle tickets, Regan had them fill out several rating scales indicating how much they liked Joe. He then compared their liking responses with the number of tickets they had purchased from Joe. There was a significant tendency for subjects to buy more raffle tickets from Joe the more they liked him. But this alone is hardly a startling finding. Most of us would have guessed that people are more willing to do a favor for someone they like.\nThe interesting thing about the Regan experiment, however, is that the relationship between liking and compliance was completely wiped out in the condition under which subjects had been given a Coke by Joe. For those who owed him a favor, it made no difference whether they liked him or not; they felt a sense of obligation to repay him, and they did. The subjects in that condition who indicated that they disliked Joe bought just as many of his tickets as did those who indicated that they liked him. The rule for reciprocity was so strong that it simply overwhelmed the influence of a factor\u2014liking for the requester\u2014that normally affects the decision to comply.\nThink of the implications. People we might ordinarily dislike\u2014unsa-\n \n\nvory or unwelcome sales operators, disagreeable acquaintances, repres- entatives of strange or unpopular organizations\u2014can greatly increase the chance that we will do what they wish merely by providing us with a small favor prior to their requests. Let\u2019s take an example that by now many of us have encountered. The Hare Krishna Society is an Eastern religious sect with centuries-old roots traceable to the Indian city of Calcutta. But its spectacular modern-day story occurred in the 1970s, when it experienced a remarkable growth not only in followers but also in wealth and property. The economic growth was funded through a variety of activities, the principal and still most visible of which is the request for donations by Society members from passersby in public places. During the early history of the group in this country, the solicit- ation for contributions was attempted in a fashion memorable for anyone who saw it. Groups of Krishna devotees\u2014often with shaved heads, and wearing ill-fitting robes, leg wrappings, beads, and bells\u2014would canvass a city street, chanting and bobbing in unison while begging for funds.\nAlthough highly effective as a technique for gaining attention, this form of fund-raising did not work especially well. The average Amer- ican considered the Krishnas weird, to say the least, and was reluctant to provide money to support them. It quickly became clear to the Society that it had a considerable public-relations problem. The people being asked for contributions did not like the way the members looked, dressed, or acted. Had the Society been an ordinary commercial organ- ization, the solution would have been simple\u2014change the things the public does not like. But the Krishnas are a religious organization; and the way members look, dress, and act is partially tied to religious factors. Because, in any denomination, religious factors are typically resistant to change because of worldly considerations, the Krishna leadership was faced with a real dilemma. On the one hand were beliefs, modes of dress, and hairstyles that had religious significance. On the other hand, threatening the organization\u2019s financial welfare, were the less- than-positive feelings of the American public toward these things. What\u2019s a sect to do?\nThe Krishnas\u2019 resolution was brilliant. They switched to a fund-raising tactic that made it unnecessary for target persons to have positive feel- ings toward the fund-raisers. They began to employ a donation-request procedure that engaged the rule for reciprocation, which, as demon- strated by the Regan study, is strong enough to overcome the factor of dislike for the requester. The new strategy still involves the solicitation of contributions in public places with much pedestrian traffic (airports are a favorite), but now, before a donation is requested, the target person is given a \u201cgift\u201d\u2014a book (usually the Bhagavad Gita), the Back to Godhead\n \n\nmagazine of the Society, or, in the most cost-effective version, a flower. The unsuspecting passerby who suddenly finds a flower pressed into his hands or pinned to his jacket is under no circumstances allowed to give it back, even if he asserts that he does not want it. \u201cNo, it is our gift to you,\u201d says the solicitor, refusing to accept it. Only after the Krishna member has thus brought the force of the reciprocation rule to bear on the situation is the target asked to provide a contribution to the Society. This benefactor-before-beggar strategy has been wildly success- ful for the Hare Krishna Society, producing large-scale economic gains and funding the ownership of temples, businesses, houses, and property in 321 centers in the United States and overseas.\nAs an aside, it is instructive that the reciprocation rule has begun to outlive its usefulness for the Krishnas, not because the rule itself is any less potent societally, but because we have found ways to prevent the Krishnas from using it on us. After once falling victim to their tactic, many travelers are now alert to the presence of robed Krishna Society solicitors in airports and train stations, adjusting their paths to avoid an encounter and preparing beforehand to ward off a solicitor\u2019s \u201cgift.\u201d Although the Society has tried to counter this increased vigilance by instructing members to be dressed and groomed in modern styles to avoid immediate recognition when soliciting (some actually carry flight bags or suitcases), even disguise has not worked especially well for the Krishnas. Too many individuals now know better than to accept unrequested offerings in public places like airports. Furthermore, airport administrators have initiated a number of procedures designed to forewarn us of the Krishnas\u2019 true identity and intent. Thus, it is now common airport practice to restrict the Krishnas\u2019 soliciting activity to certain areas of the airport and to announce through signs and the public address system that the Krishnas are soliciting there. It is a test- ament to the societal value of reciprocation that we have chosen to fight the Krishnas mostly by seeking to avoid rather than to withstand the force of their gift giving. The reciprocity rule that empowers their tactic is too strong\u2014and socially beneficial\u2014for us to want to violate it.\nPolitics is another arena in which the power of the reciprocity rule shows itself. Reciprocation tactics appear at every level:\n\u2022\tAt the top, elected officials engage in \u201clogrolling\u201d and the exchange of favors that makes politics the place of strange bedfellows, indeed. The out-of-character vote of one of our elected representatives on a bill or measure can often be understood as a favor returned to the bill\u2019s sponsor. Political analysts were amazed at Lyndon Johnson\u2019s ability to get so many of his programs through Congress during his early administration. Even members of congress who were thought\n \n\nto be strongly opposed to the proposals were voting for them. Close examination by political scientists has found the cause to be not so much Johnson\u2019s political savvy as the large score of favors he had been able to provide to other legislators during his many years of power in the House and Senate. As President, he was able to produce a truly remarkable amount of legislation in a short time by calling in those favors. It is interesting that this same process may account for the problems Jimmy Carter had in getting his programs through Congress during his early administration, despite heavy Democratic majorities in both House and Senate. Carter came to the presidency from outside the Capitol Hill establishment. He campaigned on his outside-Washington identity, saying that he was indebted to no one there. Much of his legislative difficulty upon arriving may be traced to the fact that no one there was indebted to him.\n\u2022\tAt another level, we can see the recognized strength of the reciprocity rule in the desire of corporations and individuals to provide judicial and legislative officials with gifts and favors, and in the series of legal restrictions against such gifts and favors. Even with legitimate political contributions, the stockpiling of obligations often underlies the stated purpose of supporting a favorite candidate. One look at the lists of companies and organizations that contribute to the cam- paigns of both major candidates in important elections gives evidence of such motives. A skeptic, requiring direct evidence of the quid pro quo expected by political contributors, might look to the remarkably bald-faced admission by Charles H. Keating, Jr., who was later con- victed on multiple counts of fraud in this country\u2019s savings and loan disaster. Addressing the question of whether a connection existed between the $1.3 million he had contributed to the campaigns of five\nU.S. senators and their subsequent actions in his behalf against federal regulators, he asserted, \u201cI want to say in the most forceful way I can: I certainly hope so.\u201d\n\u2022\tAt the grass-roots level, local political organizations have learned that the principal way to keep their candidates in office is to make sure they provide a wide range of little favors to the voters. The \u201cward heelers\u201d of many cities still operate effectively in this fashion. But ordinary citizens are not alone in trading political support for small personal favors. During the 1992 presidential primary campaign, actress Sally Kellerman was asked why she was lending her name and efforts to the candidacy of Democratic hopeful Jerry Brown. Her reply: \u201cTwenty years ago, I asked ten friends to help me move. He was the only one who showed up.\u201d\nOf course, the power of reciprocity can be found in the merchandising\n \n\nfield as well. Although the number of possible examples is large, let\u2019s examine a pair of familiar ones deriving from the \u201cfree sample.\u201d As a marketing technique, the free sample has a long and effective history. In most instances, a small amount of the relevant product is provided to potential customers for the stated purpose of allowing them to try it to see if they like it. And certainly this is a legitimate desire of the manufacturer\u2014to expose the public to the qualities of the product. The beauty of the free sample, however, is that it is also a gift and, as such, can engage the reciprocity rule. In true jujitsu fashion, the promoter who gives free samples can release the natural indebting force inherent in a gift while innocently appearing to have only the intention to inform. A favorite place for free samples is the supermarket, where customers are frequently provided with small cubes of a certain variety of cheese or meat to try. Many people find it difficult to accept a sample from the always-smiling attendant, return only the toothpick, and walk away. Instead, they buy some of the product, even if they might not have liked it especially well. A highly effective variation on this marketing proced- ure is illustrated in the case, cited by Vance Packard in The Hidden Per- suaders, of the Indiana supermarket operator who sold an astounding one thousand pounds of cheese in a few hours one day by putting out the cheese and inviting customers to cut off slivers for themselves as free samples.\nA different version of the free-sample tactic is used by the Amway Corporation, a rapid-growth company that manufactures and distributes household and personal-care products in a vast national network of door-to-door neighborhood sales. The company, which has grown from a basement-run operation a few years ago to a one-and-a-half-billion- dollar-yearly-sales business, makes use of the free sample in a device called the BUG. The BUG consists of a collection of Amway products\u2014bottles of furniture polish, detergent, or shampoo, spray containers of deodorizers, insect killers, or window cleaners\u2014carried to the customer\u2019s home in a specially designed tray or just a polyethyl- ene bag. The confidential Amway Career Manual then instructs the salesperson to leave the BUG with the customer \u201cfor 24, 48, or 72 hours, at no cost or obligation to her. Just tell her you would like her to try the products\u2026. That\u2019s an offer no one can refuse.\u201d At the end of the trial period, the Amway representative returns and picks up orders for those of the products the customer wishes to purchase. Since few customers use up the entire contents of even one of the product containers in such a short time, the salesperson may then take the remaining product portions in the BUG to the next potential customer down the line or across the street and start the process again. Many Amway representat- ives have several BUGs circulating in their districts at one time.\n \n\nOf course, by now you and I know that the customer who has accep- ted and used the BUG products has been trapped into facing the influ- ence of the reciprocity rule. Many such customers yield to a sense of obligation to order those of the salesperson\u2019s products that they have tried and thereby partially consumed. And, of course, by now the Am- way Corporation knows that to be the case. Even in a company with as excellent a growth record as Amway, the BUG device has created a big stir. Reports by state distributors to the parent company record a remarkable effect:\nUnbelievable! We\u2019ve never seen such excitement. Product is moving at an unbelievable rate, and we\u2019ve only just begun\u2026. [Local] distributors took the BUGS, and we\u2019ve had an unbelievable increase in sales [from Illinois distributor]. The most fantastic retail idea we\u2019ve ever had!\u2026On the average, customers purchased about half the total amount of the BUG when it is picked up\u2026. In one word, tremendous! We\u2019ve never seen a response within our entire organization like this [from Massachusetts distributor].\nThe Amway distributors appear to be bewildered\u2014happily so, but nonetheless bewildered\u2014by the startling power of the BUG. Of course, by now you and I should not be.\nThe reciprocity rule governs many situations of a purely interpersonal nature where neither money nor commercial exchange is at issue. Per- haps my favorite illustration of the enormous force available from the reciprocation weapon of influence comes from such a situation. The European scientist, Eibl-Eibesfeldt, provides the account of a German soldier during World War I whose job was to capture enemy soldiers for interrogation. Because of the nature of the trench warfare at that time, it was extremely difficult for armies to cross the no-man\u2019s-land between opposing front lines; but it was not so difficult for a single soldier to crawl across and slip into an enemy trench position. The armies of the Great War had experts who regularly did so to capture an enemy soldier, who would then be brought back for questioning. The German expert of our account had often successfully completed such missions in the past and was sent on another. Once again, he skillfully negotiated the area between fronts and surprised a lone enemy soldier in his trench. The unsuspecting soldier, who had been eating at the time, was easily disarmed. The frightened captive with only a piece of bread in his hand then performed what may have been the most important act of his life. He gave his enemy some of the bread. So af- fected was the German by this gift that he could not complete his mis- sion. He turned from his benefactor and recrossed the no-man\u2019s-land empty-handed to face the wrath of his superiors.\n \n\nAn equally compelling point regarding the power of reciprocity comes from an account of a woman who saved her life not by giving a gift as did the captured soldier, but by refusing a gift and the powerful obliga- tions that went with it. The woman, Diane Louie, was an inhabitant of Jonestown, Guyana, in November of 1978 when its leader, Jim Jones, called for the mass suicide of all residents, most of whom compliantly drank and died from a vat of poison-laced Kool-Aid. Diane Louie, however, rejected Jones\u2019s command and made her way out of Jonestown and into the jungle. She attributes her willingness to do so to her earlier refusal to accept special favors from him when she was in need. She turned down his offer of special food while she was ill because \u201cI knew once he gave me those privileges, he\u2019d have me. I didn\u2019t want to owe him nothin\u2019.\u201d\nThe Rule Enforces Uninvited Debts\nEarlier we suggested that the power of the reciprocity rule is such that by first doing us a favor, strange, disliked, or unwelcome others can enhance the chance that we will comply with one of their requests. However, there is another aspect of the rule, besides its power, that al- lows this phenomenon to occur. Another person can trigger a feeling of indebtedness by doing us an uninvited favor. Recall that the rule only states that we should provide to others the kind of actions they have provided us; it does not require us to have asked for what we have received in order to feel obligated to repay. For instance, the Disabled American Veterans organization reports that its simple mail appeal for donations produces a response rate of about 18 percent. But when the mailing also includes an unsolicited gift (gummed, individualized ad- dress labels), the success rate nearly doubles to 35 percent. This is not to say that we might not feel a stronger sense of obligation to return a favor we have requested, only that such a request is not necessary to produce our indebtedness.\nIf we reflect for a moment about the social purpose of the reciprocity rule, we can see why this should be so. The rule was established to promote the development of reciprocal relationships between individu- als so that one person could initiate such a relationship without the fear of loss. If the rule is to serve that purpose, then, an uninvited first favor must have the ability to create an obligation. Recall, also, that reciprocal relationships confer an extraordinary advantage upon cultures that foster them and that, consequently, there will be strong pressures to ensure that the rule does serve its purpose. Little wonder, then, that the influential French anthropologist Marcel Mauss, in describing the social pressures surrounding the gift-giving process in human culture,\n \n\ncan state, \u201cThere is an obligation to give, an obligation to receive, and an obligation to repay.\u201d6\nAlthough the obligation to repay constitutes the essence of the reci- procity rule, it is the obligation to receive that makes the rule so easy to exploit. The obligation to receive reduces our ability to choose whom we wish to be indebted to and puts that power in the hands of others. Let\u2019s reexamine a pair of earlier examples to get a sense of how the process works. First, let\u2019s return to the Regan study, where we find that the favor causing subjects to double the number of raffle tickets pur- chased from Joe was not one they had requested. Joe had voluntarily left the room and returned with one Coke for himself and one for the subject. There was not a single subject who refused the Coke. It is easy to see why it would have been awkward to turn down Joe\u2019s favor: Joe had already spent his money; a soft drink was an appropriate favor in the situation, especially since Joe had one himself; it would have been considered impolite to reject Joe\u2019s thoughtful action. Nevertheless, re- ceipt of that Coke produced an indebtedness that manifested itself clearly when Joe announced his desire to sell some raffle tickets. Notice the important asymmetry here\u2014all the genuinely free choices were Joe\u2019s. He chose the form of the initial favor, and he chose the form of the return favor. Of course, one could say that the subject had the choice of saying no to both of Joe\u2019s offers. But those would have been tough choices. To have said no at either point would have required the subject to go against the natural cultural forces favoring reciprocation arrange- ments that Jujitsu Joe had aligned himself with.\nThe extent to which even an unwanted favor, once received, can produce indebtedness is aptly illustrated in the soliciting technique of the Hare Krishna Society. During systematic observation of the airport soliciting strategy of the Krishnas, I have recorded a variety of responses from target persons. One of the most regular occurs as follows. An air- port visitor\u2014a businessman, let\u2019s say\u2014is hurriedly walking along through a densely peopled area. The Krishna solicitor steps in front of\nhim and hands him a flower. The man, reacting with surprise, takes it.7\nAlmost immediately, he tries to give it back, saying that he does not want the flower. The Krishna member responds that it is a gift from the Krishna Society and that it is the man\u2019s to keep\u2026however, a donation to further the Society\u2019s good works would be appreciated. Again the target protests, \u201cI don\u2019t want this flower. Here, take it.\u201d And again the solicitor refuses, \u201cIt\u2019s our gift to you, sir.\u201d There is visible conflict on the businessman\u2019s face. Should he keep the flower and walk away without giving anything in return, or should he yield to the pressure of the deeply ingrained reciprocity rule and provide a contribution? By now, the conflict has spread from his face to his posture. He leans away\n \n\nfrom his benefactor, seemingly about to break free, only to be drawn back again by the pull of the rule. Once more his body tilts away, but it\u2019s no use; he cannot disengage. With a nod of resignation, he fishes in his pocket and comes up with a dollar or two that is graciously accepted. Now he can walk away freely, and he does, \u201cgift\u201d in hand, until he en- counters a waste container\u2014where he throws the flower.\nPurely by accident, I happened to witness a scene that demonstrates that the Krishnas know very well how frequently their gifts are un- wanted by the people who receive them. While spending a day ob- serving a soliciting Krishna group at Chicago\u2019s O\u2019Hare International Airport a few years ago, I noticed that one of the group members would frequently leave the central area and return with more flowers to resup- ply her companions. As it happened, I had decided to take a break just as she was leaving on one of her supply missions. Having nowhere to go, I followed. Her journey turned out to be a garbage route. She went from trash can to trash can beyond the immediate area to retrieve all the flowers that had been discarded by Krishna targets. She then re- turned with the cache of recovered flowers (some that had been recycled who knows how many times) and distributed them to be profitably cycled through the reciprocation process once more. The thing that really impressed me about all this was that most of the discarded flowers had brought donations from the people who had cast them away. The nature of the reciprocity rule is such that a gift so unwanted that it was jettisoned at the first opportunity had nonetheless been effective and exploitable.\nThe ability of uninvited gifts to produce feelings of obligation is re- cognized by a variety of organizations besides the Krishnas. How many times have each of us received small gifts through the mail\u2014personal- ized address labels, greeting cards, key rings\u2014from charity agencies that ask for funds in an accompanying note? I have received five in just the past year, two from disabled veterans\u2019 groups and the others from missionary schools or hospitals. In each case, there was a common thread in the accompanying message. The goods that were enclosed were to be considered a gift from the organization; and any money I wished to send should not be regarded as payment but rather as a return offering. As the letter from one of the missionary programs stated, the packet of greeting cards I had been sent was not to be directly paid for, but was designed \u201cto encourage your kindness.\u201d If we look past the obvious tax advantage, we can see a reason why it would be beneficial for the organization to have the cards viewed as a gift instead of mer- chandise: There is a strong cultural pressure to reciprocate a gift, even an unwanted one; but there is no such pressure to purchase an unwanted commercial product.\n \n\nThe Rule Can Trigger Unfair Exchanges\nThere is yet one other feature of the reciprocity rule that allows it to be exploited for profit. Paradoxically, the rule developed to promote equal exchanges between partners, yet it can be used to bring about decidedly unequal results. The rule demands that one sort of action be reciprocated with a similar sort of action. A favor is to be met with another favor; it is not to be met with neglect, and certainly not with attack. But within the similar-action boundaries, considerable flexibility is allowed. A small initial favor can produce a sense of obligation to agree to a sub- stantially larger return favor. Since, as we have already seen, the rule allows one person to choose the nature of the indebting first favor and the nature of the debt-canceling return favor, we could easily be manip- ulated into an unfair exchange by those who might wish to exploit the rule.\nOnce again, we can turn to the Regan experiment for evidence. Re- member in that study that Joe gave one group of subjects a bottle of Coca-Cola as an initiating gift and later asked all subjects to buy some of his raffle tickets at twenty-five cents apiece. What I have so far neg- lected to mention is that the study was done in the late 1960s, when the price of a Coke was a dime. The average subject who had been given a ten-cent drink bought two of Joe\u2019s raffle tickets, although some bought as many as seven. Even if we look just at the average subject, though, we can tell that Joe made quite a deal. A 500 percent return on invest- ment is respectable indeed!\nBut in Joe\u2019s case, even a 500 percent return amounted to only fifty cents. Can the reciprocity rule produce meaningfully large differences in the sizes of the exchanged favors? Under the right circumstances, it certainly can. Take, for instance, the account of a student of mine con- cerning a day she remembers ruefully:\nAbout one year ago, I couldn\u2019t start my car. As I was sitting there, a guy in the parking lot came over and eventually jump-started the car. I said thanks, and he said you\u2019re welcome; as he was leaving, I said that if he ever needed a favor to stop by. About a month later, the guy knocked on my door and asked to borrow my car for two hours as his was in the shop. I felt somewhat oblig- ated but uncertain, since the car was pretty new and he looked very young. Later, I found out that he was underage and had no insurance. Anyway, I lent him the car. He totaled it.\nHow could it happen that an intelligent young woman would agree to turn over her new car to a virtual stranger (and a youngster at that)\n \n\nbecause he had done her a small favor a month earlier? Or, more gen- erally, why should it be that small first favors often stimulate larger return favors? One important reason concerns the clearly unpleasant character of the feeling of indebtedness. Most of us find it highly dis- agreeable to be in a state of obligation. It weighs heavily on us and de- mands to be removed. It is not difficult to trace the source of this feeling. Because reciprocal arrangements are so vital in human social systems, we have been conditioned to be uncomfortable when beholden. If we were to ignore breezily the need to return another\u2019s initial favor, we would stop one reciprocal sequence dead and would make it less likely that our benefactor would do such favors in the future. Neither event is in the best interests of society. Consequently, we are trained from childhood to chafe, emotionally, under the saddle of obligation. For this reason alone, then, we may be willing to agree to perform a larger favor than we received, merely to relieve ourselves of the psychological burden of debt.\nBut there is another reason as well. A person who violates the reci- procity rule by accepting without attempting to return the good acts of others is actively disliked by the social group. The exception, of course, is when the person is prevented from repayment by reasons of circum- stance or ability. For the most part, however, there is a genuine distaste\nfor individuals who fail to conform to the dictates of the reciprocity rule.8 Moocher and welsher are unsavory labels to be scrupulously shunned. So undesirable are they that we will sometimes agree to an\nunequal exchange in order to dodge them.\nIn combination, the reality of internal discomfort and the possibility of external shame can produce a heavy psychological cost. When seen in the light of this cost, it is not so puzzling that we will often give back more than we have received in the name of reciprocity. Neither is it so odd that, as was shown in an experiment conducted at the University of Pittsburgh, people will often avoid asking for a needed favor if they will not be in a position to repay it. The psychological cost may simply outweigh the material loss.\nThe risk of still other kinds of losses may also persuade people to decline certain gifts and benefits. Women frequently comment on the uncomfortable sense of obligation they can feel to return the favors of a man who has given them an expensive present or paid for a costly evening out. Even something as small as the price of a drink can produce a feeling of debt. A student in one of my classes expressed it quite plainly in a paper she wrote: \u201cAfter learning the hard way, I no longer let a guy I meet in a club buy my drinks because I don\u2019t want either of us to feel that I am obligated sexually.\u201d Research suggests that there is a basis for her concern. If, instead of paying for them herself, a woman\n \n\nallows a man to buy her drinks, she is immediately judged (by both men and women) as more sexually available to him.9\nRECIPROCAL CONCESSIONS\nThere is a second way to employ the reciprocity rule to get someone to comply with a request. It is more subtle than the direct route of providing that person with a favor and then asking for one in return; yet in some ways it is more devastatingly effective than the straightfor- ward approach. A personal experience I had a few years ago gave me firsthand evidence of just how well this compliance technique works. I was walking down the street when I was approached by an eleven- or twelve-year-old boy. He introduced himself and said that he was selling tickets to the annual Boy Scouts circus to be held on the upcoming Saturday night. He asked if I wished to buy any at five dollars apiece. Since one of the last places I wanted to spend Saturday evening was with the Boy Scouts, I declined. \u201cWell,\u201d he said, \u201cif you don\u2019t want to buy any tickets, how about buying some of our big chocolate bars? They\u2019re only a dollar each.\u201d I bought a couple and, right away, realized that something noteworthy had happened. I knew that to be the case because: (a) I do not like chocolate bars; (b) I do like dollars; (c) I was standing there with two of his chocolate bars; and (d) he was walking\naway with two of my dollars.\nTo try to understand precisely what had happened, I went to my office and called a meeting of my research assistants. In discussing the situ- ation, we began to see how the reciprocity rule was implicated in my compliance with the request to buy the candy bars. The general rule says that a person who acts in a certain way toward us is entitled to a similar return action. We have already seen that one consequence of the rule is an obligation to repay favors we have received. Another consequence of the rule, however, is an obligation to make a concession to someone who has made a concession to us. As my research group thought about it, we realized that was exactly the position the Boy Scout had put me in. His request that I purchase some one-dollar chocolate bars had been put in the form of a concession on his part; it was presented as a retreat from his request that I buy some five-dollar tickets. If I were to live up to the dictates of the reciprocation rule, there had to be a concession on my part. As we have seen, there was such a conces- sion: I changed from noncompliant to compliant when he changed from a larger to a smaller request, even though I was not really interested in either of the things he offered.\nIt was a classic example of how a weapon of automatic influence can infuse a compliance request with its power. I had been moved to buy\n \n\nsomething not because of any favorable feelings toward the item, but because the purchase request had been presented in a way that drew force from the reciprocity rule. It had not mattered that I do not like chocolate bars; the Boy Scout had made a concession to me, click, and, whirr, I responded with a concession of my own. Of course, the tendency to reciprocate a concession is not so strong that it will invariably work in all instances on all people; none of the weapons of influence con- sidered in this book is that strong. However, in my exchange with the Boy Scout, the tendency had been sufficiently potent to leave me in mystified possession of a pair of unwanted and overpriced candy bars. Why should I feel a strain to reciprocate a concession? The answer rests once again in the benefit of such a tendency to the society. It is in the interests of any human group to have its members working together toward the achievement of common goals. However, in many social interactions the participants begin with requirements and demands that are unacceptable to one another. Thus the society must arrange to have these initial, incompatible desires set aside for the sake of socially beneficial cooperation. This is accomplished through procedures that promote compromise. Mutual concession is one important such proced-\nure.\nThe reciprocation rule brings about mutual concession in two ways. The first is obvious. It pressures the recipient of an already-made con- cession to respond in kind. The second, while not so obvious, is pivotally important. Just as in the case of favors, gifts, or aid, the obligation to reciprocate a concession encourages the creation of socially desirable arrangements by ensuring that anyone seeking to start such an arrange- ment will not be exploited. After all, if there were no social obligation to reciprocate a concession, who would want to make the first sacrifice? To do so would be to risk giving up something and getting nothing back. However, with the rule in effect, we can feel safe making the first sacrifice to our partner, who is obligated to offer a return sacrifice.\nBecause the rule for reciprocation governs the compromise process, it is possible to use an initial concession as part of a highly effective compliance technique. The technique is a simple one that we can call the rejection-then-retreat technique. Suppose you want me to agree to a certain request. One way to increase your chances would be first to make a larger request of me, one that I will most likely turn down. Then, after I have refused, you would make the smaller request that you were really interested in all along. Provided that you have structured your requests skillfully, I should view your second request as a concession to me and should feel inclined to respond with a concession of my own,\n \n\nthe only one I would have immediately open to me\u2014compliance with your second request.\nWas that how the Boy Scout got me to buy his candy bars? Was his retreat from the five-dollar request to the one-dollar request an artificial one that was intentionally designed to sell candy bars? As one who has still refused to discard even his first Scout merit badge, I genuinely hope not. But whether or not the large-request-then-smaller-request sequence was planned, its effect was the same, It worked. And because it works, the rejection-then-retreat technique can and will be used pur- posely by certain people to get their way. First let\u2019s examine how this tactic can be used as a reliable compliance device. Later we will see how it is already being used. Finally we can turn to a pair of little-known features of the technique that make it one of the most pervasively influ- ential compliance tactics available.\nRemember that after my encounter with the Boy Scout, I called my research assistants together to try to understand what had happened to me and, as it turned out, to eat the evidence. Actually, we did more than that. We designed an experiment to test the effectiveness of the procedure of moving to a desired request after a larger preliminary re- quest had been refused. We had two primary purposes in conducting the experiment. First, we wanted to see whether this procedure worked on people besides myself. That is, it certainly seemed that the tactic had been effective when tried on me earlier in the day; but then, I have a history of falling for compliance tricks of all sorts. So the question re- mained, Does the rejection-then-retreat technique work on enough people to make it a useful procedure for gaining compliance? If so, it would definitely be something to be aware of in the future.\nOur second reason for doing the study was to determine how powerful a compliance device the technique was. Could it bring about compliance with a genuinely sizable request? In other words, did the smaller request to which the requester retreated have to be a small re- quest? If our thinking about what caused the technique to be effective was correct, the second request did not actually have to be small; it only had to be smaller than the initial one. It was our suspicion that the critical thing about a requester\u2019s retreat from a larger to a smaller favor was its appearance as a concession. So the second request could be an objectively large one\u2014as long as it was smaller than the first re- quest\u2014and the technique would still work.\nAfter a bit of thought, we decided to try the technique on a request that we felt few people would agree to perform. Posing as representat- ives of the \u201cCounty Youth Counseling Program,\u201d we approached college students walking on campus and asked if they would be willing to chaperon a group of juvenile delinquents on a day trip to the zoo. The\n \n\nidea of being responsible for a group of juvenile delinquents of unspe- cified age for hours in a public place without pay was hardly an inviting one for these students. As we expected, the great majority (83 percent) refused. Yet we obtained very different results from a similar sample of college students who were asked the very same question with one difference. Before we invited them to serve as unpaid chaperons on the zoo trip, we asked them for an even larger favor\u2014to spend two hours per week as a counselor to a juvenile delinquent for a minimum of two years. It was only after they refused this extreme request, as all did, that we made the smaller, zoo-trip request. By presenting the zoo trip as a retreat from our initial request, our success rate increased dramat- ically. Three times as many of the students approached in this manner\nvolunteered to serve as zoo chaperons.10\nBe assured that any strategy able to triple the percentage of compli- ance with a substantial request (from 17 percent to 50 percent in our experiment) will be frequently employed in a variety of natural settings. Labor negotiators, for instance, often use the tactic of beginning with extreme demands that they do not actually expect to win but from which they can retreat in a series of seeming concessions designed to draw real concessions from the opposing side. It would appear, then, that the larger the initial request, the more effective the procedure, since there would be more room available for illusory concessions. This is true only up to a point, however. Research conducted at Bar-Ilan Uni- versity in Israel on the rejection-then-retreat technique shows that if the first set of demands is so extreme as to be seen as unreasonable, the\ntactic backfires.11 In such cases, the party who has made the extreme\nfirst request is not seen to be bargaining in good faith. Any subsequent retreat from that wholly unrealistic initial position is not viewed as a genuine concession and thus is not reciprocated. The truly gifted nego- tiator, then, is one whose initial position is exaggerated enough to allow for a series of reciprocal concessions that will yield a desirable final offer from the opponent, yet is not so outlandish as to be seen as illegitimate from the start.\nIt seems that certain of the most successful television producers, such as Grant Tinker and Gary Marshall, are masters of this art in their nego- tiations with network censors. In a candid interview with TV Guide writer Dick Russell, both admitted to \u201cdeliberately inserting lines into scripts that a censor\u2019s sure to ax\u201d so that they could then retreat to the lines they really wanted included. Marshall appears especially active in this regard. Consider, for example, the following quotes from Russell\u2019s article:\n \n\nBut Marshall\u2026not only admits his tricks\u2026he seems to revel in them. On one episode of his [then] top-rated Laverne and Shirley series, for example, he says, \u201cWe had a situation where Squiggy\u2019s in a rush to get out of his apartment and meet some girls upstairs. He says: \u2018Will you hurry up before I lose my lust?\u2019 But in the script we put something even stronger, knowing the censors would cut it. They did; so we asked innocently, well, how about \u2018lose my lust\u2019? \u2018That\u2019s good,\u2019 they said. Sometimes you gotta go at \u2019em backward.\u201d\nOn the Happy Days series, the biggest censorship fight was over the word \u201cvirgin.\u201d That time, says Marshall, \u201cI knew we\u2019d have trouble, so we put the word in seven times, hoping they\u2019d cut six\nand keep one. It worked. We used the same pattern again with the word \u2018pregnant.\u2019\u201d12\nI witnessed another form of the rejection-then-retreat technique in my investigations of door-to-door sales operations. These organizations used a less engineered, more opportunistic version of the tactic. Of course, the most important goal for a door-to-door salesperson is to make the sale. However, the training programs of each of the companies I investigated emphasized that a second important goal was to obtain from prospects the names of referrals\u2014friends, relatives, or neighbors on whom we could call. For a variety of reasons we will discuss in Chapter 5, the percentage of successful door-to-door sales increases impressively when the sales operator is able to mention the name of a familiar person who \u201crecommended\u201d the sales visit.\nNever as a sales trainee was I taught to get the sales pitch refused so that I could then retreat to a request for referrals. In several such pro- grams, though, I was trained to take advantage of the opportunity to secure referrals offered by a customer\u2019s purchase refusal: \u201cWell, if it is your feeling that a fine set of encyclopedias is not right for you at this time, perhaps you could help me by giving me the names of some others who might wish to take advantage of our company\u2019s great offer. What would be the names of some of these people you know?\u201d Many indi- viduals who would not otherwise subject their friends to a high-pressure sales presentation do agree to supply referrals when the request is presented as a concession from a purchase request they have just re- fused.\nWe have already discussed one reason for the success of the rejection- then-retreat technique\u2014its incorporation of the reciprocity rule. This larger-then-smaller-request strategy is effective for a pair of other reasons as well. The first concerns the perceptual contrast principle we\n \n\nencountered in Chapter 1. That principle accounted for, among other things, the tendency of a man to spend more money on a sweater fol- lowing his purchase of a suit than before: After being exposed to the price of the large item, the price of the less expensive one appears smaller by comparison. In the same way, the larger-then-smaller-request pro- cedure makes use of the contrast principle by making the smaller request look even smaller by comparison with the larger one. If I want you to lend me five dollars, I can make it seem like a smaller request by first asking you to lend me ten dollars. One of the beauties of this tactic is that by first requesting ten dollars and then retreating to five dollars, I will have simultaneously engaged the force of the reciprocity rule and the contrast principle. Not only will my five-dollar request be viewed as a concession to be reciprocated, it will also look to you like a smaller request than if I had just asked for it straightaway.\nIn combination, the influences of reciprocity and perceptual contrast can present a fearsomely powerful force. Embodied in the rejection- then-retreat sequence, their conjoined energies are capable of genuinely astonishing effects. It is my feeling that they provide the only really plausible explanation of one of the most baffling political actions of our time: the decision to break into the Watergate offices of the Democratic National Committee that led to the ruin of Richard Nixon\u2019s presidency. One of the participants in that decision, Jeb Stuart Magruder, upon first hearing that the Watergate burglars had been caught, responded with appropriate bewilderment, \u201cHow could we have been so stupid?\u201d In- deed, how?\nTo understand how enormously ill conceived an idea it was for the Nixon administration to undertake the break-in, it is necessary to review a few facts:\n\u2022\tThe idea was that of G. Gordon Liddy, who was in charge of intelli- gence-gathering operations for the Committee to Re-elect the Presid- ent (CRP). Liddy had gained a reputation among administration higher-ups as something of a flake, and there were questions about his stability and judgment.\n\u2022\tLiddy\u2019s proposal was extremely costly, requiring a budget of $250,000 in untraceable cash.\n\u2022\tIn late March, when the proposal was approved in a meeting of the CRP director, John Mitchell, and his assistants Magruder and Freder- ick LaRue, the outlook for a Nixon victory in the November election could not have been brighter. Edmund Muskie, the only announced candidate the early polls had given a chance of unseating the Presid- ent, had done poorly in the primaries. It looked very much as though\n \n\nthe most defeatable candidate, George McGovern, would win his party\u2019s nomination. A Republican victory seemed assured.\n\u2022\tThe break-in plan itself was a highly risky operation requiring the participation and discretion of ten men.\n\u2022\tThe Democratic National Committee and its chairman, Lawrence O\u2019Brien, whose Watergate office was to be burglarized and bugged, had no information damaging enough to defeat the incumbent Pres- ident. Nor were they likely to get any, unless the administration did something very, very foolish.\nDespite the obvious counsel of the above reasons, the expensive, chancy, pointless, and potentially calamitous proposal of a man whose judgment was known to be questionable was approved. How could it be that intelligent men of the attainment of Mitchell and Magruder would do something so very, very foolish? Perhaps the answer lies in a little-discussed fact: The $250,000 plan they approved was not Liddy\u2019s first proposal. In fact, it represented a significant concession on his part from two earlier proposals, of immense proportions. The first of these plans, made two months earlier in a meeting with Mitchell, Magruder, and John Dean, described a $I million program that included (in addition to the bugging of the Watergate) a specially equipped communications \u201cchase plane,\u201d break-ins, kidnapping and mugging squads, and a yacht featuring \u201chigh-class call girls\u201d to blackmail Democratic politicians. A second Liddy plan, presented a week later to the same group of Mitchell, Magruder, and Dean, eliminated some of the program and reduced the cost to $500,000. It was only after these initial proposals had been rejec- ted by Mitchell that Liddy submitted his \u201cbare-bones\u201d $250,000 plan, in this instance to Mitchell, Magruder, and Frederick LaRue. This time the plan, still stupid but less so than the previous ones, was approved. Could it be that I, a longtime patsy, and John Mitchell, a hardened and canny politician, might both have been so easily maneuvered into bad deals by the same compliance tactic\u2014I by a Boy Scout selling candy,\nand he by a man selling political disaster?\nIf we examine the testimony of Jeb Magruder, considered by most Watergate investigators to provide the most faithful account of the crucial meeting at which Liddy\u2019s plan was finally accepted, there are some instructive clues. First, Magruder reports that \u201cno one was partic- ularly overwhelmed with the project\u201d; but \u201cafter starting at the grandi- ose sum of $1 million, we thought that probably $250,000 would be an acceptable figure\u2026. We were reluctant to send him away with nothing.\u201d Mitchell, caught up in the \u201cfeeling that we should leave Liddy a little something\u2026signed off on it in the sense of saying, \u2018Okay, let\u2019s give him a quarter of a million dollars and let\u2019s see what he can come up with.\u2019\u201d\n \n\nIn the context of Liddy\u2019s initial extreme requests, it seems that \u201ca quarter of a million dollars\u201d had come to be \u201ca little something\u201d to be left as a return concession. With the clarity afforded by hindsight, Ma- gruder has recalled Liddy\u2019s approach in as succinct an illustration of the rejection-then-retreat technique as I have ever heard. \u201cIf he had come to us at the outset and said, \u2018I have a plan to burglarize and wiretap Larry O\u2019Brien\u2019s office,\u2019 we might have rejected the idea out of hand. Instead he came to us with his elaborate call-girl/kidnap- ping/mugging/sabotage/wiretapping scheme\u2026. He had asked for the whole loaf when he was quite content to settle for half or even a\nquarter.\u201d13\nIt is also instructive that, although he finally deferred to his boss\u2019s decision, only one member of the group, Frederick LaRue, expressed any direct opposition to the proposal. Saying with obvious common sense, \u201cI don\u2019t think it\u2019s worth the risk,\u201d he must have wondered why his colleagues Mitchell and Magruder did not share his perspective. Of course, there could be many differences between LaRue and the other two men that may have accounted for their differing opinions regarding the advisability of Liddy\u2019s plan. But one stands out: Of the three, only LaRue had not been present at the prior two meetings, where Liddy had outlined his much more ambitious programs. Perhaps, then, only LaRue was able to see the third proposal for the clunker that it was and to react to it objectively, uninfluenced by the reciprocity and perceptual contrast forces acting upon the others.\nA bit earlier we said that the rejection-then-retreat technique had, in addition to the reciprocity rule, a pair of other factors working in its favor. We have already discussed the first of those factors, the percep- tual contrast principle. The additional advantage of the technique is not really a psychological principle, as in the case of the other two factors; it is more of a purely structural feature of the request sequence. Let\u2019s once again say that I wish to borrow five dollars from you. By beginning with a ten-dollar request, I really can\u2019t lose. If you agree to it, I will have gotten twice the amount from you I would have settled for. If, on the other hand, you turn down my initial request, I can retreat to the five-dollar favor that I desired from the outset and, through the action of the reciprocity and contrast principles, greatly enhance my likelihood of success. Either way, I benefit; it\u2019s a case of heads I win, tails you lose.\nThe clearest utilization of this aspect of the larger-then-smaller-request sequence occurs in the retail-store sales practice of \u201ctalking the top of the line.\u201d Here the prospect is invariably shown the deluxe model first. If the customer buys, there is frosting on the store\u2019s cake. However, if the customer declines, the salesperson effectively counteroffers with a\n \n\nmore reasonably priced model. Some proof of the effectiveness of this procedure comes from a report in Sales Management magazine, reprinted without comment in Consumer Reports:\nIf you were a billiard-table dealer, which would you advertise\u2014the\n$329 model or the $3,000 model? The chances are you would pro- mote the low-priced item and hope to trade the customer up when he comes to buy. But G. Warren Kelley, new business promotion manager at Brunswick, says you could be wrong\u2026. To prove his point, Kelley has actual sales figures from a representative store\u2026. During the first week, customers\u2026were shown the low end of the line\u2026and then encouraged to consider more expensive mod- els\u2014the traditional trading-up approach\u2026. The average table sale that week was $550\u2026. However, during the second week, custom- ers\u2026were led instantly to a $3,000 table, regardless of what they wanted to see\u2026and then allowed to shop the rest of the line, in declining order of price and quality. The result of selling down\nwas an average sale of over $1,000.14\nGiven the remarkable effectiveness of the rejection-then-retreat technique, one might think that there could be a substantial disadvant- age as well. The victims of the strategy might resent having been cornered into compliance. The resentment could show itself in a couple of ways. First, the victim might decide not to live up to the verbal agreement made with the requester. Second, the victim might come to distrust the manipulative requester, deciding never to deal with him again. If either or both of these events occurred with any frequency, a requester would want to give serious second thought to the use of the rejection-then-retreat procedure. Research indicates, however, that these victim reactions do not occur with increased frequency when the rejec- tion-then-retreat technique is used. Somewhat astonishingly, it appears that they actually occur less frequently! Before trying to understand why this is the case, let\u2019s first look at the evidence.\nA study published in Canada throws light on the question of whether a victim of the rejection-then-retreat tactic will follow through with the agreement to perform the requester\u2019s second favor. In addition to recording whether target persons said yes or no to the desired request (to work for two unpaid hours one day in a community mental-health agency), this experiment also recorded whether they showed up to perform their duties as promised. As usual, the procedure of starting with a larger request (to volunteer for two hours of work per week in the agency for at least two years) produced more verbal agreement to the smaller retreat request (76 percent) than did the procedure of asking for the smaller request alone (29 percent). The important result, though,\n \n\nconcerned the show-up rate of those who volunteered; and, again, the re- jection-then-retreat procedure was the more effective one (85 percent vs. 50 percent).15\nA different experiment examined whether the rejection-then-retreat sequence caused victims to feel so manipulated that they would refuse any further requests. In this study, the targets were college students who were each asked to give a pint of blood as part of the annual cam- pus blood drive. One group of targets was first asked to give a pint of blood every six weeks for a minimum of three years. The other targets were asked only to give the single pint of blood. Those of both groups who agreed to give a pint of blood and who later appeared at the blood center were then asked if they would be willing to give their phone numbers so they could be called upon to donate again in the future. Nearly all the students who were about to give a pint of blood as a result of the rejection-then-retreat technique agreed to donate again later (84 percent), while less than half of the other students who ap- peared at the blood center did so (43 percent). Even for future favors,\nthe rejection-then-retreat strategy proved superior.16\nStrangely enough, then, it seems that the rejection-then-retreat tactic spurs people not only to agree to a desired request but actually to carry out the request and, finally, to volunteer to perform further requests. What could there be about the technique that makes people who have been duped into compliance so bewilderingly likely to continue to comply? For an answer, we might look at the requester\u2019s act of conces- sion, which is the heart of the procedure. We have already seen that as long as it is not viewed to be a transparent trick, the concession will likely stimulate a return concession. But what we have not yet examined is a little-known pair of positive by-products of the act of concession: feelings of greater responsibility for, and satisfaction with, the arrange- ment. It is this set of sweet side effects that enables the technique to move its victims to fulfill their agreements and to engage in further such agreements.\nThe desirable side effects of making a concession during an interaction with another person are nicely shown in studies of the way people bargain with each other. One experiment, conducted by social psycho-\nlogists at UCLA, offers an especially apt demonstration.17 A subject in\nthat study faced a \u201cnegotiation opponent\u201d and was told to bargain with the opponent concerning how to divide between themselves a certain amount of money provided by the experimenters. The subject was also informed that if no mutual agreement could be reached after a certain period of bargaining, no one would get any money. Unknown to the subjects, the opponent was really an experimental assistant who had\n \n\nbeen previously instructed to bargain with the subject in one of three ways. With some of the subjects, the opponent made an extreme first demand, assigning virtually all of the money to himself, and stubbornly persisted in that demand throughout the negotiations. With another group of subjects, the opponent began with a demand that was moder- ately favorable to himself; he, too, steadfastly refused to move from that position during the negotiations. With a third group, the opponent began with the extreme demand and then gradually retreated to the more moderate one during the course of the bargaining.\nThere were three important findings in this experiment that help us to understand why the rejection-then-retreat technique is so effective. First, compared to the two other approaches, the strategy of starting with an extreme demand and then retreating to the more moderate one produced the most money for the person using it. But this result is not very surprising in light of the previous evidence we have seen of the power of larger-then-smaller-request tactics to bring about profitable agreements. It is the two additional findings of the study that are more striking.\nResponsibility. Those subjects facing the opponent who used the re- treating strategy felt most responsible for the final deal. Much more than the subjects who faced a nonchanging negotiation opponent, these subjects reported that they had successfully influenced the opponent to take less money for himself. Of course, we know that they hadn\u2019t done any such thing. The experimenter had instructed their opponent to retreat gradually from his initial demand no matter what the subjects did. But it appeared to these subjects that they had made the opponent change, that they had produced his concessions. The result was that they felt more responsible for the final outcome of the negotiations. It does not require much of a leap from this finding to clarify the previous mystery of why the rejection-then-retreat technique causes its targets to live up to their agreements with such astounding frequency. The re- quester\u2019s concession within the technique not only causes targets to say yes more often, it also causes them to feel more responsible for having \u201cdictated\u201d the final agreement. Thus the uncanny ability of the rejection- then-retreat technique to make its targets meet their commitments be- comes understandable: A person who feels responsible for the terms of a contract will be more likely to live up to that contract.\nSatisfaction. Even though, on the average, they gave the most money to the opponent who used the concessions strategy, the subjects who were the targets of this strategy were the most satisfied with the final arrangement. It appears that an agreement that has been forged through the concessions of one\u2019s opponent is quite satisfying. With this in mind, we can begin to explain the second previously puzzling feature of the\n \n\nrejection-then-retreat tactic\u2014the ability to prompt its victims to agree to further requests. Since the tactic uses a concession to bring about compliance, the victim is likely to feel more satisfied with the arrange- ment as a result. And it stands to reason that people who are satisfied with a given arrangement are more likely to be willing to agree to further such arrangements.\nHOW TO SAY NO\nWhen up against a requester who employs the rule for reciprocation, you and I face a formidable foe. Whether by presenting us with an initial favor or initial concession, the requester will have enlisted a powerful ally in the campaign for our compliance. At first glance, our fortunes in such a situation would appear dismal. We could comply with the requester\u2019s wish and, in so doing, succumb to the reciprocity rule. Or, we could refuse to comply and thereby suffer the brunt of the rule\u2019s force upon our deeply conditioned feelings of fairness and obligation. Surrender or suffer heavy casualties. Cheerless prospects indeed.\nFortunately, these are not our only choices. With the proper under- standing of the nature of our opponent, we can come away from the compliance battlefield unhurt and sometimes even better off than before. It is essential to recognize that the requester who invokes the reciproc- ation rule (or any other weapon of influence) to gain our compliance is not the real opponent. Such a requester has chosen to become a jujitsu warrior who aligns himself with the sweeping power of reciprocation and then merely releases that power by providing a first favor or con- cession. The real opponent is the rule. If we are not to be abused by it, we must take steps to defuse its energy.\nBut how does one go about neutralizing the effect of a social rule like that for reciprocation? It seems too widespread to escape and too strong to overpower once it is activated. Perhaps the answer, then, is to prevent its activation. Perhaps we can avoid a confrontation with the rule by refusing to allow the requester to commission its force against us in the first place. Perhaps by rejecting the requester\u2019s initial favor or concession to us, we can evade the problem. Perhaps; but then, perhaps not. Invari- ably declining the requester\u2019s initial offer of a favor or sacrifice works better in theory than in practice. The major problem is that when it is first presented, it is difficult to know whether such an offer is honest or whether it is the initial step in an exploitation attempt. If we always assume the worst, it would not be possible to receive the benefits of any legitimate favors or concessions offered by individuals who had no intention of exploiting the reciprocity rule.\nI have a colleague who remembers with anger how his ten-year-old\n \n\ndaughter\u2019s feelings were terribly hurt by a man whose method of avoiding the jaws of the reciprocity rule was to refuse abruptly her kindness. The children of her class were hosting an open house at school for their grandparents, and her job was to give a flower to each visitor entering the school grounds. But the first man she approached with a flower growled at her, \u201cKeep it.\u201d Not knowing what to do, she extended it toward him again only to have him demand to know what he had to give in return. When she replied weakly, \u201cNothing. It\u2019s a gift,\u201d he fixed her with a disbelieving glare, insisted that he recognized \u201cher game,\u201d and brushed on past. The girl was so stung by the experience that she could not approach anyone else and had to be removed from her assign- ment\u2014one she had anticipated fondly. It is hard to know whom to blame more here, the insensitive man or the exploiters who had abused his mechanical tendency to reciprocate a gift until his response had soured to a mechanical refusal. No matter whom you find more blameworthy, the lesson is clear. We will always encounter authentically generous individuals as well as many people who try to play fairly by the reciprocity rule rather than to exploit it. They will doubtless become insulted by someone who consistently rejects their efforts; social friction and isolation could well result. A policy of blanket rejection, then, seems ill advised.\nAnother solution holds more promise. It advises us to accept the de- sirable first offers of others but to accept those offers only for what they fundamentally are, not for what they are represented to be. If a person offers us a nice favor, let\u2019s say, we might well accept, recognizing that we have obligated ourselves to a return favor sometime in the future. To engage in this sort of arrangement with another is not to be exploited by that person through the rule for reciprocation. Quite the contrary; it is to participate fairly in the \u201chonored network of obligation\u201d that has served us so well, both individually and societally, from the dawn of humanity. However, if the initial favor turns out to be a device, a trick, an artifice designed specifically to stimulate our compliance with a larger return favor, that is a different story. Here our partner is not a benefactor but a profiteer. And it is here that we should respond to his action on precisely those terms. Once we have determined that his initial offer was not a favor but a compliance tactic, we need only react to it accordingly to be free of its influence. As long as we perceive and define his action as a compliance device instead of a favor, he no longer has the reciprocation rule as an ally: The rule says that favors are to be met with favors; it does not require that tricks be met with favors.\nA practical example may make things more concrete. Let\u2019s suppose that a woman phoned one day and introduced herself as a member of\n \n\nthe Home Fire Safety Association in your town. Suppose she then asked if you would be interested in learning about home fire safety, having your house checked for fire hazards, and receiving a home fire extin- guisher, all free of charge. Let\u2019s suppose further that you were interested in these things and made an evening appointment to have one of the Association\u2019s inspectors come over to provide them. When he arrived, he gave you a small hand extinguisher and began examining the possible fire hazards of your home. Afterward, he gave you some interesting, though frightening, information about general fire dangers, along with an assessment of your home\u2019s vulnerability. Finally, he suggested that you get a home fire-warning system and left.\nSuch a set of events is not implausible. Various cities and towns have nonprofit associations, usually made up of Fire Department personnel working on their own time, that provide free home fire-safety inspec- tions of this sort. Were these events to occur, you would clearly have been done a favor by the inspector. In accordance with the reciprocation rule, you should stand more ready to provide a return favor if you were to see him in need of aid at some point in the future. An exchange of favors of this kind would be in the best tradition of the reciprocity rule. A similar set of events with, however, a different ending would also be possible\u2014in fact, more likely. Rather than leaving after recommend- ing a fire-alarm system, the inspector would launch into a sales presentation intended to persuade you to buy an expensive, heat- triggered alarm system manufactured by the company he represented. Door-to-door home fire-alarm companies will frequently use this ap- proach. Typically, their product, while effective enough, will be over- priced. Trusting that you will not be familiar with the retail costs of such a system and that, if you decide to buy one, you will feel obligated to the company that provided you with a free extinguisher and home inspection, these companies will pressure you for an immediate sale.\nUsing this free-information-and-inspection gambit, fire-protection sales organizations have flourished around the country.18\nIf you were to find yourself in such a situation with the realization that the primary motive of the inspector\u2019s visit was to sell you a costly alarm system, your most effective next action would be a simple, private maneuver. It would involve the mental act of redefinition. Merely define whatever you have received from the inspector\u2014extinguisher, safety information, hazard inspection\u2014not as gifts, but as sales devices, and you will be free to decline (or accept) his purchase offer without even a tug from the reciprocity rule: A favor rightly follows a favor\u2014not a piece of sales strategy. And if he subsequently responds to your refusal by proposing that you, at least, give him the names of some friends he might call on, use your mental maneuver on him again. Define his retreat\n \n\nto this smaller request as what (it is hoped after reading this chapter) you recognize it to be\u2014a compliance tactic. Once done, there would be no pressure to offer the names as a return concession, since his reduced request would not be viewed as a real concession. At this point, un- hampered by an inappropriately triggered sense of obligation, you may once again be as compliant or noncompliant as you wish.\nProvided you are so inclined, you might even turn his own weapon of influence against him. Recall that the rule for reciprocation entitles a person who has acted in a certain way to a dose of the same thing. If you have determined that the \u201cfire inspector\u2019s\u201d gifts were used, not as genuine gifts, but to make a profit from you, then you might want to use them to make a profit of your own. Simply take whatever the in- spector is willing to provide\u2014safety information, home extinguish- er\u2014thank him politely, and show him out the door. After all, the reci- procity rule asserts that if justice is to be done, exploitation attempts should be exploited.\nREADER\u2019S REPORT\nFrom a Former TV and Stereo Salesperson\n\u201cFor quite a while, I worked for a major retailer in their Television and Stereo Department. Salespeople in this department are paid on a com- mission basis; however, continued employment was, and still is, based on the ability to sell service contracts rather than merchandise. Company policy was that, for every ten sales you made, you had to sell at least four service contracts. Failure to bring your service-contract sales up to expected levels for two consecutive months resulted in threats, relo- cation, or termination.\n\u201cOnce I recognized the importance of meeting my sales-contract quota, I devised a plan that used the rejection-then-retreat technique, although I didn\u2019t know its name at the time: A customer had the oppor- tunity to buy from one to three years\u2019 worth of service-contract coverage at the time of the sale. Most of the sales staff attempted just to sell a single-year policy. That was my intention as well, since a one-year contract counted just as much toward my quota as a three-year contract did. Initially, however, when making my sales pitch, I would advocate the longest and most expensive plan, realizing that most people would not be willing to spend that much (about $140). But this gave me an excellent opportunity later, after being rejected in my sincere attempt to sell the three-year plan, to retreat to the one-year extension and its relatively small $34.95 price, which I was thrilled to get. This proved highly effective, as I sold sales contracts to an average of seventy percent of my customers, who seemed very satisfied with the purchase while\n \n\nothers in my department clustered around forty percent. I never told anyone how I did it until now.\u201d\nNotice how, as is usually the case, use of the rejection-then-retreat tactic engages the action of the contrast principle as well. Not only did the $140 initial request make the $34.95 request seem like a retreat, it made that second request seem smaller too.\n \nChapter 3\n\nCOMMITMENT AND CONSISTENCY\nHobgoblins of the Mind\n\nIt is easier to resist at the beginning than at the end.\n\u2014LEONARDO DA VINCI\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nSTUDY DONE BY A PAIR OF CANADIAN PSYCHOLOGISTS UNCOVERED\nsomething fascinating about people at the racetrack: Just after placing a bet, they are much more confident of their horse\u2019s chances of winning than they are immediately before laying down that bet.1 Of\ncourse, nothing about the horse\u2019s chances actually shifts; it\u2019s the same horse, on the same track, in the same field; but in the minds of those bettors, its prospects improve significantly once that ticket is purchased. Although a bit puzzling at first glance, the reason for the dramatic change has to do with a common weapon of social influence. Like the other weapons of influence, this one lies deep within us, directing our actions with quiet power. It is, quite simply, our nearly obsessive desire to be (and to appear) consistent with what we have already done. Once we have made a choice or taken a stand, we will encounter personal and interpersonal pressures to behave consistently with that commit- ment. Those pressures will cause us to respond in ways that justify our earlier decision.\nTake the bettors in the racetrack experiment. Thirty seconds before putting down their money, they had been tentative and uncertain; thirty seconds after the deed, they were significantly more optimistic and self- assured. The act of making a final decision\u2014in this case, of buying a\n \n\nticket\u2014had been the critical factor. Once a stand had been taken, the need for consistency pressured these people to bring what they felt and believed into line with what they had already done. They simply con- vinced themselves that they had made the right choice and, no doubt, felt better about it all.\nBefore we see such self-delusion as unique to racetrack habitu\u00e9s, we should examine the story of my neighbor Sara and her live-in boyfriend, Tim. They met at a hospital where he worked as an X-ray technician and she as a nutritionist. They dated for a while, even after Tim lost his job, and eventually they moved in together. Things were never perfect for Sara: She wanted Tim to marry her and to stop his heavy drinking; Tim resisted both ideas. After an especially difficult period of conflict, Sara broke off the relationship, and Tim moved out. At the same time, an old boyfriend of Sara\u2019s returned to town after years away and called her. They started seeing each other socially and quickly became serious enough to plan a wedding. They had gone so far as to set a date and issue invitations when Tim called. He had repented and wanted to move back in. When Sara told him her marriage plans, he begged her to change her mind; he wanted to be together with her as before. But Sara refused, saying she didn\u2019t want to live like that again. Tim even offered to marry her, but she still said she preferred the other boyfriend. Finally, Tim volunteered to quit drinking if she would only relent. Feeling that under those conditions Tim had the edge, Sara decided to break her engagement, cancel the wedding, retract the invitations, and let Tim move back in with her.\nWithin a month, Tim informed Sara that he didn\u2019t think he needed to stop his drinking after all; a month later, he had decided that they should \u201cwait and see\u201d before getting married. Two years have since passed; Tim and Sara continue to live together exactly as before. He still drinks, there are still no marriage plans, yet Sara is more devoted to Tim than she ever was. She says that being forced to choose taught her that Tim really is number one in her heart. So, after choosing Tim over her other boyfriend, Sara became happier with him, even though the conditions under which she had made her choice have never been fulfilled. Obviously, horse-race bettors are not alone in their willingness to believe in the correctness of a difficult choice, once made. Indeed, we all fool ourselves from time to time in order to keep our thoughts and beliefs consistent with what we have already done or decided.\nPsychologists have long understood the power of the consistency principle to direct human action. Prominent theorists such as Leon Festinger, Fritz Hieder, and Theodore Newcomb have viewed the desire for consistency as a central motivator of our behavior. But is this tend-\n \n\nency to be consistent really strong enough to compel us to do what we ordinarily would not want to do? There is no question about it. The drive to be (and look) consistent constitutes a highly potent weapon of social influence, often causing us to act in ways that are clearly contrary to our own best interests.\nTake, as proof, what happened when psychologist Thomas Moriarty staged thefts on a New York City beach to see if onlookers would risk personal harm to halt the crime. In the study, a research accomplice would put a beach blanket down five feet from the blanket of a ran- domly chosen individual\u2014the experimental subject. After a couple of minutes on the blanket spent relaxing and listening to music from a portable radio, the accomplice would stand up and leave the blanket to stroll down the beach. A few minutes later, a second researcher, pretending to be a thief, would approach, grab the radio, and try to hurry away with it. As you might guess, under normal conditions, subjects were very reluctant to put themselves in harm\u2019s way by chal- lenging the thief\u2014only four people did so in the twenty times, that the theft was staged. But when the same procedure was tried another twenty times, with a slight twist, the results were drastically different. In these incidents, before taking his stroll, the accomplice would simply ask the subject to please \u201cwatch my things,\u201d which each of them agreed to do. Now, propelled by the rule for consistency, nineteen of the twenty subjects became virtual vigilantes, running after and stopping the thief, demanding an explanation, and often restraining the thief physically or snatching the radio away.\nTo understand why consistency is so powerful a motive, it is import- ant to recognize that in most circumstances consistency is valued and adaptive. Inconsistency is commonly thought to be an undesirable personality trait. The person whose beliefs, words, and deeds don\u2019t match may be seen as indecisive, confused, two-faced, or even mentally ill. On the other side, a high degree of consistency is normally associated with personal and intellectual strength. It is at the heart of logic, ration- ality, stability, and honesty. A quote attributed to the great British chemist Michael Faraday suggests the extent to which being consistent is approved\u2014sometimes more than being right. When asked after a lecture if he meant to imply that a hated academic rival was always wrong, Faraday glowered at the questioner and replied, \u201cHe\u2019s not that consistent.\u201d\nCertainly, then, good personal consistency is highly valued in our culture. And well it should be. It provides us with a reasonable and gainful orientation to the world. Most of the time we will be better off if our approach to things is well laced with consistency. Without it our lives would be difficult, erratic, and disjointed.\n \n\nBut because it is so typically in our best interests to be consistent, we easily fall into the habit of being automatically so, even in situations where it is not the sensible way to be. When it occurs unthinkingly, consistency can be disastrous. Nonetheless, even blind consistency has its attractions.\nFirst, like most other forms of automatic responding, it offers a shortcut through the density of modern life. Once we have made up our minds about an issue, stubborn consistency allows us a very appeal- ing luxury: We really don\u2019t have to think hard about the issue anymore. We don\u2019t have to sift through the blizzard of information we encounter every day to identify relevant facts; we don\u2019t have to expend the mental energy to weigh the pros and cons; we don\u2019t have to make any further tough decisions. Instead, all we have to do when confronted with the issue is to turn on our consistency tape, whirr, and we know just what to believe, say, or do. We need only believe, say, or do whatever is consistent with our earlier decision.\nThe allure of such a luxury is not to be minimized. It allows us a convenient, relatively effortless, and efficient method for dealing with complex daily environments that make severe demands on our mental energies and capacities. It is not hard to understand, then, why automat- ic consistency is a difficult reaction to curb. It offers us a way to evade the rigors of continuing thought. And as Sir Joshua Reynolds noted, \u201cThere is no expedient to which a man will not resort to avoid the real labor of thinking.\u201d With our consistency tapes operating, then, we can go about our business happily excused from the toil of having to think too much.\nThere is a second, more perverse attraction of mechanical consistency as well. Sometimes it is not the effort of hard, cognitive work that makes us shirk thoughtful activity, but the harsh consequences of that activity. Sometimes it is the cursedly clear and unwelcome set of answers provided by straight thinking that makes us mental slackers. There are certain disturbing things we simply would rather not realize. Because it is a preprogrammed and mindless method of responding, automatic consistency can supply a safe hiding place from those troubling realiz- ations. Sealed within the fortress walls of rigid consistency, we can be impervious to the sieges of reason.\nOne night at an introductory lecture given by the transcendental meditation (TM) program, I witnessed a nice illustration of how people will hide inside the walls of consistency to protect themselves from the troublesome consequences of thought. The lecture itself was presided over by two earnest young men and was designed to recruit new\n \n\nmembers into the program. The program claimed it could teach a unique brand of meditation that would allow us to achieve all manner of desir- able things, ranging from simple inner peace to the more spectacular abilities to fly and pass through walls at the program\u2019s advanced (and more expensive) stages.\nI had decided to attend the meeting to observe the kind of compliance tactics used in recruitment lectures of this sort and had brought along an interested friend, a university professor whose areas of specialization were statistics and symbolic logic. As the meeting progressed and the lecturers explained the theory behind TM, I noticed my logician friend becoming increasingly restless. Looking more and more pained and shifting about constantly in his seat, he was finally unable to resist. When the leaders called for questions at the completion of the lecture, he raised his hand and gently but surely demolished the presentation we had just heard. In less than two minutes, he pointed out precisely where and why the lecturers\u2019 complex argument was contradictory, il- logical, and unsupportable. The effect on the discussion leaders was devastating. After a confused silence, each attempted a weak reply only to halt midway to confer with his partner and finally to admit that my colleague\u2019s points were good ones \u201crequiring further study.\u201d\nMore interesting to me, though, was the effect upon the rest of the audience. At the end of the question period, the two recruiters were faced with a crush of audience members submitting their seventy-five- dollar down payments for admission to the TM program. Nudging, shrugging, and chuckling to one another as they took in the payments, the recruiters betrayed signs of giddy bewilderment. After what ap- peared to have been an embarrassingly clear collapse of their presenta- tion, the meeting had somehow turned into a great success, generating mystifyingly high levels of compliance from the audience. Although more than a bit puzzled, I chalked up the audience response to a failure to understand the logic of my colleague\u2019s arguments. As it turned out, however, just the reverse was the case.\nOutside the lecture room after the meeting, we were approached by three members of the audience, each of whom had given a down pay- ment immediately after the lecture. They wanted to know why we had come to the session. We explained, and we asked the same question of them. One was an aspiring actor who wanted desperately to succeed at his craft and had come to the meeting to learn if TM would allow him to achieve the necessary self-control to master the art; the recruiters had assured him that it would. The second described herself as a severe insomniac who had hopes that TM would provide her with a way to relax and fall asleep easily at night. The third served as unofficial spokesman. He also had a sleep-related problem. He was failing college\n \n\nbecause there didn\u2019t seem to be enough time to study. He had come to the meeting to find out if TM could help by training him to need fewer hours of sleep each night; the additional time could then be used for study. It is interesting to note that the recruiters informed him as well as the insomniac that Transcendental Meditation techniques could solve their respective, though opposite, problems.\nStill thinking that the three must have signed up because they hadn\u2019t understood the points made by my logician friend, I began to question them about aspects of his argument. To my surprise, I found that they had understood his comments quite well; in fact, all too well. It was precisely the cogency of his argument that drove them to sign up for the program on the spot. The spokesman put it best: \u201cWell, I wasn\u2019t going to put down any money tonight because I\u2019m really quite broke right now; I was going to wait until the next meeting. But when your buddy started talking, I knew I\u2019d better give them my money now, or I\u2019d go home and start thinking about what he said and never sign up.\u201d All at once, things began to make sense. These were people with real problems; and they were somewhat desperately searching for a way to solve those problems. They were seekers who, if our discussion leaders were to be believed, had found a potential solution in TM. Driven by their needs, they very much wanted to believe that TM was their answer. Now, in the form of my colleague, intrudes the voice of reason, showing the theory underlying their newfound solution to be unsound. Panic! Something must be done at once before logic takes its toll and leaves them without hope again. Quickly, quickly, walls against reason are needed; and it doesn\u2019t matter that the fortress to be erected is a foolish one. \u201cQuick, a hiding place from thought! Here, take this money. Whew, safe in the nick of time. No need to think about the issues any longer. The decision has been made, and from now on the consistency tape can be played whenever necessary: \u2018TM? Certainly I think it will help me; certainly I expect to continue; certainly I believe in TM. I already put my money down for it, didn\u2019t I?\u2019 Ah, the comforts of mindless consistency. I\u2019ll just rest right here for a while. It\u2019s so much\nnicer than the worry and strain of that hard, hard search.\u201d\nIf, as it appears, automatic consistency functions as a shield against thought, it should not be surprising that such consistency can also be exploited by those who would prefer that we not think too much in response to their requests for our compliance. For the exploiters, whose interest will be served by an unthinking, mechanical reaction to their requests, our tendency for automatic consistency is a gold mine. So clever are they at arranging to have us play our consistency tapes when it profits them that we seldom realize we have been taken. In fine jujitsu\n \n\nfashion, they structure their interactions with us so that our own need to be consistent will lead directly to their benefit.\nCertain large toy manufacturers use just such an approach to reduce a problem caused by seasonal buying patterns. Of course, the boom time for toy sales occurs before and during the Christmas holiday sea- son. The toy companies make fat profits during this period. Their problem is that toy sales then go into a terrible slump for the next couple of months. Their customers have already spent the full amount in their toy budgets and are stiffly resistant to their children\u2019s pleas for more. Even those children whose birthdays fall soon after the holidays receive fewer toys because of the recent Christmas spree.\nSo the toy manufacturers are faced with a dilemma: how to keep sales high during the peak season and, at the same time, retain a healthy demand for toys in the immediately following months. Their difficulty certainly doesn\u2019t lie in convincing our naturally insatiable offspring to want a continuous flow of new amusements. A series of flashy television commercials placed among the Saturday morning cartoon shows will produce the usual amounts of begging, whining, and wheedling no matter when it appears during the year. No, the problem is not in mo- tivating kids to want more toys after Christmas.\nThe problem is in motivating postholiday spent-out parents to reach down for the price of yet another plaything for their already toy-glutted children. What could the toy companies possibly do to produce that unlikely behavior? Some have tried a greatly increased advertising campaign, others have reduced prices during the slack period, but neither of those standard sales devices has proved successful. Not only are both tactics costly, but both have also been ineffective in increasing sales to desired levels. Parents are simply not in a toy-buying mood, and the influences of advertising or reduced expense are not enough to shake that stony resistance.\nCertain large toy manufacturers, however, think they have found a solution. It\u2019s an ingenious one, involving no more than a normal advert- ising expense and an understanding of the powerful pull of the need for consistency. My first hint of how the toy companies\u2019 strategy worked came after I fell for it and then, in true patsy form, fell for it again.\nIt was January, and I was in the town\u2019s largest toy store. After pur- chasing all too many gifts there for my son a month before, I had sworn not to enter that place or any like it for a long, long time. Yet there I was, not only in the diabolic place but also in the process of buying my son another expensive toy\u2014a big, electric road-race set. In front of the road-race display, I happened to meet a former neighbor who was buying his son the same toy. The odd thing was that we almost never saw each other anymore. In fact, the last time was a year earlier in that\n \n\nsame store where we were both buying our sons an expensive post- Christmas gift\u2014that time a robot that walked, talked, and laid waste. We laughed about our strange pattern of seeing each other only once a year at the same time, in the same place, while doing the same thing. Later that day, I mentioned the coincidence to a friend who, it turned out, had once worked in the toy business.\n\u201cNo coincidence,\u201d he said knowingly. \u201cWhat do you mean, \u2018No coincidence\u2019?\u201d\n\u201cLook,\u201d he said, \u201clet me ask you a couple of questions about the road- race set you bought this year. First, did you promise your son that he\u2019d get one for Christmas?\u201d\n\u201cWell, yes, I did. Christopher had seen a bunch of ads for them on the Saturday morning cartoon shows and said that was what he wanted for Christmas. I saw a couple of the ads myself and it looked like fun, so I said okay.\u201d\n\u201cStrike one,\u201d he announced. \u201cNow for my second question. When you went to buy one, did you find all the stores sold out?\u201d\n\u201cThat\u2019s right, I did! The stores said they\u2019d ordered some but didn\u2019t know when they\u2019d get any more in. So I had to buy Christopher some other toys to make up for the road-race set. But how did you know?\u201d\n\u201cStrike two,\u201d he said. \u201cJust let me ask one more question. Didn\u2019t this same sort of thing happen the year before with the robot toy?\u201d\n\u201cWait a minute\u2026you\u2019re right. That\u2019s just what happened. This is in- credible. How did you know?\u201d\n\u201cNo psychic powers; I just happen to know how several of the big toy companies jack up their January and February sales. They start prior to Christmas with attractive TV ads for certain special toys. The kids, naturally, want what they see and extract Christmas promises for these items from their parents. Now here\u2019s where the genius of the companies\u2019 plan comes in: They undersupply the stores with the toys they\u2019ve gotten the parents to promise. Most parents find those things sold out and are forced to substitute other toys of equal value. The toy manufacturers, of course, make a point of supplying the stores with plenty of these substitutes. Then, after Christmas, the companies start running the ads again for the other, special toys. That juices up the kids to want those toys more than ever. They go running to their parents whining, \u2018You promised, you promised,\u2019 and the adults go trudging off to the store to live up dutifully to their words.\u201d\n\u201cWhere,\u201d I said, beginning to seethe now, \u201cthey meet other parents they haven\u2019t seen for a year, falling for the same trick, right?\u201d\n\u201cRight. Uh, where are you going?\u201d\n\u201cI\u2019m going to take that road-race set right back to the store.\u201d I was so angry I was nearly shouting.\n \n\n\u201cWait. Think for a minute first. Why did you buy it this morning?\u201d \u201cBecause I didn\u2019t want to let Christopher down and because I wanted\nto teach him that promises are to be lived up to.\u201d\n\u201cWell, has any of that changed? Look, if you take his toy away now, he won\u2019t understand why. He\u2019ll just know that his father broke a promise to him. Is that what you want?\u201d\n\u201cNo,\u201d I said, sighing, \u201cI guess not. So, you\u2019re telling me that they doubled their profit on me for the past two years, and I never even knew it; and now that I do, I\u2019m still trapped\u2014by my own words. So, what you\u2019re really telling me is, \u2018Strike three.\u2019\u201d\nHe nodded, \u201cAnd you\u2019re out.\u201d\nCOMMITMENT IS THE KEY\nOnce we realize that the power of consistency is formidable in directing human action, an important practical question immediately arises: How is that force engaged? What produces the click that activates the whirr of the powerful consistency tape? Social psychologists think they know the answer: commitment. If I can get you to make a commitment (that is, to take a stand, to go on record), I will have set the stage for your automatic and ill-considered consistency with that earlier commitment. Once a stand is taken, there is a natural tendency to behave in ways that are stubbornly consistent with the stand.\nAs we\u2019ve already seen, social psychologists are not the only ones who understand the connection between commitment and consistency. Commitment strategies are aimed at us by compliance professionals of nearly every sort. Each of the strategies is intended to get us to take some action or make some statement that will trap us into later compli- ance through consistency pressures. Procedures designed to create commitment take various forms. Some are fairly straightforward; others are among the most subtle compliance tactics we will encounter.\nFor instance, suppose you wanted to increase the number of people in your area who would agree to go door-to-door collecting donations for your favorite charity. You would be wise to study the approach taken by social psychologist Steven J. Sherman. He simply called a sample of Bloomington, Indiana, residents as part of a survey he was taking and asked them to predict what they would say if asked to spend three hours collecting money for the American Cancer Society. Of course, not wanting to seem uncharitable to the survey taker or to themselves, many of these people said that they would volunteer. The consequence of this sly commitment procedure was a 700 percent in- crease in volunteers when, a few days later, a representative of the American Cancer Society did call and ask for neighborhood canvassers.\n \n\nUsing the same strategy, but this time asking Columbus, Ohio, residents to predict whether they would vote on Election Day, a team of research- ers led by Anthony Greenwald were able to increase significantly the turnout in a U.S. presidential election among those called.\nPerhaps an even more crafty commitment technique has been de- veloped recently by telephone solicitors for charity. Have you noticed that callers asking you to contribute to some cause or another these days seem to begin things by inquiring about your current health and well-being? \u201cHello Mr./Ms. Targetperson,\u201d they say. \u201cHow are you feeling this evening?\u201d Or, \u201cHow are you doing today?\u201d The caller\u2019s in- tent with this sort of introduction is not merely to seem friendly and caring. It is to get you to respond\u2014as you normally do to such polite, superficial inquiries\u2014with a polite, superficial comment of your own: \u201cJust fine\u201d or \u201cReal good\u201d or \u201cI\u2019m doing great, thanks.\u201d Once you have publicly stated that all is well, it becomes much easier for the solicitor to corner you into aiding those for whom all is not well: \u201cI\u2019m glad to hear that, because I\u2019m calling to ask if you\u2019d be willing to make a donation to help out the unfortunate victims of\u2026\u201d\nThe theory behind this tactic is that people who have just asserted that they are doing/feeling fine\u2014even as a routine part of a sociable exchange\u2014will consequently find it awkward to appear stingy in the context of their own admittedly favored circumstances. If all this sounds a bit farfetched, consider the findings of consumer researcher Daniel Howard, who put the theory to test. Dallas, Texas, residents were called on the phone and asked if they would agree to allow a representative of the Hunger Relief Committee to come to their homes to sell them cookies, the proceeds from which would be used to supply meals for the needy. When tried alone, that request (labeled the \u201cstandard solicit- ation approach\u201d) produced only 18 percent agreement. However, if the caller initially asked, \u201cHow are you feeling this evening?\u201d and waited for a reply before proceeding to the standard approach, several note- worthy things happened. First, of the 120 individuals called, most (108) gave the customary favorable reply (\u201cGood,\u201d \u201cFine,\u201d \u201cReal well,\u201d etc.). Second, 32 percent of the people who got the \u201cHow are you feeling to- night\u201d question agreed to receive the cookie seller at their homes, nearly twice the success rate of the standard solicitation approach. Third, true to the consistency principle, almost everyone who agreed to such a visit did, in fact, make a cookie purchase when contacted at home (89 percent).\nTo make sure that this tactic doesn\u2019t generate its successes simply because a solicitor who uses it seems more concerned and courteous than one who doesn\u2019t use it, Howard conducted another study. This time callers began either with the question \u201cHow are you feeling this\n \n\nevening?\u201d (and waited for a response before proceeding) or with the statement \u201cI hope you are feeling well this evening\u201d and then proceeded to the standard solicitation approach. Despite the fact that the caller started each type of interaction with a warm and friendly comment, the \u201cHow are you feeling\u201d technique was, by far, superior to its rival (33 percent vs. 15 percent compliance), because it alone drew an exploit- able public commitment from its targets. Note that the commitment was able to get twice as much compliance from those targets even though at the time it occurred it must have seemed to them an altogether inconsequential reply to an altogether superficial question\u2014yet another fine example of social jujitsu at work.\nThe question of what makes a commitment effective has a number of answers. A variety of factors affect the ability of a commitment to constrain our future behavior. One large-scale program designed to produce compliance illustrates nicely how several of the factors work. The remarkable thing about this program is that it was systematically employing these factors decades ago, well before scientific research had identified them.\nDuring the Korean War, many captured American soldiers found themselves in prisoner-of-war (POW) camps run by the Chinese Com- munists. It became clear early in the conflict that the Chinese treated captives quite differently than did their allies, the North Koreans, who favored savagery and harsh punishment to gain compliance. Specifically avoiding the appearance of brutality, the Red Chinese engaged in what they termed their \u201clenient policy,\u201d which was in reality a concerted and sophisticated psychological assault on their captives. After the war, American psychologists questioned the returning prisoners intensively to determine what had occurred. The intensive psychological investig- ation took place, in part, because of the unsettling success of some as- pects of the Chinese program. For example, the Chinese were very ef- fective in getting Americans to inform on one another, in striking con- trast to the behavior of American POWs in World War II. For this reason, among others, escape plans were quickly uncovered and the escape attempts themselves almost always unsuccessful. \u201cWhen an es- cape did occur,\u201d wrote Dr. Edgar Schein, a principal American invest- igator of the Chinese indoctrination program in Korea, \u201cthe Chinese usually recovered the man easily by offering a bag of rice to anyone turning him in.\u201d In fact, nearly all American prisoners in the Chinese camps are said to have collaborated with the enemy in one form or an-\nother.2\nAn examination of the Chinese prison-camp program shows that its personnel relied heavily on commitment and consistency pressures to\n \n\ngain the desired compliance from prisoners. Of course, the first problem facing the Chinese was how to get any collaboration at all from the Americans. These were men who were trained to provide nothing but name, rank, and serial number. Short of physical brutalization, how could the captors hope to get such men to give military information, turn in fellow prisoners, or publicly denounce their country? The Chinese answer was elementary: Start small and build.\nFor instance, prisoners were frequently asked to make statements so mildly anti-American or pro-Communist as to seem inconsequential (\u201cThe United States is not perfect.\u201d \u201cIn a Communist country, unem- ployment is not a problem.\u201d). But once these minor requests were complied with, the men found themselves pushed to submit to related yet more substantive requests. A man who had just agreed with his Chinese interrogator that the United States is not perfect might then be asked to indicate some of the ways in which he thought this was the case. Once he had so explained himself, he might be asked to make a list of these \u201cproblems with America\u201d and to sign his name to it. Later he might be asked to read his list in a discussion group with other prisoners. \u201cAfter all, it\u2019s what you really believe, isn\u2019t it?\u201d Still later he might be asked to write an essay expanding on his list and discussing these problems in greater detail.\nThe Chinese might then use his name and his essay in an anti- American radio broadcast beamed not only to the entire camp, but to other POW camps in North Korea, as well as to American forces in South Korea. Suddenly he would find himself a \u201ccollaborator,\u201d having given aid to the enemy. Aware that he had written the essay without any strong threats or coercion, many times a man would change his image of himself to be consistent with the deed and with the new \u201ccol- laborator\u201d label, often resulting in even more extensive acts of collabor- ation. Thus, while \u201conly a few men were able to avoid collaboration altogether,\u201d according to Dr. Schein, \u201cthe majority collaborated at one time or another by doing things which seemed to them trivial but which the Chinese were able to turn to their own advantage\u2026. This was par- ticularly effective in eliciting confessions, self-criticism, and information\nduring interrogation.\u201d3\nIf the Chinese know about the subtle power of this approach, it should not be surprising that another group of people interested in compliance is also aware of its usefulness. Many business organizations employ it regularly.\nFor the salesperson, the strategy is to obtain a large purchase by starting with a small one. Almost any small sale will do, because the purpose of that small transaction is not profit. It is commitment. Further\n \n\npurchases, even much larger ones, are expected to flow naturally from the commitment. An article in the trade magazine American Salesman put it succinctly:\nThe general idea is to pave the way for full-line distribution by starting with a small order\u2026. Look at it this way\u2014when a person has signed an order for your merchandise, even though the profit is so small it hardly compensates for the time and effort of making\nthe call, he is no longer a prospect\u2014he is a customer.4\nThe tactic of starting with a little request in order to gain eventual compliance with related larger requests has a name: the foot-in-the- door technique. Social scientists first became aware of its effectiveness in the mid-1960s when psychologists Jonathan Freedman and Scott\nFraser published an astonishing set of data.5 They reported the results\nof an experiment in which a researcher, posing as a volunteer worker, had gone door to door in a residential California neighborhood making a preposterous request of homeowners. The homeowners were asked to allow a public-service billboard to be installed on their front lawns. To get an idea of just how the sign would look, they were shown a photograph depicting an attractive house, the view of which was almost completely obscured by a very large, poorly lettered sign reading DRIVE CAREFULLY. Although the request was normally and understandably refused by the great majority (83 percent) of the other residents in the area, this particular group of people reacted quite favorably. A full 76 percent of them offered the use of their front yards.\nThe prime reason for their startling compliance has to do with something that had happened to them about two weeks earlier: They had made a small commitment to driver safety. A different volunteer worker had come to their doors and asked them to accept and display a little three-inch-square sign that read BE A SAFE DRIVER. It was such a trifling request that nearly all of them had agreed to it. But the effects of that request were enormous. Because they had innocently complied with a trivial safe-driving request a couple of weeks before, these homeowners became remarkably willing to comply with another such request that was massive in size.\nFreedman and Fraser didn\u2019t stop there. They tried a slightly different procedure on another sample of homeowners. These people first re- ceived a request to sign a petition that favored \u201ckeeping California beautiful.\u201d Of course, nearly everyone signed, since state beauty, like efficiency in government or sound prenatal care, is one of those issues almost no one is against. After waiting about two weeks, Freedman and Fraser sent a new \u201cvolunteer worker\u201d to these same homes to ask the residents to allow the big DRIVE CAREFULLY sign to be erected on\n \n\ntheir lawns. In some ways, their response was the most astounding of any of the homeowners in the study. Approximately half of these people consented to the installation of the DRIVE CAREFULLY billboard, even though the small commitment they had made weeks earlier was not to driver safety but to an entirely different public-service topic, state beautification.\nAt first, even Freedman and Fraser were bewildered by their findings. Why should the little act of signing a petition supporting state beauti- fication cause people to be so willing to perform a different and much larger favor? After considering and discarding other explanations, Freedman and Fraser came upon one that offered a solution to the puzzle: Signing the beautification petition changed the view these people had of themselves. They saw themselves as public-spirited citizens who acted on their civic principles. When, two weeks later, they were asked to perform another public service by displaying the DRIVE CAREFULLY sign, they complied in order to be consistent with their newly formed self-images. According to Freedman and Fraser,\nWhat may occur is a change in the person\u2019s feelings about getting involved or taking action. Once he has agreed to a request, his at- titude may change, he may become, in his own eyes, the kind of person who does this sort of thing, who agrees to requests made by strangers, who takes action on things he believes in, who co-\noperates with good causes.6\nWhat the Freedman and Fraser findings tell us, then, is to be very careful about agreeing to trivial requests. Such an agreement can not only increase our compliance with very similar, much larger re-quests, it can also make us more willing to perform a variety of larger favors that are only remotely connected to the little one we did earlier. It\u2019s this second, general kind of influence concealed within small commitments that scares me.\nIt scares me enough that I am rarely willing to sign a petition any- more, even for a position I support. Such an action has the potential to influence not only my future behavior but also my self-image in ways I may not want. And once a person\u2019s self-image is altered, all sorts of subtle advantages become available to someone who wants to exploit that new image.\nWho among Freedman and Fraser\u2019s homeowners would have thought that the \u201cvolunteer worker\u201d who asked them to sign a state beautifica- tion petition was really interested in having them display a safe-driving billboard two weeks later? And who among them could have suspected that their decision to display the billboard was largely due to the act of signing the petition? No one, I\u2019d guess. If there were any regrets after\n \n\nthe billboard went up, who could they conceivably hold responsible but themselves and their own damnably strong civic spirit? They probably never even considered the guy with the \u201ckeeping California beautiful\u201d petition and all that knowledge of jujitsu.\nNotice that all of the foot-in-the-door experts seem to be excited about the same thing: You can use small commitments to manipulate a per- son\u2019s self-image; you can use them to turn citizens into \u201cpublic ser- vants,\u201d prospects into \u201ccustomers,\u201d prisoners into \u201ccollaborators.\u201d And once you\u2019ve got a man\u2019s self-image where you want it, he should comply naturally with a whole range of your requests that are consistent with this view of himself.\nNot all commitments affect self-image, however. There are certain conditions that should be present for a commitment to be effective in this way. To discover what they are, we can once again look to the American experience in the Chinese prison camps of Korea. It is import- ant to understand that the major intent of the Chinese was not simply to extract information from their prisoners. It was to indoctrinate them, to change their attitudes and percep-tions of themselves, of their polit- ical system, of their country\u2019s role in the war, and of communism. And there is evidence that the program often worked alarmingly well.\nDr. Henry Segal, chief of the neuropsychiatric evaluation team that examined returning POWs at the war\u2019s end, reported that war-related beliefs had been substantially shifted. The majority of the men believed the Chinese story that the United States had used germ warfare, and many felt that their own forces had been the initial aggressors in starting the war. Similar inroads had been made in the political attitudes of the men:\nMany expressed antipathy toward the Chinese Communists but at the same time praised them for \u201cthe fine job they have done in China.\u201d Others stated that \u201calthough communism won\u2019t work in\nAmerica, I think it\u2019s a good thing for Asia.\u201d7\nIt appears that the real goal of the Chinese was to modify, at least for a time, the hearts and minds of their captives. If we measure their achievement in terms of \u201cdefection, disloyalty, changed attitudes and beliefs, poor discipline, poor morale, poor esprit, and doubts as to America\u2019s role,\u201d Dr. Segal concluded that \u201ctheir efforts were highly successful.\u201d Because commitment tactics were so much a part of the effective Chinese assault on hearts and minds, it is quite informative to examine the specific features of the tactics they used.\n \n\nThe Magic Act\nOur best evidence of what people truly feel and believe comes less from their words than from their deeds. Observers trying to decide what a man is like look closely at his actions. What the Chinese have discovered is that the man himself uses this same evidence to decide what he is like. His behavior tells him about himself; it is a primary source of in- formation about his beliefs and values and attitudes. Understanding fully this important principle of self-perception, the Chinese set about arranging the prison-camp experience so that their captives would consistently act in desired ways. Before long, the Chinese knew, these actions would begin to take their toll, causing the men to change their views of themselves to align with what they had done.\nWriting was one sort of confirming action that the Chinese urged incessantly upon the men. It was never enough for the prisoners to listen quietly or even to agree verbally with the Chinese line; they were always pushed to write it down as well. So intent were the Chinese on securing a written statement that if a prisoner was not willing to write a desired response freely, he was prevailed upon to copy it. The American psychologist Edgar Schein describes a standard indoctrination session tactic of the Chinese in these terms:\nA further technique was to have the man write out the question and then the [pro-Communist] answer. If he refused to write it voluntarily, he was asked to copy it from the notebooks, which must have seemed like a harmless enough concession.\nBut, oh, those \u201charmless\u201d concessions. We\u2019ve already seen how ap- parently trifling commitments can lead to extraordinary further beha- vior. And the Chinese knew that, as a commitment device, a written declaration has some great advantages. First, it provides physical evidence that the act occurred. Once a man wrote what the Chinese wanted, it was very difficult for him to believe that he had not done so. The opportunities to forget or to deny to himself what he had done were not available, as they are for purely verbal statements. No; there it was in his own handwriting, an irrevocably documented act driving him to make his beliefs and his self-image consistent with what he had undeniably done.\nA second advantage of a written testament is that it can be shown to other people. Of course, that means it can be used to persuade those people. It can persuade them to change their own attitudes in the direc- tion of the statement. But more important for the purpose of commit- ment, it can persuade them that the author genuinely believes what\n \n\nwas written. People have a natural tendency to think that a statement reflects the true attitude of the person who made it. What is surprising is that they continue to think so even when they know that the person did not freely choose to make the statement.\nSome scientific evidence that this is the case comes from a study by psychologists Edward Jones and James Harris, who showed people an essay that was favorable to Fidel Castro and asked them to guess the\ntrue feelings of its author.8 Jones and Harris told some of these people\nthat the author had chosen to write a pro-Castro essay; and they told the other people that the author had been required to write in favor of Castro. The strange thing was that even those people who knew that the author had been assigned to do a pro-Castro essay guessed that he liked Castro. It seems that a statement of belief produces a click, whirr response in those who view it. Unless there is strong evidence to the contrary, observers automatically assume that someone who makes such a statement means it.\nThink of the double-barreled effects on the self-image of a prisoner who wrote a pro-Chinese or anti-American statement. Not only was it a lasting personal reminder of his action, it was also likely to persuade those around him that the statement reflected his actual beliefs. And, as we will see in Chapter 4, what those around us think is true of us is enormously important in determining what we ourselves think is true. For example, one study found that after hearing that they were con- sidered charitable people, New Haven, Connecticut, housewives gave much more money to a canvasser from the Multiple Sclerosis Associ-\nation.9 Apparently the mere knowledge that someone viewed them as\ncharitable caused these women to make their actions consistent with another\u2019s perception of them.\nOnce an active commitment is made, then, self-image is squeezed from both sides by consistency pressures. From the inside, there is a pressure to bring self-image into line with action. From the outside, there is a sneakier pressure\u2014a tendency to adjust this image according to the way others perceive us. And because others see us as believing what we have written (even when we\u2019ve had little choice in the matter), we will once again experience a pull to bring self-image into line with the written statement.\nIn Korea, several subtle devices were used to get the prisoners to write, without direct coercion, what the Chinese wanted. For example, the Chinese knew that many prisoners were eager to let their families know that they were alive. At the same time, the men knew that their captors were censoring the mails and that only some letters were being allowed out of camp. To ensure that their own letters would be released, some prisoners began including in their messages peace appeals, claims\n \n\nof kind treatment, and statements sympathetic to communism. The hope was that the Chinese would want such letters to surface and would, therefore, allow their delivery. Of course, the Chinese were happy to cooperate because those letters served their interests mar- velously. First, their worldwide propaganda effort benefited greatly from the appearance of pro-Communist statements by American ser- vicemen. Second, in the service of prisoner indoctrination, they had, without raising a finger of physical force, gotten many men to go on record as supporting the Chinese cause.\nA similar technique involved political essay contests that were regu- larly held in camp. The prizes for winning were invariably small\u2014a few cigarettes or a bit of fruit\u2014but were sufficiently scarce that they generated a lot of interest from the men. Usually the winning essay was one that took a solidly pro-Communist stand\u2026but not always. The Chinese were wise enough to realize that most of the prisoners would not enter a contest that they could win only by writing a Communist tract. And the Chinese were clever enough to know how to plant small commitments to communism in the men that could be nurtured into later bloom. So the prize was occasionally given to an essay that gener- ally supported the United States but that bowed once or twice to the Chinese view. The effects of this strategy were exactly what the Chinese wanted. The men continued to participate voluntarily in the contests because they saw that they could win with an essay highly favorable to their own country. But perhaps without realizing it, they began to shade their essays a bit toward communism in order to have a better chance of winning. The Chinese were ready to pounce on any concession to Communist dogma and to bring consistency pressures to bear upon it. In the case of a written declaration within a voluntary essay, they had a perfect commitment from which to build toward collaboration and conversion.\nOther compliance professionals also know about the committing power of written statements. The enormously successful Amway Cor- poration, for instance, has hit upon a way to spur their sales personnel to greater and greater accomplishments. Members of the staff are asked to set individual sales goals and commit themselves to those goals by personally recording them on paper:\nOne final tip before you get started: Set a goal and write it down. Whatever the goal, the important thing is that you set it, so you\u2019ve got something for which to aim\u2014and that you write it down. There is something magical about writing things down. So set a goal and\n \n\nwrite it down. When you reach that goal, set another and write that down. You\u2019ll be off and running.10\nIf the Amway people have found \u201csomething magical about writing things down,\u201d so have other business organizations. Some door-to-door sales companies use the magic of written commitments to battle the \u201ccooling-off\u201d laws recently passed in many states. The laws are designed to allow customers a few days after purchasing an item to cancel the sale and receive a full refund. At first this legislation hurt the hard-sell companies deeply. Because they emphasize high-pressure tactics, their customers often buy, not because they want the product but because they are duped or intimidated into the sale. When the new laws went into effect, these customers began canceling in droves.\nThe companies have since learned a beautifully simple trick that cuts the number of such cancellations drastically. They merely have the customer, rather than the salesman, fill out the sales agreement. Accord- ing to the sales-training program of a prominent encyclopedia company, that personal commitment alone has proved to be \u201ca very important psychological aid in preventing customers from backing out of their contracts.\u201d Like the Amway Corporation, then, these organizations have found that something special happens when people personally put their commitments on paper: They live up to what they have written down.\nAnother common way for businesses to cash in on the \u201cmagic\u201d of written declarations occurs through the use of an innocent-looking promotional device. Before I began to study weapons of social influence, I used to wonder why big companies such as Procter & Gamble and General Foods are always running those \u201c25-, 50-, or 100 words or less\u201d testimonial contests. They all seem to be alike. The contestant is to compose a short personal statement that begins with the words, \u201cWhy I like\u2026\u201d and goes on to laud the features of whatever cake mix or floor wax happens to be at issue. The company judges the entries and awards some stunningly large prizes to the winners. What had puzzled me was what the companies got out of the deal. Often the contest requires no purchase; anyone submitting an entry is eligible. Yet, the companies appear to be strangely willing to incur the huge costs of contest after contest.\nI am no longer puzzled. The purpose behind the testimonial contests is the same as the purpose behind the political essay contests of the Chinese Communists. In both instances, the aim is to get as many people as possible to go on record as liking the product. In Korea, the product was a brand of Chinese communism; in the United States, it might be a brand of cuticle remover. The type of product doesn\u2019t matter; the\n \n\nprocess is the same. Participants voluntarily write essays for attractive prizes that they have only a small chance to win. But they know that for an essay to have any chance of winning at all, it must include praise for the product. So they find praiseworthy features of the product and describe them in their essays. The result is hundreds of men in Korea or hundreds of thousands of people in America who testify in writing to the product\u2019s appeal and who, consequently, experience that \u201cmagic- al\u201d pull to believe what they have written.\nThe Public Eye\nOne reason that written testaments are effective in bringing about genuine personal change is that they can so easily be made public. The prisoner experience in Korea showed the Chinese to be quite aware of an important psychological principle: Public commitments tend to be lasting commitments. The Chinese constantly arranged to have the pro- Communist statements of their captives seen by others. A man who had written a political essay the Chinese liked, for example, might find copies of it posted around camp, or might be asked to read it to a pris- oner discussion group, or even to read it on the camp radio broadcast. As far as the Chinese were concerned, the more public the better. Why? Whenever one takes a stand that is visible to others, there arises a drive to maintain that stand in order to look like a consistent person. Remember that earlier in this chapter we described how desirable good personal consistency is as a trait; how someone without it could be judged as fickle, uncertain, pliant, scatterbrained, or unstable; how someone with it is viewed as rational, assured, trustworthy, and sound. Given this context, it is hardly surprising that people try to avoid the look of inconsistency. For appearances\u2019 sake, then, the more public a\nstand, the more reluctant we will be to change it.\nAn illustration of how public commitments can lead to doggedly consistent further action is provided in a famous experiment performed by a pair of prominent social psychologists, Morton Deutsch and Harold Gerard. The basic procedure was to have college students first estimate in their own minds the length of lines they were shown. At this point, one sample of the students had to commit themselves publicly to their initial judgments by writing them down, signing their names to them, and turning them in to the experimenter. A second sample of students also committed themselves to their first estimates, but they did so privately by putting them on a Magic Writing Pad and then erasing them by lifting the Magic Pad\u2019s plastic cover before anyone could see what they had written. A third set of students did not commit them-\n \n\nselves to their initial estimates at all; they just kept the estimates in mind privately.\nIn these ways, Deutsch and Gerard had cleverly arranged for some students to commit themselves publicly, some privately, and some not at all to their initial decisions. What Deutsch and Gerard wanted to find out was which of the three types of students would be most inclined to stick with their first judgments after receiving information that those judgments were incorrect. So all of the students were given new evid- ence suggesting that their initial estimates were wrong, and they were then given the chance to change their estimates.\nThe results were quite clear. The students who had never written down their first choices were the least loyal to those choices. When new evidence was presented that questioned the wisdom of decisions that had never left their heads, these students were the most influenced by the new information to change what they had viewed as the \u201ccorrect\u201d decision. Compared to these uncommitted students, those who had merely written their decisions for a moment on a Magic Pad were sig- nificantly less willing to change their minds when given the chance. Even though they had committed themselves under the most anonym- ous of circumstances, the act of writing down their first judgments caused them to resist the influence of contradictory new data and to remain consistent with the preliminary choices. But Deutsch and Gerard found that, by far, it was the students who had publicly recorded their initial positions who most resolutely refused to shift from those positions later. Public commitment had hardened them into the most stubborn of all.\nThis sort of stubbornness can occur even in situations where accuracy should be more important than consistency. In one study, when six- or twelve-person experimental juries were deciding a close case, hung juries were significantly more frequent if the jurors had to express their opinions with a visible show of hands rather than by secret ballot. Once jurors had stated their initial views publicly, they were reluctant to allow themselves to change publicly, either. Should you ever find yourself as the foreperson of a jury under these conditions, then, you could reduce\nthe risk of a hung jury by choosing a secret rather than public balloting technique.11\nThe Deutsch and Gerard finding that we are truest to our decisions if we have bound ourselves to them publicly can be put to good use. Consider the organizations dedicated to helping people rid themselves of bad habits. Many weight-reduction clinics, for instance, understand that often a person\u2019s private decision to lose weight will be too weak to withstand the blandishments of bakery windows, wafting cooking scents, and late-night Sara Lee commercials. So they see to it that the\n \n\ndecision is buttressed by the pillars of public commitment. They require their clients to write down an immediate weight-loss goal and show that goal to as many friends, relatives, and neighbors as possible. Clinic operators report that frequently this simple technique works where all else has failed.\nOf course, there\u2019s no need to pay a special clinic in order to engage a visible commitment as an ally. One San Diego woman described to me how she employed a public promise to help herself finally stop smoking:\nI remember it was after I heard about another scientific study showing that smoking causes cancer. Every time one of those things came out, I used to get determined to quit, but I never could. This time, though, I decided I had to do something. I\u2019m a proud person. It matters to me if other people see me in a bad light. So I thought, \u201cMaybe I can use that pride to help me dump this damn habit.\u201d So I made a list of all the people who I really wanted to respect me. Then I went out and got some blank business cards and I wrote on the back of each card, \u201cI promise you that I will never smoke another cigarette.\u201d\nWithin a week, I had given or sent a signed card to everybody on the list\u2014my dad, my brother back East, my boss, my best girlfriend, my ex-husband, everybody but one\u2014the guy I was dating then. I was just crazy about him, and I really wanted him to value me as a person. Be- lieve me, I thought twice about giving him a card because I knew that if I couldn\u2019t keep my promise to him I\u2019d die. But one day at the of- fice\u2014he worked in the same building as I did\u2014I just walked up to him, handed him the card, and walked away without saying anything.\nQuitting \u201ccold turkey\u201d was the hardest thing I\u2019ve ever done. There must have been a thousand times when I thought I had to have a smoke. But whenever that happened, I\u2019d just picture how all of the people on my list, especially this one guy, would think less of me if I couldn\u2019t stick to my guns. And that\u2019s all it took. I\u2019ve never taken another puff.\nYou know, the interesting thing is the guy turned out to be a real schmuck. I can\u2019t figure out what I saw in him back then. But at the time, without knowing it, he helped me get through the toughest part of the toughest thing I\u2019ve ever had to do. I don\u2019t even like him anymore. Still, I do feel grateful in a way because I think he saved my life.\nThe Effort Extra\nYet another reason that written commitments are so effective is that they require more work than verbal ones. And the evidence is clear that\n \n\nthe more effort that goes into a commitment, the greater is its ability to influence the attitudes of the person who made it. We can find that evidence quite close to home or as far away as the back regions of the primitive world. For example, there is a tribe in southern Africa, the Thonga, that requires each of its boys to go through an elaborate initi- ation ceremony before he can be counted a man of the tribe. As with many other primitive peoples, a Thonga boy endures a great deal before he is admitted to adult membership in the group. Anthropologists Whiting, Kluckhohn, and Anthony have described this three-month ordeal in brief but vivid terms:\nWhen a boy is somewhere between 10 and 16 years of age, he is sent by his parents to \u201ccircumcision school,\u201d which is held every 4 or 5 years. Here in company with his age-mates he undergoes severe hazing by the adult males of the society. The initiation be- gins when each boy runs the gauntlet between two rows of men who beat him with clubs. At the end of this experience he is stripped of his clothes and his hair is cut. He is next met by a man covered with lion manes and is seated upon a stone facing this \u201clion man.\u201d Someone then strikes him from behind and when he turns his head to see who has struck him, his foreskin is seized and in two movements cut off by the \u201clion man.\u201d Afterward he is secluded for three months in the \u201cyard of mysteries,\u201d where he can be seen only by the initiated.\nDuring the course of his initiation, the boy undergoes six major trials: beatings, exposure to cold, thirst, eating of unsavory foods, punishment, and the threat of death. On the slightest pretext, he may be beaten by one of the newly initiated men, who is assigned to the task by the older men of the tribe. He sleeps without cover- ing and suffers bitterly from the winter cold. He is forbidden to drink a drop of water during the whole three months. Meals are often made nauseating by the half-digested grass from the stomach of an antelope, which is poured over his food. If he is caught breaking any important rule governing the ceremony, he is severe- ly punished. For example, in one of these punishments, sticks are placed between the fingers of the offender, then a strong man closes his hand around that of the novice, practically crushing his fingers. He is frightened into submission by being told that in former times boys who had tried to escape or who had revealed the secrets to women or to the uninitiated were hanged and their\nbodies burned to ashes.12\nOn the face of it, these rites seem extraordinary and bizarre. Yet, at the same time, they can be seen to be remarkably similar in principle\n \n\nand even in detail to the common initiation ceremonies of school fra- ternities. During the traditional \u201cHell Week\u201d held yearly on college campuses, fraternity pledges must persevere through a variety of activities designed by the older members to test the limits of physical exertion, psychological strain, and social embarrassment. At week\u2019s end, the boys who have persisted through the ordeal are accepted for full group membership. Mostly their tribulations have left them no more than greatly tired and a bit shaky, although sometimes the negative effects are more serious.\nWhat is interesting is how closely the particular features of Hell Week tasks match those of the tribal initiation rites. Recall that anthropologists identified six major trials to be endured by a Thonga initiate during his stay in the \u201cyard of mysteries.\u201d A scan of newspaper reports shows that each trial also has its place in the hazing rituals of Greek-letter so- cieties:\n\u2022\tBeatings. Fourteen-year-old Michael Kalogris spent three weeks in a Long Island hospital recovering from internal injuries suffered during a Hell Night initiation ceremony of his high-school fraternity, Omega Gamma Delta. He had been administered the \u201catomic bomb\u201d by his prospective brothers, who told him to hold his hands over his head and keep them there while they gathered around to slam fists into his stomach and back simultaneously and repeatedly.\n\u2022\tExposure to cold. On a winter night, Frederick Bronner, a California junior-college student, was taken three thousand feet up and ten miles into the hills of a national forest by his prospective fraternity brothers. Left to find his way home wearing only a thin sweatshirt and slacks, Fat Freddy, as he was called, shivered in a frigid wind until he tumbled down a steep ravine, fracturing bones and hurting his head. Prevented by his injuries from going on, he huddled there against the cold until he died of exposure.\n\u2022\tThirst. Two Ohio State University freshmen found themselves in the \u201cdungeon\u201d of their prospective fraternity house after breaking the rule requiring all pledges to crawl into the dining area prior to Hell Week meals. Once locked in the house storage closet, they were given only salty foods to eat for nearly two days. Nothing was provided for drinking purposes except a pair of plastic cups in which they could catch their own urine.\n\u2022\tEating of unsavory foods. At Kappa Sigma house on the campus of the University of Southern California, the eyes of eleven pledges bulged when they saw the sickening task before them. Eleven quarter-pound slabs of raw liver lay on a tray. Cut thick and soaked in oil, each was to be swallowed whole, one to a boy. Gagging and choking re-\n \n\npeatedly, young Richard Swanson failed three times to down his piece. Determined to succeed, he finally got the oil-soaked meat into his throat where it lodged and, despite all efforts to remove it, killed him.\n\u2022\tPunishment. In Wisconsin, a pledge who forgot one section of a ritual incantation to be memorized by all initiates was punished for his er- ror. He was required to keep his feet under the rear legs of a folding chair while the heaviest of his fraternity brothers sat down and drank a beer. Although the pledge did not cry out during the punishment, a bone in each of his feet was broken.\n\u2022\tThreats of death. A pledge of Zeta Beta Tau fraternity was taken to a beach area of New Jersey and told to dig his \u201cown grave.\u201d Seconds after he complied with orders to lie flat in the finished hole, the sides collapsed, suffocating him before his prospective fraternity brothers could dig him out.\nThere is another striking similarity between the initiation rites of tribal and fraternal societies: They simply will not die. Resisting all attempts to eliminate or suppress them, such hazing practices have been phenom- enally resilient. Authorities, in the form of colonial governments or university administrations, have tried threats, social pressures, legal actions, banishments, bribes, and bans to persuade the groups to remove the hazards and humiliations from their initiation ceremonies. None has been successful. Oh, there may be a change while the authority is watching closely. But this is usually more apparent than real, the harsher trials occurring under more secret circumstances until the pressure is off and they can surface again.\nOn some college campuses, officials have tried to eliminate dangerous hazing practices by substituting a \u201cHelp Week\u201d of civic service or by taking direct control of the initiation rituals. When such attempts are not slyly circumvented by fraternities, they are met with outright physical resistance. For example, in the aftermath of Richard Swanson\u2019s choking death at USC, the university president issued new rules requir- ing that all pledging activities be reviewed by school authorities before going into effect and that adult advisers be present during initiation ceremonies. According to one national magazine, \u201cThe new \u2018code\u2019 set off a riot so violent that city police and fire detachments were afraid to enter campus.\u201d\nResigning themselves to the inevitable, other college representatives have given up on the possibility of abolishing the degradations of Hell Week. \u201cIf hazing is a universal human activity, and every bit of evidence points to this conclusion, you most likely won\u2019t be able to ban it effect- ively. Refuse to allow it openly and it will go underground. You can\u2019t\n \n\nban sex, you can\u2019t prohibit alcohol, and you probably can\u2019t eliminate hazing!\u201d13\nWhat is it about hazing practices that make them so precious to these societies? What could make the groups want to evade, undermine, or contest any effort to ban the degrading and perilous features of their initiation rites? Some have argued that the groups themselves are composed of psychological or social miscreants whose twisted needs demand that others be harmed and humiliated. But the evidence does not support such a view. Studies done on the personality traits of fra- ternity members, for instance, show them to be, if anything, slightly healthier than other college students in their psychological adjustment. Similarly, fraternities are known for their willingness to engage in be- neficial community projects for the general social good. What they are not willing to do, however, is substitute these projects for their initiation ceremonies. One survey at the University of Washington found that, of the fraternity chapters examined, most had a type of Help Week tradition but that this community service was in addition to Hell Week. In only one case was such service directly related to initiation proced-\nures.14\nThe picture that emerges of the perpetrators of hazing practices is of normal individuals who tend to be psychologically stable and socially concerned but who become aberrantly harsh as a group at only one time\u2014immediately before the admission of new members to the society. The evidence, then, points to the ceremony as the culprit. There must be something about its rigors that is vital to the group. There must be some function to its harshness that the group will fight relentlessly to maintain. What?\nMy own view is that the answer appeared in 1959 in the results of a study little known outside of social psychology. A pair of young re- searchers, Elliot Aronson and Judson Mills, decided to test their obser- vation that \u201cpersons who go through a great deal of trouble or pain to attain something tend to value it more highly than persons who attain the same thing with a minimum of effort.\u201d The real stroke of inspiration came in their choice of the initiation ceremony as the best place to ex- amine this possibility. They found that college women who had to en- dure a severely embarrassing initiation ceremony in order to gain access to a sex discussion group convinced themselves that their new group and its discussions were extremely valuable, even though Aronson and Mills had previously rehearsed the other group members to be as \u201cworthless and uninteresting\u201d as possible. Different coeds, who went through a much milder initiation ceremony or went through no initiation at all, were decidedly less positive about the \u201cworthless\u201d new group they had joined. Additional research showed the same results when\n \n\ncoeds were required to endure pain rather than embarrassment to get into a group. The more electric shock a woman received as part of the initiation ceremony, the more she later persuaded herself that her new\ngroup and its activities were interesting, intelligent, and desirable.15\nNow the harassments, the exertions, even the beatings of initiation rituals begin to make sense. The Thonga tribesman watching, with tears in his eyes, his ten-year-old son tremble through a night on the cold ground of the \u201cyard of mysteries,\u201d the college sophomore punctuating his Hell Night paddling of his fraternity \u201clittle brother\u201d with bursts of nervous laughter\u2014these are not acts of sadism. They are acts of group survival. They function, oddly enough, to spur future society members to find the group more attractive and worthwhile. As long as it is the case that people like and believe in what they have struggled to get, these groups will continue to arrange effortful and troublesome initiation rites. The loyalty and dedication of those who emerge will increase to a great degree the chances of group cohesiveness and survival. Indeed, one study of fifty-four tribal cultures found that those with the most dramatic and stringent initiation ceremonies were those with the greatest\ngroup solidarity.16 Given Aronson and Mills\u2019s demonstration that the\nseverity of an initiation ceremony significantly heightens the newcomer\u2019s commitment to the group, it is hardly surprising that groups will oppose all attempts to eliminate this crucial link to their future strength.\nMilitary groups and organizations are by no means exempt from these same processes. The agonies of \u201cboot camp\u201d initiations to the armed services are legendary. The novelist William Styron, a former Marine, catalogs his own experiences in language we could easily apply to the Thongas (or, for that matter, to the Kappas or Betas or Alphas): \u201cthe remorseless close-order drill hour after hour in the burning sun, the mental and physical abuse, the humiliations, the frequent sadism at the hands of drill sergeants, all the claustrophobic and terrifying in- sults to the spirit which can make an outpost like Quantico or Parris Island one of the closest things in the free world to a concentration camp.\u201d But, in his commentary, Styron does more than recount the misery of this \u201ctraining nightmare\u201d\u2014he recognizes its intended out- come: \u201cThere is no ex-Marine of my acquaintance, regardless of what direction he may have taken spiritually or politically after those callow gung-ho days, who does not view the training as a crucible out of which he emerged in some way more resilient, simply braver and better for the wear.\u201d\nBut why should we believe William Styron, the writer, in such mat- ters? After all, for professional storytellers, the line between truth and fiction is often blurred. Indeed, why should we believe him when he alleges that the \u201cinfernal\u201d character of his military training was not only\n \n\nsuccessful, it was specifically intended, intended to create desired levels of pride and camaraderie among those who endured and survived it? At least one reason to accept his assessment comes from unfictionalized reality\u2014the case of West Point cadet John Edwards, who was expelled from the U.S. Military Academy in 1988 on charges involving the au- thorized hazing that all first-year cadets experience at the hands of upperclassmen to ensure that the newcomers can withstand the rigors of West Point training. It was not that Mr. Edwards, who ranked aca- demically near the top of his eleven-hundred-member class, had been unable to bear up under the ritual when he was subjected to it. Nor was he expelled because he had been aberrantly cruel in his treatment of the younger cadets. His offense was that he would not expose the newcomers to what he felt was \u201cabsurd and dehumanizing\u201d treatment. Once again, then, it appears that, for groups concerned about creating a lasting sense of solidarity and distinction, the hardship of demanding initiation activities provides a valuable advantage that they will not easily surrender\u2014either to aspiring members who are unwilling to take the harshness or to give it out.\nThe Inner Choice\nExamination of such diverse activities as the indoctrination practices of the Chinese Communists and the initiation rituals of college fratern- ities has provided some valuable information about commitment. It appears that commitments are most effective in changing a person\u2019s self-image and future behavior when they are active, public, and effort- ful. But there is another property of effective commitment that is more important than the other three combined. To understand what it is, we first need to solve a pair of puzzles in the actions of Communist inter- rogators and fraternity brothers.\nThe first puzzle comes from the refusal of fraternity chapters to allow public-service activities to be part of their initiation ceremonies. Recall that one survey showed that community projects, though frequent, were nearly always separated from the membership-induction program. But why? If an effortful commitment is what fraternities are after in their initiation rites, surely they could structure enough distasteful and strenuous civic activities for their pledges; there is plenty of exertion and unpleasantness to be had in the world of old-age-home repairs, mental-health-center yard work, and hospital bedpan duty. Besides, community-spirited endeavors of this sort would do much to improve the highly unfavorable public and media image of fraternity Hell Week rites; a survey showed that for every positive newspaper story concern- ing Hell Week, there were five negative stories. If only for public-rela-\n \n\ntions reasons, then, fraternities should want to incorporate community- service efforts into their initiation practices. But they don\u2019t.\nTo examine the second puzzle, we need to return to the Chinese prison camps of Korea and the regular political essay contests held for American captives. The Chinese wanted as many Americans as possible to enter these contests so that, in the process, they might write things favorable to the Communist view. If, however, the idea was to attract large numbers of entrants, why were the prizes so small? A few extra cigarettes or a little fresh fruit were often all that a contest winner could expect. In the setting, even these prizes were valuable, but still there were much larger rewards\u2014warm clothing, special mail privileges, increased freedom of movement in camp\u2014that the Chinese could have used to increase the number of essay writers. Yet they specifically chose to employ the smaller rather than the larger, more motivating rewards. Although the settings are quite different, the surveyed fraternities refused to allow civic activities into their initiation ceremonies for the same reason that the Chinese withheld large prizes in favor of less powerful inducements: They wanted the men to own what they had done. No excuses, no ways out were allowed. A man who suffered through an arduous hazing could not be given the chance to believe he did so for charitable purposes. A prisoner who salted his political essay with a few anti-American comments could not be permitted to shrug it off as motivated by a big reward. No, the fraternity chapters and Chinese Communists were playing for keeps. It was not enough to wring commitments out of their men; those men had to be made to take\ninner responsibility for their actions.\nGiven the Chinese Communist government\u2019s affinity for the political- essay contest as a commitment device, it should come as no surprise that a wave of such contests appeared in the aftermath of the 1989 massacre in Tiananmen Square, where pro-democracy protesters were gunned down by government soldiers. In Beijing alone, nine state-run newspapers and television stations sponsored essay competitions on the \u201cquelling of the counterrevolutionary rebellion.\u201d Still acting in accord with its long-standing and insightful de-emphasis of rewards for public commitments, the Beijing government left the contest prizes unspecified. Social scientists have determined that we accept inner responsibility for a behavior when we think we have chosen to perform it in the ab- sence of strong outside pressures. A large reward is one such external pressure. It may get us to perform a certain action, but it won\u2019t get us to accept inner responsibility for the act. Consequently, we won\u2019t feel committed to it. The same is true of a strong threat; it may motivate immediate compliance, but it is unlikely to produce long-term commit-\nment.\n \n\nAll this has important implications for rearing children. It suggests that we should never heavily bribe or threaten our children to do the things we want them truly to believe in. Such pressures will probably produce temporary compliance with our wishes. However, if we want more than just that, if we want the children to believe in the correctness of what they have done, if we want them to continue to perform the desired behavior when we are not present to apply those outside pres- sures, then we must somehow arrange for them to accept inner respons- ibility for the actions we want them to take. An experiment by Jonathan Freedman gives us some hints about what to do and what not to do in this regard.\nFreedman wanted to see if he could prevent second- to fourth-grade boys from playing with a fascinating toy, just because he had said that it was wrong to do so some six weeks earlier. Anyone familiar with seven-to-nine-year-old boys must realize the enormity of the task. But Freedman had a plan. If he could first get the boys to convince them- selves that it was wrong to play with the forbidden toy, perhaps that belief would keep them from playing with it thereafter. The difficult thing was making the boys believe that it was wrong to amuse them- selves with the toy\u2014an extremely expensive, battery-controlled robot. Freedman knew it would be easy enough to have a boy obey tempo- rarily. All he had to do was threaten the boy with severe consequences should he be caught playing with the toy. As long as he was nearby to deal out stiff punishment, Freedman figured that few boys would risk operating the robot. He was right. After showing a boy an array of five toys and warning him, \u201cIt is wrong to play with the robot. If you play with the robot, I\u2019ll be very angry and will have to do something about it,\u201d Freedman left the room for a few minutes. During that time, the boy was observed secretly through a one-way mirror. Freedman tried this threat procedure on twenty-two different boys, and twenty-one of\nthem never touched the robot while he was gone.\nSo a strong threat was successful while the boys thought they might be caught and punished. But Freedman had already guessed that. He was really interested in the effectiveness of the threat in guiding the boys\u2019 behavior later on, when he was no longer around. To find out what would happen then, he sent a young woman back to the boys\u2019 school about six weeks after he had been there. She took the boys out of the class one at a time to participate in an experiment. Without ever mentioning any connection with Freedman, she escorted each boy back to the room with the five toys and gave him a drawing test. While she was scoring the test, she told the boy that he was free to play with any toy in the room. Of course, almost all the boys played with a toy. The interesting result was that, of the boys playing with a toy, 77 percent\n \n\nchose to play with the robot that had been forbidden to them earlier. Freedman\u2019s severe threat, which had been so successful six weeks before, was almost totally unsuccessful when he was no longer able to back it up with punishment.\nBut Freedman wasn\u2019t finished yet. He changed his procedure slightly with a second sample of boys. These boys, too, were initially shown the array of five toys by Freedman and warned not to play with the robot while he was briefly out of the room because \u201cIt is wrong to play with the robot.\u201d But this time, Freedman provided no strong threat to frighten a boy into obedience. He simply left the room and observed through the one-way mirror to see if his instruction against playing with the forbidden toy was enough. It was. Just as with the other sample, only one of the twenty-two boys touched the robot during the short time Freedman was gone.\nThe real difference between the two samples of boys came six weeks later, when they had a chance to play with the toys while Freedman was no longer around. An astonishing thing happened with the boys who had earlier been given no strong threat against playing with the robot: When given the freedom to play with any toy they wished, most avoided the robot, even though it was by far the most attractive of the five toys available (the others were a cheap plastic submarine, a child\u2019s baseball glove without a ball, an unloaded toy rifle, and a toy tractor). When these boys played with one of the five toys, only 33 percent chose the robot.\nSomething dramatic had happened to both groups of boys. For the first group, it was the severe threat they heard from Freedman to back up his statement that playing with the robot was \u201cwrong.\u201d It had been quite effective at first when Freedman could catch them should they violate his rule. Later, though, when he was no longer present to observe the boys\u2019 behavior, his threat was impotent and his rule was, con- sequently, ignored. It seems clear that the threat had not taught the boys that operating the robot was wrong, only that it was unwise to do so when the possibility of punishment existed.\nFor the other boys, the dramatic event had come from the inside, not the outside. Freedman had instructed them, too, that playing with the robot was wrong, but he had added no threat of punishment should they disobey him. There were two important results. First, Freedman\u2019s instruction alone was enough to prevent the boys from operating the robot while he was briefly out of the room. Second, the boys took per- sonal responsibility for their choice to stay away from the robot during that time. They decided that they hadn\u2019t played with it because they didn\u2019t want to. After all, there were no strong punishments associated with the toy to explain their behavior otherwise. Thus, weeks later,\n \n\nwhen Freedman was nowhere around, they still ignored the robot be- cause they had been changed inside to believe that they did not want to play with it.17\nAdults facing the child-rearing experience can take a cue from the Freedman study. Suppose a couple wants to impress upon their daughter that lying is wrong. A strong, clear threat (\u201cIt\u2019s bad to lie, honey; so if I catch you at it, I\u2019ll cut your tongue out\u201d) might well be effective when the parents are present or when the girl thinks she can be discovered. But it will not achieve the larger goal of convincing her that she does not want to lie because she thinks it\u2019s wrong. To do that, a much subtler approach is required. A reason must be given that is just strong enough to get her to be truthful most of the time but is not so strong that she sees it as the obvious reason for her truthfulness. It\u2019s a tricky business, because exactly what this barely sufficient reason will be changes from child to child. For one little girl, a simple appeal may be enough (\u201cIt\u2019s bad to lie, honey; so I hope you won\u2019t do it\u201d); for an- other child, it may be necessary to add a somewhat stronger reason (\u201c\u2026because if you do, I\u2019ll be disappointed in you\u201d); for a third child, a mild form of warning may be required as well (\u201c\u2026and I\u2019ll probably have to do something I don\u2019t want to do\u201d). Wise parents will know which kind of reason will work on their own children. The important thing is to use a reason that will initially produce the desired behavior and will, at the same time, allow a child to take personal responsibility for that behavior. Thus, the less detectable outside pressure such a reason contains, the better. Selecting just the right reason is not an easy task for parents. But the effort should pay off. It is likely to mean the difference between short-lived compliance and long-term commitment.\nFor a pair of reasons we have already talked about, compliance pro- fessionals love commitments that produce inner change. First, that change is not just specific to the situation where it first occurred; it covers a whole range of related situations, too. Second, the effects of the change are lasting. So, once a man has been induced to take action that shifts his self-image to that of, let\u2019s say, a public-spirited citizen, he is likely to be public-spirited in a variety of other circumstances where his compliance may also be desired, and he is likely to continue his public-spirited behavior for as long as his new self-image holds.\nThere is yet another attraction in commitments that lead to inner change\u2014they grow their own legs. There is no need for the compliance professional to undertake a costly and continuing effort to reinforce the change; the pressure for consistency will take care of all that. After our friend comes to view himself as a public-spirited citizen, he will auto- matically begin to see things differently. He will convince himself that\n \n\nit is the correct way to be. He will begin to pay attention to facts he hadn\u2019t noticed before about the value of community service. He will make himself available to hear arguments he hadn\u2019t heard before favor- ing civic action. And he will find such arguments more persuasive than before. In general, because of the need to be consistent within his system of beliefs, he will assure himself that his choice to take public-spirited action was right. What is important about this process of generating additional reasons to justify the commitment is that the reasons are new. Thus, even if the original reason for the civic-minded behavior was taken away, these newly discovered reasons might be enough by themselves to support his perception that he had behaved correctly.\nThe advantage to an unscrupulous compliance professional is tre- mendous. Because we build new struts to undergird choices we have committed ourselves to, an exploitative individual can offer us an in- ducement for making such a choice, and after the decision has been made, can remove that inducement, knowing that our decision will probably stand on its own newly created legs. New-car dealers fre- quently try to benefit from this process through a trick they call \u201cthrowing a lowball.\u201d I first encountered the tactic while posing as a sales trainee at a local Chevrolet dealership. After a week of basic in- struction, I was allowed to watch the regular salesmen perform. One practice that caught my attention right away was the lowball.\nFor certain customers, a very good price is offered on a car, perhaps as much as four hundred dollars below competitors\u2019 prices. The good deal, however, is not genuine; the dealer never intends it to go through. Its only purpose is to cause a prospect to decide to buy one of the deal- ership\u2019s cars. Once the decision is made, a number of activities develop the customer\u2019s sense of personal commitment to the car\u2014a raft of pur- chase forms are filled out, extensive financing terms are arranged, sometimes the customer is encouraged to drive the car for a day before signing the contract \u201cso you can get the feel of it and show it around in the neighborhood and at work.\u201d During this time, the dealer knows, customers automatically develop a range of new reasons to support the choice they have now made.\nThen something happens. Occasionally an \u201cerror\u201d in the calculations is discovered\u2014maybe the salesman forgot to add in the cost of the air conditioner, and if the buyer still requires air conditioning, four hundred dollars must be added to the price. To keep from being suspected of gouging by the customer, some dealers let the bank handling the finan- cing find the mistake. At other times, the deal is disallowed at the last moment when the salesman checks with his boss, who cancels it because \u201cWe\u2019d be losing money.\u201d For only another four hundred dollars the car can be had, which, in the context of a multithousand-dollar deal,\n \n\ndoesn\u2019t seem too steep since, as the salesman emphasizes, the cost is equal to competitors\u2019 and \u201cThis is the car you chose, right?\u201d Another, even more insidious form of lowballing occurs when the salesman makes an inflated trade-in offer on the prospect\u2019s old car as part of the buy/trade package. The customer recognizes the offer as overly gener- ous and jumps at the deal. Later, before the contract is signed, the used- car manager says that the salesman\u2019s estimate was four hundred dollars too high and reduces the trade-in allowance to its actual, blue-book level. The customer, realizing that the reduced offer is the fair one, ac- cepts it as appropriate and sometimes feels guilty about trying to take advantage of the salesman\u2019s high estimate. I once witnessed a woman provide an embarrassed apology to a salesman who had used the last version of lowballing on her\u2014this while she was signing a new-car contract giving him a huge commission. He looked hurt but managed a forgiving smile.\nNo matter which variety of lowballing is used, the sequence is the same: An advantage is offered that induces a favorable purchase de- cision; then, sometime after the decision has been made but before the bargain is sealed, the original purchase advantage is deftly removed. It seems almost incredible that a customer would buy a car under these circumstances. Yet it works\u2014not on everybody, of course, but it is ef- fective enough to be a staple compliance procedure in many, many car showrooms. Automobile dealers have come to understand the ability of a personal commitment to build its own support system, a support system of new justifications for the commitment. Often these justifica- tions provide so many strong legs for the decision to stand on that when the dealer pulls away only one leg, the original one, there is no collapse. The loss can be shrugged off by the customer who is consoled, even made happy, by the array of other good reasons favoring the choice. It never occurs to the buyer that those additional reasons might never\nhave existed had the choice not been made in the first place.18\nThe impressive thing about the lowball tactic is its ability to make a person feel pleased with a poor choice. Those who have only poor choices to offer us, then, are especially fond of the technique. We can find them throwing lowballs in business, social, and personal situations. For instance, there\u2019s my neighbor Tim, a true lowball aficionado. Recall that he\u2019s the one who, by promising to change his ways, got his girl- friend, Sara, to cancel her impending marriage to another and to take him back. Since her decision for Tim, Sara has become more devoted to him than ever, even though he has not fulfilled his promises. She explains this by saying that she has allowed herself to see all sorts of positive qualities in Tim she had never recognized before.\n \n\nI know full well that Sara is a lowball victim. Just as sure as I had watched buyers fall for the give-it-and-take-it-away-later strategy in the car showroom, I watched her fall for the same trick with Tim. For his part, Tim remains the guy he has always been. But because the new attractions Sara has discovered (or created) in him are quite real for her, she now seems satisfied with the same arrangement that was unaccept- able before her enormous commitment. The decision to choose Tim, poor as it may have been objectively, has grown its own supports and appears to have made Sara genuinely happy. I have never mentioned to Sara what I know about lowballing. The reason for my silence is not that I think her better off in the dark on the issue. As a general guiding principle, more information is always better than less information. It\u2019s just that, if I said a word, I am confident she would hate me for it.\nDepending on the motives of the person wishing to use them, any of the compliance techniques discussed in this book can be employed for good or for ill. It should not be surprising, then, that the lowball tactic can be used for more socially beneficial purposes than selling new cars or reestablishing relationships with former lovers. One research project done in Iowa, for example, shows how the lowball procedure can influ-\nence homeowners to conserve energy.19 The project, headed by Dr.\nMichael Pallak, began at the start of the Iowa winter when residents who heated their homes with natural gas were contacted by an inter- viewer. The interviewer gave them some energy-conservation tips and asked them to try to save fuel in the future. Although they all agreed to try, when the researchers examined the utility records of these fam- ilies after a month and again at winter\u2019s end, it was clear that no real savings had occurred. The residents who had promised to make a conservation attempt used just as much natural gas as a random sample of their neighbors who had not been contacted by an interviewer. Just good intentions coupled with information about saving fuel, then, were not enough to change habits.\nEven before the project began, Pallak and his research team had re- cognized that something more would be needed to shift long-standing energy patterns. So they tried a slightly different procedure on a com- parable sample of Iowa natural-gas users. These people, too, were contacted by an interviewer, who provided energy-saving hints and asked them to conserve. But for these families, the interviewer offered something else: Those residents agreeing to save energy would have their names publicized in newspaper articles as public-spirited, fuel- conserving citizens. The effect was immediate. One month later, when the utility companies checked their meters, the homeowners in this sample had saved an average of 422 cubic feet of natural gas apiece.\n \n\nThe chance to have their names in the paper had motivated these resid- ents to substantial conservation efforts for a period of a month.\nThen the rug was pulled out. The researchers extracted the reason that had initially caused these people to save fuel. Each family that had been promised publicity received a letter saying it would not be possible to publicize their names after all.\nAt the end of the winter, the research team examined the effect that letter had had on the natural-gas usage of the families. Did they return to their old, wasteful habits when the chance to be in the newspaper was removed? Hardly. For each of the remaining winter months, they actually conserved more fuel than they had during the time they thought they would be publicly celebrated for it! In terms of percentage of energy savings, they had managed a 12.2 percent first-month gas savings be- cause they expected to see themselves lauded in the paper. But after the letter arrived informing them to the contrary, they did not return to their previous energy-use levels; instead, they increased their savings to a 15.5 percent level for the rest of the winter.\nAlthough we can never be completely sure of such things, one explan- ation for their persistent behavior presents itself immediately. These people had been lowballed into a conservation commitment through a promise of newspaper publicity. Once made, that commitment started generating its own support: The homeowners began acquiring new energy habits, began feeling good about their public-spirited efforts, began convincing themselves of the vital need to reduce American de- pendence on foreign fuel, began appreciating the monetary savings in their utility bills, began feeling proud of their capacity for self-denial, and, most important, began viewing themselves as conservation- minded. With all these new reasons present to justify the commitment to use less energy, it is no wonder that the commitment remained firm even after the original reason, newspaper publicity, had been kicked away.\nBut strangely enough, when the publicity factor was no longer a possibility, these families did not merely maintain their fuel-saving ef- fort, they heightened it. Any of a number of interpretations could be offered for that still stronger effort, but I have a favorite. In a way, the opportunity to receive newspaper publicity had prevented the homeowners from fully owning their commitment to conservation. Of all the reasons supporting the decision to try to save fuel, it was the only one that had come from the outside; it was the only one preventing the homeowners from thinking that they were conserving gas because they believed in it. So when the letter arrived canceling the publicity agreement, it removed the only impediment to these residents\u2019 images of themselves as fully concerned, energy-conscious citizens. This un-\n \n\nqualified, new self-image then pushed them to even greater heights of conservation. Whether or not such an explanation is correct, a repeat study done by Pallak indicates that this hidden benefit of the lowball tactic is no fluke.\nThe experiment was done in summer on Iowans whose homes were cooled by central air-conditioning. Those homeowners who were promised newspaper publicity decreased their electricity use by 27.8 percent during July, as compared to similar homeowners who were not promised any coverage or who were not contacted at all. At the end of July, a letter was sent canceling the publicity promise. Rather than re- verting to their old habits, the lowballed residents increased their August energy savings to a stunning 41.6 percent. Much like Sara, they appeared to have become committed to a choice through an initial inducement and were still more dedicated to it after the inducement had been re- moved.\nHOW TO SAY NO\n\u201cConsistency is the hobgoblin of little minds.\u201d Or, at least, so goes a frequently heard quotation attributed to Ralph Waldo Emerson. But what a very odd thing to say. Looking around, it is obvious that, quite contrary to what Emerson seems to have suggested, internal consistency is a hallmark of logic and intellectual strength, while its lack character- izes the intellectually scattered and limited among us. What, then, could a thinker of Emerson\u2019s caliber have meant when he assigned the trait of consistency to the small-minded? I was sufficiently intrigued to go back to the original source of his statement, the essay \u201cSelf-Reliance,\u201d where it was clear that the problem lay not in Emerson, but in the popular version of what he had said. Actually he wrote, \u201cA foolish consistency is the hobgoblin of little minds.\u201d For some obscure reason, a central distinction had been lost as the years eroded the accurate\nversion of his statement to mean something entirely different and, upon close inspection, entirely silly.20\nThat distinction should not be lost on us, however, because it is vital to the only effective defense I know against the weapons of influence embodied in the combined principles of commitment and consistency. Although consistency is generally good, even vital, there is a foolish, rigid variety to be shunned. It is this tendency to be automatically and unthinkingly consistent that Emerson referred to. And it is this tendency that we must be wary of, for it lays us open to the maneuvers of those who want to exploit the mechanical commitment   consistency se- quence for profit.\nBut since automatic consistency is so useful in allowing us an econom-\n \n\nical and appropriate way of behaving most of the time, we can\u2019t decide merely to eliminate it from our lives altogether. The results would be disastrous. If, rather than whirring along in accordance with our prior decisions and deeds, we stopped to think through the merits of every new action before performing it, we would never have time to accom- plish anything significant. We need even that dangerous, mechanical brand of consistency. The only way out of the dilemma is to know when such consistency is likely to lead to a poor choice. There are certain signals\u2014two separate kinds of signals, in fact\u2014to tip us off. We register each type in a different part of our bodies.\nThe first sort of signal is easy to recognize. It occurs right in the pit of our stomachs when we realize we are trapped into complying with a request we know we don\u2019t want to perform. It has happened to me a hundred times. An especially memorable instance, though, took place on a summer evening well before I began to study compliance tactics. I answered my doorbell to find a stunning young woman dressed in shorts and a revealing halter top. I noticed, nonetheless, that she was carrying a clipboard and was asking me to participate in a survey. Wanting to make a favorable impression, I agreed and, I do admit, stretched the truth in my interview answers so as to present myself in the most positive light. Our conversation went as follows:\nSTUNNING YOUNG WOMAN: Hello, I\u2019m doing a survey on the entertain- ment habits of city residents, and I wonder if you could answer a few questions for me.\nCIALDINI: Do come in.\n\nSYW: Thank you. I\u2019ll just sit right here and begin. How many times per week would you say that you go out to dinner?\nC: Oh, probably three, maybe four times a week. Whenever I can, really; I love fine restaurants.\nSYW: How nice. And do you usually order wine with your dinner?\nC: Only if it\u2019s imported.\nSYW: I see. What about movies? Do you go to the movies much?\nC: The cinema? I can\u2019t get enough of good films. I especially like the\n \n\nsophisticated kind with the words on the bottom of the screen. How about you? Do you like to see films?\nSYW: Uh\u2026yes, I do. But let\u2019s get back to the interview. Do you go to many concerts?\nC: Definitely. The symphonic stuff mostly, of course; but I do enjoy a quality pop group as well.\nSYW (writing rapidly): Great! Just one more question. What about touring performances by theatrical or ballet companies? Do you see them when they\u2019re in town?\nC: Ah, the ballet\u2014the movement, the grace, the form\u2014I love it. Mark me down as loving the ballet. See it every chance I get.\nSYW: Fine. Just let me recheck my figures here for a moment, Mr. Cialdini.\nC: Actually, it\u2019s Dr. Cialdini. But that sounds so formal; why don\u2019t you call me Bob?\nSYW: All right, Bob. From the information you\u2019ve already given me, I\u2019m pleased to say that you could save up to twelve hundred dollars a year by joining Clubamerica! A small membership fee entitles you to dis- counts on most of the activities you\u2019ve mentioned. Surely someone as socially vigorous as yourself would want to take advantage of the tre- mendous savings our company can offer on all the things you\u2019ve already told me you do.\nC (trapped like a rat): Well\u2026uh\u2026I\u2026uh\u2026I guess so.\nI remember quite well feeling my stomach tighten as I stammered my agreement. It was a clear call to my brain, \u201cHey, you\u2019re being taken here!\u201d But I couldn\u2019t see a way out. I had been cornered by my own words. To decline her offer at that point would have meant facing a pair of distasteful alternatives: If I tried to back out by protesting that I was not actually the man-about-town I had claimed to be during the interview, I would come off a liar; but trying to refuse without that protest would make me come off a fool for not wanting to save twelve hundred dollars. So I bought the entertainment package, even though\n \n\nI knew I had been set up so that the need to be consistent with what I had already said would snare me.\nNo more, though. I listen to my stomach these days. And I have dis- covered a way to handle people who try to use the consistency principle on me. I just tell them exactly what they are doing. It works beautifully. Most of the time, they don\u2019t understand me; they just become sufficiently confused to want to leave me alone. I think they suspect lunacy in anyone who responds to their requests by explaining what Ralph Waldo Emerson meant in distinguishing between consistency and foolish consistency. Usually they have already begun edging away by the time I have mentioned \u201chobgoblins of the mind\u201d and are gone long before I have described the click, whirr character of commitment and consist- ency. Occasionally, though, they realize that I am on to their game. I always know when that happens\u2014it\u2019s as clear as the egg on their faces. They invariably become flustered, bumble through a hasty exit line, and go for the door.\nThis tactic has become the perfect counterattack for me. Whenever my stomach tells me I would be a sucker to comply with a request merely because doing so would be consistent with some prior commit- ment I was tricked into, I relay that message to the requester. I don\u2019t try to deny the importance of consistency; I just point out the absurdity of foolish consistency. Whether, in response, the requester shrinks away guiltily or retreats in bewilderment, I am content. I have won; an ex- ploiter has lost.\nI sometimes think about how it would be if that stunning young woman of years ago were to try to sell me an entertainment-club membership now. I have it all worked out. The entire interaction would be the same, except for the end:\nSYW:\u2026Surely someone as socially vigorous as yourself would want to take advantage of the tremendous savings our company can offer on all the things you\u2019ve already told me you do.\nC (with great self-assurance): Quite wrong. You see, I recognize what has gone on here. I know that your story about doing a survey was just a pretext for getting people to tell you how often they go out and that, under those circumstances, there is a natural tendency to exaggerate. I also realize that your bosses selected you for this job because of your physical attractiveness and told you to wear clothes showing a lot of your resilient body tissue because a pretty, scantily clad woman is likely to get men to brag about what swingers they are in order to impress her. So I\u2019m not interested in your entertainment club because of what Emerson said about foolish consistency and hobgoblins of the mind.\n \n\nSYW (staring blankly): Huh?\nC: Look. What I told you during your fake survey doesn\u2019t matter. I refuse to allow myself to be locked into a mechanical sequence of commitment and consistency when I know it\u2019s wrongheaded. No click, whirr for me.\nSYW: Huh?\n\nC: Okay, let me put it this way: (1) It would be stupid of me to spend money on something I don\u2019t want. (2) I have it on excellent author-ity, direct from my stomach, that I don\u2019t want your entertainment plan. (3) Therefore, if you still believe that I will buy it, you probably also still believe in the Tooth Fairy. Surely, someone as intelligent as yourself would be able to understand that.\nSYW (trapped like a stunning young rat): Well\u2026uh\u2026I\u2026uh\u2026I guess so.\nStomachs are not especially perceptive or subtle organs. Only when it is obvious that we are about to be conned are they likely to register and transmit that message. At other times, when it is not clear that we are being taken, our stomachs may never catch on. Under those circum- stances we have to look elsewhere for a clue. The situation of my neighbor Sara provides a good illustration. She made an important commitment to Tim by canceling her prior marriage plans. That com- mitment has grown its own supports, so that even though the original reasons for the commitment are gone, she remains in harmony with it. She has convinced herself with newly formed reasons that she did the right thing, so she stays with Tim. It is not difficult to see why there would be no tightening in Sara\u2019s stomach as a result. Stomachs tell us when we are doing something we think is wrong for us. Sara thinks no such thing. To her mind, she has chosen correctly and is behaving consistently with that choice.\nYet, unless I badly miss my guess, there is a part of Sara that recog- nizes her choice as a mistake and her current living arrangement as a brand of foolish consistency. Where, exactly, that part of Sara is located we can\u2019t be sure. But our language does give it a name: heart of hearts. It is, by definition, the one place where we cannot fool ourselves. It is the place where none of our justifications, none of our rationalizations penetrate. Sara has the truth there, although, right now, she can\u2019t hear its signal clearly through the noise and static of the new support appar- atus she has erected.\nIf Sara has erred in her choice of Tim, how long could she go without\n \n\nclearly recognizing it, without having a massive heart of hearts attack? There is no telling. One thing is certain, however: As time passes, the various alternatives to Tim are disappearing. She had better determine soon whether she is making a mistake.\nEasier said than done, of course. She must answer an extremely in- tricate question: \u201cKnowing what I now know, if I could go back in time, would I make the same choice?\u201d The problem lies in the \u201cKnowing what I now know\u201d part of the question. Just what does she now know, accurately, about Tim? How much of what she thinks of him is the result of a desperate attempt to justify the commitment she made? She claims that since her decision to take him back, he cares for her more, is trying hard to stop his excessive drinking, has learned to make a wonderful omelet, etc. Having tasted a couple of his omelets, I have my doubts. The important issue, though, is whether she believes these things, not just intellectually\u2014we can play such mind games on ourselves\u2014but in her heart of hearts.\nThere may be a little device Sara can use to find out how much of her current satisfaction with Tim is real and how much is foolish consist- ency. Accumulating psychological evidence indicates that we experience our feelings toward something a split second before we can intellectu-\nalize about it.21 My suspicion is that the message sent by the heart of\nhearts is a pure, basic feeling. Therefore, if we train ourselves to be at- tentive, we should register it ever so slightly before our cognitive appar- atus engages. According to this approach, were Sara to ask herself the crucial \u201cWould I make the same choice again?\u201d question, she would be well advised to look for and trust the first flash of feeling she experi- enced in response. It would likely be the signal from her heart of hearts, slipping through undistorted just before the means by which she could\nkid herself flooded in.22\nI have begun using the same device myself whenever I even suspect I might be acting in a foolishly consistent manner. One time, for instance, I had stopped at the self-service pump of a filling station advertising a price per gallon a couple of cents below the rate of other stations in the area. But with pump nozzle in hand, I noticed that the price listed on the pump was two cents higher than the display sign price. When I mentioned the difference to a passing attendant, who I later learned was the owner, he mumbled uncon-vincingly that the rates had changed a few days ago but there hadn\u2019t been time to correct the display. I tried to decide what to do. Some reasons for staying came to mind\u2014\u201cI really do need gasoline badly.\u201d \u201cThis pump is available, and I am in sort of a hurry.\u201d \u201cI think I remember that my car runs better on this brand of gas.\u201d\nI needed to determine whether those reasons were genuine or mere\n \n\njustifications for my decision to stop there. So I asked myself the crucial question, \u201cKnowing what I know about the real price of this gasoline, if I could go back in time, would I make the same choice again?\u201d Con- centrating on the first burst of impression I sensed, the answer was clear and unqualified. I would have driven right past. I wouldn\u2019t even have slowed down. I knew then that without the price advantage, those other reasons would not have brought me there. They hadn\u2019t created the decision; the decision had created them.\nThat settled, there was another decision to be faced, though. Since I was already there holding the hose, wouldn\u2019t it be better to use it than to suffer the inconvenience of going elsewhere to pay the same price? Fortunately, the station attendant-owner came over and helped me make up my mind. He asked why I wasn\u2019t pumping any gas. I told him I didn\u2019t like the price discrepancy, and he said with a snarl, \u201cListen, nobody\u2019s gonna tell me how to run my business. If you think I\u2019m cheating you, just put that hose down right now and get off my property as fast as you can do it, bud.\u201d Already certain he was a cheat, I was happy to act consistently with my belief and his wishes. I dropped the hose on the spot\u2026and drove over it on my way to the closest exit. Sometimes consistency can be a marvelously rewarding thing.\nREADER\u2019S REPORT\nFrom a Woman Living in Portland, Oregon\n\u201cI was walking through downtown Portland on my way to a lunch appointment when a young, attractive man stopped me with a friendly smile and a powerful line: \u2018Excuse me, I\u2019m involved in a contest and I need a good-looking woman like yourself to help me win.\u2019 I was truly skeptical, since I know there are many more attractive women than myself running around; however, I was caught off guard and was curious to find out what he wanted. He explained that he would receive points for a contest by getting total strangers to give him a kiss. Now I consider myself a fairly level-headed person who shouldn\u2019t have be- lieved his line, but he was quite persistent, and since I was almost late for my lunch appointment, I thought, \u2018What the heck, I\u2019ll give the guy a kiss and get out of here.\u2019 So I did something totally against my com- mon sense and pecked this total stranger on the cheek in the middle of downtown Portland!\n\u201cI thought that would be the end of it, but I soon learned that it was just the beginning. Much to my distress, he followed the kiss with the line \u2018You are a great kisser, but the real contest I am involved in is to sell magazine subscriptions. You must be an active person. Would any of these magazines interest you?\u2019 At this point I should have slugged\n \n\nthe guy and walked away; but somehow, because I had complied with his initial request, I felt a need to be consistent, and I complied with his second request. Yes, much to my own disbelief, I actually subscribed to SKI magazine (which I occasionally enjoy reading, but had no inten- tion of subscribing to), gave him a five-dollar initial-subscription fee and left as quickly as possible, feeling quite frustrated with what I had just done and not understanding why I had done it.\n\u201cAlthough it still pains me to think about it, in reflecting on the incid- ent after reading your book, I\u2019ve now figured out what happened. The reason this tactic worked so effectively is because once small commit- ments have been made (in this case, giving a kiss), people tend to add justifications to support the commitment and then are willing to commit themselves further. In this situation, I justified complying with the second request because it was consistent with my initial action. If I had only listened to my \u2018stomach signs,\u2019 I could have saved myself a lot of humiliation.\u201d\nBy extracting a kiss, the salesman exploited the consistency principle in two ways. First, by the time he asked for her aid in the magazine contest, his prospect had already gone on record\u2014with that kiss\u2014as agreeing to help him win a contest. Second, it seems only natural (i.e., congruent) that if a woman feels positively enough toward a man to kiss him, she should feel positively toward helping him out.\n \nChapter 4\n\nSOCIAL PROOF\nTruths Are Us\n\nWhere all think alike, no one thinks very much.\n\u2014WALTER LIPPMANN\n\n\n\n\n\n\nDON\u2019T KNOW ANYONE WHO LIKES CANNED LAUGHTER. IN FACT, when\nI surveyed the people who came into my office one day\u2014several students, two telephone repairmen, a number of university professors, and the janitor\u2014the reaction was invariably critical. Television, with its incessant system of laugh tracks and technically augmented mirth, received the most heat. The people I questioned hated canned laughter. They called it stupid, phony, and obvious. Although my sample was small, I would bet that it closely reflects the negative feelings of most of the American public toward laugh tracks.\nWhy, then, is canned laughter so popular with television executives? They have won their exalted positions and splendid salaries by knowing how to give the public what it wants. Yet they religiously employ the laugh tracks that their audiences find distasteful. And they do so over the objections of many of their most talented artists. It is not uncommon for acclaimed directors, writers, or actors to demand the elimination of canned responses from the television projects they undertake. These demands are only sometimes successful, and when they are, it is not without a battle.\nWhat could it be about canned laughter that is so attractive to televi- sion executives? Why would these shrewd and tested businessmen champion a practice that their potential watchers find disagreeable and their most creative talents find personally insulting? The answer is at\n \n\nonce simple and intriguing: They know what the research says. Exper- iments have found that the use of canned merriment causes an audience to laugh longer and more often when humorous material is presented and to rate the material as funnier. In addition, some evidence indicates\nthat canned laughter is most effective for poor jokes.1\nIn the light of these data, the actions of television executives make perfect sense. The introduction of laugh tracks into their comic program- ming will increase the humorous and appreciative responses of an audience, even\u2014and especially\u2014when the material is of poor quality. Is it any surprise, then, that television, glutted as it is with artless situ- ation-comedy attempts, should be saturated with canned laughter? Those executives know precisely what they are doing.\nBut with the mystery of the widespread use of laugh tracks solved, we are left with a more perplexing question: Why does canned laughter work on us the way it does? It is no longer the television executives who appear peculiar; they are acting logically and in their own interests. Instead, it is the behavior of the audience, of you and me, that seems strange. Why should we laugh more at comedy material afloat in a sea of mechanically fabricated merriment? And why should we think that comic flotsam funnier? The executives aren\u2019t really fooling us. Anyone can recognize dubbed laughter. It is so blatant, so clearly counterfeit, that there could be no confusing it with the real thing. We know full well that the hilarity we hear is irrelevant to the humorous quality of the joke it follows, that it is created not spontaneously by a genuine audience, but artificially by a technician at a control board. Yet, trans- parent forgery that it is, it works on us!\nTo discover why canned laughter is so effective, we first need to un- derstand the nature of yet another potent weapon of influence: the principle of social proof. It states that one means we use to determine what is correct is to find out what other people think is correct. The principle applies especially to the way we decide what constitutes cor- rect behavior. We view a behavior as more correct in a given situation to the degree that we see others performing it. Whether the question is what to do with an empty popcorn box in a movie theater, how fast to drive on a certain stretch of highway, or how to eat the chicken at a dinner party, the actions of those around us will be important in defining the answer.\nThe tendency to see an action as more appropriate when others are doing it normally works quite well. As a rule, we will make fewer mistakes by acting in accord with social evidence than contrary to it. Usually, when a lot of people are doing something, it is the right thing to do. This feature of the principle of social proof is simultaneously its\n \n\nmajor strength and its major weakness. Like the other weapons of influ- ence, it provides a convenient shortcut for determining how to behave but, at the same time, makes one who uses the shortcut vulnerable to the attacks of profiteers who lie in wait along its path.\nIn the case of canned laughter, the problem comes when we begin responding to social proof in such a mindless and reflexive fashion that we can be fooled by partial or fake evidence. Our folly is not that we use others\u2019 laughter to help decide what is humorous and when mirth is appropriate; that is in keeping with the well-founded principle of social proof. The folly is that we do so in response to patently fraudulent laughter. Somehow, one disembodied feature of humor\u2014a sound\u2014works like the essence of humor. The example from Chapter 1 of the turkey and the polecat is instructive here. Remember that be- cause the particular \u201ccheep-cheep\u201d of turkey chicks is normally associ- ated with newborn turkeys, their mothers will display or withhold maternal care solely on the basis of that sound? And remember how, consequently, it was possible to trick a female turkey into mothering a stuffed polecat as long as the replica played the recorded \u201ccheep-cheep\u201d of a baby turkey? The simulated chick sound was enough to start the female\u2019s mothering tape whirring.\nThe lesson of the turkey and the polecat illustrates uncomfortably well the relationship between the average viewer and the laugh-track- playing television executive. We have become so accustomed to taking the humorous reactions of others as evidence of what deserves laughter that we, too, can be made to respond to the sound and not to the sub- stance of the real thing. Much as a \u201ccheep-cheep\u201d noise removed from the reality of a chick can stimulate a female turkey to mother, so can a recorded \u201cha-ha\u201d removed from the reality of a genuine audience stimulate us to laugh. The television executives are exploiting our preference for shortcuts, our tendency to react automatically on the basis of partial evidence. They know that their tapes will cue our tapes. Click, whirr.\nTelevision executives are hardly alone in their use of social evidence for profit. Our tendency to assume that an action is more correct if others are doing it is exploited in a variety of settings. Bartenders often \u201csalt\u201d their tip jars with a few dollar bills at the beginning of the evening to simulate tips left by prior customers and thereby to give the impres- sion that tipping with folding money is proper barroom behavior. Church ushers sometimes salt collection baskets for the same reason and with the same positive effect on proceeds. Evangelical preachers are known to seed their audience with \u201cringers,\u201d who are rehearsed to come forward at a specified time to give witness and donations. For\n \n\nexample, an Arizona State University research team that infiltrated the Billy Graham organization reported on such advance preparations prior to one of his Crusade visits. \u201cBy the time Graham arrives in town and makes his altar call, an army of six thousand wait with instructions on when to come forth at varying intervals to create the impression of\na spontaneous mass outpouring.\u201d2\nAdvertisers love to inform us when a product is the \u201cfastest-growing\u201d or \u201clargest-selling\u201d because they don\u2019t have to convince us directly that the product is good, they need only say that many others think so, which seems proof enough. The producers of charity telethons devote inordinate amounts of time to the incessant listing of viewers who have already pledged contributions. The message being communicated to the holdouts is clear: \u201cLook at all the people who have decided to give. It must be the correct thing to do.\u201d At the height of the disco craze, cer- tain discotheque owners manufactured a brand of visible social proof for their clubs\u2019 quality by creating long waiting lines outside when there was plenty of room inside. Salesmen are taught to spice their pitches with numerous accounts of individuals who have purchased the product. Sales and motivation consultant Cavett Robert captures the principle nicely in his advice to sales trainees: \u201cSince 95 percent of the people are imitators and only 5 percent initiators, people are persuaded more by the actions of others than by any proof we can offer.\u201d\nResearchers, too, have employed procedures based on the principle of social proof\u2014sometimes with astounding results. One psychologist in particular, Albert Bandura, has led the way in developing such pro- cedures for the elimination of undesirable behavior. Bandura and his colleagues have shown how people suffering from phobias can be rid of these extreme fears in an amazingly simple fashion. For instance, in an early study nursery-school-age children chosen because they were terrified of dogs merely watched a little boy playing happily with a dog for twenty minutes a day. This exhibition produced such marked changes in the reactions of the fearful children that after only four days, 67 percent of them were willing to climb into a playpen with a dog and remain confined there, petting and scratching it while everyone else left the room. Moreover, when the researchers tested the children\u2019s fear levels again one month later, they found that the improvement had not evaporated during that time; in fact, the children were more willing than ever to interact with dogs.\nAn important practical discovery was made in a second study of children who were exceptionally afraid of dogs: To reduce their fears, it was not necessary to provide live demonstrations of another child playing with a dog; film clips had the same effect. And the most effective type of clips were those depicting not one but a variety of other children\n \n\ninteracting with their dogs; apparently the principle of social proof works best when the proof is provided by the actions of a lot of other people.3\nThe powerful influence of filmed examples in changing the behavior of children can be used as therapy for various problems. Some striking evidence is available in the research of psychologist Robert O\u2019Connor on socially withdrawn preschool children. We have all seen children of this sort, terribly shy, standing alone at the fringes of the games and groupings of their peers. O\u2019Connor worried that a long-term pattern of isolation was forming, even at an early age, that would create persist- ent difficulties in social comfort and adjustment through adulthood. In an attempt to reverse the pattern, O\u2019Connor made a film containing eleven different scenes in a nursery-school setting. Each scene began by showing a different solitary child watching some ongoing social activity and then actively joining the activity, to everyone\u2019s enjoyment. O\u2019Connor selected a group of the most severely withdrawn children from four preschools and showed them his film. The impact was im- pressive. The isolates immediately began to interact with their peers at a level equal to that of the normal children in the schools. Even more astonishing was what O\u2019Connor found when he returned to observe six weeks later. While the withdrawn children who had not seen O\u2019Connor\u2019s film remained as isolated as ever, those who had viewed it were now leading their schools in amount of social activity. It seems that this twenty-three-minute movie, viewed just once, was enough to reverse a potential pattern of lifelong maladaptive behavior. Such is\nthe potency of the principle of social proof.4\nWhen it comes to illustrations of the strength of social proof, there is one that is far and away my favorite. Several features account for its appeal: It offers a superb example of the much underused method of participant observation, in which a scientist studies a process by becom- ing immersed in its natural occurrence; it provides information of in- terest to such diverse groups as historians, psychologists, and theolo- gians; and, most important, it shows how social evidence can be used on us\u2014not by others, but by ourselves\u2014to assure us that what we prefer to be true will seem to be true.\nThe story is an old one, requiring an examination of ancient data, for the past is dotted with millennial religious movements. Various sects and cults have prophesied that on one or another particular date there would arrive a period of redemption and great happiness for those who believed in the group\u2019s teachings. In each instance it has been predicted that the beginning of the time of salvation would be marked by an im- portant and undeniable event, usually the cataclysmic end of the world.\n \n\nOf course, these predictions have invariably proved false. To the acute dismay of the members of such groups, the end has never appeared as scheduled.\nBut immediately following the obvious failure of the prophecy, history records an enigmatic pattern. Rather than disbanding in disillusion, the cultists often become strengthened in their convictions. Risking the ri- dicule of the populace, they take to the streets, publicly asserting their dogma and seeking converts with a fervor that is intensified, not dimin- ished, by the clear disconfirmation of a central belief. So it was with the Montanists of second-century Turkey, with the Anabaptists of sixteenth- century Holland, with the Sabbataists of seventeenth-century Izmir, with the Millerites of nineteenth-century America. And, thought a trio of interested social scientists, so it might be with a doomsday cult based in modern-day Chicago. The scientists\u2014Leon Festinger, Henry Riecken, and Stanley Schachter\u2014who were then colleagues at the University of Minnesota, heard about the Chicago group and felt it worthy of close study. Their decision to investigate by joining the group, incognito, as new believers and by placing additional paid observers among its ranks\nresulted in a remarkably rich firsthand account of the goings-on before and after the day of predicted catastrophe.5\nThe cult of believers was small, never numbering more than thirty members. Its leaders were a middle-aged man and woman, whom the researchers renamed, for purposes of publication, Dr. Thomas Arm- strong and Mrs. Marian Keech. Dr. Armstrong, a physician on the staff of a college student health service, had a long-held interest in mysticism, the occult, and flying saucers; as such he served as a respected authority on these subjects for the group. Mrs. Keech, though, was the center of attention and activity. Earlier in the year she had begun to receive messages from spiritual beings, whom she called the Guardians, located on other planets. It was these messages, flowing through Marian Keech\u2019s hand via the device of \u201cautomatic writing,\u201d that were to form the bulk of the cult\u2019s religious belief system. The teachings of the Guardians were loosely linked to traditional Christian thought. No wonder that one of the Guardians, Sananda, eventually \u201crevealed\u201d himself as the current embodiment of Jesus.\nThe transmissions from the Guardians, always the subjects of much discussion and interpretation among the group, gained new significance when they began to foretell a great impending disaster\u2014a flood that would begin in the Western Hemisphere and eventually engulf the world. Although the cultists were understandably alarmed at first, further messages assured them that they and all those who believed in the Lessons sent through Mrs. Keech would survive. Before the calamity, spacemen were to arrive and carry off the believers in flying saucers to\n \n\na place of safety, presumably on another planet. Very little detail was provided about the rescue except that the believers were to make themselves ready for pickup by rehearsing certain passwords to be ex- changed (\u201cI left my hat at home.\u201d \u201cWhat is your question?\u201d \u201cI am my own porter.\u201d) and by removing all metal from their clothes\u2014because the wearing or carrying of metal made saucer travel \u201cextremely danger- ous.\u201d\nAs Festinger, Riecken, and Schachter observed the preparations during the weeks prior to the flood date, they noted with special interest two significant aspects of the members\u2019 behavior. First, the level of commitment to the cult\u2019s belief system was very high. In anticipation of their departure from doomed Earth, irrevocable steps were taken by the group members. Most had incurred the opposition of family and friends to their beliefs but had persisted nonetheless in their convictions, often when it meant losing the affections of these others. In fact, several of the members were threatened by neighbors or family with legal ac- tions designed to have them declared insane. In Dr. Armstrong\u2019s case, a motion was filed by his sister to have his two younger children taken away. Many believers quit their jobs or neglected their studies to devote full time to the movement. Some even gave or threw away their personal belongings, expecting them shortly to be of no use. These were people whose certainty that they had the truth allowed them to withstand enormous social, economic, and legal pressures and whose commitment to their dogma grew as each pressure was resisted.\nThe second significant aspect of the believers\u2019 preflood actions was a curious form of inaction. For individuals so clearly convinced of the validity of their creed, they did surprisingly little to spread the word. Although they did initially make public the news of the coming disaster, there was no attempt to seek converts, to proselyte actively. They were willing to sound the alarm and to counsel those who voluntarily respon- ded to it, but that was all.\nThe group\u2019s distaste for recruitment efforts was evident in various ways besides the lack of personal persuasion attempts. Secrecy was maintained in many matters\u2014extra copies of the Lessons were burned, passwords and secret signs were instituted, the contents of certain private tape recordings were not to be discussed with outsiders (so secret were the tapes that even longtime believers were prohibited from taking notes of them). Publicity was avoided. As the day of disaster approached, increasing numbers of newspaper, television, and radio reporters converged on the group\u2019s headquarters in the Keech house. For the most part, these people were turned away or ignored. The most frequent answer to their questions was, \u201cNo comment.\u201d Although dis- couraged for a time, the media representatives returned with a ven-\n \n\ngeance when Dr. Armstrong\u2019s religious activities caused him to be fired from his post on the college health service staff; one especially persistent newsman had to be threatened with a lawsuit. A similar siege was re- pelled on the eve of the flood when a swarm of reporters pushed and pestered the believers for information. Afterward, the researchers summarized the group\u2019s preflood stance on public exposure and recruit- ment in respectful tones: \u201cExposed to a tremendous burst of publicity, they had made every attempt to dodge fame; given dozens of opportun- ities to proselyte, they had remained evasive and secretive and behaved with an almost superior indifference.\u201d\nEventually, when all the reporters and would-be converts had been cleared from the house, the believers began making their final prepara- tions for the arrival of the spaceship scheduled for midnight that night. The scene, as viewed by Festinger, Riecken, and Schachter, must have seemed like absurdist theater. Otherwise ordinary people\u2014housewives, college students, a high-school boy, a publisher, an M.D., a hardware- store clerk and his mother\u2014were participating earnestly in tragic comedy. They took direction from a pair of members who were period- ically in touch with the Guardians; Marian Keech\u2019s written messages from Sananda were being supplemented that evening by \u201cthe Bertha,\u201d a former beautician through whose tongue the \u201cCreator\u201d gave instruc- tion. They rehearsed their lines diligently, calling out in chorus the re- sponses to be made before entering the rescue saucer, \u201cI am my own porter.\u201d \u201cI am my own pointer.\u201d They discussed seriously whether the message from a caller identifying himself as Captain Video\u2014a TV space character of the time\u2014was properly interpreted as a prank or a coded communication from their rescuers. And they performed in costume. In keeping with the admonition to carry nothing metallic aboard the saucer, the believers wore clothing that had been cut open to allow the metal pieces to be torn out. The metal eyelets in their shoes had been ripped away. The women were braless or wore brassieres whose metal stays had been removed. The men had yanked the zippers out of their pants, which were supported by lengths of rope in place of belts.\nThe group\u2019s fanaticism concerning the removal of all metal was vividly experienced by one of the researchers who remarked, twenty- five minutes before midnight, that he had forgotten to extract the zipper from his trousers. As the observers tell it, \u201cthis knowledge produced a near panic reaction. He was rushed into the bedroom where Dr. Arm- strong, his hands trembling and his eyes darting to the clock every few seconds, slashed out the zipper with a razor blade and wrenched its clasps free with wire-cutters.\u201d The hurried operation finished, the re- searcher was returned to the living room a slightly less metallic but, one supposes, much paler man.\n \n\nAs the time appointed for their departure grew very close, the believ- ers settled into a lull of soundless anticipation. With trained scientists on site, we are afforded a detailed account of the events that transpired during this momentous period in the life of the group:\nThe last ten minutes were tense ones for the group in the living room. They had nothing to do but sit and wait, their coats in their laps. In the tense silence two clocks ticked loudly, one about ten minutes faster than the other. When the faster of the two pointed to twelve-five, one of the observers remarked aloud on the fact. A chorus of people replied that midnight had not yet come. Bob Eastman affirmed that the slower clock was correct; he had set it himself only that afternoon. It showed only four minutes before midnight.\nThese four minutes passed in complete silence except for a single utterance. When the [slower] clock on the mantel showed only one minute remaining before the guide to the saucer was due, Marian exclaimed in a strained, high-pitched voice: \u201cAnd not a plan has gone astray!\u201d The clock chimed twelve, each stroke painfully clear in the expectant hush. The believers sat motionless.\nOne might have expected some visible reaction. Midnight had passed and nothing had happened. The cataclysm itself was less than seven hours away. But there was little to see in the reactions of the people in that room. There was no talking, no sound. People sat stock-still, their faces seemingly frozen and expressionless. Mark Post was the only person who even moved. He lay down on the sofa and closed his eyes but did not sleep. Later, when spoken to, he answered monosyllabically but otherwise lay immobile. The others showed nothing on the surface, although it became clear later that they had been hit hard.\nGradually, painfully, an atmosphere of despair and confusion settled over the group. They reexamined the prediction and the accompanying messages. Dr. Armstrong and Mrs. Keech reiterated their faith. The believers mulled over their predicament and dis- carded explanation after explanation as unsatisfactory. At one point, toward 4 A.M., Mrs. Keech broke down and cried bitterly. She knew, she sobbed, that there were some who were beginning to doubt but that the group must beam light to those who needed it most and that the group must hold together. The rest of the believers were losing their composure, too. They were all visibly shaken and many were close to tears. It was now almost 4:30 A.M., and still no way of handling the disconfirmation had been found. By now, too,\n \n\nmost of the group were talking openly about the failure of the escort to come at midnight. The group seemed near dissolution.\nIn the midst of this gathering doubt, as cracks crawled through the believers\u2019 confidence, the researchers witnessed a pair of remarkable incidents, one after another. The first occurred at about 4:45 A.M., when Marian Keech\u2019s hand suddenly leapt to the task of transcribing through \u201cautomatic writing\u201d the text of a holy message from above. When read aloud, the communication proved to be an elegant explanation for the events of that night. \u201cThe little group, sitting alone all night long, had spread so much light that God had saved the world from destruction.\u201d Although neat and efficient, this explanation was not wholly satisfying by itself; for example, after hearing it, one member simply rose, put on his hat and coat, and left. Something additional was needed to restore the believers to their previous levels of faith.\nIt was at this point that the second notable incident occurred to meet that need. Once again, the words of those who were present offer a vivid description:\nThe atmosphere in the group changed abruptly and so did their behavior. Within minutes after she had read the message explaining the disconfirmation, Mrs. Keech received another message instruct- ing her to publicize the explanation. She reached for the telephone and began dialing the number of a newspaper. While she was waiting to be connected, someone asked: \u201cMarian, is this the first time you have called the newspaper yourself?\u201d Her reply was im- mediate: \u201cOh, yes, this is the first time I have ever called them. I have never had anything to tell them before, but now I feel it is urgent.\u201d The whole group could have echoed her feelings, for they all felt a sense of urgency. As soon as Marian had finished her call, the other members took turns telephoning newspapers, wire ser- vices, radio stations, and national magazines to spread the explan- ation of the failure of the flood. In their desire to spread the word quickly and resoundingly, the believers now opened for public at- tention matters that had been thus far utterly secret. Where only hours earlier they had shunned newspaper reporters and felt that the attention they were getting in the press was painful, they now became avid seekers for publicity.\nNot only had the long-standing policies concerning secrecy and publicity done an about-face, so, too, had the group\u2019s attitude toward potential converts. Whereas likely recruits who previously visited the house had been mostly ignored, turned away, or treated with casual attention, the day following the disconfirmation saw a different story.\n \n\nAll callers were admitted, all questions were answered, attempts were made to proselyte all such visitors. The members\u2019 unprecedented will- ingness to accommodate possible new recruits was perhaps best dem- onstrated when nine high-school students arrived on the following night to speak with Mrs. Keech.\nThey found her at the telephone deep in a discussion of flying saucers with a caller whom, it later turned out, she believed to be a spaceman. Eager to continue talking to him and at the same time anxious to keep her new guests, Marian simply included them in the conversation and, for more than an hour, chatted alternately with her guests in the living room and the \u201cspaceman\u201d on the other end of the telephone. So intent was she on proselyting that she seemed unable to let any opportunity go by.\nTo what can we attribute the believers\u2019 radical turnabout? In the space of a few hours, they went from clannish and taciturn hoarders of the Word to expansive and eager disseminators of it. And what could have possessed them to choose such an ill-timed instant\u2014when the failure of the flood was likely to cause nonbelievers to view the group and its dogma as laughable?\nThe crucial event occurred sometime during \u201cthe night of the flood,\u201d when it became increasingly clear that the prophecy would not be ful- filled. Oddly, it was not their prior certainty that drove the members to propagate the faith; it was an encroaching sense of uncertainty. It was the dawning realization that if the spaceship and flood predictions were wrong, so might be the entire belief system on which they rested. For those huddled in the Keech living room, that growing possibility must have seemed hideous.\nThe group members had gone too far, given up too much for their beliefs to see them destroyed; the shame, the economic cost, the mockery would be too great to bear. The overarching need of the cultists to cling to those beliefs seeps poignantly from their own words: From a young woman with a three-year-old child:\nI have to believe the flood is coming on the twenty-first because I\u2019ve spent all my money. I quit my job, I quit computer school\u2026. I have to believe.\nAnd from Dr. Armstrong to one of the researchers four hours after the failure of the saucermen to arrive:\nI\u2019ve had to go a long way. I\u2019ve given up just about everything. I\u2019ve cut every tie. I\u2019ve burned every bridge. I\u2019ve turned my back on the\n \n\nworld. I can\u2019t afford to doubt. I have to believe. And there isn\u2019t any other truth.\nImagine the corner in which Dr. Armstrong and his followers found themselves as morning approached. So massive was the commitment to their beliefs that no other truth was tolerable. Yet that set of beliefs had just taken a merciless pounding from physical reality: No saucer had landed, no spacemen had knocked, no flood had come, nothing had happened as prophesied. Since the only acceptable form of truth had been undercut by physical proof, there was but one way out of the corner for the group. They had to establish another type of proof for the validity of their beliefs: social proof.\nThis, then, explains their sudden shift from secretive conspirators to zealous missionaries. And it explains the curious timing of the shift\u2014precisely when a direct disconfirmation of their beliefs had rendered them least convincing to outsiders. It was necessary to risk the scorn and derision of the nonbelievers because publicity and recruit- ment efforts provided the only remaining hope. If they could spread the Word, if they could inform the uninformed, if they could persuade the skeptics, and if, by so doing, they could win new converts, their threatened but treasured beliefs would become truer. The principle of social proof says so: The greater the number of people who find any idea correct, the more the idea will be correct. The group\u2019s assignment was clear; since the physical evidence could not be changed, the social\nevidence had to be. Convince and ye shall be convinced!6\nCAUSE OF DEATH: UNCERTAIN(TY)\nAll the weapons of influence discussed in this book work better under some conditions than under others. If we are to defend ourselves ad- equately against any such weapon, it is vital that we know its optimal operating conditions in order to recognize when we are most vulnerable to its influence. In the case of the principle of social proof, we have already had a hint of one time when it works best. Among the Chicago believers, it was a sense of shaken confidence that triggered their craving for converts. In general, when we are unsure of ourselves, when the situation is unclear or ambiguous, when uncertainty reigns, we are most likely to look to and accept the actions of others as correct.\nIn the process of examining the reactions of other people to resolve our uncertainty, however, we are likely to overlook a subtle but import- ant fact. Those people are probably examining the social evidence, too. Especially in an ambiguous situation, the tendency for everyone to be looking to see what everyone else is doing can lead to a fascinating\n \n\nphenomenon called \u201cpluralistic ignorance.\u201d A thorough understanding of the pluralistic ignorance phenomenon helps immeasurably to explain a regular occurrence in our country that has been termed both a riddle and a national disgrace: the failure of entire groups of bystanders to aid victims in agonizing need of help.\nThe classic example of such bystander inaction and the one that has produced the most debate in journalistic, political, and scientific circles began as an ordinary homicide case in the borough of Queens in New York City. A woman in her late twenties, Catherine Genovese, was killed in a late-night attack on her home street as she returned from work. Murder is never an act to be passed off lightly, but in a city the size and tenor of New York, the Genovese incident warranted no more space than a fraction of a column in The New York Times. Catherine Genovese\u2019s story would have died with her on that day in March 1964 if it hadn\u2019t been for a mistake.\nThe metropolitan editor of the Times, A. M. Rosenthal, happened to be having lunch with the city police commissioner a week later. Rosenthal asked the commissioner about a different Queens-based homicide, and the commissioner, thinking he was being questioned about the Genovese case, revealed something staggering that had been uncovered by the police investigation. It was something that left everyone who heard it, the commissioner included, aghast and grasping for explanations. Catherine Genovese had not experienced a quick, muffled death. It had been a long, loud, tortured, public event. Her as- sailant had chased and attacked her in the street three times over a period of thirty-five minutes before his knife finally silenced her cries for help. Incredibly, thirty-eight of her neighbors watched the events of her death unfold from the safety of their apartment windows without so much as lifting a finger to call the police.\nRosenthal, a former Pulitzer Prize\u2014winning reporter, knew a story when he heard one. On the day of his lunch with the commissioner, he assigned a reporter to investigate the \u201cbystander angle\u201d of the Genovese incident. Within a week, the Times published a long, page 1 article that was to create a swirl of controversy and speculation. The first few paragraphs of that report provide the tone and focus of the burgeoning story:\nFor more than half an hour thirty-eight respectable, law-abiding citizens in Queens watched a killer stalk and stab a woman in three separate attacks in Kew Gardens.\nTwice the sound of their voices and the sudden glow of their bedroom lights interrupted him and frightened him off. Each time he returned, sought her out, and stabbed her again. Not one person\n \n\ntelephoned the police during the assault; one witness called after the woman was dead.\nThat was two weeks ago today. But Assistant Chief Inspector Frederick M. Lussen, in charge of the borough\u2019s detectives and a veteran of twenty-five years of homicide investigations, is still shocked.\nHe can give a matter-of-fact recitation of many murders. But the Kew Gardens slaying baffles him\u2014not because it is a murder, but because \u201cgood people\u201d failed to call the police.\nAs with Assistant Chief Inspector Lussen, shock and bafflement were the standard reactions of almost everyone who learned the story\u2019s de- tails. The shock struck first, leaving the police, the news-people, and the reading public stunned. The bafflement followed quickly. How could thirty-eight \u201cgood people\u201d fail to act under those circumstances? No one could understand it. Even the murder witnesses themselves were bewildered. \u201cI don\u2019t know,\u201d they answered one after another. \u201cI just don\u2019t know.\u201d A few offered weak reasons for their inaction. For example, two or three people explained that they were \u201cafraid\u201d or \u201cdid not want to get involved.\u201d But these reasons do not stand up to close scrutiny: A simple anonymous call to the police could have saved Catherine Genovese without threatening the witness\u2019s future safety or free time. No, it wasn\u2019t the observers\u2019 fear or reluctance to complicate their lives that explained their lack of action; something else was going on there that even they could not fathom.\nConfusion, though, does not make for good news copy. So the press as well as the other media\u2014several papers, TV stations, and magazines were pursuing follow-up stories by now\u2014emphasized the only explan- ation available at the time: The witnesses, no different from the rest of us, hadn\u2019t cared enough to get involved. We were becoming a nation of selfish, insensitive people. The rigors of modern life, especially city life, were hardening us. We were becoming \u201cThe Cold Society,\u201d unfeel- ing and indifferent to the plight of our fellow citizens.\nIn support of this interpretation, news stories began appearing regu- larly in which various kinds of public apathy were detailed. The Times actually appears to have developed an apathy \u201cbeat\u201d for a period fol- lowing the Genovese revelations. Also supporting such an interpretation were the remarks of a range of armchair social commentators, who, as a breed, seem never to admit to bafflement when speaking to the press. They, too, saw the Genovese case as having large-scale social signific- ance. All used the word \u201capathy,\u201d which, it is interesting to note, had been in the headline of the Times\u2019s front-page story, although they ac- counted for the apathy differently. One attributed it to the effects of TV\n \n\nviolence, another to repressed aggressiveness, but most implicated the \u201cdepersonalization\u201d of urban life with its \u201cmegalopolitan societies\u201d and its \u201calienation of the individual from the group.\u201d Even Rosenthal, the newsman who first broke the story and who ulti-mately made it the subject of a book, subscribed to the city-caused apathy theory.\nNobody can say why the thirty-eight did not lift the phone while Miss Genovese was being attacked, since they cannot say them- selves. It can be assumed, however, that their apathy was indeed one of the big-city variety. It is almost a matter of psychological survival, if one is surrounded and pressed by millions of people, to prevent them from constantly impinging on you, and the only way to do this is to ignore them as often as possible. Indifference to one\u2019s neighbor and his troubles is a conditioned reflex in life in\nNew York as it is in other big cities.7\nAs the Genovese story grew\u2014aside from Rosenthal\u2019s book, it became the focus of numerous newspaper and magazine pieces, several televi- sion-news documentaries, and an off-Broadway play\u2014it attracted the professional attention of a pair of New York-based psychology profess- ors, Bibb Latan\u00e9 and John Darley. They examined the reports of the Genovese incident and, on the basis of their knowledge of social psy- chology, hit on what had seemed the most unlikely explanation of all\u2014it was that thirty-eight witnesses were present. Previous accounts of the story had invariably emphasized that no action was taken, even though thirty-eight individuals had looked on. Latan\u00e9 and Darley suggested that no one had helped precisely because there were so many observers. The psychologists speculated that, for at least two reasons, a bystander to an emergency would be unlikely to help when there were a number of other bystanders present. The first reason is fairly straightforward. With several potential helpers around, the personal responsibility of each individual is reduced: \u201cPerhaps someone else will give or call for aid, perhaps someone else already has.\u201d So with everyone thinking that someone else will help or has helped, no one does.\nThe second reason is the more psychologically intriguing one; it is founded on the principle of social proof and involves the pluralistic ignorance effect. Very often an emergency is not obviously an emer- gency. Is the man lying in the alley a heart-attack victim or a drunk sleeping one off? Are the sharp sounds from the street gunshots or truck backfires? Is the commotion next door an assault requiring the police or an especially loud marital spat where intervention would be inappro- priate and unwelcome? What is going on? In times of such uncertainty, the natural tendency is to look around at the actions of others for clues.\n \n\nWe can learn, from the way the other witnesses are reacting, whether the event is or is not an emergency.\nWhat is easy to forget, though, is that everybody else observing the event is likely to be looking for social evidence, too. And because we all prefer to appear poised and unflustered among others, we are likely to search for that evidence placidly, with brief, camouflaged glances at those around us. Therefore everyone is likely to see everyone else looking unruffled and failing to act. As a result, and by the principle of social proof, the event will be roundly interpreted as a nonemergency. This, according to Latan\u00e9 and Darley, is the state of pluralistic ignorance \u201cin which each person decides that since nobody is concerned, nothing is wrong. Meanwhile, the danger may be mounting to the point where a single individual, uninfluenced by the seeming calm of others, would\nreact.\u201d8\nThe fascinating upshot of Latan\u00e9 and Darley\u2019s reasoning is that, for the emergency victim, the idea of \u201csafety in numbers\u201d may often be completely wrong. It might be that someone in need of emergency aid would have a better chance of survival if a single bystander, rather than a crowd, was present. To test this unusual thesis, Darley, Latan\u00e9, their students and colleagues performed a systematic and impressive program of research that produced a clear set of findings. Their basic procedure was to stage emergency events that were observed either by a single individual or by a group of people. They then recorded the number of times the emergency victim received help under those circumstances. In their first experiment, a New York college student who appeared to be having an epileptic seizure received help 85 percent of the time when there was a single bystander present but only 31 percent of the time with five bystanders present. With almost all the single bystanders helping, it becomes difficult to argue that ours is \u201cThe Cold Society\u201d where no one cares for suffering others. Obviously it was something about the presence of other bystanders that reduced helping to shameful levels.\nOther studies have examined the importance of social proof in causing widespread witness \u201capathy.\u201d They have done so by planting within a group of witnesses to a possible emergency people who are rehearsed to act as if no emergency were occurring. For instance, in another New York\u2014based experiment, 75 percent of lone individuals who observed smoke seeping from under a door reported the leak; however, when similar leaks were observed by three-person groups, the smoke was reported only 38 percent of the time. The smallest number of bystanders took action, though, when the three-person groups included two indi- viduals who had been coached to ignore the smoke; under those condi- tions, the leaks were reported only 10 percent of the time. In a similar\n \n\nstudy conducted in Toronto, single bystanders provided emergency aid 90 percent of the time, whereas such aid occurred in only 16 percent of the cases when a bystander was in the presence of two other bystanders who remained passive.\nAfter more than a decade of such research, social scientists now have a good idea of when a bystander will offer emergency aid. First, and contrary to the view that we have become a society of callous, uncaring people, once witnesses are convinced that an emergency situation exists, aid is very likely. Under these conditions, the numbers of bystanders who either intervene themselves or summon help is quite comforting. For example, in four separate experiments done in Florida, accident scenes involving a maintenance man were staged. When it was clear that the man was hurt and required assistance, he was helped 100 per- cent of the time in two of the experiments. In the other two experiments, where helping involved contact with potentially dangerous electrical wires, the victim still received bystander aid in 90 percent of the in- stances. In addition, these extremely high levels of assistance occurred\nwhether the witnesses observed the event singly or in groups.9\nThe situation becomes very different when, as in many cases, bystanders cannot be sure that the event they are witnessing is an emergency. Then a victim is much more likely to be helped by a lone bystander than by a group, especially if the people in the group are strangers to one another. It seems that the pluralistic ignorance effect is strongest among strangers: Because we like to look poised and sophisticated in public and because we are unfamiliar with the reactions of those we do not know, we are unlikely to give off or correctly read expressions of concern when in a grouping of strangers. Therefore, a\npossible emergency becomes viewed as a nonemergency, and the victim suffers.10\nA close look at this set of research findings reveals an enlightening pattern. All the conditions that decrease an emergency victim\u2019s chances for bystander aid exist normally and innocently in the city: (1) In contrast to rural areas, cities are more clamorous, distracting, rapidly changing places where it is difficult to be certain of the nature of the events one encounters. (2) Urban environments are more populous, by their nature; consequently, people are more likely to be with others when witnessing a potential emergency situation. (3) City dwellers know a much smaller percentage of fellow residents than do people who live in small towns; therefore, city dwellers are more likely to find themselves in a group of strangers when observing an emergency.\nThese three natural characteristics of urban environments\u2014their confusion, their populousness, and their low levels of acquaintance- ship\u2014fit in very well with the factors shown by research to decrease\n \n\nbystander aid. Without ever having to resort to such sinister concepts as \u201curban depersonalization\u201d and \u201cmegalopolitan alienation,\u201d then, we can explain why so many instances of bystander inaction occur in our cities.\nDevictimizing Yourself\nBut explaining the dangers of modern urban life in less ominous terms does not dispel them. And as the world\u2019s populations move increasingly to the cities\u2014half of all humanity will be city dwellers within ten years\u2014there will be a growing need to reduce those dangers. Fortu- nately, our newfound understanding of the bystander \u201capathy\u201d process offers real hope. Armed with this scientific knowledge, an emergency victim can increase enormously the chances of receiving aid from others. The key is the realization that groups of bystanders fail to help because the bystanders are unsure rather than unkind. They don\u2019t help because they are unsure of whether an emergency actually exists and whether they are responsible for taking action. When they are sure of their re- sponsibilities for intervening in a clear emergency, people are exceed- ingly responsive!\nOnce it is understood that the enemy is not some unmanageable so- cietal condition like urban depersonalization but is, instead, the simple state of uncertainty, it becomes possible for emergency victims to take specific steps to protect themselves by reducing the bystanders\u2019 uncer- tainty. Imagine, for example, you are spending a summer afternoon at a music concert in the park. As the concert ends and people begin leaving, you notice a slight numbness in one arm but dismiss it as nothing to be alarmed about. Yet, while moving with the crowd to the distant parking areas, you feel the numbness spreading down to your hand and up one side of your face. Feeling disoriented, you decide to sit against a tree for a moment to rest. Soon you realize that something is drastically wrong. Sitting down has not helped; in fact, the control and coordination of your muscles has worsened to the point that you are starting to have difficulty moving your mouth and tongue to speak. You try to get up but can\u2019t. A terrifying thought slashes to mind: \u201cOh, God, I\u2019m having a stroke!\u201d Groups of people are passing by and most are paying you no attention. The few who notice the odd way you are slumped against the tree or the strange look on your face check the social evidence around them and, seeing that no one else is reacting with concern, walk on past convinced that nothing is wrong.\nWere you to find yourself in such a predicament, what could you do to overcome the odds against receiving help? Because your physical abilities would be deteriorating, time would be crucial. If, before you\n \n\ncould summon aid, you lost your speech or mobility or consciousness, your chances for assistance and for recovery would plunge drastically. It would be essential to try to request help quickly. But what would the most effective form of that request be? Moans, groans, or outcries probably would not do. They might bring you some attention, but they would not provide enough information to assure passersby that a true emergency existed.\nIf mere outcries are unlikely to produce help from the passing crowd, perhaps you should be more specific. Indeed, you need to do more than try to gain attention; you should call out clearly your need for assistance. You must not allow bystanders to define your situation as a nonemer- gency. Use the word \u201cHelp\u201d to cry out your need for emergency aid. And don\u2019t worry about being wrong. Embarrassment is a villain to be crushed here. In the context of a possible stroke, you cannot afford to be worried about the awkwardness of overestimating your problem. The difference in cost is that between a moment of embarrassment and possible death or lifelong paralysis.\nBut even a resounding call for help is not your most effective tactic. Although it may reduce bystanders\u2019 doubts about whether a real emergency exists, it will not remove several other important uncertain- ties within each onlooker\u2019s mind: What kind of aid is required here? Should I be the one to provide the aid, or should someone more qualified do it? Has someone else already gone to get professional help, or is it my responsibility? While the bystanders stand gawking at you and grappling with these questions, time vital to your survival could be slipping away.\nClearly, then, as a victim you must do more than alert bystanders to your need for emergency assistance; you must also remove their uncer- tainties about how that assistance should be provided and who should provide it. But what would be the most efficient and reliable way to do so?\nBased on the research findings we have seen, my advice would be to isolate one individual from the crowd: Stare, speak, and point directly at that person and no one else: \u201cYou, sir, in the blue jacket, I need help. Call an ambulance.\u201d With that one utterance you should dispel all the uncertainties that might prevent or delay help. With that one statement you will have put the man in the blue jacket in the role of \u201crescuer.\u201d He should now understand that emergency aid is needed; he should understand that he, not someone else, is responsible for providing the aid; and, finally, he should understand exactly how to provide it. All the scientific evidence indicates that the result should be quick, effective assistance.\n \n\nIn general, then, your best strategy when in need of emergency help is to reduce the uncertainties of those around you concerning your condition and their responsibilities. Be as precise as possible about your need for aid. Do not allow bystanders to come to their own conclusions because, especially in a crowd, the principle of social proof and the consequent pluralistic ignorance effect might well cause them to view your situation as a nonemergency.\nAnd request assistance of a single individual from the group of on- lookers. Fight the natural tendency to make a general request for help. Pick out one person and assign the task to that individual. Otherwise, it is too easy for everyone in the crowd to assume that someone else should help, will help, or has helped. Of all the techniques in this book designed to produce compliance with a request, this one may be the most important to remember. After all, the failure of your request for emergency aid could have severe personal consequences.\nNot long ago, I received some firsthand evidence on this point. I was involved in a rather serious automobile collision. Both I and the other driver were plainly hurt: He was slumped, unconscious, over his steering wheel while I managed to stagger, bloody, from behind mine. The accident had occurred in the center of an intersection in full view of several individuals stopped in their cars at the traffic light. As I knelt in the road beside my door, trying to clear my head, the light changed and the waiting cars began to roll slowly through the intersection; their drivers gawked but did not stop.\nI remember thinking, \u201cOh no, it\u2019s happening just like the research says. They\u2019re all passing by!\u201d I consider it fortunate that, as a social psychologist, I knew enough about the bystander studies to have that particular thought. By thinking of my predicament in terms of the re- search findings, I knew exactly what to do. Pulling myself up so I could be seen clearly, I pointed at the driver of one car: \u201cCall the police.\u201d To a second and a third driver, pointing directly each time: \u201cPull over, we need help.\u201d The responses of these people were instantaneous. They summoned a police car and ambulance immediately, they used their handkerchiefs to blot the blood from my face, they put a jacket under my head, they volunteered to serve as witnesses to the accident; one even offered to ride with me to the hospital.\nNot only was this help rapid and solicitous, it was infectious. After drivers entering the intersection from the other direction saw cars stopping for me, they stopped and began tending to the other victim. The principle of social proof was working for us now. The trick had been to get the ball rolling in the direction of aid. Once that was accom- plished, I was able to relax and let the bystanders\u2019 genuine concern and social proof\u2019s natural momentum do the rest.\n \n\nMONKEY ME, MONKEY DO\nA bit earlier we stated that the principle of social proof, like all other weapons of influence, works better under some conditions than under others. We have already explored one of those conditions: uncertainty. Without question, when people are uncertain, they are more likely to use others\u2019 actions to decide how they themselves should act. But, in addition, there is another important working condition: similarity. The principle of social proof operates most powerfully when we are ob- serving the behavior of people just like us. It is the conduct of such people that gives us the greatest insight into what constitutes correct behavior for ourselves. Therefore we are more inclined to follow the lead of a similar individual than a dissimilar one.\nThat is why I believe we are seeing an increasing number of average- person-on-the-street testimonials on TV these days. Advertisers now know that one successful way to sell a product to ordinary viewers (who compose the largest potential market) is to demonstrate that other \u201cordinary\u201d people like and use it. So whether the product is a brand of soft drink, or a pain reliever, or a laundry detergent, we hear volleys of praise from John or Mary Every-person.\nMore compelling evidence for the importance of similarity in determ- ining whether we will imitate another\u2019s behavior comes from scientific research. An especially apt illustration can be found in a study done several years ago by Columbia University psychologists. The researchers placed wallets on the ground in various locations around midtown Manhattan to observe what would happen when they were found. The wallets all contained $2.00 in cash, a $26.30 check, and various inform- ation providing the name and address of the wallet\u2019s \u201cowner.\u201d In addi- tion to this material, the wallet also contained a letter that made it evident that the wallet had been lost not once, but twice. The letter was written to the wallet\u2019s owner from a man who had found it earlier and whose intention was to return it. The finder indicated in his letter that he was happy to help and that the chance to be of service in this way had made him feel good.\nIt was evident to anyone who found one of these wallets that this well-intentioned individual had then lost the wallet himself on the way to the mailbox\u2014the wallet was wrapped in an envelope addressed to the owner. The researchers wanted to know how many people finding such a wallet would follow the lead of the first finder and mail it, intact, to the original owner. Before they dropped the wallets, however, the researchers varied one feature of the letter it contained. Some of the letters were written in standard English by what seemed to be an aver-\n \n\nage American, while the other letters were written in broken English by the first finder, who identified himself as a recently arrived foreigner. In other words, the person who had initially found the wallet and had tried to return it was depicted by the letter as being either similar or dissimilar to most Americans.\nThe interesting question was whether the Manhattanites who found the wallet and letter would be more influenced to mail the wallet if the first man who had tried to do so was similar to them. The answer was plain: Only 33 percent of the wallets were returned when the first finder was seen as dissimilar, but fully 70 percent were returned when he was thought to be a similar other. These results suggest an important qualification of the principle of social proof. We will use the actions of others to decide on proper behavior for ourselves, especially when we view those others as similar to ourselves.\nThis tendency applies not only to adults but to children as well. Health researchers have found, for example, that a school-based antismoking program had lasting effects only when it used same-age peer leaders as teachers. Another study found that children who saw a film depicting a child\u2019s positive visit to the dentist lowered their own dental anxieties principally when they were the same age as the child in the film. I wish I had known about this second study when, a few years before it was published, I was trying to reduce a different kind of anxiety in my son, Chris.\nI live in Arizona, where backyard swimming pools abound. One re- grettable consequence is that every year several young children drown after falling into an unattended pool. I was determined, therefore, to teach Chris how to swim at an early age. The problem was not that he was afraid of the water. He loved it. But he would not get into the pool without wearing his inflatable plastic inner tube, no matter how I tried to coax, talk, or shame him out of it. After getting nowhere for two months, I hired some help: a graduate student of mine\u2014a big, strapping former lifeguard who had once worked as a swimming instructor. He failed as totally as I had. He couldn\u2019t persuade Chris to attempt even a stroke outside of his plastic ring.\nAround this time, Chris was attending a day camp that provided a number of activities to its members, including use of a large pool, which he scrupulously avoided. One day, shortly after the graduate student fiasco, I went to get Chris from camp a bit early and, with mouth agape, watched him run down the diving board and jump into the middle of the deepest part of the pool. Panicking, I began pulling off my shoes to jump in to his rescue when I saw him bob to the surface and paddle safely to the side of the pool\u2014where I dashed, shoes in hand, to meet him.\n \n\n\u201cChris, you can swim,\u201d I said excitedly. \u201cYou can swim!\u201d \u201cYes,\u201d he responded casually, \u201cI learned how today.\u201d\n\u201cThis is terrific! This is just terrific,\u201d I burbled, gesturing expansively to convey my enthusiasm. \u201cBut how come you didn\u2019t need your plastic ring today?\u201d\nLooking somewhat embarrassed because his father seemed to be raving while inexplicably soaking his socks in a small puddle and waving his shoes around, Chris explained: \u201cWell, I\u2019m three years old, and Tommy is three years old. And Tommy can swim without a ring, so that means I can too.\u201d\nI could have kicked myself. Of course, it would be to little Tommy, not to a six-foot-two-inch graduate student, that Chris would look for the most relevant information about what he could or should do. Had I been more thoughtful about solving Chris\u2019s swimming problem, I could have employed Tommy\u2019s good example earlier and, perhaps, have saved myself a couple of frustrating months. I could have simply noted at the day camp that Tommy was a swimmer and then arranged with his parents for the boys to spend a weekend afternoon swimming in our pool. My guess is that Chris\u2019s plastic ring would have been\nabandoned by the end of the day.11\nAny factor that can spur 70 percent of New Yorkers to return a wallet (or can reduce the likelihood that kids will take up smoking or will fear a dentist visit) must be considered impressive. Yet research findings of this sort offer just a hint of the immense impact that the conduct of similar others has on human behavior. Other, more powerful examples exist. To my mind, the most telling illustration of this impact starts with a seemingly nonsensical statistic: After a suicide has made front-page news, airplanes\u2014private planes, corporate jets, airliners\u2014begin falling out of the sky at an alarming rate.\nFor example, it has been shown that immediately following certain kinds of highly publicized suicide stories, the number of people who die in commercial-airline crashes increases by 1,000 percent! Even more\nalarming: The increase is not limited to airplane deaths. The number of automobile fatalities shoots up as well.12 What could possibly be responsible?\nOne explanation suggests itself immediately: The same social condi- tions that cause some people to commit suicide cause others to die acci- dentally. For instance, certain individuals, the suicide-prone, may react to stressful societal events (economic downturns, rising crime rates, international tensions) by ending it all. But others will react differently to these same events; they might become angry or impatient or nervous or distracted. To the degree that such people operate (or service) the\n \n\ncars and planes of our society, the vehicles will be less safe, and, con- sequently, we will see a sharp increase in the number of automobile and air fatalities.\nAccording to this \u201csocial conditions\u201d interpretation, then, some of the same societal factors that cause intentional deaths also cause acci- dental ones, and that is why we find so strong a connection between suicide stories and fatal crashes. But another fascinating statistic indic- ates that this is not the correct explanation: Fatal crashes increase dra- matically only in those regions where the suicide has been highly pub- licized. Other places, existing under similar social conditions, whose newspapers have not publicized the story, have shown no comparable jump in such fatalities. Furthermore, within those areas where newspa- per space has been allotted, the wider the publicity given the suicide, the greater has been the rise in subsequent crashes. Thus it is not some set of common societal events that stimulates suicides on the one hand, and fatal accidents on the other. Instead it is the publicized suicide story itself that produces the car and plane wrecks.\nTo explain the strong association between suicide-story publicity and subsequent crashes, a \u201cbereavement\u201d account has been suggested. Be- cause, it has been argued, front-page suicides often in-volve well-known and respected public figures, perhaps their highly publicized deaths throw many people into states of shocked sadness. Stunned and preoc- cupied, these individuals become careless around cars and planes. The consequence is the sharp increase in deadly accidents involving such vehicles that we see after front-page suicide stories. Although the be- reavement theory can account for the connection between the degree of publicity given a story and subsequent crash fatalities\u2014the more people who learn of the suicide, the larger number of bereaved and careless individuals there will be\u2014it cannot explain yet another startling fact: Newspaper stories reporting on suicide victims who died alone produce an increase in the frequency of single-fatality wrecks only, whereas stories reporting on suicide-plus-murder incidents produce an increase in multiple-fatality wrecks only. Simple bereavement could not cause such a pattern.\nThe influence of suicide stories on car and plane crashes, then, is fantastically specific. Stories of pure suicides, in which only one person dies, generate wrecks in which only one person dies; stories of suicide- murder combinations, in which there are multiple deaths, generate wrecks in which there are multiple deaths. If neither \u201csocial conditions\u201d nor \u201cbereavement\u201d account for this bewildering array of facts, what can? There is a sociologist at the University of California at San Diego who thinks he has found the answer. His name is David Phillips, and he points a convincing finger at something called the \u201cWerther effect.\u201d\n \n\nThe story of the Werther effect is both chilling and intriguing. More than two centuries ago, the great man of German literature, Johann von Goethe, published a novel entitled Die Leiden des jungen Werthers (The Sorrows of Young Werther). The book, in which the hero, named Werther, commits suicide, had a remarkable impact. Not only did it provide Goethe with immediate fame, but it also sparked a wave of emulative suicides across Europe. So powerful was this effect that authorities in several countries banned the novel.\nProfessor Phillips\u2019s own work has traced the Werther effect to modern times. His research has demonstrated that immediately following a front-page suicide story the suicide rate increases dra-matically in those geographical areas where the story has been highly publicized. It is Phillips\u2019s argument that certain troubled people who read of another\u2019s self-inflicted death kill themselves in imitation. In a morbid illustration of the principle of social proof, these people decide how they should act on the basis of how some other troubled person has acted.\nPhillips got his evidence for the modern-day Werther effect by ex- amining the suicide statistics in the United States between 1947 and 1968. He found that within two months after every front-page suicide story, an average of fifty-eight more people than usual killed themselves. In a sense, each suicide story killed fifty-eight people who otherwise would have gone on living. Phillips also found that this tendency for suicides to beget suicides occurred principally in those parts of the country where the first suicide was highly publicized and that the wider the publicity given the first suicide, the greater the number of later suicides.\nIf the facts surrounding the Werther effect seem to you suspiciously like those surrounding the influence of suicide stories on air and traffic fatalities, the similarities have not been lost on Professor Phillips either. In fact, he contends that all the excess deaths following a front-page suicide incident can be explained as the same thing: copycat suicides. Upon learning of another\u2019s suicide, an uncomfortably large number of people decide that suicide is an appropriate action for themselves as well. Some of these individuals then proceed to commit the act in a straightforward, no-bones-about-it fashion, causing the suicide rate to jump.\nOthers, however, are less direct. For any of several reasons\u2014to protect their reputations, to spare their families the shame and hurt, to allow their dependents to collect on insurance policies\u2014they do not want to appear to have killed themselves. They would rather seem to have died accidentally. So, purposively but furtively, they cause the wreck of a car or a plane they are operating or are simply riding in. This could be accomplished in a variety of all-too-familiar-sounding ways. A commer-\n \n\ncial-airline pilot could dip the nose of the aircraft at a crucial point of takeoff or could inexplicably land on an already occupied runway against instructions from the control tower; the driver of a car could suddenly swerve into a tree or into oncoming traffic; a passenger in an automobile or corporate jet could incapacitate the operator, causing a deadly crash; the pilot of a private plane could, despite all radio warn- ings, plow into another aircraft. Thus the alarming climb in crash fatalities we find following front-page suicides is, according to Dr. Phillips, most likely due to the Werther effect secretly applied.\nI consider this insight brilliant. First, it explains all of the data beauti- fully. If these wrecks really are hidden instances of imitative suicide, it makes sense that we should see an increase in the wrecks after suicide stories appear. And it makes sense that the greatest rise in wrecks should occur after the suicide stories that have been most widely publicized and have, consequently, reached the most people. And it makes sense that the number of crashes should jump appreciably only in those geographical areas where the suicide stories were publicized. And it even makes sense that single-victim suicides should lead only to single- victim crashes, whereas multiple-victim suicide incidents should lead only to multiple-victim crashes. Imitation is the key.\nBut there is a second valuable feature of Phillips\u2019s insight. Not only does it allow us to explain the existing facts, it also allows us to predict new facts that had never been uncovered before. For example, if the abnormally frequent crashes following publicized suicides are genuinely due to imitative rather than accidental actions, they should be more deadly as a result. That is, people trying to kill themselves will likely arrange (with a foot on the accelerator instead of the brake, with the nose of the plane down instead of up) for the impact to be as lethal as possible. The consequence should be quick and sure death. When Phillips examined the records to check on this prediction, he found that the average number of people killed in a fatal crash of a commercial airliner is more than three times greater if the crash happened one week after a front-page suicide story than if it happened one week before. A similar phenomenon can be found in traffic statistics, where there is evidence for the deadly efficiency of postsuicide-story auto crashes. Victims of fatal car wrecks that follow front-page suicide stories die four times more quickly than normal.\nStill another fascinating prediction flows from Phillips\u2019s idea. If the increase in wrecks following suicide stories truly represents a set of copycat deaths, then the imitators should be most likely to copy the suicides of people who are similar to them. The principle of social proof states that we use information about how others have behaved to help us determine proper conduct for ourselves. But as the dropped-wallet\n \n\nexperiment showed, we are most influenced in this fashion by the ac- tions of others like us.\nTherefore, Phillips reasoned, if the principle of social proof is behind the phenomenon, there should be some clear similarity between the victim of the highly publicized suicide and those who cause subsequent wrecks. Realizing that the clearest test of this possibility would come from the records of automobile crashes involving a single car and a lone driver, Phillips compared the age of the suicide-story victim with the ages of the lone drivers killed in single-car crashes immediately after the story appeared in print. Once again the predictions were strikingly accurate: When the newspaper detailed the suicide of a young person, it was young drivers who then piled their cars into trees, poles, and embankments with fatal results; but when the news story concerned an older person\u2019s suicide, older drivers died in such crashes.\nThis last statistic is the crusher for me. I am left wholly convinced and, simultaneously, wholly amazed by it. Evidently, the principle of social proof is so wide-ranging and powerful that its domain extends to the fundamental decision for life or death. Professor Phillips\u2019s findings have persuaded me of a distressing tendency for suicide publicity to motivate certain people who are similar to the victim to kill them- selves\u2014because they now find the idea of suicide more legitimate. Truly frightening are the data indicating that many innocent people die in the bargain. A glance at the graphs documenting the undeniable increase in traffic and air fatalities following publicized suicides, espe- cially those involving murder, is enough to cause concern for one\u2019s own safety. I have been sufficiently affected by these statistics to begin to take note of front-page suicide stories and to change my behavior in the period after their appearance. I try to be especially cautious behind the wheel of my car. I am reluctant to take extended trips requiring a lot of air travel. If I must fly during such a period, I purchase substan- tially more flight insurance than I normally would. Dr. Phillips has done us a service by demonstrating that the odds for survival when we travel change measurably for a time following the publication of certain kinds of front-page suicide stories. It would seem only prudent to play those odds.\nAs if the frightening features of Phillips\u2019s suicide data weren\u2019t enough, his subsequent research brings more cause for alarm: Homicides in this country have a stimulated, copycat character after highly publicized acts of violence. Heavyweight championship prize fights that receive coverage on network evening news appear to produce measurable in- creases in the U.S. homicide rate. This analysis of heavyweight champi- onship fights (between 1973 and 1978) is perhaps most compelling in its demonstration of the remarkably specific nature of the imitative\n \n\naggression that is generated. When such a match was lost by a black fighter, the homicide rate during the following ten days rose signific- antly for young black male victims but not young white males. On the other hand, when a white fighter lost a match, it was young white men but not young black men who were killed more frequently in the next\nten days.14 When these results are combined with the parallel findings\nin Phillips\u2019s suicide data, it is clear that widely publicized aggression has the nasty tendency to spread to similar victims, no matter whether the aggression is inflicted on the self or on another.\nWork like Dr. Phillips\u2019s helps us appreciate the awesome influence of the behavior of similar others. Once the enormity of that force is re- cognized, it becomes possible to understand perhaps the most spectac- ular act of compliance of our time\u2014the mass suicide at Jonestown, Guyana. Certain crucial features of that event deserve review.\nThe People\u2019s Temple was a cultlike organization that began in San Francisco and drew its recruits from the poor of that city. In 1977, the Reverend Jim Jones\u2014who was the group\u2019s undisputed political, social, and spiritual leader\u2014moved the bulk of the membership with him to a jungle settlement in Guyana, South America. There, the People\u2019s Temple existed in relative obscurity until November 18, 1978, when four men of a fact-finding party led by Congressman Leo J. Ryan were murdered as they tried to leave Jonestown by plane. Convinced that he would be arrested and implicated in the killings and that the demise of the People\u2019s Temple would result, Jones sought to control the end of the Temple in his own way. He gathered the entire community around him and issued a call for each person\u2019s death in a unified act of self-destruction.\nThe first response was that of a young woman who calmly ap- proached the now famous vat of strawberry-flavored poison, admin- istered one dose to her baby, one to herself, and then sat down in a field, where she and her child died in convulsions within four minutes. Others followed steadily in turn. Although a handful of Jonestowners escaped rather than comply and a few others are reported to have res- isted, the survivors claim that the great majority of the 910 people who died did so in an orderly, willful fashion.\nNews of the event shocked us. The broadcast media and the papers provided a barrage of reports, updates, and analyses. For days, our conversations were full of the topic: \u201cHow many have they found dead now?\u201d \u201cA guy who escaped says they were drinking the poison like they were hypnotized or something.\u201d \u201cWhat were they doing down in South America, anyway?\u201d \u201cIt\u2019s so hard to believe. What caused it?\u201d\nYes, \u201cWhat caused it?\u201d\u2014the critical question. How are we to account\n \n\nfor this most astounding of compliant acts? Various explanations have been offered. Some have focused on the charisma of Jim Jones, a man whose style allowed him to be loved like a savior, trusted like a father, and treated like an emperor. Other explanations have pointed to the kind of people who were attracted to the People\u2019s Temple. They were mostly poor and uneducated individuals who were willing to give up their freedoms of thought and action for the safety of a place where all decisions would be made for them. Still other explanations have em- phasized the quasi-religious nature of the People\u2019s Temple, in which unquestioned faith in the cult\u2019s leader was assigned highest priority.\nNo doubt each of these features of Jonestown has merit in explaining what happened there. But I do not find them sufficient. After all, the world abounds with cults populated by dependent people who are led by a charismatic figure. What\u2019s more, there has never been a shortage of this combination of circumstances in the past. Yet virtually nowhere do we find evidence of an event even approximating the Jonestown incident among such groups. There must be something else that was critical.\nOne especially revealing question gives us a clue: \u201cIf the community had remained in San Francisco, would Rev. Jim Jones\u2019s suicide command have been obeyed?\u201d A highly speculative question to be sure, but the expert most familiar with the People\u2019s Temple has no doubt about the answer. Dr. Louis Jolyon West, chairman of psychiatry and biobehavi- oral sciences at UCLA and director of its neuropsychiatric unit, is an authority on cults who had observed the People\u2019s Temple for eight years prior to the Jonestown deaths. When interviewed in the immediate aftermath, he made what strikes me as an inordinately instructive statement: \u201cThis wouldn\u2019t have happened in California. But they lived in total alienation from the rest of the world in a jungle situation in a hostile country.\u201d\nAlthough lost in the welter of commentary following the tragedy, Dr. West\u2019s observation, together with what we know about the principle of social proof, seems to me quite important to a satisfactory understand- ing of the compliant suicides. To my mind, the single act in the history of the People\u2019s Temple that most contrib-uted to the members\u2019 mindless compliance that day occurred a year earlier with the relocation of the Temple to a jungled country of unfamiliar customs and strange people. If we are to believe the stories of Jim Jones\u2019s malevolent genius, he realized fully the massive psychological impact such a move would have on his followers. All at once, they found themselves in a place they knew nothing about. South America, and the rain forests of Guyana, especially, were unlike anything they had experienced in San Francisco.\n \n\nThe country\u2014both physical and social\u2014into which they were dropped must have seemed dreadfully uncertain.\nAh, uncertainty\u2014the right-hand man of the principle of social proof. We have already seen that when people are uncertain, they look to the actions of others to guide their own actions. In the alien, Guyanese en- vironment, then, Temple members were very ready to follow the lead of others. But as we have also seen, it is others of a special kind whose behavior will be most unquestioningly followed\u2014similar others. And therein lies the awful beauty of the Reverend Jim Jones\u2019s relocation strategy. In a country like Guyana, there were no similar others for a Jonestown resident but the people of Jonestown itself.\nWhat was right for a member of the community was determined to a disproportionate degree by what other community members\u2014influ- enced heavily by Jones\u2014did and believed. When viewed in this light, the terrible orderliness, the lack of panic, the sense of calm with which these people moved to the vat of poison and to their deaths, seems more comprehensible. They hadn\u2019t been hypnotized by Jones; they had been convinced\u2014partly by him but, more important, also by the principle of social proof\u2014that suicide was correct conduct. The uncertainty they surely felt upon first hearing the death command must have caused them to look to those around them for a definition of the appropriate response. It is particularly worth noting that they found two impressive pieces of social evidence, each pointing in the same direction.\nThe first was the initial set of their compatriots, who quickly and willingly took the poison drafts. There will always be a few such fanat- ically obedient individuals in any strong-leader-dominated group. Whether, in this instance, they had been specially instructed beforehand to serve as examples or whether they were just naturally the most compliant with Jones\u2019s wishes is difficult to know. No matter; the psy- chological effect of the actions of those individuals must have been potent. If the suicides of similar others in news stories can influence total strangers to kill themselves, imagine how enormously more com- pelling such an act would be when performed without hesitation by one\u2019s neighbors in a place like Jonestown.\nThe second source of social evidence came from the reactions of the crowd itself. Given the conditions, I suspect that what occurred was a large-scale instance of the pluralistic ignorance phenomenon that fre- quently infects onlookers at emergencies. Each Jonestowner looked to the actions of surrounding individuals to assess the situation and\u2014finding seeming calm because everyone else, too, was surrepti- tiously assessing rather than reacting\u2014\u201clearned\u201d that patient turn taking was the correct behavior. Such misinterpreted but nonetheless convin- cing social evidence would be expected to result precisely in the ghastly\n \n\ncomposure of the assemblage that waited in the tropics of Guyana for businesslike death.\nFrom my own perspective, most attempts to analyze the Jonestown incident have focused too much on the personal qualities of Jim Jones. Although he was without question a man of rare dynamism, the power he wielded strikes me as coming less from his remarkable personal style than from his understanding of fundamental psychological principles. His real genius as a leader was his realization of the limitations of indi- vidual leadership. No leader can hope to persuade, regularly and single- handedly, all the members of the group. A forceful leader can reasonably expect, however, to persuade some sizable proportion of group mem- bers. Then the raw information that a substantial number of group members has been convinced can, by itself, convince the rest. Thus the most influential leaders are those who know how to arrange group conditions to allow the principle of social proof to work maximally in their favor.\nIt is in this that Jones appears to have been inspired. His masterstroke was the decision to move the People\u2019s Temple community from its roots in urban San Francisco to the remoteness of equatorial South America, where the conditions of uncertainty and exclusive similarity would make the principle of social proof operate for him as perhaps nowhere else. There, a settlement of a thousand people, much too large to be held in persistent sway by the force of one man\u2019s personality, could be changed from a following into a herd. As slaughterhouse operators have long known, the mentality of a herd makes it easy to manage. Simply get some members moving in the desired direction and the others\u2014re- sponding not so much to the lead animal as to those immediately sur- rounding them\u2014will peacefully and mechanically go along. The powers of the amazing Reverend Jim Jones, then, are probably best understood not in terms of his dramatic personal style, but in his profound know- ledge of the art of social jujitsu.\nHOW TO SAY NO\nThis chapter began with an account of the relatively harmless practice of laugh tracking and has moved on to stories of murder and suicide\u2014all explained by the principle of social proof. How can we expect to defend ourselves against a weapon of influence that pervades such a vast range of behavior? The difficulty is compounded by the realization that most of the time, we don\u2019t want to guard against the information that social proof provides. The evidence it offers about how we should act is usu- ally valid and valuable. With it we can cruise confidently through a\n \n\nmyriad of decisions without personally having to investigate the detailed pros and cons of each.\nIn this sense, the principle of social proof equips us with a wonderful kind of automatic-pilot device not unlike that aboard most aircraft.\nYet there are occasional but real problems with automatic pilots. Those problems appear whenever the flight information locked into the control mechanism is wrong. In these instances, we will be taken off course. Depending on the size of the error, the consequences can be severe. But, because the automatic pilot afforded by the principle of social proof is more often an ally than an enemy, we can\u2019t be expected to want simply to disconnect it. Thus we are faced with a classic prob- lem: how to make use of a piece of equipment that simultaneously be- nefits and imperils our welfare.\nFortunately, there is a way out of the dilemma. Because the disadvant- ages of automatic pilots arise principally when incorrect data have been put into the control system, our best defense against these disadvantages is to recognize when the data are in error. If we can become sensitive to situations where the social-proof automatic pilot is working with inaccurate information, we can disengage the mechanism and grasp the controls when we need to.\nThere are two types of situation in which incorrect data cause the principle of social proof to give us poor counsel. The first occurs when the social evidence has been purposely falsified. Invariably these situ- ations are manufactured by exploiters intent on creating the impres- sion\u2014reality be damned\u2014that a multitude is performing the way the exploiters want us to perform. The canned laughter of TV comedy shows, which we have already discussed, is one variety of faked data of this sort. But there is a great deal more; and much of the fakery is strikingly obvious.\nFor instance, canned responses are not unique to the electronic media or even to the electronic age. In fact, the heavy-handed exploitation of the principle of social proof can be traced through the history of one of our most venerable art forms: grand opera. This is the phenomenon called claquing, said to have been begun in 1820 by a pair of Paris opera- house habitu\u00e9s named Sauton and Porcher. The men were more than operagoers, though. They were businessmen whose product was ap- plause.\nOrganizing under the title L\u2019Assurance des Succ\u00e8s Dramatiques, they leased themselves and their employees to singers and opera managers who wished to be assured of an appreciative audience response. So ef- fective were they in stimulating genuine audience reaction with their rigged reactions that before long claques (usually consisting of a lead-\n \n\ner\u2014chef de claque\u2014and several individual claqueurs) had become an es- tablished and persistent tradition throughout the world of opera. As music historian Robert Sabin notes, \u201cBy 1830 the claque was a full-bloom institution, collecting by day, applauding by night, all in the honest open\u2026. But it is altogether probable that neither Sauton, nor his ally\nPorcher, had a notion of the extent to which their scheme of paid ap- plause would be adopted and applied wherever opera is sung.\u201d15\nAs claquing grew and developed, its practitioners offered an array of styles and strengths. In the same way that laugh-track producers can hire individuals who excel in titters, chuckles, or belly laughs, the claques spawned their own specialists\u2014the pleureuse, chosen for her ability to weep on cue; the bisseur, who called \u201cbis\u201d (repeat) and \u201cencore\u201d in ecstatic tones; and in direct kinship with today\u2019s laugh-track per- former, the rieur, selected for the infectious quality of his laugh.\nFor our purposes, though, the most instructive parallel to modern forms of canned response is the conspicuous character of the fakery. No special need was seen to disguise or vary the claque, who often sat in the same seats, performance after performance, year after year, led by a chef de claque two decades into his position. Even the monetary transactions were not hidden from the public. Indeed, one hundred years after the birth of claquing, a reader of the London Musical Times could scan the advertised rates of the Italian claqueurs. Whether in the world of Rigoletto or Gilligan\u2019s Island, then, audiences have been success- fully manipulated by those who use social evidence, even when that evidence has been openly falsified.\n\nFIGURE 4-5\nAdvertised Rates of the Italian Claque\nFrom \u201cordinary applause\u201d to \u201cwild enthusiasm,\u201d claqueurs offered their services in an audaciously public fashion\u2014in this case, in a\n \n\nnewspaper read by many of the audience members they fully expected to influence. Claque, whirr.\nWhat Sauton and Porcher realized about the mechanical way that we abide by the principle of social proof is understood as well by a variety of today\u2019s exploiters. They see no need to hide the manufactured nature of the social evidence they provide\u2014witness the amateurish quality of the average TV laugh track. They seem almost smug in the recognition of our predicament: Either we must allow them to fool us or we must abandon the precious automatic pilots that make us so vulnerable to their tricks. But in their certainty that they have us trapped, such exploiters have made a crucial mistake. The laxity with which they construct phony social evidence gives us a way to fight back.\nBecause automatic pilots can be engaged and disengaged at will, we can cruise along trusting in the course steered by the principle of social proof until we recognize that a piece of inaccurate data is being used. Then we can take the controls, make the necessary correction for the misinformation, and reset the automatic pilot. The transparency of the rigged social proof we get these days provides us with exactly the cue we need for knowing when to perform this simple maneuver. With no more cost than a bit of vigilance for plainly counterfeit social evidence, then, we can protect ourselves nicely.\nLet\u2019s take an example. A bit earlier, we noted the proliferation of av- erage-person-on-the-street ads, in which a number of ordinary people speak glowingly of a product, often without knowing that their words are being recorded. As would be expected according to the principle of social proof, these testimonials from \u201caverage people like you and me\u201d make for quite effective advertising campaigns. They have always included one relatively subtle kind of distortion: We hear only from those who like the product; as a result, we get an understandably biased picture of the amount of social support for it. More recently, though, a cruder and more unethical sort of falsification has been introduced. Commercial producers often don\u2019t bother to get genuine testimonials. They merely hire actors to play the roles of average people testifying in an unrehearsed fashion to an interviewer. It is amazing how bald- faced these \u201cunrehearsed interview\u201d commercials can be. The situations are obviously staged, the participants are clearly actors, and the dialogue is unmistakably prewritten.\nDave Barry\nKnight Ridder News Service\nRecently I was watching TV, and a commercial came on, and the an- nouncer, in a tone of voice usually reserved for major developments in\n \n\nthe Persian Gulf, said, \u201cNow consumers can ask Angela Lansbury their questions about Bufferin!\u201d\nAs a normal human, the natural reaction to this announcement is: \u201cHuh?\u201d Meaning: \u201cWhat does Angela Lansbury have to do with Buf- ferin?\u201d But this commercial featured several consumers who had appar- ently been stopped at random on the street, and every one of them had a question for Angela Lansbury about Bufferin. Basically, what they asked was, \u201cMiss Lansbury, is Bufferin a good product that I should purchase, or what?\u201d\nThese consumers seemed very earnest. It was as if they had been going around for months wringing their hands and saying, \u201cI have a question about Bufferin! If only I could ask Angela Lansbury!\u201d\nWhat we are seeing here is yet another example of a worsening problem that has been swept under the rug for too long in this nation: The invasion of Consumers From Mars. The look like humans, but they don\u2019t act like humans, and they are taking over.\nFIGURE 4-6\nJust Your Average Martian on the Street\nApparently I am not alone in noticing the number of blatantly phony \u201cunrehearsed\u201d\ntestimonial ads these days. Humorist Dave Barry has registered their prevalence too\nand has labeled their inhabitants Consumers From Mars, which is a term I like\nand have even begun using myself. It helps remind me that, as regards my buying\nhabits, I should be sure to ignore the tastes of these individuals who, after all, come\nfrom another planet than me. (KNIGHT RIDDER NEWS SERVICE)\nI know that whenever I encounter an influence attempt of this sort, it sets off in me a kind of alarm with a clear directive: Attention! Atten- tion! Bad social proof in this situation. Temporarily disconnect automatic pilot. It\u2019s so easy to do. We need only make a conscious decision to be alert to counterfeit social evidence, and the smug overconfidence of the ex- ploiters will play directly into our hands. We can relax until their manifest fakery is spotted, at which time we can pounce.\nAnd we should pounce with a vengeance. I am speaking here of more than simply ignoring the misinformation, although this defensive tactic is certainly called for. I am speaking of aggressive counterattack. Whenever possible we ought to sting those responsible for the rigging\n \n\nof social evidence. We should purchase no products featured in phony \u201cunrehearsed interview\u201d commercials. Moreover, each manufacturer of the items should receive a letter explaining our response and recom- mending that they discontinue use of the advertising agency that pro- duced so deceptive a presentation of their product.\nOf course, we don\u2019t always want to trust the actions of others to direct our conduct\u2014especially in a situation important enough to warrant our personal investigation of the pros and cons, or in which we are ex- perts\u2014but we do want to be able to count on others\u2019 behavior as a source of valid information in a large array of settings. If, in such set- tings, we find that we cannot trust the information to be valid because someone has tampered with the evidence, we ought to be ready to strike back. In such instances, I personally feel driven by more than the aver- sion to being duped. I bristle at the thought of being pushed into an unacceptable corner by those who would undermine one of my hedges against the decisional overload of modern life. And I get a genuine sense of righteousness by lashing out when they try. If you are like me, so should you.\nIn addition to the times when social evidence is deliberately faked, there is another time when the principle of social proof will regularly steer us wrong. In such an instance, an innocent, natural error will produce snowballing social proof that pushes us to the incorrect de- cision. The pluralist ignorance phenomenon, in which everyone at an emergency sees no cause for alarm, is one example of this process. The best illustration I know, however, comes from a story of one of my students, who was a highway patrolman.\nAfter a class session in which the subject of discussion was the prin- ciple of social proof, he stayed to talk with me. He said that he now understood the cause of a type of traffic accident that had always puzzled him before. The accident typically occurred on the city freeway during rush hour, when cars in all lanes were moving steadily but slowly. Events leading to the accident would start when a pair of cars, one behind the other, would simultaneously begin signaling an intention to get out of the lane they were in and into the next. Within seconds, a long line of drivers to the rear of the first two would follow suit, thinking that something\u2014a stalled car or a construction barrier\u2014was blocking the lane ahead. It would be in this crush to cram into the available spaces of the next lane that a collision frequently happened. The odd thing about it all, according to the patrolman, was that very often there had been no obstruction to be avoided in the first place, and by the time of the accident, this should have been obvious to anyone who looked. He said he had more than once witnessed such accidents\n \n\nwhen there was a visibly clear road in front of the ill-fated lane switchers.\nThe patrolman\u2019s account provides certain insights into the way we respond to social proof. First, we seem to assume that if a lot of people are doing the same thing, they must know something we don\u2019t. Espe- cially when we are uncertain, we are willing to place an enormous amount of trust in the collective knowledge of the crowd. Second, quite frequently the crowd is mistaken because they are not acting on the basis of any superior information but are reacting, themselves, to the principle of social proof.\nSo if a pair of freeway drivers decided by coincidence to change lanes at the identical moment, the next two drivers might well do the same, assuming that the forward drivers had spotted an obstruction. The resulting social evidence confronting drivers behind this group would be potent\u2014four successive cars, all with their turn signals flashing, trying to angle into the next lane. More signal lights would go on. The social proof would be undeniable by then. For drivers to the rear, there could be no question about the correctness of switching lanes: \u201cAll those guys ahead must know something.\u201d So intent would they be upon working themselves into the next lane that, without even checking the true condition of the road before them, the drivers would begin a line- long flank assault. Crash.\nThere is a lesson here: An automatic-pilot device, like social proof, should never be trusted fully; even when no saboteur has fed bad in- formation into the mechanism, it can sometimes go haywire by itself. We need to check the machine from time to time to be sure that it hasn\u2019t worked itself out of sync with the other sources of evidence in the situation\u2014the objective facts, our prior experiences, our own judgments. Fortunately, this precaution requires neither much effort nor much time. A quick glance around is all that is needed. And this little precau- tion is well worth it. The consequences of single-minded reliance on social evidence can be frightening.\nThis aspect of the social proof phenomenon always reminds me of the way certain Indian tribes\u2014the Blackfeet, Cree, Snake, and Crow\u2014used to hunt the North American buffalo. There are two features of buffalo that make them especially susceptible to erroneous social evidence. First, their eyes are set in their heads so that it is easier for them to see to the side than to the front. Second, when they run, as in a stampede, it is with their heads down low so they cannot see above the herd. As a result, the Indians realized, it was possible to kill tremend- ous numbers of buffalo by starting a herd running toward a cliff. The animals, responding to the thundering social proof around them\u2014and never looking up to see what lay ahead\u2014did the rest. One astonished\n \n\nobserver to such a hunt described the deadly outcome of the buffalo\u2019s obsessive trust in collective knowledge.\nIn this way, it was possible to decoy a herd toward a precipice, and cause it to plunge over en masse, the leaders being thrust over by their followers and all the rest following of their own free will.16\nCertainly, a flier whose plane is locked onto automatic pilot would be wise to glance occasionally at the instrument panel and out the window. In the same way, we need to look up and around periodically whenever we are locked onto the evidence of the crowd. Without this simple safeguard against misguided social proof, our prospects might well run parallel to those of the freeway lane switchers and the North American buffalo: Crash.\nREADER\u2019S REPORT\nFrom a Former Racetrack Employee\n\u201cI became aware of one method of faking social evidence to one\u2019s ad- vantage while working at a racetrack. In order to lower the odds and make more money, some bettors are able to sway the public to bet on bad horses.\n\u201cOdds at a racetrack are based on where the money is being bet. The more money on a horse, the lower (better) the odds. Many people who play the horses have surprisingly little knowledge of racing or betting strategy. Thus, especially when they don\u2019t know much about the horses in a particular race, a lot of times they\u2019ll simply bet the favorite. Because tote boards are displayed with up-to-the-minute odds, the public can always tell who the current favorite is. The system that a high roller can use to alter the odds is actually quite simple. The guy has in mind a horse he feels has a good chance of winning. Next he chooses a horse that has long odds (say, 15 to 1) and doesn\u2019t have a realistic chance to win. The minute the mutual windows open, the guy puts down a hundred dollars on the inferior horse, creating an instant favorite whose odds on the board drop to about 2 to 1.\n\u201cNow the elements of social proof begin to work. People who are uncertain of how to bet the race look to the tote board to see which horse the early bettors have decided is a favorite, and they follow. A snowballing effect now occurs as other people continue to bet the favor- ite. At this point, the high roller can go back to the window and bet heavily on his true favorite, which will have better odds now because the \u2018new favorite\u2019 has pushed down the board. If the guy wins, the initial hundred-dollar investment will have been worth it many times over.\n\u201cI\u2019ve seen this happen myself. I remember one time a person put\n \n\ndown a hundred dollars on a prerace 10-to-1 shot, making it the early favorite. The rumors started circulating around the track\u2014people knew something. Next thing you know, everyone (me included) was betting on this horse. It ended up running last and had a bad leg. Many people lost a lot of money. Somebody came out ahead though. We\u2019ll never know who. But he is the one with all the money. He understood the theory of social proof.\u201d\nOnce again we can see that social proof is most powerful for those who feel unfamiliar or unsure in a specific situation and who, consequently, must look outside of themselves for evidence of how best to behave there.\n \nChapter 5\n\nLIKING\nThe Friendly Thief\n\nThe main work of a trial attorney is to make a jury like his client.\n\u2014CLARENCE DARROW\n\n\n\n\n\n\nEW PEOPLE WOULD BE SURPRISED TO LEARN THAT, AS A RULE, we most\nprefer to say yes to the requests of someone we know and like. What might be startling to note, however, is that this simple rule is used in hundreds of ways by total strangers to get us to comply with their re- quests.\nThe clearest illustration I know of the professional exploitation of the liking rule is the Tupperware party, which I consider the quintessential American compliance setting. Anybody familiar with the workings of a Tupperware party will recognize the use of the various weapons of influence we have examined so far: reciprocity (to start, games are played and prizes won by the partygoers; anyone who doesn\u2019t win a prize gets to reach into a grab bag for hers so that everyone has received a gift before the buying begins), commitment (each participant is urged to describe publicly the uses and benefits she has found in the Tupper- ware she already owns), and social proof (once the buying begins, each purchase builds the idea that other, similar people want the product; therefore, it must be good).\nAll the major weapons of influence are present to help things along, but the real power of the Tupperware party comes from a particular arrangement that trades on the liking rule. Despite the entertaining and persuasive salesmanship of the Tupperware demonstrator, the true re-\n \n\nquest to purchase the product does not come from this stranger; it comes from a friend to every woman in the room. Oh, the Tupperware repres- entative may physically ask for each partygoer\u2019s order, all right, but the more psychologically compelling requester is a housewife sitting off to the side, smiling, chatting, and serving refreshments. She is the party hostess, who has called her friends together for the demonstration in her home and who, everyone knows, makes a profit from each piece sold at her party.\nSimple. By providing the hostess with a percentage of the take, the Tupperware Home Parties Corporation arranges for its customers to buy from and for a friend rather than an unknown salesperson. In this way, the attraction, the warmth, the security, and the obligation of friendship are brought to bear on the sales setting. Consumer researchers Frenzer and Davis, who have examined the social ties between the hostess and the partygoers in home-party sales settings, have affirmed the power of the company\u2019s approach: The strength of that social bond is twice as likely to determine product purchase as is preference for the product itself. The results have been remarkable. It was recently estim- ated that Tupperware sales exceed $2.5 million a day!\nWhat is interesting is that the customers appear to be fully aware of the liking and friendship pressures embodied in the Tupperware party. Some don\u2019t seem to mind; others do, but don\u2019t seem to know how to avoid them. One woman I spoke with described her reactions with more than a bit of frustration in her voice:\nIt\u2019s gotten to the point now where I hate to be invited to Tupper- ware parties. I\u2019ve got all the containers I need; and if I wanted any more, I could buy another brand cheaper in the store. But when a friend calls up, I feel like I have to go. And when I get there, I feel like I have to buy something. What can I do? It\u2019s for one of my friends.\nWith so irresistible an ally as the friendship principle operating, it is little wonder that the company has abandoned retail sales outlets and has pushed the home party concept until a Tupperware party now starts somewhere every 2.7 seconds. But, of course, all sorts of other compliance professionals recognize the pressure to say yes to someone we know and like. Take, for instance, the growing number of charity organizations that recruit volunteers to canvass for donations close to their own homes. They understand perfectly how much more difficult it is for us to turn down a charity request when it comes from a friend or a neighbor.\nOther compliance professionals have found that the friend doesn\u2019t even have to be present to be effective; often, just the mention of the\n \n\nfriend\u2019s name is enough. The Shaklee Corporation, which specializes in door-to-door sales of various home-related products, advises its salespeople to use the \u201cendless chain\u201d method for finding new custom- ers. Once a customer admits to liking a product, he or she can be pressed for the names of friends who would also appreciate learning about it. The individuals on that list can then be approached for sales and a list of their friends, who can serve as sources for still other potential cus- tomers, and so on in an endless chain.\nThe key to the success of this method is that each new prospect is visited by a salesperson armed with the name of a friend \u201cwho sugges- ted I call on you.\u201d Turning the salesperson away under those circum- stances is difficult; it\u2019s almost like rejecting the friend. The Shaklee sales manual insists that employees use this system without fail: \u201cIt would be impossible to overestimate its value. Phoning or calling on a prospect and being able to say that Mr. So-and-so, a friend of his, felt he would benefit by giving you a few moments of his time is virtually as good as a sale 50 percent made before you enter.\u201d\nThe widespread use by compliance practitioners of the liking bond between friends tells us much about the power of the liking rule to produce assent. In fact, we find that such professionals seek to benefit from the rule even when already formed friendships are not present for them to employ. Under these circumstances, the professionals\u2019 compliance strategy is quite direct: They first get us to like them.\nThere is a man in Detroit, Joe Girard, who specialized in using the liking rule to sell Chevrolets. He became wealthy in the process, making more than two hundred thousand dollars a year. With such a salary, we might guess that he was a high-level GM executive or perhaps the owner of a Chevrolet dealership. But no. He made his money as a salesman on the showroom floor. At what he did, he was phenomenal. For twelve years straight, he won the title as the \u201cnumber one car salesman\u201d; he averaged more than five cars and trucks sold every day he worked; and he has been called the world\u2019s \u201cgreatest car salesman\u201d by the Guinness Book of World Records.\nFor all his success, the formula he employed was surprisingly simple. It consisted of offering people just two things: a fair price and someone they liked to buy from. \u201cAnd that\u2019s it,\u201d he claimed in an interview. \u201cFinding the salesman they like, plus the price; put them both together, and you get a deal.\u201d\nFine. The Joe Girard formula tells us how vital the liking rule is to his business, but it doesn\u2019t tell us nearly enough. For one thing, it doesn\u2019t tell us why customers liked him more than some other salesperson who offered a fair price. There is a crucial\u2014and fascinating\u2014general question\n \n\nthat Joe\u2019s formula leaves unanswered: What are the factors that cause one person to like another person? If we knew that answer, we would be a long way toward understanding how people such as Joe can so successfully arrange to have us like them and, conversely, how we might successfully arrange to have others like us. Fortunately, social scientists have been asking the question for decades. Their accumulated evidence has allowed them to identify a number of factors that reliably cause liking. And, as we will see, each is cleverly used by compliance professionals to urge us along the road to \u201cyes.\u201d\nPhysical Attractiveness\nAlthough it is generally acknowledged that good-looking people have an advantage in social interaction, recent findings indicate that we may have sorely underestimated the size and reach of that advantage. There seems to be a click, whirr response to attractive people. Like all click, whirr reactions, it happens automatically, without forethought. The re- sponse itself falls into a category that social scientists call \u201chalo effects.\u201d A halo effect occurs when one positive characteristic of a person dom- inates the way that person is viewed by others. And the evidence is now clear that physical attractiveness is often such a characteristic.\nResearch has shown that we automatically assign to good-looking individuals such favorable traits as talent, kindness, honesty, and intel- ligence. Furthermore, we make these judgments without being aware that physical attractiveness plays a role in the process. Certain of the consequences of this unconscious assumption that \u201cgood-looking equals good\u201d scare me. For example, a study of the Canadian federal elections found that attractive candidates received more than two and a half\ntimes as many votes as unattractive candidates.1 Despite such evidence\nof favoritism toward handsome politicians, follow-up research demon- strated that voters do not realize their bias. In fact, 73 percent of Cana- dian voters surveyed denied in the strongest possible terms that their votes had been influenced by physical appearance; only 14 percent even allowed for the possibility of such influence. A similar effect has been found in hiring situations. In one study, good grooming of applicants in a simulated employment interview accounted for more favorable\nhiring decisions than did job qualifications\u2014this, even though the in- terviewers claimed that appearance played a small role in their choices.2 Equally unsettling research indicates that our judicial process is\nsimilarly susceptible to the influences of body dimensions and bone structure. Good-looking people are likely to receive highly favorable treatment in the legal system. For example, in a Pennsylvania study, researchers rated the physical attractiveness of seventy-four separate\n \n\nmale defendants at the start of their criminal trials. When, much later, the researchers checked court records for the results of these cases, they found that the handsome men had received significantly lighter sen- tences. In fact, the attractive defendants were twice as likely to avoid\njail as the unattractive ones.3 In another study\u2014this one on the damages\nawarded in a staged negligence trial\u2014a defendant who was better- looking than his victim was assessed an average amount of $5,623; but when the victim was the more attractive of the two, the average com- pensation was $10,051. What\u2019s more, both male and female jurors ex- hibited the attractiveness-based favoritism.\nOther experiments have demonstrated that attractive people are more likely to obtain help when in need and are more persuasive in changing the opinions of an audience. Here, too, both sexes respond in the same\nway. In the helping study, for instance, the better-looking men and women received aid more often, even from members of their own sex.4 A major exception to this rule might be expected to occur, of course, if\nthe attractive person is viewed as a direct competitor, especially a ro- mantic rival. Short of this qualification, though, it is apparent that good- looking people enjoy an enormous social advantage in our culture. They are better liked, more persuasive, more frequently helped, and seen as possessing better personality traits and intellectual capacities. And it appears that the social benefits of good looks begin to accumulate quite early. Research on elementary-school children shows that adults view aggressive acts as less naughty when performed by an attractive child\nand that teachers presume good-looking children to be more intelligent than their less-attractive classmates.5\nIt is hardly any wonder, then, that the halo of physical attractiveness is regularly exploited by compliance professionals. Because we like at- tractive people and because we tend to comply with those we like, it makes sense that sales training programs include grooming hints, that fashionable clothiers select their floor staffs from among the good- looking candidates, and that con men are handsome and con women pretty.\nSimilarity\nBut what if physical appearance is not much at issue? After all, most people possess average looks. Are there other factors that can be used to produce liking? As both researchers and compliance professionals know, there are several, and one of the most influential is similarity.\nWe like people who are similar to us. This fact seems to hold true whether the similarity is in the area of opinions, personality traits, background, or life-style. Consequently, those who wish to be liked in\n \n\norder to increase our compliance can accomplish that purpose by ap- pearing similar to us in any of a wide variety of ways.\nDress is a good example. Several studies have demonstrated that we are more likely to help those who dress like us. In one study, done in the early 1970s when young people tended to dress either in \u201chippie\u201d or \u201cstraight\u201d fashion, experimenters donned hippie or straight attire and asked college students on campus for a dime to make a phone call. When the experimenter was dressed in the same way as the student, the request was granted in more than two thirds of the instances; but when the student and requester were dissimilarly dressed, the dime was provided less than half the time. Another experiment shows how automatic our positive response to similar others can be. Marchers in an antiwar demonstration were found to be not only more likely to sign the petition of a similarly dressed requester, but also to do so without\nbothering to read it first. Click, whirr.6\nAnother way requesters can manipulate similarity to increase liking and compliance is to claim that they have backgrounds and interests similar to ours. Car salesmen, for example, are trained to look for evidence of such things while examining the customer\u2019s trade-in. If there is camping gear in the trunk, the salesman might mention, later on, how he loves to get away from the city whenever he can; if there are golf balls on the back seat, he might remark that he hopes the rain will hold off until he can play the eighteen holes he has scheduled for later in the day; if he notices that the car was purchased out of state, he might ask where the customer is from and report\u2014with surprise\u2014that he (or his wife) was born there, too.\nAs trivial as these similarities may seem, they appear to work. One researcher who examined the sales records of insurance companies found that customers were more likely to buy insurance when the salesperson was like them in such areas as age, religion, politics, and cigarette-smoking habits. Because even small similarities can be effective in producing a positive response to another and because a veneer of similarity can be so easily manufactured, I would advise special caution in the presence of requesters who claim to be \u201cjust like you.\u201d Indeed, it would be wise these days to be careful around salespeople who just seem to be just like you. Many sales training programs now urge trainees to \u201cmirror and match\u201d the customer\u2019s body posture, mood, and verbal\nstyle, as similarities along each of these dimensions have been shown to lead to positive results.7\nCompliments\nActor McLean Stevenson once described how his wife tricked him into\n \n\nmarriage: \u201cShe said she liked me.\u201d Although designed for a laugh, the remark is as much instructive as humorous. The information that someone fancies us can be a bewitchingly effective device for producing return liking and willing compliance. So, often in terms of flattery or simple claims of affinity, we hear positive estimation from people who want something from us.\nRemember Joe Girard, the world\u2019s \u201cgreatest car salesman,\u201d who says the secret of his success was getting customers to like him? He did something that, on the face of it, seems foolish and costly. Each month he sent every one of his more than thirteen thousand former customers a holiday greeting card containing a personal message. The holiday greeting changed from month to month (Happy New Year or Happy Thanksgiving, etc.), but the message printed on the face of the card never varied. It read, \u201cI like you.\u201d As Joe explained it, \u201cThere\u2019s nothing else on the card. Nothin\u2019 but my name. I\u2019m just telling \u2019em that I like \u2019em.\u201d\n\u201cI like you.\u201d It came in the mail every year, twelve times a year, like clockwork. \u201cI like you,\u201d on a printed card that went off to thirteen thousand other people, too. Could a statement of liking so impersonal, so obviously designed to sell cars, really work? Joe Girard thinks so; and a man as successful as he was at what he did deserves our attention. Joe understands an important fact about human nature: We are phe- nomenal suckers for flattery. Although there are limits to our gullibil- ity\u2014especially when we can be sure that the flatterer is trying to manip- ulate us\u2014we tend, as a rule, to believe praise and to like those who provide it, oftentimes when it is clearly false.\nAn experiment done on men in North Carolina shows how helpless we can be in the face of praise. The men in the study received comments about themselves from another person who needed a favor from them. Some of the men got only positive comments, some got only negative comments, and some got a mixture of good and bad. There were three interesting findings. First, the evaluator who provided only praise was liked best by the men. Second, this was the case even though the men fully realized that the flatterer stood to gain from their liking him. Fi- nally, unlike the other types of comments, pure praise did not have to\nbe accurate to work. Positive comments produced just as much liking for the flatterer when they were untrue as when they were true.8\nApparently we have such an automatically positive reaction to com- pliments that we can fall victim to someone who uses them in an obvious attempt to win our favor. Click, whirr. When seen in this light, the ex- pense of printing and mailing well over 150,000 \u201cI like you\u201d cards each year seems neither as foolish nor as costly as before.\n \n\nContact and Cooperation\nFor the most part, we like things that are familiar to us.9 To prove the point to yourself, try a little experiment. Get the negative of an old photograph that shows a front view of your face and have it developed into a pair of pictures\u2014one that shows you as you actually look and one that shows a reverse image (so that the right and left sides of your face are interchanged). Now decide which version of your face you like better and ask a good friend to make the choice, too. If you are at all like a group of Milwaukee women on whom this procedure was tried, you should notice something odd: Your friend will prefer the true print, but you will prefer the reverse image. Why? Because you both will be responding favorably to the more familiar face\u2014your friend to the one\nthe world sees, and you to the transposed one you find in the mirror every day.10\nBecause of its effect on liking, familiarity plays a role in decisions about all sorts of things, including the politicians we elect. It appears that in an election booth voters often choose a candidate merely because the name seems familiar. In one controversial Ohio election a few years ago, a man given little chance of winning the state attorney-general race swept to victory when, shortly before the election, he changed his name\nto Brown\u2014a family name of much Ohio political tradition.11\nHow could such a thing happen? The answer lies partially in the unconscious way that familiarity affects liking. Often we don\u2019t realize that our attitude toward something has been influenced by the number of times we have been exposed to it in the past. For example, in one experiment, the faces of several individuals were flashed on a screen so quickly that later on, the subjects who were exposed to the faces in this manner couldn\u2019t recall having seen any of them before. Yet, the more frequently a person\u2019s face was flashed on the screen, the more these subjects came to like that person when they met in a subsequent interaction. And because greater liking leads to greater social influence, these subjects were also more persuaded by the opinion statements of the individuals whose faces had appeared on the screen most fre-\nquently.12\nOn the basis of evidence that we are more favorable toward the things we have had contact with, some people have recommended a \u201ccontact\u201d approach to improving race relations. They argue that simply by providing individuals of different ethnic background with more expos- ure to one another as equals, those individuals will naturally come to like each other better. However, when scientists have examined school\n \n\nintegration\u2014the area offering the single best test of the contact ap- proach\u2014they have discovered quite the opposite pattern. School deseg- regation is more likely to increase prejudice between blacks and whites\nthan to decrease it.13\nLet\u2019s stay with the issue of school desegregation for a while. However well intentioned the proponents of interracial harmony through simple contact, their approach is unlikely to bear fruit because the argument on which it is based is terribly misinformed. First of all, the school setting is no melting pot where children interact as readily with members of other ethnic groups as they do with their own. Years after formal school integration, there is little social integration. The students clot together ethnically, separating themselves for the most part from other groups. Second, even if there were much more interethnic interaction, research shows that becoming familiar with something through repeated contact doesn\u2019t necessarily cause greater liking. In fact, continued exposure to a person or object under unpleasant conditions such as frustration,\nconflict, or competition leads to less liking.14 And the typical American\nclassroom fosters precisely these unpleasant conditions.\nConsider the illuminating report of a psychologist, Elliot Aronson, called in to consult with school authorities on problems in the Austin, Texas, schools. His description of how he found education proceeding in the standard classroom could apply to nearly any public school in the United States:\nIn general, here is how it works: The teacher stands in front of the class and asks a question. Six to ten children strain in their seats and wave their hands in the teacher\u2019s face, eager to be called on and show how smart they are. Several others sit quietly with eyes averted, trying to become invisible, When the teacher calls on one child, you see looks of disappointment and dismay on the faces of the eager students, who missed a chance to get the teacher\u2019s approval; and you will see relief on the faces of the others who didn\u2019t know the answer\u2026. This game is fiercely competitive and the stakes are high, because the kids are competing for the love and approval of one of the two or three most important people in their world.\nFurther, this teaching process guarantees that the children will not learn to like and understand each other. Conjure up your own experience. If you knew the right answer and the teacher called on someone else, you probably hoped that he or she would make a mistake so that you would have a chance to display your knowledge. If you were called on and failed, or if you didn\u2019t even raise your hand to compete, you probably envied and resented\n \n\nyour classmates who knew the answer. Children who fail in this system become jealous and resentful of the successes, putting them down as teacher\u2019s pets or even resorting to violence against them in the school yard. The successful students, for their part, often hold the unsuccessful children in contempt, calling them \u201cdumb\u201d or \u201cstupid.\u201d\nThis competitive process does not encourage anyone to look benevolently and happily upon his fellow students.15\nShould we wonder, then, why raw school desegregation\u2014whether by enforced busing, district rezoning, or school closures\u2014so frequently produces increased rather than decreased prejudice? When our own children find their pleasant social and friendship contacts within their own ethnic boundaries and get repeated exposure to other groups only in the competitive cauldron of the classroom, we might expect as much. Are there available solutions to this problem? One possibility might be to end our attempts at school integration. But that hardly seems workable. Even were we to ignore the inevitable legal and constitutional challenges and the disruptive societal wrangle such a retreat would provoke, there are solid reasons for pursuing classroom integration. For instance, although white students\u2019 achievement levels remain steady, it is ten times more likely that the academic performance of minority students will significantly increase rather than significantly decline after desegregation. We must be cautious in our approach to school desegregation not to throw out the baby because it is sitting in some\ndirty bath water.\nThe idea, of course, is to jettison just the water, leaving the baby shining from the bath. Right now, though, our baby is soaking in the schmutzwasser of increased racial hostility. Fortunately, real hope for draining away that hostility is emerging from the research of education specialists into the concept of \u201ccooperative learning.\u201d Because much of the heightened prejudice from classroom desegregation seems to stem from increased exposure to outside group members as rivals, these educators have experimented with forms of learning in which cooper- ation rather than competition with classmates is central.\nOff to camp. To understand the logic of the cooperative approach, it helps to reexamine the fascinating, three-decades-old research program of Turkish-born social scientist Muzafer Sherif. Intrigued with the issue of intergroup conflict, Sherif decided to investigate the process as it developed in boys\u2019 summer camps. Although the boys never realized that they were participants in an experiment, Sherif and his associates consistently engaged in artful manipulations of the camp\u2019s social envir- onment to observe the effects on group relations.\n \n\nIt didn\u2019t take much to bring on certain kinds of ill will. Simply separ- ating the boys into two residence cabins was enough to stimulate a \u201cwe vs. they\u201d feeling between the groups; and assigning names to the two groups (the Eagles and the Rattlers) accelerated the sense of rivalry. The boys soon began to demean the qualities and accomplishments of the other group. But these forms of hostility were minor compared to what occurred when the experimenters purposely introduced compet- itive activities into the factions\u2019 meetings with one another. Cabin against cabin treasure hunts, tugs-of-war, and athletic contests produced name- calling and physical friction. During the competitions, members of the opposing team were labeled \u201ccheaters,\u201d \u201csneaks,\u201d and \u201cstinkers.\u201d Af- terward, cabins were raided, rival banners were stolen and burned, threatening signs were posted, and lunchroom scuffles were common- place.\nAt this point, it was evident to Sherif that the recipe for disharmony was quick and easy: Just separate the participants into groups and let sit for a while in their own juices. Then mix together over the flame of continued competition. And there you have it: Cross-group hatred at a rolling boil.\nA more challenging issue then faced the experimenters: how to re- move the entrenched hostility they had created. They first tried the contact approach of bringing the bands together more often. But even when the joint activities were pleasant ones, such as movies and social events, the results were disastrous. Picnics produced food fights, enter- tainment programs gave way to shouting contests, dining-hall lines degenerated into shoving matches. Sherif and his research team began to worry that in Dr. Frankenstein fashion, they might have created a monster they could no longer control. Then, at the height of the strife, they hit on a resolution that was at once simple and effective.\nThey constructed a series of situations in which competition between the groups would have harmed everyone\u2019s interests, in which coopera- tion was necessary for mutual benefit. On a daylong outing, the single truck available to go into town for food was \u201cfound\u201d to be stuck. The boys were assembled and all pulled and pushed together until the vehicle was on its way. In another instance, the researchers arranged for an interruption of the camp\u2019s water supply, which came through pipes from a distant tank. Presented with the common crisis and realiz- ing the need for unified action, the boys organized themselves harmo- niously to find and fix the problem before day\u2019s end. In yet another circumstance requiring cooperation, the campers were informed that a desirable movie was available for rental but that the camp could not afford it. Aware that the only solution was to combine resources, the\n \n\nboys rented the film with pooled money and spent an unusually con- genial evening enjoying it together.\nThe consequences, though not instantaneous, were nonetheless striking. Conjoint efforts toward common goals steadily bridged the rancorous rift between the groups. Before long, the verbal baiting had died, the jostling in lines had ended, and the boys had begun to intermix at the meal tables. Further, when asked to list their best friends, signi- ficant numbers changed from an earlier exclusive naming of in-group chums to a listing that included boys in the other group. Some even thanked the researchers for the opportunity to rate their friends again because they realized they had changed their minds since the old days. In one revealing episode, the boys were returning from a campfire on a single bus\u2014something that would have produced bedlam before but was now specifically requested by the boys. When the bus stopped at a refreshment stand, the boys of one group, with five dollars left in its treasury, decided to treat their former bitter adversaries to milkshakes! We can trace the roots of this surprising turnabout to those times when the boys had to view one another as allies instead of opponents. The crucial procedure was the experimenters\u2019 imposition of common goals on the groups. It was the cooperation required to achieve these goals that finally allowed the rival group members to experience one another as reasonable fellows, valued helpers, and friends. And when success resulted from the mutual efforts, it became especially difficult to maintain feelings of hostility toward those who had been teammates\nin the triumph.16\nBack to school. In the welter of racial tensions that followed school desegregation, certain educational psychologists began to see the relev- ance to the classroom in Sherif\u2019s findings. If only the learning experience there could be modified to include at least occasional interethnic cooper- ation toward mutual successes, perhaps cross-group friendships would have a place to grow. Although similar projects have been under way in various states, an especially interesting approach in this direc- tion\u2014termed the \u201cjigsaw classroom\u201d\u2014was developed by Elliot Aronson and his colleagues in Texas and California.\nThe essence of the jigsaw route to learning is to require that students work together to master the material scheduled for an upcoming exam- ination. This is accomplished by forming students into cooperating teams and giving each student only one part of the information\u2014one piece of the puzzle\u2014necessary to pass the test. Under this system the students must take turns teaching and helping one another. Everyone needs everyone else to do well. Like Sherif\u2019s campers working on tasks that could be successfully accomplished only conjointly, the students became allies rather than enemies.\n \n\nWhen tried in recently desegregated classrooms, the jigsaw approach has generated impressive results. Studies have shown that, compared to other classrooms in the same school using the traditional competitive method, jigsaw learning stimulated significantly more friendship and less prejudice between ethnic groups. Besides this vital reduction in hostility, there were other advantages: Self-esteem, liking for school, and test scores improved for minority students. And the white students benefited, too. Their self-esteem and liking for school went up, and their test performance was at least as high as that of whites in the tradi- tional classes.\nGains such as these cry out for more detailed explanation. What ex- actly goes on in the jigsaw classroom to account for effects we had long ago lost hope of attaining in the public schools? A case study provided by Aronson helps us to understand better. It relates the experience of Carlos, a young Mexican-American boy, who found himself in a jigsaw group for the first time. Carlos\u2019s job was to learn and then convey to his team information on the middle years of Joseph Pulitzer. A test on the famous newspaperman\u2019s life would soon face each group member. Aronson tells what happened:\nCarlos was not very articulate in English, his second language, and because he was often ridiculed when he had spoken up in the past, he had learned over the years to keep quiet in class. We might even say that Carlos and the teacher had entered into a conspiracy of silence. He would become anonymous, buried in the bustle of classroom activity, and not be embarrassed by having to stumble over answers; she, in turn, would not call on him. Her decision probably came from the purest of motives; she didn\u2019t want to hu- miliate him, or watch the other kids make fun of him. But by ig- noring Carlos, the teacher had, in effect, written him off. She was implying that he was not worth bothering with; at least that was the message the other kids got. If the teacher wasn\u2019t calling on Carlos, it must be because Carlos is stupid. It is likely that Carlos himself came to the same conclusion.\nNaturally, Carlos was quite uncomfortable with the new system, which required him to talk to his groupmates; he had a great deal of trouble communicating his paragraph. He stammered, hesitated, and fidgeted. The other kids were not helpful at all; they reacted out of their old, overlearned habit. When a kid stumbles, especially one they think is stupid, they resort to ridicule and teasing. \u201cAw, you don\u2019t know it,\u201d accused Mary. \u201cYou\u2019re dumb; you\u2019re stupid. You don\u2019t know what you\u2019re doing.\u201d\n \n\nOne of us, assigned to observe the group process, would inter- vene with a bit of advice when she overheard such comments: \u201cOkay, you can tease him if you want to,\u201d she said, \u201cand that might be fun for you, but it\u2019s not going to help you learn about Joseph Pulitzer\u2019s middle years. The exam will take place in about an hour.\u201d Notice how she changed the reinforcement contingencies. Now Mary doesn\u2019t gain much from putting Carlos down, and she stands to lose a great deal. After a few days and several such ex- periences, it began to dawn on these kids that the only chance they had to learn about Carlos\u2019s segment was by paying attention to what Carlos had to say.\nAnd with that realization, the kids began to develop into pretty good interviewers, sort of junior Dick Cavetts. Instead of teasing Carlos or ignoring him, they learned to draw him out, to ask the questions that made it easier for him to explain out loud what was in his head. Carlos, in turn, relaxed more, and this improved his ability to communicate. After a couple of weeks, the children concluded that Carlos wasn\u2019t nearly as dumb as they thought he was. They saw things in him they hadn\u2019t seen before. They began to like him more, and Carlos began to enjoy school more and think\nof his Anglo classmates not as tormentors but as friends.17\nThere is a tendency when faced with positive results like those from the jigsaw classroom to become overly enthusiastic about a single, simple solution to a tenacious problem. Experience should tell us that such problems rarely yield to a simple remedy. That is no doubt true in this case, as well. Even within the boundaries of cooperative learning procedures, the issues are complex. Before we can feel truly comfortable with the jigsaw, or any similar approach to learning and liking, much more research is needed to determine how frequently, in what size doses, at which ages, and in which sorts of groups cooperative strategies will work. We also need to know the best way for teachers to institute new methods\u2014provided they will institute them at all. After all, not only are cooperative learning techniques a radical departure from the traditional, familiar routine of most teachers, they may also threaten the teacher\u2019s sense of importance in the classroom by turning over much of the instruction to the students. Finally, we must realize that compet- ition has its place, too. It can serve as a valuable motivator of desirable action and an important builder of self-concept. The task, then, is not to eliminate academic competition but to break its monopoly in the classroom by introducing regular cooperative successes that include\nmembers of all ethnic groups.18\nDespite these qualifications, I cannot help but be encouraged by the\n \n\nevidence to date. When I talk to my students, or even my neighbors and friends, about the prospects for cooperative learning approaches, I can feel optimism rise in me. The public schools have for so long been the source of discouraging news\u2014sinking test scores, teacher burnout, increasing crime, and, of course, racial conflict. Now there is at least one crack in the gloom, and I find myself genuinely excited about it.\nWhat\u2019s the point of this digression into the effects of school desegreg- ation on race relations? The point is to make two points. First, although the familiarity produced by contact usually leads to greater liking, the opposite occurs if the contact carries distasteful experiences with it. Therefore, when children of different racial groups are thrown into the incessant, harsh competition of the standard American classroom, we ought to see\u2014and we do see\u2014the worsening of hostilities. Second, the evidence that team-oriented learning is an antidote to this disorder may tell us about the heavy impact of cooperation on the liking process.\nBut before we assume that cooperation is a powerful cause of liking, we should first pass it through what, to my mind, is the acid test: Do compliance practitioners systematically use cooperation to get us to like them so we will say yes to their requests? Do they point it out when it exists naturally in a situation? Do they try to amplify it when it exists only weakly? And, most instructive of all, do they manufacture it when it is absent?\nAs it turns out, cooperation passes the test with colors flying. Com- pliance professionals are forever attempting to establish that we and they are working for the same goals, that we must \u201cpull together\u201d for mutual benefit, that they are, in essence, our teammates. A host of ex- amples is possible. Most are familiar, like the new-car salesman who\ntakes our side and \u201cdoes battle\u201d with his boss to secure us a good deal.19\nBut one rather spectacular illustration occurs in a setting few of us would recognize firsthand, because the professionals are police inter- rogators whose job is to induce suspects to confess to crime.\nIn recent years, the courts have imposed a variety of restrictions on the way police must behave in handling suspected criminals, especially in seeking confessions. Many procedures that in the past led to admis- sions of guilt can no longer be employed for fear that they will result in a judge\u2019s dismissal of the case. As yet, however, the courts have found nothing illegal in the use by the police of subtle psychology. For this reason, criminal interrogations have taken increasingly to the use of such ploys as the one they call Good Cop/Bad Cop.\nGood Cop/Bad Cop works as follows: A young robbery suspect, let\u2019s say, who has been advised of his rights and is maintaining his innocence, is brought to a room to be questioned by a pair of officers. One of the\n \n\nofficers, either because the part suits him or because it is merely his turn, plays the role of Bad Cop. Before the suspect even sits down, Bad Cop curses \u201cthe son of a bitch\u201d for the robbery. For the rest of the session his words come only with snarls and growls. He kicks the prisoner\u2019s chair to emphasize his points. When he looks at the man, he seems to see a mound of garbage. If the suspect challenges Bad Cop\u2019s accusations or just refuses to answer them, Bad Cop becomes livid. His rage soars. He swears he will do everything possible to assure a maximum sentence. He says he has friends in the district attorney\u2019s office who will hear from him of the suspect\u2019s noncooperative attitude and who will prosec- ute the case hard.\nAt the outset of Bad Cop\u2019s performance, his partner, Good Cop, sits in the background. Then, slowly, he starts to chip in. First he speaks only to Bad Cop, trying to temper the burgeoning anger. \u201cCalm down, Frank, calm down.\u201d But Bad Cop shouts back, \u201cDon\u2019t tell me to calm down when he\u2019s lying right to my face! I hate these lying bastards!\u201d A bit later, Good Cop actually says something in the suspect\u2019s behalf. \u201cTake it easy, Frank, he\u2019s only a kid.\u201d Not much in the way of support, but compared to the rantings of Bad Cop, the words fall like music on the prisoner\u2019s ears. Still, Bad Cop is unconvinced. \u201cKid? He\u2019s no kid. He\u2019s a punk. That\u2019s what he is, a punk. And I\u2019ll tell you something else. He\u2019s over eighteen, and that\u2019s all I need to get his ass sent so far behind bars they\u2019ll need a flashlight to find him.\u201d\nNow Good Cop begins to speak directly to the young man, calling him by his first name and pointing out any positive details of the case. \u201cI\u2019ll tell you, Kenny, you\u2019re lucky that nobody was hurt and you weren\u2019t armed. When you come up for sentencing, that\u2019ll look good.\u201d If the suspect persists in claiming innocence, Bad Cop launches into another tirade of curses and threats. But this time Good Cop stops him, \u201cOkay, Frank,\u201d handing Bad Cop some money, \u201cI think we could all use some coffee. How about getting us three cups?\u201d When Bad Cop is gone, it\u2019s time for Good Cop\u2019s big scene: \u201cLook, man, I don\u2019t know why, but my partner doesn\u2019t like you, and he\u2019s gonna try to get you. And he\u2019s gonna be able to do it because we\u2019ve got enough evidence right now. And he\u2019s right about the D.A.\u2019s office going hard on guys who don\u2019t cooperate. You\u2019re looking at five years, man, five years! Now, I don\u2019t want to see that happen to you. So if you admit you robbed that place right now, before he gets back, I\u2019ll take charge of your case and put in a good word for you to the D.A. If we work together on this, we can cut that five years down to two, maybe one. Do us both a favor, Kenny. Just tell me how you did it, and then let\u2019s start working on getting you through this.\u201d A full confession frequently follows.\nGood Cop/Bad Cop works as well as it does for several reasons: The\n \n\nfear of long incarceration is quickly instilled by Bad Cop\u2019s threats; the perceptual contrast principle ensures that compared to the raving, venomous Bad Cop, the interrogator playing Good Cop will seem like an especially reasonable and kind man; and because Good Cop has in- tervened repeatedly on the suspect\u2019s behalf\u2014has even spent his own money for a cup of coffee\u2014the reciprocity rule pressures for a return favor. The big reason that the technique is effective, though, is that it gives the suspect the idea that there is someone on his side, someone with his welfare in mind, someone working together with him, for him. In most situations, such a person would be viewed very favorably, but in the deep trouble our robbery suspect finds himself, that person takes on the character of a savior. And from savior, it is but a short step to trusted father confessor.\nConditioning and Association\n\u201cWhy do they blame me, Doc?\u201d It was the shaky telephone voice of a local TV weatherman. He had been given my number when he called the psychology department at my university to find someone who could answer his question\u2014a question that had always puzzled him but had recently begun to bother and depress him.\n\u201cI mean, it\u2019s crazy, isn\u2019t it? Everybody knows that I just report the weather, that I don\u2019t order it, right? So how come I get so much flak when the weather\u2019s bad? During the floods last year, I got hate mail! One guy threatened to shoot me if it didn\u2019t stop raining. Christ, I\u2019m still looking over my shoulder from that one. And the people I work with at the station do it, too! Sometimes, right on the air, they\u2019ll zing me about a heat wave or something. They have to know that I\u2019m not re- sponsible, but that doesn\u2019t seem to stop them. Can you help me under- stand this, Doc? It\u2019s really getting me down.\u201d\nWe made an appointment to talk in my office, where I tried to explain that he was the victim of an age-old click, whirr response that people have to things they perceive as merely connected to one another. In- stances of this response abound in modern life. But I felt that the ex- ample most likely to help the distressed weatherman would require a bit of ancient history. I asked him to consider the precarious fate of the imperial messengers of old Persia. Any such messenger assigned the role of military courier had special cause to hope mightily for Persian battlefield successes. With news of victory in his pouch, he would be treated as a hero upon his arrival at the palace. The food, drink, and women of his choice were provided gladly and sumptuously. Should his message tell of military disaster, though, the reception would be quite different: He was summarily slain.\n \n\nI hoped that the point of this story would not be lost on the weatherman. I wanted him to be aware of a fact that is as true today as it was in the time of ancient Persia, or, for that matter, in the time of Shakespeare, who captured the essence of it with one vivid line. \u201cThe nature of bad news,\u201d he said, \u201cinfects the teller.\u201d There is a natural hu- man tendency to dislike a person who brings us unpleas-ant informa- tion, even when that person did not cause the bad news. The simple\nassociation with it is enough to stimulate our dislike.20\nBut there was something else I hoped the weatherman would get from the historical examples. Not only was he joined in his predicament by centuries of other \u201ctellers,\u201d but also, compared to some, such as the Persian messengers, he was very well-off. At the end of our session, he said something to convince me that he appreciated this point quite clearly. \u201cDoc,\u201d he said on his way out, \u201cI feel a lot better about my job now. I mean, I\u2019m in Phoenix where the sun shines three hundred days a year, right? Thank God I don\u2019t do the weather in Buffalo.\u201d\nThe weatherman\u2019s parting comment reveals that he understood more than I had told him about the principle that was influencing his viewers\u2019 liking for him. Being connected with bad weather does have a negative effect. But on the other side of the coin, being connected with sunshine should do wonders for his popularity. And he was right. The principle of association is a general one, governing both negative and positive connections. An innocent association with either bad things or good\nthings will influence how people feel about us.21\nWeathermen pay price for nature\u2019s curve balls\nBy David L. Langford Associated Press\nTelevision weather forecasters make a good living talking about the weather, but when Mother Nature throws a curve ball, they duck for cover. Conversations with several veteran prognosticators across the country this week turned up stories of them being whacked by old ladies with umbrellas, accosted by drunks in bars, pelted with snowballs and galoshes, threatened with death, and\naccused of trying to play God.\n\u201cI had one guy call and tell me that if it snowed over Christmas, I wouldn\u2019t live to see New Year\u2019s,\u201d said Bob Gregory, who has been the forecaster at WTHR-TV in Indianapolis for nine years.\nMost of the forecasters claimed they are accurate 80 percent to 90 percent of the time on one-day forecasts, but longer-range predictions get tricky. And most con- ceded they are simply reporting information supplied by computers and anonymous meterologists from the National Weather Service or a private agency.\n \n\nBut it\u2019s the face on the television screen that people go after.\nTom Bonner, 35, who has been with KARK-TV in Little Rock, Ark., for 11 years, remembers the time a burly farmer from Lonoke, with too much to drink, walked up to him in a bar, poked a finger in his chest and said: \u201cYou\u2019re the one that sent that tornado and tore my house up\u2026I\u2019m going to take your head off.\u201d\nBonner said he looked for the bouncer, couldn\u2019t spot him, and replied, \u201cThat\u2019s right about the tornado, and I\u2019ll tell you something else, I\u2019ll send another one if you don\u2019t back off.\u201d\nSeveral years ago, when a major flood left water 10 feet deep in San Diego\u2019s Mission Valley, Mike Ambrose of KGTV recalls that a woman walked up to his car, whacked the windshield with an umbrella and said, \u201cThis rain is your fault.\u201d\nChuck Whitaker of WSBT-TV in South Bend, Ind., says, \u201cOne little old lady called the police department and wanted the weatherman arrested for bringing all the snow.\u201d\nA woman upset that it had rained for her daughter\u2019s wedding called Tom Jolls of WKBW-TV in Buffalo, N.Y., to give him a piece of her mind. \u201cShe held me re- sponsible and said if she ever met me she would probably hit me,\u201d he said.\nSonny Eliot of WJBK-TV, a forecaster in the Detroit area for 30 years, recalls predicting 2 to 4 inches of snow in the city several years ago and more than 8 came down. To retaliate, his colleagues at the station set up a contraption that rained about 200 galoshes on him while he was giving the forecast the next day.\n\u201cI\u2019ve still got the lumps to prove it,\u201d he says.\nFIGURE 5-2\nWeatherbeaten\nNote the similarities between the account of the weatherman who came to my office and those of other TV weather reporters.\n(DAVID L. LANGFORD, ASSOCIATED PRESS)\n\nOur instruction in how the negative association works seems to have been primarily undertaken by the mothers of our society. Remember how they were always warning us against playing with the bad kids down the street? Remember how they said it didn\u2019t matter if we did nothing bad ourselves because, in the eyes of the neighborhood, we would be \u201cknown by the company we kept.\u201d Our mothers were teaching us about guilt by association. They were giving us a lesson in the neg-\native side of the principle of association. And they were right. People do assume that we have the same personality traits as our friends.22\nAs for the positive associations, it is the compliance professionals who teach the lesson. They are incessantly trying to connect themselves or their products with the things we like. Did you ever wonder what all those good-looking models are doing standing around in the auto- mobile ads? What the advertiser hopes they are doing is lending their\n \n\npositive traits\u2014beauty and desirability\u2014to the cars. The advertiser is betting that we will respond to the product in the same ways we respond to the attractive models merely associated with it.\nAnd they are right. In one study, men who saw a new-car ad that included a seductive young woman model rated the car as faster, more appealing, more expensive-looking, and better designed than did men who viewed the same ad without the model. Yet when asked later, the\nmen refused to believe that the presence of the young woman had in- fluenced their judgments.23\nBecause the association principle works so well\u2014and so uncon- sciously\u2014manufacturers regularly rush to connect their products with the current cultural rage. During the days of the first American moon shot, everything from breakfast drink to deodorant was sold with allu- sions to the U.S. space program. In Olympiad years, we are told precisely which is the \u201cofficial\u201d hair spray and facial tissue of our Olympic\nteams.24 During the 1970s, when the magic cultural concept appeared\nto be \u201cnaturalness,\u201d the \u201cnatural\u201d bandwagon was crowded to capacity. Sometimes the connections to naturalness didn\u2019t even make sense: \u201cChange your hair color naturally,\u201d urged one popular TV commercial. The linking of celebrities to products is another way advertisers cash in on the association principle. Professional athletes are paid to connect themselves to things that can be directly relevant to their roles (sport shoes, tennis rackets, golf balls) or wholly irrelevant (soft drinks, pop- corn poppers, panty hose). The important thing for the advertiser is to establish the connection; it doesn\u2019t have to be a logical one, just a positive\none.\nOf course, popular entertainers provide another form of desirability that manufacturers have always paid dearly to tie to their goods. But recently, politicians have caught on to the ability of a celebrity linkage to sway voters. Presidential candidates assemble stables of well-known nonpolitical figures who either actively participate in the campaign or merely lend their names to it. Even at the state and local level, a similar game is played. Take as evidence the comment of a Los Angeles woman I overheard expressing her conflicting feelings about a California refer- endum to limit smoking in public places. \u201cIt\u2019s a real tough decision. They\u2019ve got big stars speaking for it, and big stars speaking against it. You don\u2019t know how to vote.\u201d\nIf politicians are relative newcomers to the use of celebrity endorse- ments, they are old hands at exploiting the association principle in other ways. For example, congressional representatives traditionally announce to the press the start of federal projects that will bring new jobs or benefits to their home states; this is true even when a represent-\n \n\native has had nothing to do with advancing the project or has, in some cases, voted against it.\nWhile politicians have long strained to associate themselves with the values of motherhood, country, and apple pie, it may be in the last of these connections\u2014to food\u2014that they have been most clever. For in- stance, it is White House tradition to try to sway the votes of balking legislators over a meal. It can be a picnic lunch, a sumptuous breakfast, or an elegant dinner; but when an important bill is up for grabs, out comes the silverware. And political fund-raising these days regularly involves the presentation of food. Notice, too, that at the typical fund- raising dinner the speeches, the appeals for further contributions and heightened effort never come before the meal is served, only during or after. The advantages to this pairing of the affairs of the table with those of the state are several: For example, time is saved and the reciprocity rule is engaged. The least recognized benefit, however, may be the one uncovered in research conducted in the 1930s by the distinguished psychologist Gregory Razran.\nUsing what he termed the \u201cluncheon technique,\u201d he found that his subjects became fonder of the people and things they experienced while they were eating. In the example most relevant for our purposes, Razran\u2019s subjects were presented with some political statements they had rated once before. At the end of the experiment, after all the polit- ical statements had been presented, Razran found that only certain of them had gained in approval\u2014those that had been shown while food was being eaten. And these changes in liking seem to have occurred unconsciously, since the subjects could not remember which of the statements they had seen during the food service.\nHow did Razran come up with the luncheon technique? What made him think it would work? The answer may lie in the dual scholarly roles he played during his career. Not only was he a respected independ- ent researcher, he was also one of the earliest translators into English of the pioneering psychological literature of Russia. It was a literature dedicated to the study of the association principle and dominated by the thinking of a brilliant man, Ivan Pavlov.\nAlthough a scientist of varied and elaborated talent\u2014he had, for in- stance, won a Nobel Prize years earlier for his work on the digestive system\u2014Pavlov\u2019s most important experimental demonstration was simplicity itself. He showed that he could get an animal\u2019s typical re- sponse to food (salivation) to be directed toward something irrelevant to food (a bell) merely by connecting the two things in the animal\u2019s mind. If the presentation of food to a dog was always accompanied by the sound of a bell, soon the dog would salivate to the bell alone, even when there was no food to be had.\n \n\nIt is not a long step from Pavlov\u2019s classic demonstration to Razran\u2019s luncheon technique. Obviously, a normal reaction to food can be transferred to some other thing through the process of raw association. Razran\u2019s insight was that there are many normal responses to food be- sides salivation, one of them being a good and favorable feeling. Therefore, it is possible to attach this pleasant feeling, this positive atti- tude, to anything (political statements being only an example) that is closely associated with good food.\nNor is there a long step from the luncheon technique to the compli- ance professionals\u2019 realization that all kinds of desirable things can substitute for food in lending their likable qualities to the ideas, products, and people artificially linked to them. In the final analysis, then, that is why those good-looking models are standing around in the magazine ads. And that is why radio programmers are instructed to insert the station\u2019s call-letters jingle immediately before a big hit song is played. And that is even why the women playing Barnyard Bingo at a Tupperware party must yell the word \u201cTupperware\u201d rather than \u201cBingo\u201d before they can rush to the center of the floor for a prize. It may be \u201cTupperware\u201d for the women, but it\u2019s \u201cBingo\u201d for the company.\nJust because we are often the unaware victims of compliance practi- tioners\u2019 use of the association principle doesn\u2019t mean that we don\u2019t understand how it works or don\u2019t use it ourselves. There is ample evidence, for instance, that we understand fully the predicament of a Persian imperial messenger or modern-day weatherman announcing bad news. In fact, we can be counted on to take steps to avoid putting ourselves in any similar positions. Research done at the University of Georgia shows just how we operate when faced with the task of com- municating good or bad news. Students waiting for an experiment to begin were given the job of informing a fellow student that an important phone call had come in for him. Half the time the call was supposed to bring good news and half the time, bad news. The researchers found that the students conveyed the information very differently, depending on its quality. When the news was positive, the tellers were sure to mention that feature: \u201cYou just got a phone call with great news. Better see the experimenter for the details.\u201d But when the news was unfavor- able, they kept themselves apart from it: \u201cYou just got a phone call. Better see the experimenter for the details.\u201d Obviously, the students had previously learned that, to be liked, they should connect themselves\nto good news but not bad news.25\nA lot of strange behavior can be explained by the fact that people understand the association principle well enough to strive to link\n \n\nthemselves to positive events and separate themselves from negative events\u2014even when they have not caused the events. Some of the strangest of such behavior takes place in the great arena of sports. The actions of the athletes are not the issue here, though. After all, in the heated contact of the game, they are entitled to an occasional eccentric outburst. Instead, it is the often raging, irrational, boundless fervor of the sports fan that seems, on its face, so puzzling. How can we account for wild sports riots in Europe, or the murder of players and referees by South American soccer crowds gone berserk, or the unnecessary lavishness of the gifts provided by local fans to already wealthy American ballplayers on the special \u201cday\u201d set aside to honor them? Rationally, none of this makes sense. It\u2019s just a game! Isn\u2019t it?\nHardly. The relationship between sport and the earnest fan is anything but gamelike. It is serious, intense, and highly personal. An apt illustra- tion comes from one of my favorite anecdotes. It concerns a World War II soldier who returned to his home in the Balkans after the war and shortly thereafter stopped speaking. Medical examinations could find no physical cause for the problem. There was no wound, no brain damage, no vocal impairment. He could read, write, understand a conversation, and follow orders. Yet he would not talk\u2014not for his doctors, not for his friends, not even for his pleading family.\nPerplexed and exasperated, his doctors moved him to another city and placed him in a veterans\u2019 hospital where he remained for thirty years, never breaking his self-imposed silence and sinking into a life of social isolation. Then one day, a radio in his ward happened to be tuned to a soccer match between his hometown team and a traditional rival. When at a crucial point of play the referee called a foul against a player from the man\u2019s home team, the mute veteran jumped from his chair, glared at the radio, and spoke his first words in more than three decades: \u201cYou dumb ass!\u201d he cried. \u201cAre you trying to give them the match?\u201d With that, he returned to his chair and to a silence he never again viol- ated.\nThere are two important lessons to be derived from this true story. The first concerns the sheer power of the phenomenon. The veteran\u2019s desire to have his hometown team succeed was so strong that it alone produced a deviation from his solidly entrenched way of life. Similar effects of sports events on the long-standing habits of fans are far from unique to the back wards of veterans\u2019 hospitals. During the 1980 Winter Olympics, after the U.S. hockey team had upset the vastly favored Soviet team, the teetotaling father of the American goaltender, Jim Craig, was offered a flask. \u201cI\u2019ve never had a drink in my life,\u201d he reported later, \u201cbut someone behind me handed me cognac. I drank it. Yes, I did.\u201d Nor was such unusual behavior unique to parents of the players. Fans out-\n \n\nside the hockey arena were described in news accounts as delirious: \u201cThey hugged, sang, and turned somersaults in the snow.\u201d Even those fans not present at Lake Placid exulted in the victory and displayed their pride with bizarre behavior. In Raleigh, North Carolina, a swim meet had to be halted when, after the hockey score was announced, the competitors and audience alike chanted \u201cU.S.A.! U.S.A.!\u201d until they were hoarse. In Cambridge, Massachusetts, a quiet supermarket erupted at the news into a riot of flying toilet tissue and paper towel streamers. The customers were joined in their spree\u2014and soon led\u2014by the market employees and manager.\nWithout question, the force is deep and sweeping. But if we return to the account of the silent veteran, we can see that something else is revealed about the nature of the union of sports and sports fan, some- thing crucial to its basic character: It is a personal thing. Whatever fragment of an identity that ravaged, mute man still possessed was engaged by soccer play. No matter how weakened his ego may have become after thirty years of wordless stagnation in a hospital ward, it was involved in the outcome of the match. Why? Because he, personally, would be diminished by a hometown defeat. How? Through the prin- ciple of association. The mere connection of birthplace hooked him, wrapped him, tied him to the approaching triumph or failure. As dis- tinguished author Isaac Asimov put it in describing our reactions to the contests we view, \u201cAll things being equal, you root for your own sex, your own culture, your own locality\u2026and what you want to prove is that you are better than the other person. Whomever you root for\nrepresents you; and when he wins, you win.\u201d26\nWhen viewed in this light, the passion of the sports fan begins to make sense. The game is no light diversion to be enjoyed for its inherent form and artistry. The self is at stake. That is why hometown crowds are so adoring and, more tellingly, so grateful toward those regularly responsible for home-team victories. That is also why the same crowds are often ferocious in their treatment of players, coaches, and officials implicated in athletic failures.\nFans\u2019 intolerance of defeat can shorten the careers of even successful players and coaches. Take the case of Frank Layden, who abruptly quit as coach of the NBA\u2019s Utah Jazz while the team was leading the league\u2019s Midwest Division. Layden\u2019s relative success, warm humor, and widely known charitable activities in the Salt Lake City area were not enough to shield him from the ire of some Jazz supporters after team losses. Citing a brace of incidents with abusive fans, including one in which people waited around for an hour to curse at him following a defeat, Layden explained his decision: \u201cSometimes in the NBA, you feel like a dog. I\u2019ve had people spit on me. I had a guy come up to me and say,\n \n\n\u2018I\u2019m a lawyer. Hit me, hit me, so I can sue you.\u2019 I think America takes all sports too seriously.\u201d\nSo we want our affiliated sports teams to win to prove our own su- periority. But to whom are we trying to prove it? Ourselves, certainly; but to everyone else, too. According to the association principle, if we can surround ourselves with success that we are connected with in even a superficial way (for example, place of residence), our public prestige will rise.\nAre sports fans right to think that without ever throwing a block, catching a ball, scoring a goal, or perhaps even attending a game, they will receive some of the glory from a hometown championship? I believe so. The evidence is in their favor. Recall that Persia\u2019s messengers did not have to cause the news, my weatherman did not have to cause the weather, and Pavlov\u2019s bell did not have to cause the food for powerful effects to occur. The association was enough.\nIt is for this reason that, were the University of Southern California to win the Rose Bowl, we could expect people with a Southern Cal connection to try to increase the visibility of that connection in any of a variety of ways. In one experiment showing how wearing apparel can serve to proclaim such an association, researchers counted the number of school sweatshirts worn on Monday mornings by students on the campuses of seven prominent football universities: Arizona State, Louisiana State, Notre Dame, Michigan, Ohio State, Pittsburgh, and Southern California. The results showed that many more home-school shirts were worn if the football team had won its game on the prior Saturday. What\u2019s more, the larger the margin of victory, the more such shirts appeared. It wasn\u2019t a close, hard-fought game that caused the students to dress themselves, literally, in success; instead, it was a clear, crushing conquest smacking of indisputable superiority.\nThis tendency to try to bask in reflected glory by publicly trumpeting our connections to successful others has its mirror image in our attempt to avoid being darkened by the shadow of others\u2019 defeat. In an amazing display during the luckless 1980 season, season-ticket-holding fans of the New Orleans Saints football team began to appear at the stadium wearing paper bags to conceal their faces. As their team suffered loss after loss, more and more fans donned the bags until TV cameras were regularly able to record the extraordinary image of gathered masses of people shrouded in brown paper with nothing to identify them but the tips of their noses. I find it instructive that during a late-season contest, when it was clear that the Saints were at last going to win one, the fans discarded their bags and went public once more.\nAll this tells me that we purposefully manipulate the visibility of our connections with winners and losers in order to make ourselves look\n \n\ngood to anyone who could view these connections. By showcasing the positive associations and burying the negative ones, we are trying to get observers to think more highly of us and to like us more. There are many ways we go about this, but one of the simplest and most pervasive is in the pronouns we use. Have you noticed, for example, how often after a home-team victory fans crowd into the range of a TV camera, thrust their index fingers high, and shout, \u201cWe\u2019re number one! We\u2019re number one!\u201d Note that the call is not \u201cThey\u2019re number one\u201d or even \u201cOur team is number one.\u201d The pronoun is \u201cwe,\u201d designed to imply the closest possible identity with the team.\nNote also that nothing similar occurs in the case of failure. No televi- sion viewer will ever hear the chant, \u201cWe\u2019re in last place! We\u2019re in last place!\u201d Home-team defeats are the times for distancing oneself. Here \u201cwe\u201d is not nearly as preferred as the insulating pronoun \u201cthey.\u201d To prove the point, I once did a small experiment in which students at Arizona State University were phoned and asked to describe the out- come of a football game their school team had played a few weeks earlier. Some of the students were asked the outcome of a certain game their team had lost; the other students were asked the outcome of a different game\u2014one their team had won. My fellow researcher, Avril Thorne, and I simply listened to what was said and recorded the per- centage of students who used the word \u201cwe\u201d in their descriptions. When the results were tabulated, it was obvious that the students had tried to connect themselves to success by using the pronoun \u201cwe\u201d to describe their school-team victory\u2014\u201cWe beat Houston, seventeen to fourteen,\u201d or \u201cWe won.\u201d In the case of the lost game, however, \u201cwe\u201d was rarely used. Instead, the students used terms designed to keep themselves separate from their vanquished team\u2014\u201cThey lost to Mis- souri, thirty to twenty,\u201d or \u201cI don\u2019t know the score, but Arizona State got beat.\u201d Perhaps the twin desires to connect ourselves to winners and to distance ourselves from losers were combined consummately in the remarks of one particular student. After dryly recounting the score of the home-team defeat\u2014\u201cArizona State lost it, thirty to twenty\u201d\u2014he blurted in anguish, \u201cThey threw away our chance for a national champi-\nonship!\u201d27\nIf it is true that, to make ourselves look good, we try to bask in the reflected glory of the successes we are even remotely associated with, a provocative implication emerges: We will be most likely to use this approach when we feel that we don\u2019t look so good. When-ever our public image is damaged, we will experience an increased desire to re- store that image by trumpeting our ties to successful others. At the same time, we will most scrupulously avoid publicizing our ties to failing\n \n\nothers. Support for these ideas comes from the telephone study of Ari- zona State University students. Before being asked about the home- team victory or loss, they were given a test of their general knowledge. The test was rigged so that some of the students would fail badly while the others would do quite well.\nSo at the time they were asked to describe the football score, half of the students had experienced recent image damage from their failure of the test. These students later showed the greatest need to manipulate their connections with the football team to salvage their prestige. If they were asked to describe the team defeat, only 17 percent used the pro- noun \u201cwe\u201d in so doing. If, however, they were asked to describe the win, 41 percent said \u201cwe.\u201d\nThe story was very different, though, for the students who had done well on the general knowledge test. They later used \u201cwe\u201d about equally, whether they were describing a home-team victory (25 percent) or defeat (24 percent). These students had bolstered their images through their own achievement and didn\u2019t need to do so through the achievement of others. This finding tells me that it is not when we have a strong feeling of recognized personal accomplishment that we will seek to bask in reflected glory. Instead, it will be when prestige (both public and private) is low that we will be intent upon using the successes of associated others to help restore image.\nI think it revealing that the remarkable hubbub following the Amer- ican hockey team victory in the 1980 Olympics came at a time of recently diminished American prestige. The U.S. government had been helpless to prevent both the holding of American hostages in Iran and the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. It was a time when, as a citizenry, we needed the triumph of that hockey team and we needed to display or even manufacture our connections to it. We should not be surprised to learn, for instance, that outside the hockey arena, in the aftermath of the win over the Soviet team, scalpers were getting a hundred dollars a pair for ticket stubs.\nAlthough the desire to bask in reflected glory exists to a degree in all of us, there seems to be something special about people who would wait in the snow to spend fifty dollars apiece for the shreds of tickets to a game they had not attended, presumably to \u201cprove\u201d to friends back home that they had been present at the big victory. Just what kind of people are they? Unless I miss my guess, they are not merely great sports aficionados; they are individuals with a hidden personality flaw\u2014a poor self-concept. Deep inside is a sense of low personal worth that directs them to seek prestige not from the generation or promotion of their own attainments, but from the generation or promotion of their associations with others of attainment. There are several varieties of\n \n\nthis species that bloom throughout our culture. The persistent name- dropper is a classic example. So, too, is the rock-music groupie, who trades sexual favors for the right to tell girlfriends that she was \u201cwith\u201d a famous musician for a time. No matter which form it takes, the beha- vior of such individuals shares a similar theme\u2014the rather tragic view of accomplishment as deriving from outside the self.\nCertain of these people work the association principle in a slightly different way. Instead of striving to inflate their visible connections to others of success, they strive to inflate the success of others they are visibly connected to. The clearest illustration is the notorious \u201cstage mother,\u201d obsessed with securing stardom for her child. Of course, wo- men are not alone in this regard. In 1991 a Davenport, Iowa, obstetrician cut off service to the wives of three school officials, reportedly because his son had not been given enough playing time in school basketball games. One of the wives was eight months\u2019 pregnant at the time.\nPhysicians\u2019 wives often speak of the pressures to obtain personal prestige by association with their husband\u2019s professional stature. John Pekkanen, who authored the book The Best Doctors in the U.S., reports that many enraged protests to his list came not from the physicians who were omitted but from their wives. In one instance that reveals the extent to which the principle of association dominates the thinking of some of these women, Pekkanen received a letter from a frantic wife along with her proof that her husband deserved to be on the list of best doctors. It was a photograph of the man with Merv Griffin.\nHOW TO SAY NO\nBecause liking can be increased by many means, a proper consideration of defenses against compliance professionals who employ the liking rule must, oddly enough, be a short one. It would be pointless to con- struct a horde of specific countertactics to combat each of the myriad versions of the various ways to influence liking. There are simply too many routes to be blocked effectively with such a one-on-one strategy. Besides, several of the factors leading to liking\u2014physical attractiveness, familiarity, association\u2014have been shown to work unconsciously to produce their effects on us, making it unlikely that we could muster a timely protection against them.\nInstead we need to consider a general approach, one that can be ap- plied to any of the liking-related factors to neutralize their unwelcome influence on our compliance decisions. The secret to such an approach may lie in its timing. Rather than trying to recognize and prevent the action of liking factors before they have a chance to work on us, we might be well advised to let them work. Our vigilance should be directed\n \n\nnot toward the things that may produce undue liking for a compliance practitioner, but toward the fact that undue liking has been produced. The time to react protectively is when we feel ourselves liking the practitioner more than we should under the circumstances.\nBy concentrating our attention on the effect rather than the causes, we can avoid the laborious, nearly impossible task of trying to detect and deflect the many psychological influences on liking. Instead, we have to be sensitive to only one thing related to liking in our contacts with compliance practitioners: the feeling that we have come to like the practitioner more quickly or more deeply than we would have expected. Once we notice this feeling, we will have been tipped off that there is probably some tactic being used, and we can start taking the necessary countermeasures. Note that the strategy I am suggesting borrows much from the jujitsu style favored by the compliance professionals them- selves. We don\u2019t attempt to restrain the influence of the factors that cause liking. Quite the contrary. We allow these factors to exert their force, and then we use that force in our campaign against them. The stronger the force, the more conspicuous it becomes and, consequently, the more subject to our alerted defenses.\nSuppose, for example, we find ourselves bargaining on the price of a new car with Dealin\u2019 Dan, a candidate for Joe Girard\u2019s vacated \u201cgreatest car salesman\u201d title. After talking a while and negotiating a bit, Dan wants to close the deal; he wants us to decide to buy the car. Before any such decision is made, it would be important to ask ourselves a crucial question: \u201cIn the twenty-five minutes I\u2019ve known this guy, have I come to like him more than I would have expected?\u201d If the answer is yes, we might want to reflect upon whether Dan behaved during those few minutes in ways that we know affect liking. We might recall that he had fed us (coffee and doughnuts) before launching into his pitch, that he had complimented us on our choice of options and color combinations, that he had made us laugh, that he had cooperated with us against the sales manager to get us a better deal.\nAlthough such a review of events might be informative, it is not a necessary step in protecting ourselves from the liking rule. Once we discover that we have come to like Dan more than we would have ex- pected to, we don\u2019t have to know why. The simple recognition of un- warranted liking should be enough to get us to react against it. One possible reaction would be to reverse the process and actively dislike Dan. But that might be unfair to him and contrary to our own interests. After all, some individuals are naturally likable, and Dan might just be one of them. It wouldn\u2019t be right to turn automatically against those compliance professionals who happen to be most likable. Besides, for our own sakes, we wouldn\u2019t want to shut ourselves off from business\n \n\ninteractions with such nice people, especially when they may be offering us the best available deal.\nI would recommend a different reaction. If our answer to the crucial question is \u201cYes, under the circumstances, I like this guy peculiarly well,\u201d this should be the signal that the time has come for a quick countermaneuver: Mentally separate Dan from that Chevy or Toyota he\u2019s trying to sell. It is vital to remember at this point that, should we decide for Dan\u2019s car, we will be driving it, not him, off the dealership lot. It is irrelevant to a wise automobile purchase that we find Dan likable because he is good-looking, claims an interest in our favorite hobby, is funny, or has relatives back where we grew up.\nOur proper response, then, is a conscious effort to concentrate exclus- ively on the merits of the deal and car Dan has for us. Of course, in making a compliance decision, it is always a good idea to keep separate our feelings about the requester and the request. But once immersed in even a brief personal and sociable contact with a requester, that distinc- tion is easy to forget. In those instances when we don\u2019t care one way or the other about a requester, forgetting to make the distinction won\u2019t steer us very far wrong. The big mistakes are likely to come when we are fond of the person making a request.\nThat\u2019s why it is so important to be alert to a sense of undue liking for a compliance practitioner. The recognition of that feeling can serve as our reminder to separate the dealer from the merits of the deal and to make our decision based on considerations related only to the latter. Were we all to follow this procedure, I am certain we would be much more pleased with the results of our exchanges with compliance profes- sionals\u2014though I suspect that Dealin\u2019 Dan would not.\nREADER\u2019S REPORT\nFrom a Chicago Man\n\u201cAlthough I\u2019ve never been to a Tupperware party, I recognized the same kind of friendship pressures recently when I got a call from a long-distance-phone-company saleswoman. She told me that one of my buddies had placed my name on something called the MCI Friends and Family Calling Circle.\n\u201cThis friend of mine, Brad, is a guy I grew up with but who moved to New Jersey last year for a job. He still calls me pretty regularly to get the news on the guys we used to hang out with from the neighborhood. The saleswoman told me that he can save twenty percent on all the calls he makes to the people on his Calling Circle list, provided that they are MCI-phone-company subscribers. Then she asked me if I wanted to\n \n\nswitch to MCI to get all the blah, blah, blah benefits of MCI service, and so that Brad could save twenty percent on his calls to me.\n\u201cWell, I couldn\u2019t have cared less about the benefits of MCI service; I was perfectly happy with the long-distance company I had. But the part about wanting to save Brad money on our calls really got to me. For me to say that I didn\u2019t want to be in his Calling Circle and didn\u2019t care about saving him money would have sounded like a real affront to our friendship when he learned of it. So, to avoid insulting him, I told her to switch me to MCI.\n\u201cI used to wonder why women would go to a Tupperware party just because a friend was holding it, and then buy stuff they didn\u2019t want once they were there. I don\u2019t wonder anymore.\u201d\nThis reader is not alone in being able to testify to the power of the pressures embodied in MCI\u2019s Calling Circle idea. When Consumer Reports magazine inquired into the practice, the MCI salesperson they interviewed was quite succinct: \u201cIt works nine out of ten times,\u201d he said.\n \nChapter 6\n\nAUTHORITY\nDirected Deference\n\nFollow an expert.\n\u2014VIRGIL\n\n\n\n\n\n\nUPPOSE THAT WHILE LEAFING THROUGH THE NEWSPAPER, YOU notice\nan ad for volunteers to take part in a \u201cstudy of memory\u201d being done in the psychology department of a nearby university. Let\u2019s suppose further that, finding the idea of such an experiment intriguing, you contact the director of the study, a Professor Stanley Milgram, and make arrangements to participate in an hour-long session. When you arrive at the laboratory suite, you meet two men. One is the researcher in charge of the experiment, as is clearly evidenced by the gray lab coat he wears and the clipboard he carries. The other is a volunteer like yourself who seems average in all respects.\nAfter initial greetings and pleasantries are exchanged, the researcher begins to explain the procedures to be followed. He says that the exper- iment is a study of how punishment affects learning and memory. Therefore, one participant will have the task of learning pairs of words in a long list until each pair can be recalled perfectly; this person is to be called the Learner. The other partici-pant\u2019s job will be to test the Learner\u2019s memory and to deliver increasingly strong electric shocks for every mistake; this person will be designated the Teacher.\nNaturally, you get a bit nervous at this news. And your apprehension increases when, after drawing lots with your partner, you find that you are assigned the Learner role. You hadn\u2019t expected the possibility of pain as part of the study, so you briefly consider leaving. But no, you\n \n\nthink, there\u2019s plenty of time for that if need be and, besides, how strong a shock could it be?\nAfter you have had a chance to study the list of word pairs, the re- searcher straps you into a chair and, with the Teacher looking on, at- taches electrodes to your arm. More worried now about the effect of the shock, you inquire into its severity. The researcher\u2019s response is hardly comforting; he says that although the shocks can be extremely painful, they will cause you \u201cno permanent tissue damage.\u201d With that, the researcher and the Teacher leave you alone and go to the next room, where the Teacher asks you the test questions through an intercom system and delivers electric punishment for every wrong response.\nAs the test proceeds, you quickly recognize the pattern that the Teacher follows: He asks the question and waits for your answer over the intercom. Whenever you err, he announces the voltage of the shock you are about to receive and pulls a level to deliver the punishment. The most troubling thing is that with each error you make, the shock increases by 15 volts.\nThe first part of the test progresses smoothly. The shocks are annoying but tolerable. Later on, though, as your mistakes accumulate and the shock voltages climb, the punishment begins to hurt enough to disrupt your concentration, which leads to more errors and ever more disruptive shocks. At the 75-, 90-, and 105-volt levels, the pain makes you grunt audibly. At 120 volts, you exclaim into the intercom that the shocks are really starting to hurt. You take one more punishment with a groan and decide that you can\u2019t take much more pain. After the Teacher delivers the 150-volt shock, you shout back into the intercom, \u201cThat\u2019s all! Get me out of here! Get me out of here, please! Let me out!\u201d\nBut instead of the assurance you expect from the Teacher that he and the researcher are coming to release you, the Teacher merely gives you the next test question to answer. Surprised and confused, you mumble the first answer to come into your head. It\u2019s wrong, of course, and the Teacher delivers a 165-volt shock. You scream at the Teacher to stop, to let you out. But he responds only with the next test question\u2014and with the next slashing shock when your frenzied answer is incorrect. You can\u2019t hold down the panic any longer; the shocks are so strong now they make you writhe and shriek. You kick the wall, demand to be released, beg the Teacher to help you. But the test questions continue as before and so do the dreaded shocks\u2014in searing jolts of 195, 210, 225, 240, 255, 270, 285, and 300 volts. You realize that you can\u2019t possibly answer the test correctly now, so you shout to the Teacher that you won\u2019t answer his questions any longer. Nothing changes; the Teacher interprets your failure to respond as an incorrect response and sends another bolt. The ordeal continues in this way until, finally, the power\n \n\nof the shocks stuns you into near paralysis. You can no longer cry out, no longer struggle. You can only feel each terrible electric bite. Perhaps, you think, this total inactivity will cause the Teacher to stop. There can be no reason to continue this experiment. But he proceeds relentlessly, calling out the test questions, announcing the horrid shock levels (about 400 volts now), and pulling the levers. What must this man be like? you wonder in confusion. Why doesn\u2019t he help me? Why won\u2019t he stop?\nFor most of us, the above scenario reads like a bad dream. To recog- nize how nightmarish it is, though, we should understand that in most respects it is real. There was such an experiment\u2014actually, a whole series\u2014run by a psychology professor named Milgram in which parti- cipants in the Teacher role were willing to deliver continued, intense, and dangerous levels of shock to a kicking, screeching, pleading other person. Only one major aspect of the experiment was not genuine. No real shock was delivered; the Learner, the victim who repeatedly cried out in agony for mercy and release, was not a true subject but an actor who only pretended to be shocked. The actual purpose of Milgram\u2019s study, then, had nothing to do with the effects of punishment on learning and memory. Rather, it involved an entirely different question: When it is their job, how much suffering will ordinary people be willing to inflict on an entirely innocent other person?\nThe answer is most unsettling. Under circumstances mirroring pre- cisely the features of the \u201cbad dream,\u201d the typical Teacher was willing to deliver as much pain as was available to give. Rather than yield to the pleas of the victim, about two thirds of the subjects in Milgram\u2019s experiment pulled every one of the thirty shock switches in front of them and continued to engage the last switch (450 volts) until the re- searcher ended the experiment. More alarming still, not one of the forty subjects in this study quit his job as Teacher when the victim first began to demand his release; nor later, when he began to beg for it; nor even later, when his reaction to each shock had become, in Milgram\u2019s words, \u201cdefinitely an agonized scream.\u201d Not until the 300-volt shock had been sent and the victim had \u201cshouted in desperation that he would no longer provide answers to the memory test\u201d did anyone stop\u2014and even then, it was a distinct minority who did.\nThese results surprised everyone associated with the project, Milgram included. In fact, before the study began, he asked groups of colleagues, graduate students, and psychology majors at Yale University (where the experiment was performed) to read a copy of the experimental procedures and estimate how many subjects would go all the way to the last (450-volt) shock. Invariably, the answers fell in the 1 to 2 percent range. A separate group of thirty-nine psychiatrists predicted that only\n \n\nabout one person in a thousand would be willing to continue to the end. No one, then, was prepared for the behavior patterns that the ex- periment actually produced.\nHow can we explain those alarming patterns? Perhaps, as some have argued, it has to do with the fact that the subjects were all males who are known as a group for their aggressive tendencies, or that the subjects didn\u2019t recognize the potential harm that such high shock voltages could cause, or that the subjects were a freakish collection of moral cretins who enjoyed the chance to inflict misery. But there is good evidence against each of these possibilities. First, the subjects\u2019 sex was shown by a later experiment to be irrelevant to their willingness to give all the shocks to the victim; female Teachers were just as likely to do so as the males in Milgram\u2019s initial study.\nThe explanation that subjects weren\u2019t aware of the potential physical danger to the victim was also examined in a subsequent experiment and found to be wanting. In that version, when the victim was instructed to announce that he had a heart condition and to declare that his heart was being affected by the shock\u2014\u201cThat\u2019s all. Get me out of here. I told you I had heart trouble. My heart\u2019s starting to bother me. I refuse to go on. Let me out\u201d\u2014the results were the same as before; 65 percent of the subjects carried out their duties faithfully through the maximum shock. Finally, the explanation that Milgram\u2019s subjects were a twisted, sad- istic bunch not at all representative of the average citizen has proven unsatisfactory as well. The people who answered Milgram\u2019s newspaper ad to participate in his \u201cmemory\u201d experiment represented a standard cross section of ages, occupations, and educational levels within our society. What\u2019s more, later on, a battery of personality scales showed these people to be quite normal psychologically, with not a hint of psychosis as a group. They were, in fact, just like you and me; or, as Milgram likes to term it, they are you and me. If he is right that his studies implicate us in their grisly findings, the unanswered question becomes an uncomfortably personal one: What could make us do such\nthings?\nMilgram is sure he knows the answer. It has to do, he says, with a deep-seated sense of duty to authority within us all. According to Mil- gram, the real culprit in the experiments was his subject\u2019s inability to defy the wishes of the boss of the study\u2014the lab-coated researcher who urged and, if need be, directed the subjects to perform their duties, despite the emotional and physical mayhem they were causing.\nThe evidence supporting Milgram\u2019s obedience to authority explana- tion is strong. First, it is clear that, without the researcher\u2019s directives to continue, the subjects would have ended the experiment quickly. They hated what they were doing and agonized over their victim\u2019s\n \n\nagony. They implored the researcher to let them stop. When he refused, they went on, but in the process they trembled, they perspired, they shook, they stammered protests and additional pleas for the victim\u2019s release. Their fingernails dug into their own flesh; they bit their lips until they bled; they held their heads in their hands; some fell into fits of uncontrollable nervous laughter. As one outside observer to the ex- periment wrote:\nI observed a mature and initially poised businessman enter the laboratory smiling and confident. Within twenty minutes he was reduced to a twitching, stuttering wreck who was rapidly approach- ing a point of nervous collapse. He constantly pulled on his earlobe and twisted his hands. At one point he pushed his fist into his forehead and muttered: \u201cOh, God, let\u2019s stop it.\u201d And yet he con-\ntinued to respond to every word of the experimenter and obeyed to the end.1\nIn addition to these observations, Milgram has provided even more convincing evidence for the obedience-to-authority interpretation of his subjects\u2019 behavior. In a later study, for instance, he had the researcher and the victim switch scripts so that the researcher told the Teacher to stop delivering shocks to the victim, while the victim insisted bravely that the Teacher continue. The result couldn\u2019t have been clearer; 100 percent of the subjects refused to give one additional shock when it was merely the fellow subject who demanded it. The identical finding ap- peared in another version of the experiment in which the researcher and fellow subject switched roles so that it was the researcher who was strapped into the chair and the fellow subject who ordered the Teacher to continue\u2014over the protests of the researcher. Again, not one subject touched another shock lever.\nThe extreme degree to which subjects in Milgram\u2019s situation were attentive to the wishes of authority was documented in yet another variation of the basic study. In this case, Milgram presented the Teacher with two researchers, who issued contradictory orders; one ordered the Teacher to terminate the shocks when the victim cried out for release, while the other maintained that the experiment should go on. These conflicting instructions reliably produced what may have been the project\u2019s only humor: In tragicomic befuddlement and with eyes darting from one researcher to another, subjects would beseech the pair to agree on a single command they could follow: \u201cWait, wait. Which is it going to be? One says stop, one says go. Which is it!?\u201d When the researchers remained at loggerheads, the subjects tried frantically to determine who was the bigger boss. Failing this route to obedience with the authority, every subject finally followed his better instincts and\n \n\nended the shocks. As in the other experimental variations, such a result would hardly be expected had the subjects\u2019 motivations involved some form of sadism or neurotic aggressiveness.2\nTo Milgram\u2019s mind, evidence of a chilling phenomenon emerges re- peatedly from his accumulated data: \u201cIt is the extreme willingness of adults to go to almost any lengths on the command of an authority that constitutes the chief finding of the study.\u201d There are sobering implica- tions of this finding for those concerned about the ability of another form of authority\u2014government\u2014to extract frightening levels of obed-\nience from ordinary citizens.3 Furthermore, the finding tells us some-\nthing about the sheer strength of authority pressures in controlling our behavior. After witnessing Milgram\u2019s subjects squirming and sweating and suffering at their task, could anyone doubt the power of the force that held them there?\nFor those whose doubts remain, the story of S. Brian Willson might prove instructive. On September 1, 1987, to protest U.S. shipments of military equipment to Nicaragua, Mr. Willson and two other men stretched their bodies across the railroad tracks leading out of the Concord, California, Naval Weapons Station. The protesters were con- fident that their act would halt the scheduled train\u2019s progress that day, as they had notified Navy and railroad officials of their intent three days before. But the civilian crew, which had been given orders not to stop, never even slowed the train, despite being able to see the protesters six hundred feet ahead. Although two of the men managed to scramble out of harm\u2019s way, Mr. Willson was not quick enough to avoid being struck and having both legs severed below the knee. Because Navy medical corpsmen at the scene refused to treat him or allow him to be taken to the hospital in their ambulance, onlookers\u2014including Mr. Willson\u2019s wife and son\u2014were left to try to stanch the flow of blood for forty-five minutes until a private ambulance arrived.\nAmazingly, Mr. Willson, who served four years in Vietnam, does not blame either the crewmen or the corpsmen for his misfortune; he points his finger, instead, at a system that constrained their actions through the pressure to obey: \u201cThey were just doing what I did in \u2019Nam. They were following orders that are part of an insane policy. They\u2019re the fall guys.\u201d Although the crew members shared Mr. Willson\u2019s assessment of them as victims, they did not share his magnanimity. In what is perhaps the most remarkable aspect of the incident, the train crew filed suit against him, requesting punitive damages for the \u201chumiliation, mental anguish, and physical stress\u201d they suffered because he hadn\u2019t allowed them to carry out their orders without cutting off his legs.\nWhenever we are faced with so potent a motivator of human action,\n \n\nit is natural to expect that good reasons exist for the motivation. In the case of obedience to authority, even a brief consideration of human social organization offers justification aplenty. A multilayered and widely accepted system of authority confers an immense advantage upon a society. It allows the development of sophisticated structures for re- source production, trade, defense, expansion, and social control that would otherwise be impossible. The other alternative, anarchy, is a state that is hardly known for its beneficial effects on cultural groups and one that the social philosopher Thomas Hobbes assures us would render life \u201csolitary, poor, nasty, brutish, and short.\u201d Consequently, we are trained from birth that obedience to proper authority is right and dis- obedience is wrong. The essential message fills the parental lessons, the schoolhouse rhymes, stories, and songs of our childhood and is carried forward in the legal, military, and political systems we encounter as adults. Notions of submission and loyalty to legitimate rule are ac- corded much value in each.\nReligious instruction contributes as well. The very first book of the Bible, for example, describes how failure to obey the ultimate authority produced the loss of paradise for Adam, Eve, and the rest of the human race. Should that particular metaphor prove too subtle, just a bit further into the Old Testament we can read\u2014in what might be the closest bib- lical representation of the Milgram experiment\u2014the respectful account of Abraham\u2019s willingness to plunge a dagger through the heart of his young son, because God, without any explanation, ordered it. We learn it this story that the correctness of an action was not adjudged by such considerations as apparent senselessness, harmfulness, injustice, or usual moral standards, but by the mere command of a higher authority. Abraham\u2019s tormented ordeal was a test of obedience, and he\u2014like Milgram\u2019s subjects, who perhaps had learned an early lesson from him\u2014passed.\nStories like those of Abraham and Milgram\u2019s subjects can tell us much about the power of and value for obedience in our culture. In another sense, however, they may be misleading as to the way obedience typic- ally occurs. We rarely agonize to such a degree over the pros and cons of authority\u2019s demands. In fact, our obedience frequently takes place in a click, whirr fashion, with little or no conscious deliberation. Inform- ation from a recognized authority can provide us a valuable shortcut for deciding how to act in a situation.\nAfter all, as Milgram himself suggests, conforming to the dictates of authority figures has always had genuine practical advantages for us. Early on, these people (for example, parents, teachers) knew more than we did, and we found that taking their advice proved beneficial\u2014partly because of their greater wisdom and partly because they controlled our\n \n\nrewards and punishments. As adults, the same benefits persist for the same reasons, though the authority figures now appear as employers, judges, and government leaders. Because their positions speak of super- ior access to information and power, it makes great sense to comply with the wishes of properly constituted authorities. It makes so much sense, in fact, that we often do so when it makes no sense at all.\nThis paradox is, of course, the same one that attends all major weapons of influence. In this instance, once we realize that obedience to authority is mostly rewarding, it is easy to allow ourselves the con- venience of automatic obedience. The simultaneous blessing and bane of such blind obedience is its mechanical character. We don\u2019t have to think; therefore, we don\u2019t. Although such mindless obedience leads us to appropriate action in the great majority of cases, there will be con- spicuous exceptions\u2014because we are reacting rather than thinking.\nLet\u2019s take an example from one facet of our lives where authority pressures are visible and strong: medicine. Health is enormously im- portant to us. Thus, physicians, who possess large amounts of know- ledge and influence in this vital area, hold the position of respected authorities. In addition, the medical establishment has a clearly terraced power and prestige structure. The various kinds of health workers well understand the level of their jobs in this structure; and they well under- stand, too, that the M.D. sits at the top. No one may overrule the doctor\u2019s judgment in a case, except perhaps, another doctor of higher rank. As a consequence, a long-established tradition of automatic obedience to a doctor\u2019s orders has developed among health-care staffs.\nThe worrisome possibility arises, then, that when a physician makes a clear error, no one lower in the hierarchy will think to question it\u2014precisely because, once a legitimate authority has given an order, subordinates stop thinking in the situation and start reacting. Mix this kind of click, whirr response into a complex hospital environment and mistakes are certain. Indeed a study done in the early 1980s by the U.S. Health Care Financing Administration showed that, for patient medic- ation alone, the average hospital had a 12 percent daily error rate. A decade later, things had not improved: According to a Harvard Univer- sity study, 10 percent of all cardiac arrests in hospitals are attributable to medication errors. Errors in the medicine patients receive can occur for a variety of reasons. However, a book entitled Medication Errors: Causes and Prevention by two Temple University pharmacology profess- ors, Michael Cohen and Neil Davis, attributes much of the problem to the mindless deference given the \u201cboss\u201d of the patient\u2019s case: the attend- ing physician. According to Professor Cohen, \u201cin case after case, patients, nurses, pharmacists, and other physicians do not question the prescrip- tion.\u201d Take, for example, the strange case of the \u201crectal earache\u201d reported\n \n\nby Cohen and Davis. A physician ordered ear drops to be administered to the right ear of a patient suffering pain and infection there. But instead of writing out completely the location \u201cright ear\u201d on the prescription, the doctor abbreviated it so that the instructions read \u201cplace in R ear.\u201d Upon receiving the prescription, the duty nurse promptly put the re- quired number of ear drops into the patient\u2019s anus.\nObviously, rectal treatment of an earache made no sense. Yet neither the patient nor the nurse questioned it. The important lesson of this story is that in many situations where a legitimate authority has spoken, what would otherwise make sense is irrelevant. In these instances, we don\u2019t consider the situation as a whole but attend and respond to only\none aspect of it.4\nWherever our behaviors are governed in such an unthinking manner, we can be confident that there will be compliance professionals trying to take advantage. We can stay within the field of medicine and see that advertisers have frequently harnessed the respect accorded to doctors in our culture by hiring actors to play the roles of doctors speaking on behalf of the product. My favorite example is a TV commercial featuring actor Robert Young counseling people against the dangers of caffeine and recommending caffeine-free Sanka Brand coffee. The commercial was highly successful, selling so much coffee that it was played for years in several versions. But why should this commercial prove so ef- fective? Why on earth would we take Robert Young\u2019s word for the health consequences of decaffeinated coffee? Because\u2014as the advertising agency that hired him knew perfectly well\u2014he is associated in the minds of the American public with Marcus Welby, M.D., the role he played in an earlier long-running television series. Objectively it doesn\u2019t make sense to be swayed by the comments of a man we know to be just an actor who used to play a doctor. But, as a practical matter, that man moved the Sanka.\nCONNOTATION, NOT CONTENT\nFrom the first time I saw it, the most intriguing feature for me in the Robert Young Sanka commercial was its ability to use the influence of the authority principle without ever providing a real authority. The appearance of authority was enough. This tells us something important about unthinking reactions to authority figures. When in a click, whirr mode, we are often as vulnerable to the symbols of authority as to the substance.\nThere are several kinds of symbols that can reliably trigger our com- pliance in the absence of the genuine substance of authority. Con- sequently, they are employed extensively by those compliance profes-\n \n\nsionals who are short on substance. Con artists, for example, drape themselves with the titles, clothes, and trappings of authority. They love nothing more than to emerge elegantly dressed from a fine auto- mobile and to introduce themselves to their prospective \u201cmark\u201d as Doctor or Judge or Professor or Commissioner Someone. They under- stand that when they are so equipped, their chances for compliance are greatly increased. Each of these three types of symbols of authority has its own story and is worth a separate look.\nTitles\nTitles are simultaneously the most difficult and the easiest symbols of authority to acquire. To earn one normally takes years of work and achievement. Yet it is possible for somebody who has put in none of this effort to adopt the mere label and receive a kind of automatic defer- ence. As we have seen, TV-commercial actors and con artists do it suc- cessfully all the time.\nI recently talked with a friend\u2014a faculty member at a well-known eastern university\u2014who provided a telling illustration of how our ac- tions are frequently more influenced by a title than by the nature of the person claiming it. My friend travels quite a bit and often finds himself chatting with strangers in bars, restaurants, and airports. He says that he has learned through much experience never to use his title\u2014profess- or\u2014during these conversations. When he does, he reports, the tenor of the interaction changes immediately. People who have been spontaneous and interesting conversation partners for the prior half hour become respectful, accepting, and dull. His opinions that earlier might have produced a lively exchange now usually generate extended (and highly grammatical) statements of accord. Annoyed and slightly bewildered by the phenomenon\u2014because, as he says, \u201cI\u2019m still the same guy they\u2019ve been talking to for the past thirty minutes, right?\u201d\u2014my friend now regularly lies about his occupation in such situations.\nWhat a refreshing shift from the more typical pattern in which certain compliance practitioners lie about titles they don\u2019t truly have. In either direction, however, such practiced dishonesty makes the same point about the sufficiency of a mere symbol of authority to influence behavi- or.\nI wonder whether my professor friend\u2014who is physically somewhat short\u2014would be so eager to hide his title if he knew that, besides making strangers more accommodating, it also makes them see him as taller. Studies investigating the way in which authority status affects perceptions of size have found that prestigious titles lead to height distortions. In one experiment conducted on five classes of Australian\n \n\ncollege students, a man was introduced as a visitor from Cambridge University in England. However, his status at Cambridge was repres- ented differently in each of the classes. To one class, he was presented as a student; to a second class, a demonstrator; to another, a lecturer; to yet another, a senior lecturer; to a fifth, a professor. After he left the room, each class was asked to estimate his height. It was found that with each increase in status, the same man grew in perceived height by an average of a half inch, so that as the \u201cprofessor\u201d he was seen as two\nand a half inches taller than as the \u201cstudent.\u201d5\nIt is worth the time of a small detour to pursue this interesting con- nection between status and perceived size, since it shows up in a variety of ways. In judging the size of coins, for example, children most overes- timate the size of the more valuable coins. And adults are just as guilty of such distortions. In one study, college students drew cards that had monetary values printed on them ranging from $3.00 to \u2013$3.00; they won or lost the amount shown on the cards they picked. Afterward, they were asked to rate the size of each card. Even though all cards were exactly the same size, those that had the more extreme values\u2014pos- itive or negative\u2014were seen as physically larger. Thus it is not neces- sarily the pleasantness of a thing that makes it seem bigger to us, it is\nits importance.6\nBecause we see size and status as related, it is possible for certain in- dividuals to benefit by substituting the former for the latter. In some animal societies, where the status of a male is assigned on the basis of dominance, size is an important factor in determining which male will\nachieve which status level in the group.7 Usually, in combat with a\nrival, the larger and more powerful male wins. To avoid the harmful effects to the group of such physical conflict, however, many species have adopted methods that frequently involve more form than fracas. The two males confront each other with showy aggression displays that invariably include size-enhancing tricks. Various mammals arch their backs and bristle their coats; fish extend their fins and puff themselves up with water; birds unfurl and flutter their wings. Very often, this ex- hibition alone is enough to send one of the histrionic warriors into re- treat, leaving the contested status position to his seemingly larger and stronger rival.\nFur, fins, and feathers. Isn\u2019t it interesting how these most delicate of parts can be exploited to give the impression of substance and weight? There are two lessons for us here. One is specific to the association between size and status. The connection of those two things can be profitably employed by individuals who are able to fake the first to gain the appearance of the second. This is precisely why con men, even\n \n\nthose of average or slightly above-average height, commonly wear lifts in their shoes.\nThe other lesson is more general: The outward signs of power and authority frequently may be counterfeited with the flimsiest of materials. Let\u2019s return to the realm of titles for an example\u2014an example that in- volves what, in several ways, is the scariest experiment I know. A group of researchers, composed of doctors and nurses with connections to three midwestern hospitals, became increasingly concerned with the extent of mechanical obedience to doctors\u2019 orders on the part of nurses. It seemed to the researchers that even highly trained and skilled nurses were not using that training or skill sufficiently to check on a doctor\u2019s judgment; instead, when confronted with a physician\u2019s directives, they would simply defer.\nEarlier, we saw how this process accounted for the case of the rectally administered ear drops. But the midwestern researchers took things several steps further. First, they wanted to find out whether such cases were isolated incidents or representative of a widespread phenomenon. Second, they wanted to examine the problem in the context of a serious treatment error\u2014the gross overprescription of an unauthorized drug to a hospital patient. Finally, they wanted to see what would happen if they physically removed the authority figure from the situation and substituted an unfamiliar voice on the phone, offering only the frailest evidence of authority\u2014the claimed title \u201cdoctor.\u201d\nTo twenty-two separate nurses\u2019 stations on various surgical, medical, pediatric, and psychiatric wards, one of the researchers made an identical phone call in which he identified himself as a hospital physician and directed the answering nurse to give twenty milligrams of a drug (Astrogen) to a specific ward patient. There were four excellent reasons for a nurse\u2019s caution in response to this order: (1) The prescription was transmitted by phone, in direct violation of hospital policy. (2) The medication itself was unauthorized; Astrogen had not been cleared for use nor placed on the ward stock list. (3) The prescribed dosage was obviously and dangerously excessive. The medication containers clearly stated that the \u201cmaximum daily dose\u201d was only ten milligrams, half of what had been ordered. (4) The directive was given by a man the nurse had never met, seen, or even talked with before on the phone. Yet, in 95 percent of the instances, the nurses went straightaway to the ward medicine cabinet, where they secured the ordered dosage of Astrogen and started for the patient\u2019s room to administer it. It was at this point that they were stopped by a secret observer, who revealed the nature of the experiment.\nThe results are frightening, indeed. That 95 percent of regular staff nurses complied unhesitatingly with a patently improper instruction\n \n\nof this sort must give us all great reason for concern as potential hospital patients. Given the recent U.S. Health Care Financing Administration estimate of a 12 percent daily-medication error rate in American hospit- als, stays of longer than a week make it likely that we will be recipients of such an error. What the midwestern study shows is that the mistakes are hardly limited to trivial slips in the administration of harmless ear drops or the like, but extend to grave and dangerous blunders.\nIn interpreting their unsettling findings, the researchers came to an instructive conclusion:\nIn a real-life situation corresponding to the experimental one, there would, in theory, be two professional intelligences, the doctor\u2019s and the nurse\u2019s, working to ensure that a given procedure be un- dertaken in a manner beneficial to the patient or, at the very least, not detrimental to him. The experiment strongly suggests, how- ever, that one of these intelligences is, for all practical purposes,\nnonfunctioning.8\nIt seems that, in the face of a physician\u2019s directives, the nurses un- hooked their \u201cprofessional intelligences\u201d and moved to a click, whirr form of responding. None of their considerable medical training or knowledge was engaged in the decision of what to do. Instead, because obedience to legitimate authority had always been the most preferred and efficient action in their work setting, they had become willing to err on the side of automatic obedience. It is all the more instructive that they had traveled so far in this direction that their error had come not\nin response to genuine authority but to its most easily falsified sym- bol\u2014a bare title.9\nClothes\nA second kind of authority symbol that can trigger our mechanical compliance is clothing. Though more tangible than a title, the cloak of authority is every bit as fakable. Police bunco files bulge with records of con artists whose artistry includes the quick change. In chameleon style, they adopt the hospital white, priestly black, army green, or police blue that the situation requires for maximum advantage. Only too late do their victims realize that the garb of authority is hardly its guarantee. A series of studies by social psychologist Leonard Bickman gives an indication of how difficult it can be to resist requests that come from figures in authority attire. Bickman\u2019s basic procedure was to ask pass- ersby on the street to comply with some sort of odd request (to pick up a discarded paper bag, to stand on the other side of a bus-stop sign). In half of the instances, the requester\u2014a young man\u2014was dressed in\n \n\nnormal street clothes; the rest of the time, he was dressed in a security guard\u2019s uniform. Regardless of the type of request, many more people obeyed the requester when he wore the guard costume.\nEspecially revealing was one version of the experiment in which the requester stopped pedestrians and pointed to a man standing by a parking meter fifty feet away. The requester, whether dressed normally or as a security guard, always said the same thing to the pedestrian: \u201cYou see that guy over there by the meter? He\u2019s overparked but doesn\u2019t have any change. Give him a dime!\u201d The requester then turned a corner and walked away so that by the time the pedestrian reached the meter, the requester was out of sight. The power of his uniform lasted, how- ever, even after he was long gone: Nearly all the pedestrians complied with his directive when he had worn the guard costume, but fewer than half did so when he had dressed normally. It is interesting to note that later on, Bickman found college students able to guess with considerable accuracy the percentage of compliance that had occurred in the experi- ment when the requester wore street clothes (50 percent vs. the actual 42 percent); yet the students greatly underestimated the percentage of\ncompliance when he was in uniform (63 percent vs. the actual 92 per- cent).10\nLess blatant in its connotation than a uniform, but nonetheless effect- ive, is another kind of attire that has traditionally bespoken authority status in our culture: the well-tailored business suit. It, too, can evoke a telling form of deference from total strangers. Research conducted in Texas, for instance, arranged for a thirty-one-year-old man to violate the law by crossing the street against the traffic light on a variety of occasions. In half of the cases, he was dressed in a freshly pressed business suit and tie; on the other occasions, he wore a work shirt and trousers. The researchers watched from a distance and counted the number of pedestrians waiting at the corner who followed the man across the street. Like the children of Hamelin who crowded after the Pied Piper, three and a half times as many people swept into traffic behind the suited jaywalker. In this case, though, the magic came not\nfrom his pipe but his pinstripes.11\nIt is noteworthy that the two types of authority apparel shown by the above research to be influential\u2014the guard uniform and business suit\u2014are combined deftly by confidence men in a fraud called the bank- examiner scheme. The target of the swindle can be anyone, but elderly persons living alone are preferred. The con begins when a man dressed in a properly conservative three-piece business suit appears at the door of a likely victim. Everything about his clothing sends a message of propriety and respectability. The white shirt is starched; the wing-tip shoes glow deeply. His suit is not trendy but classic: The lapels are three\n \n\ninches wide\u2014no more, no less; the cloth is heavy and substantial, even in July; the tones are muted, business blue, business gray, business black.\nHe explains to his intended victim\u2014perhaps a widow he secretly followed home from the bank a day or two earlier\u2014that he is a profes- sional bank examiner who, in the course of auditing the books of her bank, has found some seeming irregularities. He thinks he has spotted the culprit, a bank officer who is regularly doctoring reports of transac- tions in certain accounts. He says that the widow\u2019s account may be one of these, but he can\u2019t be sure until he has hard evidence. Therefore, he has come to ask for her cooperation. Would she help out by withdrawing her savings so a team of examiners and responsible bank officials can trace the record of the transaction as it passes across the suspect\u2019s desk? Often the appearance and presentation of the \u201cbank examiner\u201d are so impressive that the victim never thinks to check on their validity with even a simple phone call. Instead, she drives to the bank, with- draws all her money, and returns home with it to wait with the \u201cexam- iner\u201d for word on the success of the trap. When the message comes, it is delivered by a uniformed bank guard, who arrives after closing hours to announce that all is well\u2014apparently the widow\u2019s account was not one of those being tampered with. Greatly relieved, the \u201cexaminer\u201d offers gracious thanks and, since the bank is now conveniently closed, instructs the guard to return the lady\u2019s money to the vault, to save her the trouble of doing so the next day. With smiles and handshakes all around, the guard takes the funds and leaves the \u201cexaminer\u201d to express a few more minutes of thanks before he, too, exits. Naturally, as the victim eventually discovers, the \u201cguard\u201d is no more a guard than the \u201cexaminer\u201d is an examiner. What they are is a pair of bunco artists who have recognized the capacity of carefully counterfeited uniforms to\nclick us into mesmerized compliance with \u201cauthority.\u201d\nTrappings\nAside from its function in uniforms, clothing can symbolize a more generalized type of authority when it serves an ornamental purpose. Finely styled and expensive clothes carry an aura of status and position, as do trappings such as jewelry and cars. The last of these status symbols is particularly interesting in the United States, where \u201cthe American love affair with the automobile\u201d gives it unusual significance.\nAccording to the findings of a study done in the San Francisco Bay area, owners of prestige autos receive a special kind of deference from us. The experimenters discovered that motorists would wait significantly longer before honking their horns at a new, luxury car stopped in front\n \n\nof a green traffic light than at an older, economy model. The motorists had little patience with the economy-car driver: Nearly all sounded their horns, and the majority of these did so more than once; two simply rammed into his rear bumper. So intimidating was the aura of the prestige automobile, however, that 50 percent of the motorists waited\nrespectfully behind it, never touching their horns, until it drove on.12\nLater on, the researchers asked college students what they would have done in such situations. Compared to the true findings of the ex- periment, the students consistently underestimated the time it would take them to honk at the luxury car. The male students were especially inaccurate, feeling that they would honk faster at the prestige- than the economy-car driver; of course, the study itself showed just the opposite. Note the similarity of this pattern to much other research on authority pressures. As in Milgram\u2019s research, the midwestern hospital-nurses\u2019 study, and the security-guard-uniform experiment, people were unable to predict correctly how they or others would react to authority influ- ence. In each instance, the effect of such influence was grossly underes- timated. This property of authority status may account for much of its success as a compliance device. Not only does it work forcefully on us, but it also does so unexpectedly.\nHOW TO SAY NO\nOne protective tactic we can use against authority status is to remove its element of surprise. Because we typically misperceive the profound impact of authority (and its symbols) on our actions, we are at the dis- advantage of being insufficiently cautious about its presence in compli- ance situations. A fundamental form of defense against this problem, therefore, is a heightened awareness of authority power. When this awareness is coupled with a recognition of how easily authority symbols can be faked, the benefit will be a properly guarded approach to situ- ations involving authority-influence attempts.\nSounds simple, right? And in a way it is. A better understanding of the workings of authority influence should help us resist it. Yet there is a perverse complication\u2014the familiar one inherent in all weapons of influence: We shouldn\u2019t want to resist altogether, or even most of the time. Generally, authority figures know what they are talking about. Physicians, judges, corporate executives, legislative leaders, and the like have typically gained their positions because of superior knowledge and judgment. Thus, as a rule, their directives offer excellent counsel. The trick is to be able to recognize without much strain or vigilance when authority promptings are best followed and when they should be resisted.\n \n\nPosing two questions to ourselves can help enormously to accomplish this trick. The first is to ask, when we are confronted with what appears to be an authority figure\u2019s influence attempt, \u201cIs this authority truly an expert?\u201d The question is helpful because it focuses our attention on a pair of crucial pieces of information: the authority\u2019s credentials and the relevance of those credentials to the topic at hand. By orienting in this simple way toward the evidence for authority status, we can avoid the major pitfalls of automatic deference. An illustration or two is in order. Let\u2019s examine the highly successful Robert Young Sanka-coffee commercial in this light. If, rather than responding to his \u201cMarcus Welby, M.D.\u201d association, people had focused on Mr. Young\u2019s actual status as an authority, I am confident that the commercial would not have had so long and productive a run. Obviously, Robert Young does not possess a physician\u2019s training or knowledge. We all know that. What he does possess, however, is a physician\u2019s title, \u201cM.D.\u201d Now, clearly, it is an empty title, connected to him in our minds through the device of playacting. We all know that, too. But isn\u2019t it fascinating how, when we are whirring along, what is obvious often doesn\u2019t matter unless\nwe pay specific attention to it?\nThat is why the \u201cIs this authority truly an expert?\u201d question can be so valuable: It brings our attention to the obvious. It channels us effort- lessly away from a focus on possibly meaningless symbols to a consid- eration of genuine authority credentials. What\u2019s more, the question impels us to distinguish between relevant authorities and irrelevant authorities. And this is a distinction that is easy to forget when the push of authority pressure is combined with the rush of modern life. The Texas pedestrians who bustled into city traffic behind a business-suited jaywalker offer a prime example. Even if the man had been the business authority his clothes suggested he might be, he was unlikely to be a greater authority on crossing the street than other people, including those who followed him into traffic.\nStill, they did follow, as if his label, \u201cauthority,\u201d overwhelmed the vital difference between relevant and irrelevant forms. Had they bothered to ask themselves whether he represented a true expert in the situation, someone whose actions reflected superior knowledge there, I expect the result would have been quite different. The same process applies to Robert Young, a man who is not without expertise. He has fashioned a long career with many achievements in a difficult business. But his skills and knowledge are as an actor, not a doctor. When, in viewing the famous coffee commercial, we focus on his true credentials, we will realize quickly that he should be no more believed than any other successful actor who claims that Sanka is healthy.\n \n\nSuppose, though, we are confronted with an authority we determine is a relevant expert. Before submitting to authority influence, it would be wise to ask a second simple question: \u201cHow truthful can we expect the expert to be here?\u201d Authorities, even the best informed, may not present their information honestly to us. Therefore we need to consider their trustworthiness in the situation. In fact, most of the time, we do. We allow ourselves to be much more swayed by experts who seem to\nbe impartial than by those who have something to gain by convincing us; and this has been shown by research to be true around the world.13 By wondering how an expert stands to benefit from our compliance,\nwe give ourselves another safety net against undue and automatic in- fluence. Even knowledgeable authorities in a field will not persuade us until we are satisfied that their messages represent the facts faithfully. When asking ourselves about such a person\u2019s trustworthiness, we should keep in mind a little tactic compliance practitioners often use to assure us of their sincerity: They will seem to argue to a degree against their own interests. Correctly done, this can be a subtly effective device for proving their honesty. Perhaps they will mention a small shortcom- ing in their position or product (\u201cOh, the disadvantages of Benson & Hedges\u201d). Invariably, though, the drawback will be a secondary one that is easily overcome by more significant advantages\u2014\u201cListerine, the taste you hate three times a day\u201d; \u201cAvis: We\u2019re number two, but we try harder\u201d; \u201cL\u2019Or\u00e9al, a bit more expensive and worth it.\u201d By establishing their basic truthfulness on minor issues, the compliance professionals who use this ploy can then be more believable when stressing the im-\nportant aspects of their argument.14\nI have seen this approach used with devastating effect in a place that few of us recognize as a compliance setting: the restaurant. It is no secret that because of shamelessly low wages, servers in restaurants must supplement their earnings with tips. Leaving the sine qua non of good service aside, the most successful waiters and waitresses know certain tricks for increasing tips. They also know that the larger a customer\u2019s bill, the larger the amount of money likely to come to them in a standard gratuity. In these two regards, then\u2014building the size of the customer\u2019s charge and building the percentage of that charge that is given as a tip\u2014servers regularly act as compliance agents.\nHoping to find out how they operate, I applied for waiter openings at several fairly expensive restaurants. Without experience, though, the best I could do was to land a busboy job that, as things turned out, provided me a propitious vantage point from which to watch and analyze the action. Before long, I realized what the other employees already knew\u2014that the most successful waiter in the place was Vincent,\n \n\nwho somehow arranged for patrons to order more and tip higher than for anyone else; in fact, the other servers were not even close to him in weekly earnings.\nSo I began to linger in my duties around Vincent\u2019s tables to observe his style. I quickly learned that his style was to have no single style. He had a repertoire of them, each ready to be called on under the appropri- ate circumstances. When the customers were a family, he was efferves- cent\u2014even slightly clownish\u2014directing his remarks as often to the children as to the adults. With a young couple on a date, he became formal and a bit imperious in an attempt to intimidate the young man (to whom he spoke exclusively) into ordering and tipping lavishly. With an older, married couple, he retained the formality but dropped the superior air in favor of a respectful orientation to both members of the couple. Should the patron be dining alone, Vincent selected a friendly demeanor\u2014cordial, conversational, and warm.\nBut Vincent reserved the trick of seeming to argue against his own interests for large parties of eight to twelve people. Here his technique was veined with genius. When it was time for the first person, normally a lady, to order, he went into his act. No matter what she selected, Vincent reacted identically: His brow furrowed, his hand hovered above his order pad, and after looking quickly over his shoulder for the manager, he leaned conspiratorially toward the table to report for all to hear, \u201cI\u2019m afraid that is not as good tonight as it normally is. Might I recommend instead the\tor the\t?\u201d (Here Vincent suggested a pair of menu items that were fifty cents or so less expensive than the dish the patron had selected initially.) \u201cThey are both excellent tonight.\u201d With this single maneuver, Vincent engaged several important prin- ciples of influence. First, even those who did not take his suggestions felt that Vincent had done them a favor by offering valuable information to help them order. Everyone felt grateful, and consequently the rule for reciprocity would work in his favor when it came time to decide on his gratuity. But besides hiking the percentage of his tip, Vincent\u2019s maneuver also placed him in a favorable position to increase the size of the table\u2019s order. It established him as an authority on the current stores of the house; he clearly knew what was and wasn\u2019t good that night. Moreover\u2014and this is where seeming to argue against his own interests came in\u2014it proved him to be a trustworthy informant, because he recommended dishes that were slightly less expensive than originally ordered. Rather than trying to line his own pockets, he seemed to have\nthe customers\u2019 best interests at heart.\nTo all appearances, he was at once knowledgeable and honest, a combination that gave him great credibility. And Vincent was quick to exploit the advantage of this credible image. When the party had fin-\n \n\nished giving their food orders, he would say, \u201cVery well, and would you like me to suggest or select some wine to go with your meals?\u201d As I watched the scene repeated almost nightly, there was a notable con- sistency to the customers\u2019 reactions\u2014smiles, nods, and for the most part, general assent.\nEven from the distance of my vantage point, one could read their thoughts from their faces. \u201cSure,\u201d they seemed to say, \u201cyou know what\u2019s good here, and you\u2019re obviously on our side. Tell us what to get.\u201d Looking pleased, Vincent, who did know his vintages, would respond with some excellent (and costly) choices. He was similarly persuasive when it came time for dessert decisions. Patrons who otherwise would have passed up the dessert course or shared with a friend were swayed to partake fully by Vincent\u2019s rapturous descriptions of the Baked Alaska and chocolate mousse. Who, after all, is more believable than a demon- strated expert of proven sincerity?\nBy combining the factors of reciprocity and credible authority into a single, elegant maneuver, Vincent was able to inflate substantially both the percentage of his tip and the base charge on which it was figured. His proceeds from this trick were handsome, indeed. But notice that much of his profit came from an apparent lack of concern for personal profit. Seeming to argue against his financial interests served those in- terests extremely well.\nREADER\u2019S REPORT\nFrom a Young Businessman\n\u201cAbout two years ago, I was trying to sell my old car because I\u2019d already bought a new one. One day I passed a used-car lot with a sign reading, WE WILL SELL YOUR CAR FOR MORE. Just what I wanted, I thought; so I stopped in to talk with the owner. I told him I wanted to get about three thousand dollars for my old car, and he said he thought I should be asking for a lot more because it was worth at least thirty-five-hundred dollars. This came as a real surprise to me, because the way their con- signment system worked, the larger my asking price for the car, the less money was left over for them to keep after they sold it to somebody. Therefore, by telling me to ask for more than three thousand dollars, they were cutting off their own profits. Just like your Vincent-the-waiter example, they were seeming to argue against their own interests so I\u2019d see them as trustworthy authorities; but I didn\u2019t realize this until much later. Anyway, I went along with the owner\u2019s idea that my car was worth more than I\u2019d first thought, and I set my asking price at thirty- five-hundred dollars.\n\u201cAfter they\u2019d had my car on their lot for a couple of days, they called\n \n\nsaying that someone was really interested in it, but that the price was a little too high. Would I be willing to drop my price by two hundred dollars to sell the car? Convinced that they had my interests at heart, I agreed. The next day they called back to say the the buyer\u2019s financing had fallen through and that he couldn\u2019t buy the car. In the next two weeks, I got two more calls from the dealership, each asking me to drop my price two hundred dollars to seal a sale to some customer. Both times I OK\u2019d it because I still believed they were trustworthy. But each time, the alleged deal fell through. I was suspicious enough to call a friend whose family was in the car business. He said this was an old trick designed to get sellers like me to reduce their asking prices to super low levels, giving the dealership big profits when they finally sold the car.\n\u201cSo, I went over there and took my car. As I was leaving, they were still trying to persuade me to let them keep it because they had a \u2018hot prospect\u2019 who they were sure would buy it if I\u2019d only knock off another two hundred dollars.\u201d\nOnce again in a Reader\u2019s Report we can see the influence of the contrast principle combining with the principle of primary interest. In this case, after the thirty-five-hundred-dollar figure was set, each\ntwo-hundred-dollar nick seemed small by comparison.\n \nChapter 7\n\nSCARCITY\nThe Rule of the Few\n\nThe way to love anything is to realize that it might be lost.\n\u2014G. K. CHESTERTON\n\n\n\n\n\n\nHE CITY OF MESA, ARIZONA, IS A SUBURB IN THE PHOENIX AREA where\nI live. Perhaps the most notable features of Mesa are its sizable Mormon population\u2014next to that of Salt Lake City, the largest in the world\u2014and a huge Mormon temple located on exquisitely kept grounds in the center of the city. Although I had appreciated the landscaping and architecture from a distance, I had never been interested enough in the temple to go inside until the day I read a newspaper article that told of a special inner sector of Mormon temples to which no one has access but faithful members of the Church. Even potential converts must not see it. There is one exception to the rule, however. For a few days immediately after a temple is newly constructed, nonmembers are allowed to tour the entire structure, including the otherwise restric- ted section.\nThe newspaper story reported that the Mesa temple had recently been refurbished and that the renovations had been extensive enough to classify it as \u201cnew\u201d by Church standards. Thus, for the next several days only, non-Mormon visitors could see the temple area traditionally banned to them. I remember quite well the effect of the article on me: I immediately resolved to take a tour. But when I phoned a friend to ask if he wanted to come along, I came to understand something that changed my decision just as quickly.\nAfter declining the invitation, my friend wondered why I seemed so\n \n\nintent on a visit. I was forced to admit that, no, I had never been inclined toward the idea of a temple tour before, that I had no questions about the Mormon religion I wanted answered, that I had no general interest in the architecture of houses of worship, and that I expected to find nothing more spectacular or stirring than I might see at a number of other temples, churches, or cathedrals in the area. It became clear as I spoke that the special lure of the temple had a sole cause: If I did not experience the restricted sector shortly, I would never again have the chance. Something that, on its own merits, held little appeal for me had become decidedly more attractive merely because it would soon become unavailable.\nSince that encounter with the scarcity principle\u2014that opportunities seem more valuable to us when their availability is limited\u2014I have begun to notice its influence over a whole range of my actions. For in- stance, I routinely will interrupt an interesting face-to-face conversation to answer the ring of an unknown caller. In such a situation, the caller has a compelling feature that my face-to-face partner does not: potential unavailability. If I don\u2019t take the call, I might miss it (and the information it carries) for good. Never mind that the ongoing conversation may be highly engaging or important\u2014much more than I could reasonably expect an average phone call to be. With each unanswered ring, the phone interaction becomes less retrievable. For that reason and for that moment, I want it more than the other.\nThe idea of potential loss plays a large role in human decision making. In fact, people seem to be more motivated by the thought of losing something than by the thought of gaining something of equal value. For instance, homeowners told how much money they could lose from inadequate insulation are more likely to insulate their homes than those told how much money they could save. Similar results have been ob- tained by health researchers: Pamphlets urging young women to check for breast cancer through self-examinations are significantly more suc- cessful if they state their case in terms of what stands to be lost (e.g., \u201cYou can lose several potential health benefits by failing to spend only five minutes each month doing breast self-examination\u201d) rather than gained (e.g., \u201cYou can gain several potential health benefits by spending\nonly five minutes each month doing breast self-examination\u201d).1\nCollectors of everything from baseball cards to antiques are keenly aware of the influence of the scarcity principle in determining the worth of an item. As a rule, if it is rare or becoming rare, it is more valuable. Especially enlightening as to the importance of scarcity in the collectibles market is the phenomenon of the \u201cprecious mistake.\u201d Flawed items\u2014a blurred stamp or a double-struck coin\u2014are sometimes the most valued\n \n\nof all. Thus a stamp carrying a three-eyed likeness of George Washington is anatomically incorrect, aesthetically unappealing, and yet highly sought after. There is instructive irony here: Imperfections that would otherwise make for rubbish make for prized possessions when they bring along an abiding scarcity.\nWith the scarcity principle operating so powerfully on the worth we assign things, it is natural that compliance professionals will do some related operating of their own. Probably the most straightforward use of the scarcity principle occurs in the \u201climited-number\u201d tactic, when the customer is informed that a certain product is in short supply that cannot be guaranteed to last long. During the time I was researching compliance strategies by infiltrating various organizations, I saw the limited-number tactic employed repeatedly in a range of situations: \u201cThere aren\u2019t more than five convertibles with this engine left in the state. And when they\u2019re gone, that\u2019s it, \u2019cause we\u2019re not making \u2019em anymore.\u201d \u201cThis is one of only two unsold corner lots in the entire de- velopment. You wouldn\u2019t want the other one; it\u2019s got a nasty east-west exposure.\u201d \u201cYou may want to think seriously about buying more than one case today because production is backed way up and there\u2019s no telling when we\u2019ll get any more in.\u201d\nSometimes the limited-number information was true, sometimes it was wholly false. But in each instance, the intent was to convince cus- tomers of an item\u2019s scarcity and thereby increase its immediate value in their eyes. I admit to developing a grudging admiration for the practitioners who made this simple device work in a multitude of ways and styles. I was most impressed, however, with a particular version that extended the basic approach to its logical extreme by selling a piece of merchandise at its scarcest point\u2014when it seemingly could no longer be had. The tactic was played to perfection in one appliance store I in- vestigated, where 30 to 50 percent of the stock was regularly listed as on sale. Suppose a couple in the store seemed from a distance to be moderately interested in a certain sale item. There are all sorts of cues that tip off such interest\u2014closer-than-normal examination of the appli- ance, a casual look at any instruction booklets associated with the ap- pliance, discussions held in front of the appliance, but no attempt to seek out a salesperson for further information. After observing the couple so engaged, a salesperson might approach and say, \u201cI see you\u2019re interested in this model here, and I can understand why; it\u2019s a great machine at a great price. But, unfortunately, I sold it to another couple not more than twenty minutes ago. And, if I\u2019m not mistaken, it was the last one we had.\u201d\nThe customers\u2019 disappointment registers unmistakably. Because of its lost availability, the appliance jumps suddenly in attractiveness.\n \n\nTypically, one of the customers asks if there is any chance that an unsold model still exists in the store\u2019s back room, warehouse, or other location. \u201cWell,\u201d the salesperson allows, \u201cthat is possible, and I\u2019d be willing to check. But do I understand that this is the model you want and if I can get it for you at this price, you\u2019ll take it?\u201d Therein lies the beauty of the technique. In accord with the scarcity principle, the customers are asked to commit to buying the appliance when it looks least available\u2014and therefore most desirable. Many customers do agree to a purchase at this singularly vulnerable time. Thus, when the salesperson (invariably) returns with the news that an additional supply of the appliance has been found, it is also with a pen and sales contract in hand. The inform- ation that the desired model is in good supply may actually make some\ncustomers find it less attractive again.2 But by then, the business trans-\naction has progressed too far for most people to renege. The purchase decision made and committed to publicly at an earlier, crucial point still holds. They buy.\nRelated to the limited-number technique is the \u201cdeadline\u201d tactic, in which some official time limit is placed on the customer\u2019s opportunity to get what the compliance professional is offering. Much like my ex- perience with the Mormon temple\u2019s inner sanctum, people frequently find themselves doing what they wouldn\u2019t particularly care to do simply because the time to do so is shrinking. The adept merchandiser makes this tendency pay off by arranging and publicizing customer dead- lines\u2014witness the collage of such newspaper ads in Figure 7\u20133\u2014that generate interest where none may have existed before. Concentrated instances of this approach often occur in movie advertising. In fact, I recently noticed that one theater owner, with remarkable singleness of purpose, had managed to invoke the scarcity principle three separate times in just five words that read, \u201cExclusive, limited engagement ends soon!\u201d\nSwindled\nBy Peter Kerr New York Times\nNEW YORK\u2014Daniel Gulban doesn\u2019t remember how his life savings disap- peared.\nHe remembers the smooth voice of a salesman on the telephone. He remembers dreaming of a fortune in oil and silver futures. But to this day, the 81-year-old retired utility worker does not understand how swindlers convinced him to part with\n$18,000.\n\u201cI just wanted to better my life in my waning days,\u201d said Gulban, a resident of\n \n\nHolder, Fla. \u201cBut when I found out the truth, I couldn\u2019t eat or sleep. I lost 30 pounds. I still can\u2019t believe I would do anything like that.\u201d\nGulban was the victim of a what law enforcement officials call a \u201cboiler-room operation,\u201d a ruse that often involves dozens of fast-talking telephone salesmen crammed into a small room where they call thousands of customers each day. The companies snare hundreds of millions of dollars each year from unsuspecting customers, according to a U.S. Senate subcommittee on investigations, which issued a report on the subject last year.\n\u201cThey use an impressive Wall Street address, lies and deception to get individuals to sink their money into various glamorous-sounding schemes,\u201d said Robert Abrams, the New York State attorney general, who has pursued more than a dozen boiler- room cases in the past four years. \u201cThe victims are sometimes persuaded to invest the savings of a lifetime.\u201d\nOrestes J. Mihaly, the New York assistant attorney general in charge of the bureau of investor protection and securities, said the companies often operate in three stages. First, Mihaly said, comes the \u201copening call,\u201d in which a salesman identifies himself as representing a company with an impressive-sounding name and address. He will simply ask the potential customer to receive the company\u2019s literature.\nA second call involves a sales pitch, Mihaly said. The salesman first describes the great profits to be made and then tells the customer that it is no longer possible to invest. The third call gives the customer a chance to get in on the deal, he said, and is offered with a great deal of urgency.\n\u201cThe idea is to dangle a carrot in front of the buyer\u2019s face and then take it away,\u201d Mihaly said. \u201cThe aim is to get someone to want to buy quickly, without thinking too much about it.\u201d Sometimes, Mihaly said, the salesman will be out of breath on the third call and will tell the customer that he \u201cjust came off the trading floor.\u201d\nSuch tactics convinced Gulban to part with his life savings. In 1979, a stranger called him repeatedly and convinced Gulban to wire $1,756 to New York to purchase silver, Gulban said. After another series of telephone calls the salesman cajoled Gulban into wiring more than $6,000 for crude oil. He eventually wired an addi- tional $9,740, but his profits never arrived.\n\u201cMy heart sank,\u201d Gulban recalled. \u201cI was not greedy. I just hoped I would see better days.\u201d Gulban never recouped his losses.\nFIGURE 7-2\nThe Scarcity Scam\nNote how the scarcity principle was employed during the second and third phone calls\nto cause Mr. Gulban to \u201cbuy quickly without thinking too much about it.\u201d Click, blur.\n(PETER KERR, THE NEW YORK TIMES)\nA variant of the deadline tactic is much favored by some face-to-face,\n \n\nhigh-pressure sellers because it carries the purest form of decision deadline: right now. Customers are often told that unless they make an immediate decision to buy, they will have to purchase the item at a higher price or they will be unable to purchase it at all. A prospective health-club member or automobile buyer might learn that the deal offered by the salesperson is good only for that one time; should the customer leave the premises, the deal is off. One large child-portrait photography company urges parents to buy as many poses and copies as they can afford because \u201cstocking limitations force us to burn the unsold pictures of your children within twenty-four hours.\u201d A door-to- door magazine solicitor might say that salespeople are in the customer\u2019s area for just a day; after that, they\u2014and the customer\u2019s chance to buy their magazine package\u2014will be long gone. A home vacuum-cleaner operation I infiltrated instructed its sales trainees to claim, \u201cI have so many other people to see that I have the time to visit a family only once. It\u2019s company policy that even if you decide later that you want this machine, I can\u2019t come back and sell it to you.\u201d This, of course, is non- sense; the company and its representatives are in the business of making sales, and any customer who called for another visit would be accom- modated gladly. As the company sales manager impressed on his trainees, the true purpose of the can\u2019t-come-back claim has nothing to do with reducing overburdened sales schedules. It is to \u201ckeep the pro- spects from taking the time to think the deal over by scaring them into believing they can\u2019t have it later, which makes them want it now.\u201d\nPSYCHOLOGICAL REACTANCE\nThe evidence, then, is clear. Compliance practitioners\u2019 reliance on scarcity as a weapon of influence is frequent, wide-ranging, systematic, and diverse. Whenever such is the case with a weapon of influence, we can feel assured that the principle involved has notable power in direct- ing human action. In the instance of the scarcity principle, that power comes from two major sources. The first is familiar. Like the other weapons of influence, the scarcity principle trades on our weakness for shortcuts. The weakness is, as before, an enlightened one. In this case, because we know that the things that are difficult to possess are typically better than those that are easy to possess, we can often use an item\u2019s availability to help us quickly and correctly decide on its quality. Thus,\none reason for the potency of the scarcity principle is that, by following it, we are usually and efficiently right.3\n \n\n \nFIGURE 7-3\nDon\u2019t Wait!\nLast chance to read this now before you turn the page\n(ROBERT B. CIALDINI)\n\nIn addition, there is a unique, secondary source of power within the scarcity principle: As opportunities become less available, we lose freedoms; and we hate to lose the freedoms we already have. This desire to preserve our established prerogatives is the centerpiece of psycholo- gical reactance theory, developed by psychologist Jack Brehm to explain the human response to diminishing personal control. According to the theory, whenever free choice is limited or threatened, the need to retain our freedoms makes us desire them (as well as the goods and services associated with them) significantly more than previously. So when in- creasing scarcity\u2014or anything else\u2014interferes with our prior access to some item, we will react against the interference by wanting and trying\nto possess the item more than before.4\nAs simple as the kernel of the theory seems, its shoots and roots curl extensively through much of the social environment. From the garden of young love to the jungle of armed revolution to the fruits of the marketplace, impressive amounts of our behavior can be explained by examining for the tendrils of psychological reactance. Before beginning\n \n\nsuch an examination, though, it would be helpful to know when people first show the desire to fight against restrictions of their freedoms.\nChild psychologists have traced the tendency back to the start of the third year of life\u2014a year independently identified as a problem by parents and widely known to them as \u201cthe terrible twos.\u201d Most parents can attest to the development of a decidedly more contrary style in their children around this period. Two-year-olds seem masters of the art of resistance to outside, especially parental, pressure: Tell them one thing, they do the opposite; give them one toy, they want another; pick them up against their will, they wriggle and squirm to be put down; put them down against their will, they claw and struggle to be carried.\nOne Virginia-based study nicely captured the terrible twos style among boys who averaged twenty-four months in age. The boys accom- panied their mothers into a room containing two equally attractive toys. The toys were always arranged so that one stood next to a transparent Plexiglas barrier and the other stood behind the barrier. For some of the boys, the Plexiglas sheet was only a foot tall\u2014forming no real bar- rier to the toy behind, since the boys could easily reach over the top. For the other boys, however, the Plexiglas was two feet tall, effectively blocking the boys\u2019 access to one toy unless they went around the barrier. The researchers wanted to see how quickly the toddlers would make contact with the toys under these conditions. Their findings were clear. When the barrier was too small to restrict access to the toy behind it, the boys showed no special preference for either of the toys; on the av- erage, the toy next to the barrier was touched just as quickly as the one behind. But when the barrier was big enough to be a true obstacle, the boys went directly to the obstructed toy, making contact with it three times faster than with the unobstructed toy. In all, the boys in this study demonstrated the classic terrible twos\u2019 response to a limitation of their\nfreedom: outright defiance.5\nWhy should psychological reactance emerge at the age of two? Per- haps the answer has to do with a crucial change that most children go through around this time. It is then that they first come to a full recog- nition of themselves as individuals. No longer do they view themselves\nas mere extensions of the social milieu but rather as identifiable, singu- lar, and separate.6 This developing concept of autonomy brings naturally with it the concept of freedom. An independent being is one with\nchoices; and a child with the newfound realization that he or she is such a being will want to explore the length and breadth of the options. Perhaps we should be neither surprised nor distressed, then, when our two-year-olds strain incessantly against our will. They have come to a recent and exhilarating perspective on themselves as free-standing hu- man entities. Vital questions of volition, entitlements, and control now\n \n\nneed to be asked and answered within their small minds. The tendency to fight for every liberty and against every restriction might be best understood as a quest for information. By testing severely the limits of their freedoms (and coincidentally, the patience of their parents), the children are discovering where in their worlds they can expect to be controlled and where they can expect to be in control. As we will see later, the wise parent provides highly consistent information.\nAlthough the terrible twos may be the most noticeable age of psycho- logical reactance, we show the strong tendency to react against restric- tions on our freedoms of action throughout our lives. One other age does stand out, however, as a time when this tendency takes an espe- cially rebellious form: teenage. Like the twos, this is a period character- ized by an emerging sense of individuality. For teenagers, the emergence is from the role of child, with all of its attendant parental control, and toward the role of adult, with all of its attendant rights and duties. Not surprisingly, adolescents tend to focus less on the duties than on the rights they feel they have as young adults. Not surprisingly, again, imposing traditional parental authority at these times is often counter- productive; the teenager will sneak, scheme, and fight to resist such attempts at control.\nNothing illustrates the boomerang quality of parental pressure on adolescent behavior quite so clearly as a phenomenon known as the \u201cRomeo and Juliet effect.\u201d As we know, Romeo Montague and Juliet Capulet were the ill-fated Shakespearean characters whose love was doomed by a feud between their families. Defying all parental attempts to keep them apart, the teenagers won a lasting union in their tragic act of twin suicide, an ultimate assertion of free will.\nThe intensity of the couple\u2019s feelings and actions has always been a source of wonderment and puzzlement to observers of the play. How could such inordinate devotion develop so quickly in a pair so young? A romantic might suggest rare and perfect love. A social scientist, though, might point to the role of parental interference and the psycho- logical reactance it can produce. Perhaps the passion of Romeo and Juliet was not initially so consuming that it transcended the extensive barriers erected by the families. Perhaps, instead, it was fueled to a white heat by the placement of those barriers. Could it be that had the youngsters been left to their own devices, their inflamed devotion would have amounted to no more than a flicker of puppy love?\nBecause the story is fiction, such questions are, of course, hypothetical, and any answers to them are speculative. However, it is possible to ask and answer with more certainty similar questions about modern-day Romeos and Juliets. Do couples suffering parental interference react by\n \n\ncommitting themselves more firmly to the partnership and falling more deeply in love? According to a study done with 140 Colorado couples, that is exactly what they do. In fact, the researchers found that although parental interference was linked to some problems in the relation- ship\u2014the partners viewed one another more critically and reported a greater number of negative behaviors in the other\u2014that interference also made the pair feel greater love and desire for marriage. During the course of the study, as parental interference intensified, so did the love experience; and when the interference weakened, romantic feelings\nactually cooled.7\nAlthough the Romeo and Juliet effect among modern teenagers may seem cute\u2014to outside observers\u2014other manifestations of teenage re- actance can prove tragic. For more than a decade, the major message of a massive advertising campaign for Virginia Slims cigarettes has been that today\u2019s women \u201chave come a long way\u201d from the old days when they were required by social norms to be subdued, proper, and ladylike. No longer, imply these ads, should a woman have to feel bound by chauvinistic and outmoded constraints on her independence and, pointedly, on her freedom to smoke cigarettes. Has the message been successful in triggering defiance of the old strictures among the target audience? One dismaying statistic suggests a lamentable answer: During the lengthy duration of this campaign, the percentage of cigarette smokers has risen in only one U.S. demographic group\u2014teenage wo- men.\nFor twos and teens, then, psychological reactance flows across the broad surface of experience, always turbulent and forceful. For most of the rest of us, the pool of reactant energy lies quiet and covered, erupting geyserlike only on occasion. Still, these eruptions manifest themselves in a variety of fascinating ways that are of interest not only to the student of human behavior but to lawmakers and policymakers as well.\nFor instance, there\u2019s the odd case of Kennesaw, Georgia, the town that enacted a law requiring every adult resident to own a gun and ammunition, under penalty of six months in jail and a two-hundred- dollar fine. All the features of the Kennesaw gun law make it a prime target for psychological reactance: The freedom that the law restricts is an important, long-standing one to which most American citizens feel entitled. Furthermore, the law was passed by the Kennesaw City Council with a minimum of public input. Reactance theory would predict that under these circumstances few of the adults in the town of fifty-four hundred would obey. Yet newspaper reports testified that three to four weeks after passage of the law, firearms sales in Kennesaw were\u2014no pun intended\u2014booming.\n \n\nHow are we to make sense of this apparent contradiction of the react- ance principle? By looking a bit more closely at those who were buying Kennesaw\u2019s guns. Interviews with Kennesaw store owners revealed that the gun buyers were not town residents at all, but visitors, many of them lured by publicity to purchase their initial gun in Kennesaw. Donna Green, proprietor of a shop described in one newspaper article as a virtual \u201cgrocery store of firearms,\u201d summed it up: \u201cBusiness is great. But they\u2019re almost all being bought by people from out of town. We\u2019ve only had two or three local people buy a gun to comply with the law.\u201d After passage of the law, then, gun buying had become a frequent activity in Kennesaw, but not among those it was intended to cover; they were massively noncompliant. Only those individuals whose freedom in the matter had not been restricted by the law had the inclin- ation to live by it.\nA similar situation arose a decade earlier and several hundred miles to the south of Kennesaw, when Dade County (containing Miami), Florida, imposed an antiphosphate ordinance prohibiting the use\u2014and possession!\u2014of laundry or cleaning products containing phosphates. A study done to determine the social impact of the law discovered two parallel reactions on the part of Miami residents. First, in what seems a Florida tradition, many Miamians turned to smuggling. Sometimes with neighbors and friends in large \u201csoap caravans,\u201d they drove to nearby counties to load up on phosphate detergents. Hoarding quickly developed; and in the rush of obsession that frequently characterizes hoarders, families were reported to boast of twenty-year supplies of phosphate cleaners.\nThe second reaction to the law was more subtle and more general than the deliberate defiance of the smugglers and hoarders. Spurred by the tendency to want what they could no longer have, the majority of Miami consumers came to see phosphate cleaners as better products than before. Compared to Tampa residents, who were not affected by the Dade County ordinance, the citizens of Miami rated phosphate de- tergents as gentler, more effective in cold water, better whiteners and fresheners, more powerful on stains. After passage of the law, they had\neven come to believe that phosphate detergents poured more easily than did the Tampa consumers.8\nThis sort of response is typical of individuals who have lost an estab- lished freedom and is crucial to an understanding of how psychological reactance and scarcity work on us. When our freedom to have something is limited, the item becomes less available, and we experience an in- creased desire for it. However, we rarely recognize that psychological reactance has caused us to want the item more; all we know is that we want it. Still, we need to make sense of our desire for the item, so we\n \n\nbegin to assign it positive qualities to justify the desire. After all, it is natural to suppose that if one feels drawn to something, it is because of the merit of the thing. In the case of the Dade County antiphosphate law\u2014and in other instances of newly restricted availability\u2014that is a faulty supposition. Phosphate detergents clean, whiten, and pour no better after they are banned than before. We just assume they do because we find that we desire them more.\nThe tendency to want what has been banned and therefore to presume that it is more worthwhile is not limited to such commodities as laundry soap. In fact, the tendency is not limited to commodities at all but ex- tends to restrictions on information. In an age when the ability to ac- quire, store, and manage information is becoming increasingly the de- terminant of wealth and power, it is important to understand how we typically react to attempts to censor or otherwise constrain our access to information. Although much data exist on our reactions to various kinds of potentially censorable material\u2014media violence, pornography, radical political rhetoric\u2014there is surprisingly little evidence as to our reactions to the act of censoring them. Fortunately, the results of the few studies that have been done on the topic are highly consistent. Al- most invariably, our response to the banning of information is a greater desire to receive that information and a more favorable attitude toward\nit than before the ban.9\nThe intriguing thing about the effects of censoring information is not that audience members want to have the information more than they did before; that seems natural. Rather, it is that they come to believe in the information more, even though they haven\u2019t received it. For example, when University of North Carolina students learned that a speech op- posing coed dorms on campus would be banned, they became more opposed to the idea of coed dorms. Thus, without ever hearing the speech, they became more sympathetic to its argument. This raises the worrisome possibility that especially clever individuals holding a weak or unpopular position can get us to agree with that position by arranging to have their message restricted. The irony is that for such people\u2014members of fringe political groups, for example\u2014the most effective strategy may not be to publicize their unpopular views, but to get those views officially censored and then to publicize the censor- ship. Perhaps the authors of this country\u2019s Constitution were acting as much as sophisticated social psychologists as staunch civil libertarians when they wrote the remarkably permissive free-speech provision of the First Amendment. By refusing to restrain freedom of speech, they may have been attempting to minimize the chance that new political\n \n\nnotions would win support via the irrational course of psychological reactance.\nOf course, political ideas are not the only kind that are susceptible to restriction. Access to sexually relevant material is frequently limited. Although not as sensational as the occasional police crackdowns on \u201cadult\u201d bookstores and theaters, regular pressure is applied by parents and by citizens\u2019 groups to censor the sexual content of educational material ranging from sex education and hygiene texts to books on the shelves of school libraries. Both sides in the struggle seem to be well intentioned, and the issues are not simple, since they involve such matters as morality, art, parental control over the schools, and First Amendment freedoms. But from a purely psychological point of view, those favoring strict censorship may wish to examine closely the results\nof a study done on Purdue University undergraduates.10 The students\nwere shown some advertisements for a novel. For half the students, the advertising copy included the statement, \u201ca book for adults only, restric- ted to those 21 years and over\u201d; the other half of the students read about no such age restriction on the book. When the researchers later asked the students to indicate their feelings toward the book, they discovered the same pair of reactions we have noted with other bans: Those who learned of the age restriction (1) wanted to read the book more and (2) believed that they would like the book more than did those who thought their access to the book was unlimited.\nIt might be argued that although these results may be true for a small sample of sexually inclined college students, they would not apply to students in junior and senior high schools, where the sex curricula battles are actually being waged. Two factors make me doubt such an argument. First, developmental psychologists report that as a general style, the desire to oppose adult control begins quite soon in adolescence, around the start of the teenage years. Nonscientific observers have also noted the early rise of these strong oppositional tendencies. Shakespeare, scholars tell us, placed Romeo and Juliet at the ages of fifteen and thir- teen years, respectively. Second, the pattern of reactions exhibited by the Purdue students is not unique and thus can\u2019t be attributed to any great preoccupation with sex that college students may have. The pattern is common to externally imposed restrictions in general. Limiting access to the book had the same effects as did banning phosphate detergent in Florida or censoring a speech in North Carolina: The people involved came to want the restricted item more and, as a result, came to feel more favorable toward it.\nThose who support the official banning of sexually relevant materials from school curricula have the avowed purpose of reducing the orient- ation of the society, especially its youth, toward eroticism. In the light\n \n\nof the Purdue study and in the context of other research on the effects of imposed restraints, one must wonder whether official censorship as a means may not be antithetical to the goal. If we are to believe the im- plications of the research, then the censorship is likely to increase the desire of students for sexual material and, consequently, to cause them to view themselves as the kind of individuals who like such material. The term \u201cofficial censorship\u201d usually makes us think of bans on political or sexual material; yet there is another common sort of official censorship that we don\u2019t think of in the same way, probably because it occurs after the fact. Often in a jury trial, a piece of evidence or testimony will be introduced, only to be ruled inadmissi-ble by the presiding judge, who may then admonish the jurors to disregard that evidence. From this perspective, the judge may be viewed as a censor, though the form of censorship is odd. The presentation of the information to the jury is not banned\u2014it\u2019s too late for that\u2014it\u2019s the jury\u2019s use of the information that is banned. How effective are such instructions from a judge? And is it possible that, for jury members who feel it is their right to consider all the available information, declarations of inadmissibility may actually cause psychological reactance, leading the jurors to use\nthe evidence to a greater extent?\nThese were some of the questions asked in a large-scale jury-research project conducted by the University of Chicago Law School. One reason the results of the Chicago jury project are informative is that the parti- cipants were individuals who were actually on jury duty at the time and who agreed to be members of \u201cexperimental juries\u201d formed by the researchers. These experimental juries then heard tapes of evidence from previous trials and deliberated as if they were deciding the case. In the study most relevant to our interest in official censorship, thirty such juries heard the case of a woman who was injured by a car driven by a careless male defendant. The first finding of the study was no surprise: When the driver said he had liability insurance, the jurors awarded his victim an average of four thousand dollars more than when he said he had no insurance (thirty-seven thousand dollars vs. thirty- three thousand dollars). Thus, as insurance companies have long sus- pected, juries make larger awards to victims if an insurance company will have to pay. The second finding of the study is the fascinating one, though. If the driver said he was insured and the judge ruled that evidence inadmissible (directing the jury to disregard it), the instruction to disregard had a boomerang effect, causing an average award of forty- six thousand dollars. So when certain juries learned that the driver was insured, they increased the damage payment by four thousand dollars. But when other juries were told officially that they must not use that information, they used it still more, increasing the damage payment by\n \n\nthirteen thousand dollars. It appears, then, that even proper, official censorship in a courtroom setting creates problems for the censor. We react to information restriction there, as usual, by valuing the banned\ninformation more than ever.11\nThe realization that we value limited information allows us to apply the scarcity principle to realms beyond material commodities. The principle works for messages, communications, and knowledge, too. Taking this perspective, we can see that information may not have to be censored for us to value it more; it need only be scarce. According to the scarcity principle, then, we will find a piece of information more persuasive if we think we can\u2019t get it elsewhere. This idea that exclusive information is more persuasive information is central to the thinking of two psychologists, Timothy Brock and Howard Fromkin, who have\ndeveloped a \u201ccommodity theory\u201d analysis of persuasion.12\nThe strongest support I know for Brock and Fromkin\u2019s theory comes from a small experiment done by a student of mine. At the time, the student was also a successful businessman, the owner of a beef-import- ing company, who had returned to school to get advanced training in marketing. After we talked in my office one day about scarcity and ex- clusivity of information, he decided to do a study using his sales staff. The company\u2019s customers\u2014buyers for supermarkets or other retail food outlets\u2014were phoned as usual by a salesperson and asked for a purchase in one of three ways. One set of customers heard a standard sales presentation before being asked for their orders. Another set of customers heard the standard sales presentation plus information that the supply of imported beef was likely to be scarce in the upcoming months. A third group received the standard sales presentation and the information about a scarce supply of beef, too; however, they also learned that the scarce-supply news was not generally available inform- ation\u2014it had come, they were told, from certain exclusive contacts that the company had. Thus the customers who received this last sales presentation learned that not only was the availability of the product limited, so also was the news concerning it\u2014the scarcity double whammy.\nThe results of the experiment quickly become apparent when the company salespeople began to urge the owner to buy more beef because there wasn\u2019t enough in the inventory to keep up with all the orders they were receiving. Compared to the customers who got only the standard sales appeal, those who were also told about the future scarcity of beef bought more than twice as much. But the real boost in sales oc- curred among the customers who heard of the impending scarcity via \u201cexclusive\u201d information. They purchased six times the amount that the customers who received only the standard sales pitch did. Apparently\n \n\nthe fact that the news carrying the scarcity of information was itself scarce made it especially persuasive.13\nOPTIMAL CONDITIONS\nMuch like the other effective weapons of influence, the scarcity principle is more effective at some times than at other times. An important prac- tical problem, then, is to find out when scarcity works best on us. A great deal can be learned in this regard from an experiment devised by\nsocial psychologist Stephen Worchel.14 The basic procedure used by\nWorchel and his research team was simple: Participants in a consumer- preference study were given a chocolate-chip cookie from a jar and asked to taste and rate its quality. For half of the raters, the jar contained ten cookies; for the other half, it contained just two. As we might expect from the scarcity principle, when the cookie was one of the only two available, it was rated more favorably than when it was one of ten. The cookie in short supply was rated as more desirable to eat in the future, more attractive as a consumer item, and more costly than the identical cookie in abundant supply.\nAlthough this pattern of results provides a rather striking validation of the scarcity principle, it doesn\u2019t tell us anything we don\u2019t already know. Once again, we see that a less-available item is more desired and valued. The real worth of the cookie study comes from two additional findings. Let\u2019s take them one at a time, as each deserves a thorough consideration.\nThe first of these noteworthy results involved a small variation in the experiment\u2019s basic procedure. Rather than rating the cookies under conditions of constant scarcity, some participants were first given a jar of ten cookies that was then replaced by a jar of two cookies. Thus, be- fore taking a bite, certain of the participants saw their abundant supply of cookies reduced to a scarce supply. Other participants, however, knew only scarcity of supply from the outset, since the number of cookies in their jars was left at two. With this procedure, the researchers were seeking to answer a question about types of scarcity: Do we value more those things that have recently become less available to us, or those things that have always been scarce? In the cookie experiment, the answer was plain. The drop from abundance to scarcity produced a decidedly more positive reaction to the cookies than did constant scarcity.\nThe idea that newly experienced scarcity is the more powerful kind applies to situations well beyond the bounds of the cookie study. For example, social scientists have determined that such scarcity is a primary\n \n\ncause of political turmoil and violence. Perhaps the most prominent proponent of this argument is James C. Davies, who states that we are most likely to find revolutions where a period of improving economic and social conditions is followed by a short, sharp reversal in those conditions. Thus it is not the traditionally most downtrodden people\u2014who have come to see their deprivation as part of the natural order of things\u2014who are especially liable to revolt. Instead, revolution- aries are more likely to be those who have been given at least some taste of a better life. When the economic and social improvements they have experienced and come to expect suddenly become less available, they\ndesire them more than ever and often rise up violently to secure them.15\nDavies has gathered persuasive evidence for his novel thesis from a range of revolutions, revolts, and internal wars, including the French, Russian, and Egyptian revolutions as well as such domestic uprisings as Dorr\u2019s Rebellion in nineteenth-century Rhode Island, the American Civil War, and the urban black riots of the 1960s. In each case, a time of increasing well-being preceded a tight cluster of reversals that burst into violence.\nThe racial conflict in America\u2019s cities during the mid-1960s repre- sents a case in point that many of us can recall. At the time, it was not uncommon to hear the question, \u201cWhy now?\u201d It didn\u2019t seem to make sense that within their three-hundred-year history, most of which had been spent in servitude and much of the rest in privation, American blacks would choose the socially progressive sixties in which to revolt. Indeed, as Davies points out, the two decades after the start of World War II had brought dramatic political and economic gains to the black population. In 1940, blacks faced stringent legal restrictions in such areas as housing, transportation, and education; moreover, even with the same amount of education, the average black family earned only a bit more than half of its counterpart white family. Fifteen years later, much had changed. Federal legislation had struck down as unacceptable formal and informal attempts to segregate blacks in schools, public places, housing, and employment settings. Large economic advances had been made, too; black family income had risen from 56 percent to 80 percent of that of a comparably educated white family.\nBut then, according to Davies\u2019s analysis of social conditions, this rapid progress was stymied by events that soured the heady optimism of previous years. First, political and legal change proved substantially easier to enact than social change. Despite all the progressive legislation of the forties and fifties, blacks perceived that most neighborhoods, jobs, and schools remained segregated. Thus the Washington-based victories came to feel like defeats at home. For example, in the four years following the U.S. Supreme Court\u2019s 1954 decision to integrate all\n \n\npublic schools, blacks were the targets of 530 acts of violence (direct intimidation of black children and parents, bombings, and burnings) designed to prevent school integration. This violence generated the perception of another sort of setback in black progress. For the first time since well before World War II, when lynchings had occurred at an average rate of seventy-eight per year, blacks had to be concerned about the basic safety of their families. The new violence was not limited to the education issue, either. Peaceful civil-rights demonstrations of the time were frequently confronted by hostile crowds\u2014and police.\nStill another type of downturn occurred\u2014in pocketbook prog-ress. In 1962, the income of a black family had slid back to 74 percent of that of a similarly educated white family. By Davies\u2019s argument, the most illuminating aspect of this 74 percent figure is not that it represented a long-term increase in prosperity from pre-1940s levels but that it repres- ented a short-term decline from the flush mid-1950s levels. In the next year came the Birmingham riots and, in staccato succession, scores of violent demonstrations, building toward the major upheavals of Watts, Newark, and Detroit.\nIn keeping with a distinct historical pattern of revolution, blacks in the United States were more rebellious when their prolonged progress was curtailed somewhat than they were before it began. This pattern offers a valuable lesson for would-be rulers: When it comes to freedoms, it is more dangerous to have given for a while than never to have given at all. The problem for a government that seeks to improve the political and economic status of a traditionally oppressed group is that, in so doing, it establishes freedoms for the group where none existed before. And should these now established freedoms become less available, there will be an especially hot variety of hell to pay.\nWe can look to much more recent events in the former Soviet Union for evidence that this basic rule still holds. After decades of repression, Mikhail Gorbachev began granting the Soviet populace new liberties, privileges, and choices via the twin policies of glasnost and perestroika. Alarmed by the direction their nation was taking, a small group of government, military, and KGB officials staged a coup, placing Gorbachev under house arrest and announcing on August 19, 1991, that they had assumed power and were moving to reinstate the old order. Most of the world imagined that the Soviet people, known for their characteristic acquiescence to subjugation, would passively yield as they had always done. Time magazine editor Lance Morrow described his own reaction similarly: \u201cAt first the coup seemed to confirm the norm. The news administered a dark shock, followed immediately by a depressed sense of resignation: of course, of course, the Russians must\n \nrevert to their essential selves, to their own history. Gorbachev and\nglasnost were an aberration; now we are back to fatal normality.\u201d\nBut these were not to be normal times. For one thing, Gorbachev had not governed in the tradition of the czars or Stalin or any of the line of oppressive postwar rulers who had not allowed even a breath of free- dom to the masses. He had ceded them certain rights and choices. And when these now-established freedoms were threatened, the people lashed out the way a dog would if someone tried taking a fresh bone from its mouth. Within hours of the junta\u2019s announcement, thousands were in the streets, erecting barricades, confronting armed troops, sur- rounding tanks, and defying curfews. The uprising was so swift, so massive, so unitary in its opposition to any retreat from the gains of glasnost that after only three riotous days, the astonished officials relen- ted, surrendering their power and pleading for mercy from President Gorbachev. Had they been students of history\u2014or of psychology\u2014the failed plotters would not have been so surprised by the tidal wave of popular resistance that swallowed their coup. From the vantage point of either discipline, they could have learned an invariant lesson: Freedoms once granted will not be relinquished without a fight.\nThe lesson applies as well to the politics of family as country. The parent who grants privileges or enforces rules erratically invites rebel- liousness by unwittingly establishing freedoms for the child. The parent who only sometimes prohibits between-meal sweets may create for the child the freedom to have such snacks. At that point, enforcing the rule becomes a much more difficult and explosive matter because the child is no longer merely lacking a never-possessed right but is losing an es- tablished one. As we have seen in the case of political freedoms and (especially pertinent to the present discussion) chocolate-chip cookies, people see a thing as more desirable when it has recently become less available than when it has been scarce all along. We should not be sur- prised, then, when research shows that parents who enforce discipline\ninconsistently produce generally rebellious children.16\nLet\u2019s look back to the cookie study for another insight into the way we react to scarcity. We\u2019ve already seen from the results of that study that scarce cookies were rated higher than abundant cookies and that newly scarce cookies were rated higher still. Staying with the newly scarce cookies now, there was a certain cookie that was the highest rated of all: those that became less available because of a demand for them. Remember that in the experiment the participants who experienced new scarcity had been given a jar of ten cookies that was then replaced with a jar of only two cookies. Actually, the researchers did this in one of two ways. To certain participants, it was explained that some of their\n \n\ncookies had to be given away to other raters to supply the demand for cookies in the study. To another set of participants, it was explained that their number of cookies had to be reduced because the researcher had simply made a mistake and given them the wrong jar initially. The results showed that those whose cookies became scarce through the process of social demand liked them significantly more than those whose cookies became scarce by mistake. In fact, the cookies made less available through social demand were rated the most desirable of any in the study.\nThis finding highlights the importance of competition in the pursuit of limited resources. Not only do we want the same item more when it is scarce, we want it most when we are in competition for it. Advert- isers often try to exploit this tendency in us. In their ads, we learn that \u201cpopular demand\u201d for an item is so great that we must \u201churry to buy,\u201d or we see a crowd pressing against the doors of a store before the start of a sale, or we watch a flock of hands quickly deplete a supermarket shelf of a product. There is more to such images than the idea of ordin- ary social proof. The message is not just that the product is good because other people think so, but also that we are in direct competition with those people for it.\nThe feeling of being in competition for scarce resources has powerfully motivating properties. The ardor of an indifferent lover surges with the appearance of a rival. It is often for reasons of strategy, therefore, that romantic partners reveal (or invent) the attentions of a new admirer. Salespeople are taught to play the same game with indecisive customers. For example, a realtor who is trying to sell a house to a \u201cfence-sitting\u201d prospect will sometimes call the prospect with news of another potential buyer who has seen the house, liked it, and is scheduled to return the following day to talk about terms. When wholly fabricated, the new bidder is commonly described as an outsider with plenty of money: \u201can out-of-state investor buying for tax purposes\u201d and \u201ca physician and his wife moving into town\u201d are favorites. The tactic, called in some circles \u201cgoosing \u2019em off the fence,\u201d can work devastatingly well. The thought of losing out to a rival frequently turns a buyer from hesitant to zealous.\nThere is something almost physical about the desire to have a con- tested item. Shoppers at big close-out or bargain sales report being caught up emotionally in the event. Charged by the crush of competitors, they swarm and struggle to claim merchandise they would otherwise disdain. Such behavior brings to mind the \u201cfeeding frenzy\u201d of wild, indiscriminate eating among animal groups. Commercial fishermen exploit this phenomenon by throwing a quantity of loose bait to large schools of certain fish. Soon the water is a roiling expanse of thrashing\n \n\nfins and snapping mouths competing for the food. At this point, the fishermen save time and money by dropping unbaited lines into the water, since the crazed fish will bite ferociously at anything now, includ- ing bare metal hooks.\nThere is a noticeable parallel between the ways that commercial fishermen and department stores generate a competitive fury in those they wish to hook. To attract and arouse the catch, fishermen scatter some loose bait called chum. For similar reasons, department stores holding a bargain sale toss out a few especially good deals on promin- ently advertised items called loss leaders. If the bait, of either form, has done its job, a large and eager crowd forms to snap it up. Soon, in the rush to score, the group becomes agitated, nearly blinded, by the ad- versarial nature of the situation. Humans and fish alike lose perspective on what they want and begin striking at whatever is being contested. One wonders whether the tuna flapping on a dry deck with only a bare hook in its mouth shares the what-hit-me bewilderment of the shopper arriving home with only a load of department-store bilge.\nLest we believe that the competition-for-limited-resources-fever occurs only in such unsophisticated forms of life as tuna and bargain-basement shoppers, we should examine the story behind a remarkable purchase decision made in 1973 by Barry Diller, who was then vice president for prime-time programming at the American Broadcasting Company, but who has since been labeled the \u201cmiracle mogul\u201d by Time magazine in reference to his remarkable successes as head of Paramount Pictures and the Fox Television Network. He agreed to pay $3.3 million for a single television showing of the movie The Poseidon Adventure. The figure is noteworthy in that it greatly exceeded the highest price ever previ- ously paid for a one-time movie showing: $2 million for Patton. In fact, the payment was so excessive that ABC figured to lose $1 million on the Poseidon showing. As NBC vice president for special programs Bill Storke declared at the time, \u201cThere\u2019s no way they can get their money back, no way at all.\u201d\nHow could an astute and experienced businessman like Diller go for a deal that would produce an expected loss of a million dollars? The answer may lie in a second noteworthy aspect of the sale: It was the first time that a motion picture had been offered to the networks in an open-bid auction. Never before had the three major commercial net- works been forced to battle for a scarce resource in quite this way. The novel idea of a competitive auction was the brainchild of the movie\u2019s flamboyant showman-producer, Irwin Allen, and a 20th Century Fox vice president, William Self, who must have been ecstatic about the outcome. But how can we be sure that it was the auction format that\n \n\ngenerated the spectacular sales price rather than the blockbuster quality of the movie itself?\nSome comments from the auction participants provide impressive evidence. First came a statement from the victor, Barry Diller, intended to set future policy for his network. In language sounding as if it could have escaped only from between clenched teeth, he said, \u201cABC has decided regarding its policy for the future that it would never again enter into an auction situation.\u201d Even more instructive are the remarks of Diller\u2019s rival, Robert Wood, then president of CBS Television, who nearly lost his head and outbid his competitors at ABC and NBC:\nWe were very rational at the start. We priced the movie out, in terms of what it could bring in for us, then allowed a certain value on top of that for exploitation.\nBut then the bidding started. ABC opened with two million. I came back with two point four. ABC went to two point eight. And the fever of the thing caught us. Like a guy who had lost his mind, I kept bidding. Finally, I went to three point two; and there came a moment when I said to myself, \u201cGood grief, if I get it, what the heck am I going to do with it?\u201d When ABC finally topped me, my\nmain feeling was relief.\nIt\u2019s been very educational.17\nAccording to interviewer Bob MacKenzie, when Wood made his \u201cIt\u2019s been very educational\u201d statement, he was smiling. We can be sure that when ABC\u2019s Diller made his \u201cnever again\u201d announcement, he was not. Both men had clearly learned something from the \u201cGreat Poseidon Auction.\u201d But for one, there had been a $1 million tuition charge. Fortu- nately, there is a valuable but drastically less expensive lesson here for us, too. It is instructive to note that the smiling man was the one who had lost the highly sought-after prize. As a general rule, whenever the dust settles and we find losers looking and speaking like winners (and vice versa), we should be especially wary of the conditions that kicked up the dust\u2014in the present case, open competition for a scarce resource. As the TV executives now know, extreme caution is advised whenever we encounter the devilish construction of scarcity plus rivalry.\nHOW TO SAY NO\nIt is easy enough to feel properly warned against scarcity pressures; but it is substantially more difficult to act on that warning. Part of the problem is that our typical reaction to scarcity hinders our ability to think. When we watch something we want become less available, a physical agitation sets in. Especially in those cases involving direct\n \n\ncompetition, the blood comes up, the focus narrows, and emotions rise. As this visceral current advances, the cognitive, rational side retreats. In the rush of arousal, it is difficult to be calm and studied in our ap- proach. As CBS Television\u2019s president, Robert Wood, commented in the wake of his Poseidon adventure, \u201cYou get caught up in the mania of the thing, the acceleration of it. Logic goes right out the window.\u201d\nHere\u2019s our predicament, then: Knowing the causes and workings of scarcity pressures may not be sufficient to protect us from them because knowing is a cognitive thing, and cognitive processes are suppressed by our emotional reaction to scarcity. In fact, this may be the reason for the great effectiveness of scarcity tactics. When they are employed properly, our first line of defense against foolish behavior\u2014a thoughtful analysis of the situation\u2014becomes less likely.\nIf, because of brain-clouding arousal, we can\u2019t rely on our knowledge about the scarcity principle to stimulate properly cautious behavior, what can we use? Perhaps, in fine jujitsu style, we can use the arousal itself as our prime cue. In this way we can turn the enemy\u2019s strength to our advantage. Rather than relying on a considered, cognitive ana- lysis of the entire situation, we might simply tune ourselves to the in- ternal, visceral sweep for our warning. By learning to flag the experience of heightening arousal in a compliance situation, we can alert ourselves to the possibility of scarcity tactics there and to the need for caution.\nBut suppose we accomplish this trick of using the rising tide of arousal as a signal to calm ourselves and to proceed with care. What then? Is there any other piece of information we can use to help make a proper decision in the face of scarcity? After all, merely recognizing that we ought to move carefully doesn\u2019t tell us the direction in which to move; it only provides the necessary context for a thoughtful decision. Fortunately, there is information available on which we can base thoughtful decisions about scarce items. It comes, once again, from the chocolate-chip-cookie study, where the researchers uncovered something that seems strange but rings true regarding scarcity: Even though the scarce cookies were rated as significantly more desirable, they were not rated as any better-tasting than the abundant cookies. So despite the increased yearning that scarcity caused (the raters said they wanted to have more of the scarce cookies in the future and would pay a greater price for them), it did not make the cookies taste one whit better. Therein lies an important insight. The joy is not in experiencing a scarce commod-\nity but in possessing it. It is important that we not confuse the two.\nWhenever we confront the scarcity pressures surrounding some item, we must also confront the question of what it is we want from the item. If the answer is that we want the thing for the social, economic, or psychological benefits of possessing something rare, then, fine; scarcity\n \n\npressures will give us a good indication of how much we would want to pay for it\u2014the less available it is, the more valuable to us it will be. But very often we don\u2019t want a thing purely for the sake of owning it. We want it, instead, for its utility value; we want to eat it or drink it or touch it or hear it or drive it or otherwise use it. In such cases it is vital to remember that scarce things do not taste or feel or sound or ride or work any better because of their limited availability.\nAlthough this is a simple point, it can often escape us when we exper- ience the heightened desirability that scarce items naturally possess. I can cite a family example. My brother Richard supported himself through school by employing a compliance trick that cashed in hand- somely on the tendency of most people to miss that simple point. In fact, his tactic was so effective that he had to work only a few hours each weekend for his money, leaving the rest of the time free for his studies.\nRichard sold cars, but not in a showroom nor on a car lot. He would buy a couple of used cars sold privately through the newspaper on one weekend and, adding nothing but soap and water, would sell them at a decided profit through the newspaper on the following weekend. To do this, he had to know three things. First, he had to know enough about cars to buy those that were offered for sale at the bottom of their blue-book price range but could be legitimately resold for a higher price. Second, once he got the car, he had to know how to write a newspaper ad that would stimulate substantial buyer interest. Third, once a buyer arrived, he had to know how to use the scarcity principle to generate more desire for the car than it perhaps deserved. Richard knew how to do all three. For our purposes, though, we need to examine his craft with just the third.\nFor a car he had purchased on the prior weekend, he would place an ad in the Sunday paper. Because he knew how to construct a good ad, he usually received an array of calls from potential buyers on Sunday morning. Each prospect who was interested enough to want to see the car was given an appointment time\u2014the same appointment time. So if six people were scheduled, they were all scheduled for, say, two o\u2019clock that afternoon. This little device of simultaneous scheduling paved the way for later compliance because it created an atmosphere of competi- tion for a limited resource.\nTypically, the first prospect to arrive would begin a studied examin- ation of the car and would engage in standard car-buying behavior, such as pointing out any blemishes or deficiencies or asking if the price was negotiable. The psychology of the situation changed radically, however, when the second buyer drove up. The availability of the car to either prospect suddenly became limited by the presence of the other.\n \n\nOften the earlier arrival, inadvertently stoking the sense of rivalry, would assert his right to primary consideration. \u201cJust a minute, now. I was here first.\u201d If he didn\u2019t assert that right, Richard would do it for him. Addressing the second buyer, Richard would say, \u201cExcuse me, but this other gentleman was here before you. So can I ask you to wait on the other side of the driveway for a few minutes until he\u2019s finished looking at the car? Then, if he decides he doesn\u2019t want it or if he can\u2019t make up his mind, I\u2019ll show it to you.\u201d\nRichard claims it was possible to watch the agitation grow on the first buyer\u2019s face. His leisurely assessment of the car\u2019s pros and cons had suddenly become a now-or-never, limited-time-only rush to decision over a contested resource. If he didn\u2019t decide for the car\u2014at Richard\u2019s asking price\u2014in the next few minutes, he might lose it for good to that\u2026that\u2026lurking newcomer over there. For his part, the second buyer would be equally agitated by the combination of rivalry and re- stricted availability. He would pace on the periphery, visibly straining to get at this now more desirable hunk of metal. Should two-o\u2019clock appointment number one fail to buy or even fail to decide quickly enough, two-o\u2019clock appointment number two was ready to pounce.\nIf these conditions alone were not enough to secure a favorable pur- chase decision immediately, the trap snapped surely shut as soon as the third two-o\u2019clock appointment arrived on the scene. According to Richard, stacked-up competition was usually too much for the first prospect to bear. He would end the pressure quickly by either agreeing to Richard\u2019s price or by leaving abruptly. In the latter instance, the second arrival would strike at the chance to buy out of a sense of relief coupled with a new feeling of rivalry with that\u2026that\u2026lurking new- comer over there.\nAll those buyers who contributed to my brother\u2019s college education failed to recognize a fundamental fact about their purchases: The in- creased desire that spurred them to buy had little to do with the merits of the car. That failure of recognition occurred for two reasons. First, the situation Richard arranged for them produced an emotional reaction that made it difficult for them to think straight. Second, as a con- sequence, they never stopped to think that the reason they wanted the car in the first place was to use it, not merely to have it. And the com- petition-for-a-scarce-resource pressures Richard applied affected only their desire to have the car in the sense of possessing it. Those pressures did not affect the value of the car in terms of the real purpose for which they had wanted it.\nShould we find ourselves beset by scarcity pressures in a compliance situation, then, our best response would occur in a two-stage sequence.\n \n\nAs soon as we feel the tide of emotional arousal that flows from scarcity influences, we should use that rise in arousal as a signal to stop short. Panicky, feverish reactions have no place in wise compliance decisions. We need to calm ourselves and regain a rational perspective. Once that is done, we can move to the second stage by asking ourselves why we want the item under consideration. If the answer is that we want it primarily for the purpose of owning it, then we should use its availab- ility to help gauge how much we want to spend for it. However, if the answer is that we want it primarily for its function (that is, we want something good to drive, drink, eat, etc.), then we must remember that the item under consideration will function equally well whether scarce or plentiful. Quite simply, we need to recall that the scarce cookies didn\u2019t taste any better.\nREADER\u2019S REPORT\nFrom a Blacksburg, Virginia, Woman\n\u201cLast Christmas I met a twenty-seven-year-old man. I was nineteen. Although he really wasn\u2019t my type, I went out with him\u2014probably because it was a status thing to date an older man\u2014but I really didn\u2019t become interested in him until my folks expressed their concern about his age. The more they got on my case about it, the more in love I be- came. It only lasted five months, but this was about four months longer than it would have lasted if my parents hadn\u2019t said anything.\u201d Although Romeo and Juliet have long since passed away, it appears that the \u201cRomeo and Juliet effect\u201d is alive and well and making regular\nappearances in places like Blacksburg, Virginia.\n \n\n \nEpilogue\n\nINSTANT INFLUENCE\nPrimitive Consent for an Automatic Age\n\nEvery day in every way, I\u2019m getting better.\n\u2014EMILE COUE\n\nEvery day in every way, I\u2019m getting busier.\n\u2014ROBERT CIALDINI\n\n\n\n\n\n\nACK IN THE 1960S A MAN NAMED JOE PINE HOSTED A RATHER remark-\nable TV talk show that was syndicated from California. The program was made distinctive by Pine\u2019s caustic and confrontational style with his guests\u2014for the most part, a collection of exposure-hungry entertain- ers, would-be celebrities, and representatives of fringe political or social organizations. The host\u2019s abrasive approach was designed to provoke his guests into arguments, to fluster them into embarrassing admissions, and generally to make them look foolish. It was not uncommon for Pine to introduce a visitor and launch immediately into an attack on the in- dividual\u2019s beliefs, talent, or appearance. Some people claimed that Pine\u2019s acid personal style was partially caused by a leg amputation that had embittered him to life; others said no, that he was just vituperous by nature.\nOne evening rock musician Frank Zappa was a guest on the show. This was at a time in the sixties when very long hair on men was still\n \n\nunusual and controversial. As soon as Zappa had been introduced and seated, the following exchange occurred:\nPINE: I guess your long hair makes you a girl.\nZAPPA: I guess your wooden leg makes you a table.\nAside from containing what may be my favorite ad-lib, the above dialogue illustrates a fundamental theme of this book: Very often in making a decision about someone or something, we don\u2019t use all the relevant available information; we use, instead, only a single, highly representative piece of the total. And an isolated piece of information, even though it normally counsels us correctly, can lead us to clearly stupid mistakes\u2014mistakes that, when exploited by clever others, leave us looking silly or worse.\nAt the same time, a complicating companion theme has been present throughout this book: Despite the susceptibility to stupid decisions that accompanies a reliance on a single feature of the available data, the pace of modern life demands that we frequently use this shortcut. Recall that early in Chapter 1, our shortcut approach was likened to the automatic responding of lower animals, whose elaborate behavior patterns could be triggered by the presence of a lone stimulus feature\u2014a \u201ccheep-cheep\u201d sound, a shade of red breast feather, or a specific sequence of light flashes. The reason infrahumans must often rely on such solitary stim- ulus features is their restricted mental capability. Their small brains cannot begin to register and process all the relevant information in their environments. So these species have evolved special sensitivities to certain aspects of the information. Because those selected aspects of information are normally enough to cue a correct response, the system is usually very efficient: Whenever a female turkey hears \u201ccheep-cheep,\u201d click, whirr, out rolls the proper maternal behavior in a mechanical fashion that conserves much of her limited brainpower for dealing with the variety of other situations and choices she must face in her day.\nWe, of course, have vastly more effective brain mechanisms than mother turkeys, or any other animal group, for that matter. We are unchallenged in the ability to take into account a multitude of relevant facts and, consequently, to make good decisions. Indeed, it is this in- formation-processing advantage over other species that has helped make us the dominant form of life on the planet.\nStill, we have our capacity limitations, too; and, for the sake of effi- ciency, we must sometimes retreat from the time-consuming, sophistic- ated, fully informed brand of decision making to a more automatic, primitive, single-feature type of responding. For instance, in deciding\n \n\nwhether to say yes or no to a requester, it is clear that we frequently pay attention to but one piece of the relevant information in the situ- ation. We have been exploring several of the most popular of the single pieces of information that we use to prompt our compliance decisions. They are the most popular prompts precisely because they are the most reliable ones, those that normally point us toward the correct choice. That is why we employ the factors of reciprocation, consistency, social proof, liking, authority, and scarcity so often and so automatically in making our compliance decisions. Each, by itself, provides a highly re- liable cue as to when we will be better off saying yes than no.\nWe are likely to use these lone cues when we don\u2019t have the inclina- tion, time, energy, or cognitive resources to undertake a complete ana- lysis of the situation. Where we are rushed, stressed, uncertain, indiffer- ent, distracted, or fatigued, we tend to focus on less of the information available to us. When making decisions under these circumstances, we often revert to the rather primitive but necessary single-piece-of-good-\nevidence approach.1 All this leads to a jarring insight: With the sophist-\nicated mental apparatus we have used to build world eminence as a species, we have created an environment so complex, fast-paced, and information-laden that we must increasingly deal with it in the fashion of the animals we long ago transcended.\nJohn Stuart Mill, the British economist, political thinker, and philo- sopher of science, died more than a hundred years ago. The year of his death (1873) is important because he is reputed to have been the last man to know everything there was to know in the world. Today, the notion that one of us could be aware of all known facts is only laughable. After eons of slow accumulation, human knowledge has snowballed into an era of momentum-fed, multiplicative, monstrous expansion. We now live in a world where most of the information is less than fifteen years old. In certain fields of science alone (for example, physics), knowledge is said to double every eight years. And the scientific inform- ation explosion is not limited to such arcane arenas as molecular chemistry or quantum physics but extends to everyday areas of know- ledge where we strive to keep ourselves current\u2014health, child devel- opment, nutrition, and the like. What\u2019s more, this rapid growth is likely to continue, since 90 percent of all scientists who have ever lived are working today.\nApart from the streaking advance of science, things are quickly changing much closer to home. In his book Future Shock, Alvin Toffler provided early documentation of the unprecedented and increasing rapidity of modern daily life: We travel more and faster; we relocate more frequently to new residences, which are built and torn down more\n \n\nquickly; we contact more people and have shorter relationships with them; in the supermarket, car showroom, and shopping mall, we are faced with an array of choices among styles and products that were unheard of the previous year and may well be obsolete or forgotten by the next. Novelty, transience, diversity, and acceleration are acknow- ledged as prime descriptors of civilized existence.\nThis avalanche of information and choices is made possible by bur- geoning technological progress. Leading the way are developments in our ability to collect, store, retrieve, and communicate information. At first, the fruits of such advances were limited to large organiza- tions\u2014government agencies or powerful corporations. For example, speaking as chairman of Citicorp, Walter Wriston could say of his company, \u201cWe have tied together a data base in the world that is capable\nof telling almost anyone in the world, almost anything, immediately.\u201d2\nBut now, with further developments in telecommunication and com- puter technology, access to such staggering amounts of information is falling within the reach of individual citizens. Extensive cable and satellite television systems provide one route for that information into the average home.\nThe other major route is the personal computer. In 1972, Norman Macrae, an editor of The Economist, speculated prophetically about a time in the future:\nThe prospect is, after all, that we are going to enter an age when any duffer sitting at a computer terminal in his laboratory or office or public library or home can delve through unimaginable in- creased mountains of information in mass-assembly data banks with mechanical powers of concentration and calculation that will be greater by a factor of tens of thousands than was ever available to the human brain of even an Einstein.\nOne short decade later, Time magazine signaled that Macrae\u2019s future age had arrived by naming a machine, the personal computer, as its Man of the Year. Time\u2019s editors defended their choice by citing the consumer \u201cstampede\u201d to purchase small computers and by arguing that \u201cAmerica [and], in a larger perspective, the entire world will never be the same.\u201d Macrae\u2019s vision is now being realized. Millions of ordinary \u201cduffers\u201d are sitting at machines with the potential to present and analyze enough data to bury an Einstein.\nBecause technology can evolve much faster than we can, our natural capacity to process information is likely to be increasingly inadequate to handle the surfeit of change, choice, and challenge that is character- istic of modern life. More and more frequently, we will find ourselves\n \n\nin the position of the lower animals\u2014with a mental apparatus that is unequipped to deal thoroughly with the intricacy and richness of the outside environment. Unlike the animals, whose cognitive powers have always been relatively deficient, we have created our own deficiency by constructing a radically more complex world. But the consequence of our new deficiency is the same as that of the animals\u2019 long-standing one. When making a decision, we will less frequently enjoy the luxury of a fully consid-ered analysis of the total situation but will revert in- creasingly to a focus on a single, usually reliable feature of it.\nWhen those single features are truly reliable, there is nothing inher- ently wrong with the shortcut approach of narrowed attention and automatic response to a particular piece of information. The problem comes when something causes the normally trustworthy cues to counsel us poorly, to lead us to erroneous actions and wrongheaded decisions. As we have seen, one such cause is the trickery of certain compliance practitioners who seek to profit from the rather mindless and mechan- ical nature of shortcut response. If, as seems true, the frequency of shortcut response is increasing with the pace and form of modern life, we can be sure that the frequency of this trickery is destined to increase as well.\nWhat can we do about the expected intensified attack on our system of shortcuts? More than evasive action, I would urge forceful counter- assault. There is an important qualification, however. Compliance professionals who play fairly by the rules of shortcut response are not to be considered the enemy; on the contrary, they are our allies in an efficient and adaptive process of exchange. The proper targets for counteraggression are only those individuals who falsify, counterfeit, or misrepresent the evidence that naturally cues our shortcut responses. Let\u2019s take an illustration from what is perhaps our most frequently used shortcut. According to the principle of social proof, we often decide to do what other people like us are doing. It makes all kinds of sense since, most of the time, an action that is popular in a given situation is also functional and appropriate. Thus, an advertiser who, without using deceptive statistics, provides information that a brand of toothpaste is the largest selling or fastest growing has offered us valuable evidence about the quality of the product and the probability that we will like it. Provided that we are in the market for a tube of good toothpaste, we might want to rely on that single piece of information, popularity, to decide to try it. This strategy will likely steer us right, will unlikely steer us far wrong, and will conserve our cognitive energies for dealing with the rest of our increasingly information-laden, decision-overloaded environment. The advertiser who allows us to use effectively this effi-\n \n\ncient strategy is hardly our antagonist but rather must be considered a cooperating partner.\nThe story becomes quite different, however, should a compliance practitioner try to stimulate a shortcut response by giving us a fraudu- lent signal for it. The enemy is the advertiser who seeks to create an image of popularity for a brand of toothpaste by, say, constructing a series of staged \u201cunrehearsed-interview\u201d commercials in which an array of actors posing as ordinary citizens praise the product. Here, where the evidence of popularity is counterfeit, we, the principle of social proof, and our shortcut response to it, are all being exploited. In an earlier chapter, I recommended against the purchase of any product featured in a faked \u201cunrehearsed-interview\u201d ad, and I urged that we send the product manufacturers letters detailing the reason and suggest- ing that they dismiss their advertising agency. I would recommend extending this aggressive stance to any situation in which a compliance professional abuses the principle of social proof (or any other weapon of influence) in this manner. We should refuse to watch TV programs that use canned laughter. If we see a bartender beginning a shift by salting his tip jar with a bill or two of his own, he should get none from us. If, after waiting in line outside a nightclub, we discover from the amount of available space that the wait was designed to impress pass- ersby with false evidence of the club\u2019s popularity, we should leave im- mediately and announce our reason to those still in line. In short, we should be willing to use boycott, threat, confrontation, censure, tirade, nearly anything, to retaliate.\nI don\u2019t consider myself pugnacious by nature, but I actively advocate such belligerent actions because in a way I am at war with the ex- ploiters\u2014we all are. It is important to recognize, however, that their motive for profit is not the cause for hostilities; that motive, after all, is something we each share to an extent. The real treachery, and the thing we cannot tolerate, is any attempt to make their profit in a way that threatens the reliability of our shortcuts. The blitz of modern daily life demands that we have faithful shortcuts, sound rules of thumb to handle it all. These are not luxuries any longer; they are out-and-out necessities that figure to become increasingly vital as the pulse of daily life quick- ens. That is why we should want to retaliate whenever we see someone betraying one of our rules of thumb for profit. We want that rule to be as effective as possible. But to the degree that its fitness for duty is regularly undercut by the tricks of a profiteer, we naturally will use it less and will be less able to cope efficiently with the decisional burdens of our day. We cannot allow that without a fight. The stakes have gotten too high.\n \nNOTES\n\n\n\nCHAPTER 1 (PAGES 1\u201316)\n1.\tHonest, this animal researcher\u2019s name is Fox. See his 1974 mono- graph for a complete description of the turkey and polecat experiment.\n2.\tSources for the robin and bluethroat information are Lack (1943) and Peiponen (1960), respectively.\n3.\tAlthough several important similarities exist between this kind of automatic responding in humans and lower animals, there are some important differences as well. The automatic behavior sequences of humans tend to be learned rather than inborn, more flexible than the lock-step patterns of the lower animals, and responsive to a larger number of triggers.\n4.\tPerhaps the common \u201cbecause\u2026just because\u201d response of children asked to explain their behavior can be traced to their shrewd recognition of the unusual amount of power adults appear to assign to the raw word because.\nThe reader who wishes to find a more systematic treatment of Langer\u2019s Xerox study and her conceptualization of it can do so in Langer (1989).\n5.\tSources for the Photuris and the blenny information are Lloyd (1965) and Eibl-Eibesfeldt (1958), respectively. As exploitative as these creatures seem, they are topped in this respect by an insect known as the rove beetle. By using a variety of triggers involving smell and touch, the rove beetles get two species of ants to protect, groom, and feed them as larvae and to harbor them for the winter as adults. Responding mechanically to the beetles\u2019 trick trigger features, the ants treat the beetles as though they were fellow ants. Inside the ant nests, the beetles respond to their hosts\u2019 hospitality by eating ant eggs and young, yet they are never harmed (H\u00f6lldobler, 1971).\n6.\tThese studies are reported by Kenrick and Gutierres (1980), who warn that the unrealistically attractive people portrayed in the popular media (for example, actors, actresses, models) may cause us to be less\n \n\nsatisfied with the looks of the genuinely available romantic possibilities around us. More recent work by these authors takes their argument a step farther, showing that exposure to the exaggerated sexual attract- iveness of nude pinup bodies (in such magazines as Playboy and Playgirl) causes people to become less pleased with the sexual desirability of their current spouse or live-in mate (Kenrick, Gutierres, and Goldberg, 1989).\nCHAPTER 2 (PAGES 17\u201356)\n1.\tA formal description of the greeting-card study is provided in Kunz and Woolcott (1976).\n2.\tCertain societies have formalized the rule into ritual. Consider for example the \u201cVartan Bhanji,\u201d an institutionalized custom of the gift exchange common to parts of Pakistan and India. In commenting upon the \u201cVartan Bhanji,\u201d Gouldner (1960) remarks:\nIt is\u2026notable that the system painstakingly prevents the total elimination of outstanding obligations. Thus, on the occasion of a marriage, departing guests are given gifts of sweets. In weighing them out, the hostess may say, \u201cThese five are yours,\u201d meaning \u201cThese are a repayment for what you formerly gave me,\u201d and then she adds an extra measure, saying, \u201cThese are mine.\u201d On the next occasion, she will receive these back along with an additional measure which she later returns, and so on.\n3.\tThe quote is from Leakey and Lewin (1978).\n4.\tFor a fuller discussion, see Tiger and Fox (1971).\n5.\tThe experiment is reported formally in Regan (1971).\n6.\tThe statement appears in Mauss (1954).\n7.\tSurprise is an effective compliance producer in its own right. People who are surprised by a request will often comply because they are momentarily unsure of themselves and, consequently, influenced easily. For example, the social psychologists Stanley Milgram and John Sabini (1975) have shown that people riding on the New York subway were twice as likely to give up their seats to a person who surprised them with the request \u201cExcuse me. May I have your seat?\u201d than to one who forewarned them first by mentioning to a fellow passenger that he was thinking of asking for someone\u2019s seat (56 percent vs. 28 percent).\n8.\tIt is interesting that a cross-cultural study has shown that those who break the reciprocity rule in the reverse direction\u2014by giving without allowing the recipient an opportunity to repay\u2014are also dis- liked for it. This result was found to hold for each of the three national-\n \n\nities investigated\u2014Americans, Swedes, and Japanese. See Gergen et al. (1975) for an account of the study.\n9.\tThe Pittsburgh study was done by Greenberg and Shapiro. The data on women\u2019s sexual obligations were collected by George, Gournic, and McAfee (1988).\n10.\tTo convince ourselves that this result was no fluke, we conducted two more experiments testing the effectiveness of the rejection-then- retreat trick. Both showed results similar to the first experiment. See Cialdini et al. (1975) for the details of all three.\n11.\tThe Israeli study was conducted in 1979 by Schwartzwald, Raz, and Zvibel.\n12.\tThe TV Guide article appeared in December 1978.\n13.\tThe source for the quotes is Magruder (1974).\n14.\tConsumer Reports, January 1975, p. 62.\n15.\tAnother way of gauging the effectiveness of a request technique is to examine the bottom-line proportion of individuals who, after being asked, complied with the request. Using such a measure, the rejection- then-retreat procedure was more than four times more effective than the procedure of asking for the smaller request only. See Miller et al. (1976) for a complete description of the study.\n16.\tThe blood-donation study was reported by Cialdini and Ascani (1976).\n17.\tThe UCLA study was performed by Benton, Kelley, and Liebling in 1972.\n18.\tA variety of other business operations use the no-cost information offer extensively. Pest-exterminator companies, for instance, have found that most people who agree to a free home examination give the exterm- ination job to the examining company, provided they are convinced that it is needed. They apparently feel an obligation to give their business to the firm that rendered the initial, complimentary service. Knowing that such customers are unlikely to comparisonshop for this reason, unscrupulous pest-control operators will take advantage of the situation by citing higher-than-competitive prices for work commissioned in this way.\nCHAPTER 3 (PAGES 57\u2013113)\n1.\tThe racetrack study was done twice, with the same results, by Knox and Inkster (1968). See Rosenfeld, Kennedy, and Giacalone (1986) for evidence that the tendency to believe more strongly in choices, once made, applies to guesses in a lottery game, too.\n2.\tIt is important to note that the collaboration was not always inten- tional. The American investigators defined collaboration as \u201cany kind\n \n\nof behavior which helped the enemy,\u201d and it thus included such diverse activities as signing peace petitions, running errands, making radio appeals, accepting special favors, making false confessions, informing on fellow prisoners, or divulging military information.\n3.\tThe Schein quote comes from his 1956 article \u201cThe Chinese Indoc- trination Program for Prisoners of War: A Study of Attempted Brain- washing.\u201d\n4.\tSee Greene (1965) for the source of this advice.\n5.\tFreedman and Fraser published their data in the Journal of Person- ality and Social Psychology, in 1966.\n6.\tThe quote comes from Freedman and Fraser (1966).\n7.\tSee Segal (1954) for the article from which this quote originates.\n8.\tSee Jones and Harris (1967).\n9.\tIt is noteworthy that the housewives in this study (Kraut, 1973) heard that they were considered charitable at least a full week before they were asked to donate to the Multiple Sclerosis Association.\n10.\tFrom \u201cHow to Begin Retailing,\u201d Amway Corporation.\n11.\tSee Deutsch and Gerard (1955) and Kerr and MacCoun (1985) for the details of these studies.\n12.\tFrom Whiting, Kluckhohn, and Anthony (1958).\n13.\tFrom Gordon and Gordon (1963).\n14.\tThe survey was conducted by Walker (1967).\n15.\tThe electric-shock experiment was published seven years after the Aronson and Mills (1959) study by Gerard and Mathewson (1966).\n16.\tYoung (1965) conducted this research.\n17.\tThe robot study is reported fully in Freedman (1965).\n18.\tThe reader who wishes stronger evidence for the action of the lowball tactic than my subjective observations in the car showroom may refer to articles that attest to its effectiveness under controlled, experimental conditions: Cialdini et al. (1978), Burger and Petty (1981), Brownstein and Katzev (1985), and Joule (1987).\n19.\tA formal report of the energy-conservation project appears in Pallak et al. (1980).\n20.\tIt is not altogether unusual for even some of our most familiar quotations to be truncated by time in ways that greatly modify their character. For example, it is not money that the Bible claims as the root of all evil, it is the love of money. So as not to be guilty of the same sort of error myself, I should note that the Emerson quote from \u201cSelf-Reli- ance\u201d is somewhat longer and substantially more textured than I have reported. In full, it reads, \u201cA foolish consistency is the hobgoblin of little minds adored by little statesmen, and philosophers, and divines.\u201d\n21.\tSee Zajonc (1980) for a summary of this evidence.\n22.\tThis is not to say that what we feel about an issue is always differ-\n \n\nent from or always to be trusted more than what we think about it. However, the data are clear that our emotions and beliefs often do not point in the same direction. Therefore, in situations involving a decision- al commitment likely to have generated supporting rationalizations, feelings may well provide the truer counsel. This would be especially so when, as in the question of Sara\u2019s happiness, the fundamental issue at hand concerns an emotion (Wilson, 1989).\nCHAPTER 4 (PAGES 114\u2013166)\n1.\tThe general evidence regarding the facilitative effect of canned laughter on responses to humor comes from such studies as Smyth and Fuller (1972), Fuller and Sheehy-Skeffinton (1974), and Nosanchuk and Lightstone the last of which contains the indication that canned laughter is most effective for poor material.\n2.\tThe researchers who infiltrated the Graham Crusade and who provided the quote are Altheide and Johnson (1977).\n3.\tSee Bandura, Grusec, and Menlove (1967) and Bandura and Men- love (1968) for full descriptions of the dog-phobia treatment.\nAny reader who doubts that the seeming appropriateness of an action is importantly influenced by the number of others performing it might try a small experiment. Stand on a busy sidewalk, pick out an empty spot in the sky or on a tall building, and stare at it for a full minute. Very little will happen around you during that time\u2014most people will walk past without glancing up, and virtually no one will stop to stare with you. Now, on the next day, go to the same place and bring along four friends to look upward too. Within sixty seconds, a crowd of passersby will have stopped to crane their necks skyward with the group. For those pedestrians who do not join you, the pressure to look up at least briefly will be nearly irresistible; if your experiment brings the same results as the one performed by three New York social psycho- logists, you and your friends will cause 80 percent of all passersby to lift their gaze to your empty spot (Milgram, Bickman, and Berkowitz, 1967).\n4.\tOther research besides O\u2019Connor\u2019s (1972) suggests that there are two sides to the filmed-social-proof coin, however. The dramatic effect of filmed depictions on what children find appropriate has been a source of great distress for those concerned with frequent instances of violence and aggression on television. Although the consequences of televised violence on the aggressive actions of children are far from simple, the data from a well-controlled experiment by psychologists Robert Liebert and Robert Baron (1972) have an ominous look. Some children were shown excerpts from a television program in which people intentionally\n \n\nharmed another. Afterward, these children were significantly more harmful toward another child than were children who had watched a nonviolent television program (a horserace). The finding that seeing others perform aggressively led to more aggression on the part of the young viewers held true for the two age groups tested (five-to-six-year- olds and eight-to-nine-year-olds) and for both girls and boys.\n5.\tAn engagingly written report of their complete findings is presented in Festinger, Riecken, and Schachter\u2019s (1956) book When Prophecy Fails.\n6.\tPerhaps because of the quality of ragged desperation with which they approached their task, the believers were wholly unsuccessful at enlarging their number. Not a single convert was gained. At that point, in the face of the twin failures of physical and social proof, the cult quickly disintegrated. Less than three weeks after the date of the pre- dicted flood, group members were scattered and maintaining only sporadic communication with one another. In one final\u2014and ironic\u2014dis- confirmation of prediction, it was the movement that perished in the flood.\nRuin has not always been the fate of doomsday groups whose predic- tions proved unsound, however. When such groups have been able to build social proof for their beliefs through effective recruitment efforts, they have grown and prospered. For example, when the Dutch Ana- baptists saw their prophesied year of destruction, 1533, pass unevent- fully, they became rabid seekers after converts, pouring unprecedented amounts of energy into the cause. One extraordinarily eloquent mission- ary, Jakob van Kampen, is reported to have baptized one hundred persons in a single day. So powerful was the snowballing social evidence in support of the Anabaptist position that it rapidly overwhelmed the disconfirming physical evidence and turned two thirds of the population of Holland\u2019s great cities into adherents.\n7.\tFrom Rosenthal\u2019s Thirty-eight Witnesses, 1964.\n8.\tThis quote comes from Latan\u00e9 and Darley\u2019s award-winning book (1968), where they introduced the concept of pluralistic ignorance.\nThe potentially tragic consequences of the pluralistic ignorance phe- nomenon are starkly illustrated in a UPI news release from Chicago:\nA university coed was beaten and strangled in daylight hours near one of the most popular tourist attractions in the city, police said Saturday.\nThe nude body of Lee Alexis Wilson, 23, was found Friday in dense shrubbery alongside the wall of the Art Institute by a 12- year-old boy playing in the bushes.\n \n\nPolice theorized she may have been sitting or standing by a fountain in the Art Institute\u2019s south plaza when she was attacked. The assailant apparently then dragged her into the bushes. She apparently was sexually assaulted, police said.\nPolice said thousands of persons must have passed the site and one man told them he heard a scream about 2 P.M. but did not in- vestigate because no one else seemed to be paying attention.\n9.\tThe New York \u201cseizure\u201d and \u201csmoke\u201d emergency studies are re- ported by Darley and Latan\u00e9 (1968) and Latan\u00e9 and Darley (1968), re- spectively. The Toronto experiment was performed by Ross (1971). The Florida studies were published by Clark and Word in 1972 and 1974.\n10.\tSee a study by Latan\u00e9 and Rodin (1969) showing that groups of strangers help less in an emergency than groups of acquaintances.\n11.\tThe wallet study was conducted by Hornstein et al. (1968), the antismoking study by Murray et al. (1984), and the dental anxiety study by Melamed et al. (1978).\n12.\tThe sources of these statistics are articles by Phillips in 1979 and 1980.\n13.\tThe newspaper story data are reported by Phillips (1974), while the TV story data come from Bollen and Phillips (1982), Gould and Schaffer (1986), Phillips and Carstensen (1986), and Schmidtke and Hafner (1988).\n14.\tThese new data appear in Phillips (1983).\n15.\tThe quote is from The International Cyclopedia of Music and Musi- cians, 1964, which Sabin edited.\n16.\tFrom Hornaday (1887).\nCHAPTER 5 (PAGES 167\u2013207)\n1.\tThe Canadian election study was reported by Efran and Patterson (1976). Data of this sort give credence to the claim of some Richard Nixon backers that the failure that contributed most to the loss of the 1960 TV debates with John F. Kennedy\u2014and thereby to the elec- tion\u2014was the poor performance of Nixon\u2019s makeup man.\n2.\tSee Mack and Rainey (1990).\n3.\tThis finding\u2014that attractive defendants, even when they are found guilty, are less likely to be sentenced to prison\u2014helps explain one of the more fascinating experiments in criminology I have heard of (Kur- tzburg et al., 1968). Some New York City jail inmates with facial disfig- urements were given plastic surgery while incarcerated; others with similar disfigurements were not. Furthermore, some of each of these two groups of criminals were given services (for example, counseling\n \n\nand training) designed to rehabilitate them to society. One year after their release, a check of the records revealed that (except for heroin addicts) those given the cosmetic surgery were significantly less likely to have returned to jail. The most interesting feature of this finding was that it was equally true for those criminals who had not received the traditional rehabilitative services as for those who had. Apparently, some criminologists then argued, when it comes to ugly inmates, prisons would be better off to abandon the costly rehabilitation treatments they typically provide and offer plastic surgery instead; the surgery seems to be at least as effective and decidedly less expensive.\nThe importance of the newer, Pennsylvania data (Stewart, 1980) is its suggestion that the argument for surgery as a means of rehabilitation may be faulty. Making an ugly criminal more attractive may not reduce the chances that he will commit another crime; it may only reduce his chances of being sent to jail for it.\n4.\tThe negligence-award study was done by Kulka and Kessler (1978), the helping study by Benson et al. (1976), and the persuasion study by Chaiken (1979).\n5.\tAn excellent review of this research is provided by Eagly et al. (1991).\n6.\tThe dime-request experiment was conducted by Emswiller et al. (1971), while the petition-signing experiment was done by Suedfeld et al. (1971).\n7.\tThe insurance sales data were reported by Evans (1963). The \u201cmirroring and matching\u201d evidence comes from work by LaFrance (1985), Locke and Horowitz (1990), and Woodside and Davenport (1974). Additional work suggests yet another reason for caution when dealing with similar requesters: We typically underestimate the degree to which similarity affects our liking for another (Gonzales et al., 1983).\n8.\tSee Drachman et al. (1978) for a complete description of the find- ings.\n9.\tBornstein (1989) summarizes much of this evidence.\n10.\tThe mirror study was performed by Mita et al. (1977).\n11.\tFor general evidence regarding the positive effect of familiarity on attraction, see Zajonc (1968). For more specific evidence of this effect on our response to politicians, the research of Joseph Grush is enlight- ening and sobering (Grush et al., 1978; Grush, 1980), in documenting a strong connection between amount of media exposure and a candidate\u2019s chances of winning an election.\n12.\tSee Bornstein, Leone, and Galley (1987).\n13.\tFor an especially thorough examination of this issue, see Stephan (1978).\n14.\tThe evidence of the tendency of ethnic groups to stay with their\n \n\nown in school comes from Gerard and Miller (1975). The evidence for the dislike of things repeatedly presented under unpleasant conditions comes from such studies as Burgess and Sales (1971), Zajonc et al. (1974), and Swap (1977).\n15.\tFrom Aronson (1975).\n16.\tA fascinating description of the entire boys\u2019-camp project, called the \u201cRobbers\u2019 Cave Experiment,\u201d can be found in Sherif et al. (1961).\n17.\tThe Carlos example comes once again from Aronson\u2019s initial report in his 1975 article. However, additional reports by Aronson and by others have shown similarly encouraging results. A representative list would include Johnson and Johnson (1983), DeVries and Slavin (1978), Cook (1990), and Aronson, Bridgeman, and Geffner (1978a, b).\n18.\tFor a careful examination of the possible pitfalls of cooperative learning approaches, see Rosenfield and Stephan (1981).\n19.\tIn truth, little in the way of combat takes place when the salesman enters the manager\u2019s office under such circumstances. Often, because the salesman knows exactly the price below which he cannot go, he and the boss don\u2019t even speak. In one car dealership I infiltrated while researching this book, it was common for a salesman to have a soft drink or cigarette in silence while the boss continued working at his desk. After a seemly time, the salesman would loosen his tie and return to his customers, looking weary but carrying the deal he had just \u201chammered out\u201d for them\u2014the same deal he had in mind before enter- ing the boss\u2019s office.\n20.\tFor experimental evidence of the validity of Shakespeare\u2019s obser- vation, see Manis et al. (1974).\n21.\tA review of research supporting this statement is provided by Lott and Lott (1965).\n22.\tSee the study by Miller et al. (1966) for evidence.\n23.\tThe study was done by Smith and Engel (1968).\n24.\tThe rights to such associations don\u2019t come cheaply. Corporate sponsors spend millions to secure Olympic sponsorships, and they spend many millions more to advertise their connections to the event. Yet it may all be worth the expense. An Advertising Age survey found that one third of all consumers said they would be more likely to pur- chase a product if it were linked to the Olympics.\n25.\tThe Georgia study was done by Rosen and Tesser (1970).\n26.\tFrom Asimov (1975).\n27.\tBoth the sweatshirt and the pronoun experiments are reported fully in Cialdini et al. (1976).\n \n\nCHAPTER 6 (PAGES 208\u2013236)\n1.\tThe quote is from Milgram\u2019s 1963 article in the Journal of Abnormal and Social Psychology.\n2.\tAll of these variations on the basic experiment, as well as several others, are presented in Milgram\u2019s highly readable book Obedience to Authority, 1974. A review of much of the subsequent research on obed- ience can be found in Blass (1991).\n3.\tIn fact, Milgram first began his investigations in an attempt to un- derstand how the German citizenry could have participated in the concentration-camp destruction of millions of innocents during the years of Nazi ascendancy. After testing his experimental procedures in the United States, he had planned to take them to Germany, a country whose populace he was sure would provide enough obedience for a full-blown scientific analysis of the concept. That first eye-opening ex- periment in New Haven, Connecticut, however, made it clear that he could save his money and stay close to home. \u201cI found so much obedi- ence,\u201d he has said, \u201cI hardly saw the need of taking the experiment to Germany.\u201d\nMore telling evidence, perhaps, of a willingness within the American character to submit to authorized command comes from a national survey taken after the trial of Lieutenant William Calley, who ordered his soldiers to kill the inhabitants\u2014from the infants and toddlers through their parents and grandparents\u2014of My Lai, Vietnam (Kelman and Hamilton, 1989). A majority of Americans (51 percent) responded that, if so ordered, in a similar context, they too would shoot all the residents of a Vietnamese village. But Americans have no monopoly on the need to obey. When Milgram\u2019s basic procedure has been repeated in Holland, Germany, Spain, Italy, Australia, and Jordan, the results have been similar. See Meeus and Raaijmakers for a review.\n4.\tWe are not the only species to give sometimes wrongheaded defer- ence to those in authority positions. In monkey colonies, where rigid dominance hierarchies exist, beneficial innovations (like learning how to use a stick to bring food into the cage area) do not spread quickly through the group unless they are taught first to a dominant animal. When a lower animal is taught the new concept first, the rest of the colony remains mostly oblivious to its value. One study, cited by Ardry (1970), on the introduction of new food tastes to Japanese monkeys provides a nice illustration. In one troop, a taste for caramels was de- veloped by introducing this new food into the diet of young peripherals, low on the status ladder. The taste for caramels inched slowly up the ranks: A year and a half later, only 51 percent of the colony had acquired\n \n\nit, and still none of the leaders. Contrast this with what happened in a second troop where wheat was introduced first to the leader: Wheat eating\u2014to this point unknown to these monkeys\u2014spread through the whole colony within four hours.\n5.\tThe experiment was performed by Wilson (1968).\n6.\tThe study on children\u2019s judgments of coins was done by Bruner and Goodman (1947). The study on college students\u2019 judgments was done by Dukes and Bevan (1952). In addition to the relationship between importance (status) and perceived size that both of these experiments show, there is even some evidence that the importance we assign to our identity is reflected in the size of a frequent symbol of that identity: our signature. The psychologist Richard Zweigenhaft (1970) has collec- ted data suggesting that as a man\u2019s sense of his own status grows, so does the size of his signature. This finding may give us a secret way of discovering how the people around us view their own status and im- portance: Simply compare the size of their signature to that of their other handwriting.\n7.\tSubhumans are not alone in this regard, even in modern times. For example, since 1900 the U.S. presidency has been won by the taller of the major-party candidates in twenty-one of the twenty-four elections.\n8.\tFrom Hofling et al. (1966).\n9.\tAdditional data collected in the same study suggest that nurses may not be conscious of the extent to which the title Doctor sways their judgments and actions. A separate group of thirty-three nurses and student nurses were asked what they would have done in the experi- mental situation. Contrary to the actual findings, only two predicted that they would have given the medication as ordered.\n10.\tSee Bickman (1974) for a complete account of this research. Similar results have been obtained when the requester was female (Bushman, 1988).\n11.\tThis experiment was conducted by Lefkowitz, Blake, and Mouton (1955).\n12.\tThe horn-honking study was published in 1968 by Anthony Doob and Alan Gross.\n13.\tFor evidence, see Choo (1964), and McGuinnies and Ward (1980).\n14.\tSee Settle and Gorden (1974), Smith and Hunt (1978), and Hunt, Domzal, and Kernan (1981).\nCHAPTER 7 (PAGES 237\u2013272)\n1.\tThe home-insulation study was done by Gonzales, Costanzo, and Aronson (1988) in northern California; the breast-examination work was conducted by Meyerwitz and Chaiken (1987) in New York City.\n \n2.\tSee Schwartz (1980) for evidence of such a process.\n3.\tSee Lynn (1989). Without wishing to minimize the advantages of this type of shortcut or the dangers associated with it, I should note that these advantages and dangers are essentially the same ones we have examined in previous chapters. Accordingly, I will not focus on this theme in the remainder of the present chapter, except to say at this point that the key to using properly the shortcut feature of scarcity is to be alert to the distinction between naturally occurring, honest scarcity and the fabricated variety favored by certain compliance practitioners.\n4.\tThe original reactance-theory formulation appeared in Brehm (1966); a subsequent version appears in Brehm and Brehm (1981).\n5.\tBrehm and Weintraub (1977) did the barrier experiment. It should be noted that two-year-old girls in the study did not show the same resistant response to the large barrier as did the boys. This does not seem to be because girls don\u2019t oppose attempts to limit their freedoms. Instead, it appears that they are primarily reactant to restrictions that come from other people rather than from physical barriers (Brehm, 1983).\n6.\tFor descriptions of the two-year-old\u2019s change in self-perception, see Mahler et al. (1975), Lewis and Brooks-Gunn (1979), Brooks-Gun and Lewis (1982), and Levine (1983).\n7.\tThe occurrence of the Romeo and Juliet effect should not be inter- preted as a warning to parents to be always accepting of their teenagers\u2019 romantic choices. New players at this delicate game are likely to err often and, consequently, would benefit from the direction of an adult with greater perspective and experience. In providing such direction, parents should recognize that teenagers, who see themselves as young adults, will not respond well to control attempts that are typical of parent-child relationships. Especially in the clearly adult arena of mat- ing, adult tools of influence (preference and persuasion) will be more effective than traditional forms of parental control (prohibitions and punishments). Although the experience of the Montague and Capulet families is an extreme example, heavy-handed restrictions on a young romantic alliance may well turn it clandestine, torrid, and sad.\nA full description of the Colorado couples study can be found in Driscoll et al. (1972).\n8.\tSee Mazis (1975) and Mazis et al. (1973) for formal reports of the phosphate study.\n9.\tFor evidence, see Ashmore et al. (1971), Wicklund and Brehm (1974), Worchel and Arnold (1973), Worchel et al. (1975), and Worchel (1991).\n10.\tThe Purdue study was done by Zellinger et al. (1974).\n \n\n11.\tThe University of Chicago jury experiment on inadmissible evidence was reported by Broeder (1959).\n12.\tThe initial statements of commodity theory appeared in Brock (1968) and Fromkin and Brock (1971). For an updated statement, see Brock and Bannon (1992).\n13.\tFor ethical reasons, the information provided to the customers was always true. There was an impending beef shortage and this news had, indeed, come to the company through its exclusive sources. See Knishinsky (1982) for full details of the project.\n14.\tWorchel et al. (1975).\n15.\tSee Davies (1962, 1969).\n16.\tSee Lytton (1979), and Rosenthal and Robertson (1959).\n17.\tThe quote comes from MacKenzie (1974).\nEPILOGUE (PAGES 273\u2013280)\n1.\tFor evidence of such perceptual and decisional narrowing see Berkowitz (1967), Bodenhausen (1990), Cohen (1978), Easterbrook (1959), Gilbert and Osborn (1989), Hockey and Hamilton (1970), Mackworth (1965), Milgram (1970), and Tversky and Kahnemann (1974).\n2.\tQuoted in the PBS-TV documentary The Information Society.\n\n\n******************************\nthis is all the data you can use no outside influnece. answer my questions based on this. just reply with a 'yes' if you understand nothing else"},{"assistant_initiates":false,"asst_text":"Based on the article provided, we can create a step-by-step methodology/system for managing a stock portfolio. This system comprises selecting stocks using a ranking system, calculating transaction costs, determining portfolio weighting, setting buy and sell rules, considering diversification, rebalancing frequency, hedging strategies, tax optimization, and margin usage.\n\n**Step 1: Create a Ranking System for Stocks**\n1. Develop a ranking system that assigns points to stocks based on various criteria (e.g., financial metrics, growth potential, industry position).\n2. You could use software like Portfolio123 to weight over a hundred different factors.\n\n**Example:**\nA simple example ranking system might assign points as follows:\n- Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio below industry average: +2 points.\n- Revenue growth above 10% year-over-year: +3 points.\n- Dividend yield above 2%: +1 point.\n- Positive net profit margin: +2 points.\n- Strong balance sheet (e.g., low debt-to-equity ratio): +2 points.\n\n**Step 2: Calculate Transaction Costs**\n1. Assess the transaction costs using the formula `0.25 \u00d7 a + 0.5 \u00d7 b \u00d7 \u221a (d / c)\u00d7 (1.2 \u2013 e / 2)`, where:\n   - `a` is the ratio of the bid-ask spread to the stock's price.\n   - `b` is daily volatility.\n   - `c` is median daily volume traded.\n   - `d` is the number of shares you want to trade per day.\n   - `e` is 0 without VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) orders; 1 if you can use VWAP orders.\n\n**Example:**\nFor a stock with a 0.18% bid-ask spread, 1.9% daily volatility, 32,000 median daily volume, planning to trade 6,000 shares a day using VWAP:\nTransaction cost = `0.25 * 0.0018 + 0.5 * 0.019 * (sqrt(6000/32000)) * (1.2 - 0.5) = 0.33%`\n\n**Step 3: Portfolio Weighting**\n1. Weight portfolio stocks based on rank, with higher-ranked positions commanding greater weight.\n\n**Example:**\nYou might use a formula like `weight = (25 - rank)`.\nFor the top-ranked stock (rank 1), weight = 24.\nFor the second-ranked stock (rank 2), weight = 23.\n\n**Step 4: Set Buy and Sell Rules**\n1. Implement buy rules like purchasing stocks based on expected excess returns and sell rules like maintaining a minimum holding period.\n2. Prioritize buying top-ranked stocks and sell to free up cash as needed.\n\n**Example:**\nIf you have a rule to hold a stock for at least 90 days, you would not sell it before that period expires, regardless of its rank.\n\n**Step 5: Consider Diversification**\n1. Take large but concentrated positions in a small number of well-researched stocks while considering industry diversification.\n\n**Step 6: Rebalancing Frequency**\n1. Decide on rebalancing frequency, adjusting portfolio stock weights to match their rank changes.\n2. Opt for a frequency like daily, weekly, or monthly based on transaction costs and market impact.\n\n**Step 7: Hedging**\n1. Use put options to hedge long positions, selecting time spans (e.g., 3 to 9 months) and pricing below standard models.\n\n**Step 8: Tax Optimization**\n1. Make gains in retirement accounts and losses in taxable accounts when possible.\n2. Consider contributing highly appreciated stock to retirement accounts or as charitable donations.\n\n**Step 9: Margin Usage**\n1. Use margin cautiously, only buying marginable stocks with a good rate.\n2. Keep a surplus above zero to prevent margin calls.\n\n**Conclusion and Buy Decision Influence:**\n- Stocks at the top of the ranking system would be bought first, and transaction costs considered will influence the weight given to each stock.\n- If a top-ranked stock has transaction costs that excessively diminish its expected returns, it might be given a lower portfolio weight or passed over for a lower-ranked but more cost-efficient alternative.\n- Buy and sell rules based on the ranking system, including hedge strategies and tax considerations, will shape entry and exit decisions, aiming to optimize the portfolio for long-term success.\n- Rebalancing based on the systematic approach will ensure that the portfolio adapts to stock ranking changes and maintains alignment with the investment strategy.","behavior":"degenerate_repetition","conversation_hash":"adf8e3b4826c2cd6a4c0ecbe08f33d5b","conversation_redacted":false,"conversation_toxic":false,"country":"Indonesia","empty_output":false,"evidence_codes":[],"label":"absent","label_present":false,"label_qualified":false,"label_source":"Final dense release","language":"English","model":"gpt-4-1106-preview","n_chars":23144,"n_turns_in_conversation":2,"n_words":4002,"source_row_offset":50061,"source_shard":"turns-00017.parquet","timestamp":"Thu, 29 Feb 2024 14:39:10 GMT","turn_id":"a20e782605deeeaef9d19d68","turn_index":0,"user_text":"Please create a detailed step by step methodology/system from this article. Include detailed examples for the written formulas and discuss how the result would influence a buy decision for a stock in the ranking system. Here is the article:  \nPortfolio management techniques are vital to achieve successful returns as a retail investor.\nI suggest starting with a simple method: create a ranking system for stocks, buy the top few, and sell lower\nranked stocks only if you need cash to buy more.\nI give suggestions on managing transaction costs, diversification, portfolio weighting, buy and sell rules,\nrebalancing frequency, hedging, taxes, and margin usage.\nI do much more than just articles at The Stock Evaluator: Members get access to model portfolios, regular\nupdates, a chat room, and more. Learn More \u00bb\nutah778\nThe Importance of Portfolio Management\nI\u2019ve had a successful run as a retail investor, with an eight-year CAGR of 44%. I attribute my success to two things:\nmy ability to find stocks that will outperform, and my portfolio management techniques, which may be of equal\nimportance to my returns. Without good portfolio management techniques, I\u2019m absolutely sure I wouldn\u2019t have\nperformed as well. So, I wanted to share some pointers with you.\nSimple Portfolio Management\n\n If your ranking system is pretty good, it\u2019s going to produce reliable results.\n(What exactly is a \u201cranking system\u201d? It can be as simple as a checklist that gives points to each stock according to\nwhether it fulfills various criteria, or it can be as complicated as a machine-learning algorithm that scores stocks on a\nvariety of factors. As far as I know, there\u2019s only one subscription service on the Internet that allows you to create and\nback-test ranking systems, and it\u2019s the one I use: Portfolio123. There I can create ranking systems that use over a\nhundred different factors, all weighted as I choose, each factor customized to my liking.)\nHowever, I\u2019m a tinkerer. I\u2019m constantly trying to improve my portfolio management techniques. So I\u2019m going to\nsuggest a number of ways to create what might be an even better portfolio management system, starting with the\nabove basic rules.\nThe Primacy of Transaction Costs\nThe first principle is this: the higher your transaction costs, the more stocks you\u2019ll want to hold, and the more equal\nyour portfolio weights should be. If your transaction costs are very low, you can hold few stocks, rebalance frequently,\nand weight your top-ranked positions much higher than those that don\u2019t rank as high. If your transaction costs are\nvery high, you\u2019ll want to hold lots of positions in more or less equal weights and hold them for a relatively long time,\nrebalancing infrequently. This should make intuitive sense. The more positions you hold, the smaller they\u2019ll be, which\nwill reduce market impact costs; huge position weights will have tremendous market impact costs; frequent\nrebalancing may increase your returns if your transaction costs are very low but will decrease them if your transaction\ncosts are very high. Similarly, when assigning weights to the different stocks in your portfolio, you should reduce the\nweights of stocks whose transaction costs are significantly higher than others.\nCalculating Transaction Costs\nLet\u2019s get into the weeds a bit. What are your transaction costs? Those depend primarily on five things:\n1. the ratio of the bid-ask spread to the stock\u2019s price;\n2. the daily volatility of the stock, best measured by the standard deviation of the ratio of the high-low difference to\nthe closing price;\n3. the median daily volume traded (in number of shares);\n4. the number of shares of the stock you are going to trade per day;\n5. whether or not you can use a VWAP order.\nIf we take the above variables and assign them letters a through e (with e being zero if you can\u2019t use a VWAP order\nand one if you can), a rough estimation of your transaction costs would be:\n0.25 \u00d7 a + 0.5 \u00d7 b \u00d7 \u221a (d / c)\u00d7 (1.2 \u2013 e / 2)\nLet\u2019s take, for example, Nature\u2019s Sunshine Products (NATR). The ratio of the bid-ask spread to the stock\u2019s price is\n0.18%. The daily volatility is 1.9%. It trades about 32,000 shares per day. I am planning to buy 6,000 shares per day,\nusing VWAP orders. My transaction cost will then be\n0.25 \u00d7 0.0018 + 0.5 \u00d7 0.019 \u00d7 \u221a (6,000 / 32,000) \u00d7 (1.2 \u2013 0.5)\nwhich comes to 0.33%. My round-trip transaction cost (for both buying and selling the stock) would be double that.\nNow let\u2019s compare that with a much less liquid stock, iHuman (IH). The ratio of the bid-ask spread to the stock\u2019s price\nis 4.2%. The daily volatility is 2.8%. It trades about 6,000 shares a day. I want to buy 14,000 shares per day, but I\u2019m\ngoing to have trouble using a VWAP order, so I\u2019m just going to place a few orders throughout the day. What will my\ntransaction cost be for this stock?\n0.25 \u00d7 0.042 + 0.5 \u00d7 0.028 \u00d7 \u221a (14,000 / 6,000) \u00d7 1.2\nwhich comes to 3.6%. My round-trip transaction cost would be a gigantic 7.2%. It\u2019s rather difficult to justify such a\npurchase, since the cost would likely exceed the expected return.\nYou can calculate the transaction costs of your portfolio pretty easily. Calculate the weighted average of the\ntransaction costs of each stock you own using the existing amount you own as variable d above. Double that for the\nround-trip cost. Then multiply that by your annual turnover. You\u2019ll see that as you reduce or equalize the size of your\npositions and as you reduce your turnover, your total transaction cost per year will go down.\n2/6\nDiversification\nThe following discussion is paraphrased from Frederik Vanhaverbeke\u2019s excellent book Excess Returns: A\nComparative Study of the Methods of the World\u2019s Greatest Investors.\nThe conventional wisdom is that you have to diversify to mitigate risk. Great investors reject that idea and instead\ntake large positions in a small number of stocks. Philip Fisher usually had three or four companies that accounted for\nabout 75% of his portfolio. Joel Greenblatt put about 80% of his funds in eight or fewer stocks. Eddie Lampert holds\nabout eight major positions at any one time. Glenn Greenberg won\u2019t buy a stock if he\u2019s not willing to put 5% of his\nassets in it. Warren Buffett, who has a well-deserved reputation for caution, says that for a small portfolio of less than\n$200 million, he would put about 80% in five stocks. In his private portfolio he\u2019s willing to risk up to 75% in a single\nstock.\nThe reasons behind portfolio concentration are pretty clear. First, by focusing on your best ideas you take full\nadvantage of those and avoid dilution by second-rate ideas. Second, concentration leads to in-depth knowledge,\nwhile diversification leads to ignorance.\n(Now I\u2019m no longer paraphrasing Vanhaverbeke.) Several studies have found that among active portfolio managers,\nthe more concentrated positions tend to do better than the less concentrated ones.\nAs for my own practice, as of November 15, I had 12% of my portfolio in Bird Construction (BDT:CA), 12% in Nature\u2019s\nSunshine Products (NATR), 7% in Perdoceo Education (PRDO), 7% in Daktronics (DAKT), and 6% in International\nGeneral Insurance (IGIC). Those are my truly concentrated positions. Altogether I\u2019m holding twenty-four stocks that\neach make up more than 1% of my portfolio, and fourteen more that are under 1% each. This kind of imbalance isn\u2019t\nuncommon: Peter Lynch sometimes had more than 1,000 stocks in his portfolio, but still had some very large\npositions among them.\nI do advocate diversification among industries or subsectors. I\u2019m currently overly concentrated in \u201cindustrial services\u201d\n(transportation, infrastructure, delivery, logistics, distribution, facilities, construction), so I\u2019m taking some steps to limit\nmy investment there.\nPortfolio Weighting\nIf you use ranking systems, it makes sense to scale your positions by rank, with the highest-ranked positions having\nthe greatest weight. There are any number of ways to specify this in a formula: if a stock\u2019s rank position is r (i.e. for\nyour top ranked stock, r = 1 and for your second ranked stock, r = 2), some formulas might include 25 \u2013 r, 1 / r, e \u20130.2\nr, ln (25 \u2013 r), \u221a (25 \u2013 r), and so on. I advocate taking transaction costs into account when setting a stock\u2019s weight. One\nway to do this would be to use one of the formulas above and multiply it by (0.06 \u2013 x) / 0.06, where x is twice the\nstock\u2019s transaction cost and 6% is the average expected return of a stock. (You can adjust the expected return to\nmatch your own historical returns.)\nBuy and Sell Rules\nBesides the very basic buy and sell rules outlined above\u2014buy a stock if it ranks in the top X and sell it if you need\nmoney to buy another and it ranks lower than other stocks\u2014a few others are worth considering.\n1. Sell rules. You might want a minimum holding period, which would mean selling a stock only if it has been held\nmore than X days. You might want to sell companies going through merger proceedings. I would strongly\nadvise against using stop losses. If a stock\u2019s price goes down but its ranking remains the same or goes up, you\nprobably want to buy more of it. Remember that a stock\u2019s prospects have nothing to do with the price you paid\nfor it, since everyone who owns shares paid a different price for them. Using stop losses virtually guarantees\nthat you buy high and sell low. Studies have shown that most active managers sell positions that have either\ngone way up in price or gone way down in price and hold positions whose price remains the same. Don\u2019t do\nthings like that. Instead base your selling on a) rank and b) what you need in order to buy something else.\n2. Buy rules. Instead of buying stocks simply based on their rank in your ranking system, you might want to buy\nthem based on their rank in terms of expected excess returns. (In other words, instead of buying the five top\nranked stocks, buy the five stocks that will give you the highest expected excess returns. The difference\nbetween the two comes down to transaction costs per stock.) This gets complicated: first you have to determine\nhow much more money a stock ranked #1 will make versus a stock ranked #5, and then you have to subtract\ndouble the transaction costs for each stock to come up with a total expected excess return. Here\u2019s a formula\nyou\u2019re welcome to use. If r is the rank position of the stock and c is the transaction cost in percentage points,\nyour expected return may be approximately 0.1 \u2013 0.025 \u00d7 ln \u00ae \u2013 2 \u00d7 c.\nRebalancing Frequency\nI tend to rebalance or reconstitute my own portfolio every day and my kids\u2019 portfolios twice a week. Their portfolios\nhave outperformed mine pretty consistently. On the other hand, theirs have less market impact, being much smaller\nthan mine. Twice a week is probably good enough. More frequent rebalancing gives you the opportunity to take\nadvantage of strong and sudden price moves, but it also increases churn.\n3/6\nHolding Period and Rebalancing Size\nI tend to hold positions on average eighty or ninety days, but you might want a longer or shorter holding period. In\naddition, I\u2019m often adjusting position weights, so that even when I\u2019ve held a position for five hundred days, there are\nportions that have been held much less and others that I might have already sold. This creates additional transaction\ncosts, and lowers my returns. It\u2019s therefore important to not diminish or increase positions simply because there\u2019s a\nsmall difference in rank, but to place strict limits on rebalancing and do it only when the discrepancy is rather extreme\n(say more than a third of the position).\nHedging\nI like to hedge my long positions with put options.\nShorting has a very lopsided return profile: you can never make more than 100% on a short position, but you can lose\nmore than 500%. I wouldn\u2019t recommend taking short positions, and I don\u2019t short stocks myself. But perhaps if done\nvery carefully, it can smooth and even increase returns. That\u2019s still something I\u2019m investigating. So far, I haven\u2019t found\na good method of making it work.\nPut options have the opposite return profile: you can easily make far more than 100% and you cannot lose more than\n100%. I favor three-to-nine-month out-of-the-money put options with a price that\u2019s usually well under the Black\nScholes or binomial price (or, put another way, whose implied volatility is significantly less than the stock\u2019s historical\nvolatility; I\u2019m willing to pay a bit more for stocks with relatively low historical volatility). Cheap puts like these are hard\nto find; during high volatility periods, you might only buy puts on 5% of the stocks you\u2019re interested in. At any rate, this\nis by far the best hedge I\u2019ve come across, and has increased my own returns significantly. I\u2019ve only been buying puts\nfor about 21 months, but my annualized return so far is about 840%. As with shorting, you want to choose your stocks\ncarefully: buy puts on the stocks with the greatest odds of underperforming, and use a good ranking system designed\nfor this. As for selling them, I usually wait until the week before expiration, unless my ranking system tells me that\nthey\u2019re no longer likely to fall in price, in which case I sell them for whatever I can get.\nTo keep your sanity with out-of-the-money options, it\u2019s important to realize that\na) they\u2019ll often expire worthless;\nb) their value can plunge about ten times faster than stocks; and\nc) when the market is in high-risk mode, their value may all plunge at the same time.\nIt\u2019s such a rocky ride that you may not want to put more than 25% of your money in them.\nMany people like to hedge only under certain market conditions. I have not found any system of reliably predicting\nmarket conditions, and have always found market timing and/or tactical asset allocation unrewarding. Almost all such\nsystems are overfitted. Yes, of course, there are certain times when it\u2019s better to be out of the market or refrain from\nshorting anything. But predicting those is a very tall order, and if you happen to be even slightly wrong you can\nsquander your best opportunities. It\u2019s far easier to use a relatively constant hedge: 75% to 80% long and 20% to 25%\nshort/puts.\nEasing into Positions\nIf you\u2019re facing massive market impact, it\u2019s far better to ease into and out of positions by buying or selling a small\namount daily than trying to get into positions all at once. On the other hand, there may be a small cost of delay,\nespecially right after an event or earnings announcement. These are the considerations to weigh when you\u2019re\nthinking of easing into or out of positions.\nTaxes\nIt\u2019s always best to invest in retirement accounts, where taxes aren\u2019t an issue.\nIf you have both a cash account and a retirement account, I advise trying to make as many of your yearly losses\noccur in the cash account as possible and as many of your gains in the retirement account as possible. The following\npractices may help you avoid paying capital gains taxes.\n1. If you can move stock into a retirement account, a business account, a foundation, or as a charitable donation,\nmove the stock that has appreciated the most (in dollar terms, not percentage).\n2. If you\u2019re going to sell a portion of a position that\u2019s held in both your cash account and your retirement account,\nfirst look to see if the stock has appreciated in the cash account. If it has, sell the portion in your retirement\naccount; if it has lost money, sell the portion in the cash account.\nLast year I made 22% on my investments, but because I followed the two rules above, I paid no capital gains tax at\nall.\n4/6\nMargin\nIt\u2019s not a bad idea to use margin in your non-retirement accounts, as long as you do so carefully. Here are a few\nrecommendations.\n1. Negotiate a good margin interest rate with your broker. Interactive Brokers charges the lowest margin rate, and\nyou can always threaten your broker to leave and use IB instead.\n2. Keep track of which stocks are marginable and which are not. Buy the marginable ones in your margin\naccounts and the non-marginable ones in your retirement accounts.\n3. When allocating how much to spend on a stock, take margin into account. It\u2019s better to buy larger amounts of\nmarginable stocks.\n4. Watch market volatility. I use CBOE\u2019s RVIX index, which is a lot like VIX except it gauges the Russell 2000.\nWhen the VIX or RVIX goes up, decrease your use of margin.\n5. Always keep a cushion. When calculating the amount of margin to use, add 5% to your margin requirements for\neach stock. The idea is to avoid margin calls.\nHere\u2019s a quick primer on how I manage margin.\nLet V be the market value of all the stocks in your margin account, let R be the weighted average margin requirement\nof those stocks, and let D be your total debt. Your surplus will then be V \u2013 D \u2013 R \u00d7 V, or (1 \u2013 R) \u00d7 V \u2013 D.\nNext, let\u2019s calculate your worst-case expected future drawdown (this is based on your current assets, not on your\nhigh-water mark). I use 0.65% of the VIX minus 1%. So if the VIX is at 20, your expected drawdown is 14%, and if the\nVIX is at 40, it\u2019s 29%. We\u2019ll call that number dd.\nNow recalculate the value of your portfolio if the drawdown happens: V \u00d7 (1 \u2013 dd). Then calculate the margin\nrequirement of your stocks at that lower value if your margin requirements went up by 5% (since some margin\naccounts will increase margin requirements in the case of high risk): (R + 0.05) \u00d7 V \u00d7 (1 \u2013 dd). Your new surplus, after\nthe disaster, would be V \u00d7 (1 \u2013 dd) \u2013 D \u2013 (R + 0.05) \u00d7 V \u00d7 (1 \u2013 dd), which simplifies to (0.95 \u2013 R) \u00d7 V \u00d7 (1 \u2013 dd) \u2013 D.\nWhen I\u2019m buying and selling stocks, I try to keep that new surplus above zero at all times.\nFor example, let\u2019s say the market value of all the stocks in your account is $750,000, your weighted average margin\nrequirement is 36%, and you have $350,000 in margin debt. Your surplus is therefore 0.64 \u00d7 $750,000 \u2013 $350,000 =\n$130,000.\nNow let\u2019s say the VIX is at 20, giving you an expected drawdown of 14%. Your new surplus will be 0.59 \u00d7 $750,000 \u00d7\n0.86 \u2013 $350,000 = $30,550. You can therefore spend $30,000 on buying new stocks with a margin requirement of\n100%, and quite a bit more on new stocks with a lower margin requirement. As long as you do this kind of math, you\nshould never get a margin call. I never have, even during the COVID crash.\nConclusion\nAll of this can be overwhelmingly complicated. That\u2019s why I began this article with a very simple portfolio\nmanagement method. I still think that it is an excellent foundation, and everything else is icing on the cake. But many\npeople never even think about portfolio management. They keep a huge amount in cash in case they see a stock\nthey want. They buy on whim, and base the weight of their new buy on things like how much cash they happen to\nhave. They sell when stocks go way up or way down, disregarding their prospects. They get margin calls; they get\ninto and out of hedges on a moment\u2019s notice; they overdiversify; and so on. All of this will diminish their investing\nsuccess.\nSystematic and thoughtful portfolio management should be a key part of your investing process. Don\u2019t let your stock\npicking talents go to waste by not managing your portfolio well"},{"assistant_initiates":false,"asst_text":"I will elaborate on each step with additional examples to illustrate the methodology outlined in the previous response.\n\n**Step 1: Create a Ranking System for Stocks**\nExample:\nConsider factors such as industry dominance, management quality, and innovation level:\n- Leading market share in its industry: +3 points\n- Management with a proven track record (e.g., CEO with successful previous ventures): +2 points\n- Investment in R&D above 5% of revenue: +1 point\nRank a set of stocks using these criteria, and assign priority for buying the stocks with the highest total points.\n\n**Step 2: Calculate Transaction Costs**\nExample:\nFor a stock with a 2.5% bid-ask spread, 3% daily volatility, 10,000 median daily volume, and planning to trade 1,000 shares without VWAP:\nTransaction cost = `0.25 * 0.025 + 0.5 * 0.03 * (sqrt(1000/10000)) * 1.2 = 1.22%`\nThis high transaction cost could make a low-ranked stock unattractive even if other factors are favorable.\n\n**Step 3: Portfolio Weighting**\nExample:\nIf you decide to allocate funds based on rank using an inverse function, you might assign weights as follows:\n- If your total investment pool is $100,000, you can allocate `1 / rank` percent of your portfolio to each stock, with a cap per stock, so no single investment is too risky.\n- Top-ranked stock (Rank 1): `1/1 * 100,000 = $100,000` (but you cap at $10,000 to avoid overexposure)\n- Second-ranked stock (Rank 2): `1/2 * 100,000 = $50,000` (capped at $10,000)\n\n**Step 4: Set Buy and Sell Rules**\nExample:\nSell rule based on performance:\n- If a stock underperforms the market by 15% over a 60-day period, it triggers a review for possible sale.\nBuy rule based on cash reserves:\n- Allocate at least 10% of portfolio value to cash to take advantage of market dips. If cash reserves exceed 10%, identify top-ranked stocks that are currently underrepresented in the portfolio for potential purchase.\n\n**Step 5: Consider Diversification**\nExample:\nConstruct a portfolio with no more than 20% of funds in any one sector:\n- With a $100,000 portfolio, you limit sector exposure to a maximum of $20,000.\n- If technology stocks rank highly, you might reach this limit quickly and then look for the next highest-ranked stocks in a different sector to maintain diversification.\n\n**Step 6: Rebalancing Frequency**\nExample:\nSet a schedule to review portfolio composition every two weeks:\n- Every second Monday, evaluate each stock's ranking. If a stock has moved out of the top tier ranks, trim the position or sell it entirely in favor of a higher-ranked opportunity.\n- Implement changes gradually to reduce market impact, mindful of the transaction costs.\n\n**Step 7: Hedging**\nExample:\nPurchase puts as a hedge on the most volatile stock positions:\n- Identify stocks at risk of significant downturns based on high volatility and weak industry outlook.\n- Purchase put options 10% out-of-the-money with a 6-month expiration date on no more than 5% of the portfolio value.\n\n**Step 8: Tax Optimization**\nExample:\nUse tax loss harvesting to offset capital gains:\n- If a stock has depreciated significantly, consider selling it to realize a loss that can offset taxable gains in other parts of the portfolio.\n- At year-end, carefully plan sales and purchases to optimize tax implications.\n\n**Step 9: Margin Usage**\nExample:\nWith a total portfolio value of $200,000 and a desire to use only 10% margin ($20,000), you decide to invest the margin only in liquid, large-cap stocks to reduce risk.\n- You split the $20,000 margin balance across four large-cap, stable companies at $5,000 each.\n- Closely monitor performance and margin calls, ready to sell off assets or add funds if the portfolio experiences a significant drawdown.\n\nIn conclusion, the application of this detailed methodology is designed to guide systematic and disciplined investment decisions. The buy decision would be influenced by the comprehensive evaluation of stocks against the ranking system and a careful assessment of transaction costs, portfolio weighting, diversification, and risk management strategies, including judicious use of margin and tax implications. The objective is to enhance portfolio returns while mitigating risks.","behavior":"degenerate_repetition","conversation_hash":"adf8e3b4826c2cd6a4c0ecbe08f33d5b","conversation_redacted":false,"conversation_toxic":false,"country":"Indonesia","empty_output":false,"evidence_codes":[],"label":"absent","label_present":false,"label_qualified":false,"label_source":"Final dense release","language":"English","model":"gpt-4-1106-preview","n_chars":4229,"n_turns_in_conversation":2,"n_words":678,"source_row_offset":50062,"source_shard":"turns-00017.parquet","timestamp":"Thu, 29 Feb 2024 14:39:10 GMT","turn_id":"cb04eb4c00d56b02715a7cae","turn_index":1,"user_text":"Expand steps by providing more examples."},{"assistant_initiates":false,"asst_text":"\u0418\u0437\u0432\u0438\u043d\u0438\u0442\u0435, \u044f \u043d\u0435 \u043c\u043e\u0433\u0443 \u0444\u0438\u0437\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438 \u0440\u0438\u0441\u043e\u0432\u0430\u0442\u044c \u043b\u043e\u0433\u043e\u0442\u0438\u043f\u044b, \u043d\u043e \u043c\u043e\u0433\u0443 \u043f\u043e\u043c\u043e\u0447\u044c \u0441 \u043e\u043f\u0438\u0441\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0435\u043c \u0438\u0434\u0435\u0438 \u0434\u043b\u044f \u043b\u043e\u0433\u043e\u0442\u0438\u043f\u0430.","behavior":"degenerate_repetition","conversation_hash":"04fe70d04329ae80600a0551240d72c8","conversation_redacted":false,"conversation_toxic":false,"country":"Russia","empty_output":false,"evidence_codes":[],"label":"absent","label_present":false,"label_qualified":false,"label_source":"Final dense release","language":"Russian","model":"gpt-3.5-turbo-0125","n_chars":176,"n_turns_in_conversation":10,"n_words":23,"source_row_offset":50063,"source_shard":"turns-00017.parquet","timestamp":"Thu, 29 Feb 2024 14:40:31 GMT","turn_id":"7dcee1d61c9d15a974637b61","turn_index":0,"user_text":"\u041d\u0430\u0440\u0438\u0441\u0443\u0439 \u043b\u043e\u0433\u043e\u0442\u0438\u043f \u0443\u043d\u0438\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0442\u0441\u043a\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0444\u0430\u043a\u0443\u043b\u044c\u0442\u0435\u0442\u0430 \"\u041f\u0440\u0438\u043a\u043b\u0430\u0434\u043d\u0430\u044f \u043c\u0430\u0442\u0435\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0430 \u0438 \u0438\u043d\u0444\u043e\u0440\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0430\""},{"assistant_initiates":false,"asst_text":"\"\u041f\u043e\u0434\u043d\u0438\u043c\u0430\u0435\u043c \u043d\u0430\u0443\u043a\u0443 \u043d\u0430 \u043d\u043e\u0432\u044b\u0439 \u0443\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0435\u043d\u044c!\"","behavior":"degenerate_repetition","conversation_hash":"04fe70d04329ae80600a0551240d72c8","conversation_redacted":false,"conversation_toxic":false,"country":"Russia","empty_output":false,"evidence_codes":[],"label":"absent","label_present":false,"label_qualified":false,"label_source":"Final dense release","language":"Russian","model":"gpt-3.5-turbo-0125","n_chars":116,"n_turns_in_conversation":10,"n_words":13,"source_row_offset":50064,"source_shard":"turns-00017.parquet","timestamp":"Thu, 29 Feb 2024 14:40:31 GMT","turn_id":"745b62d3f817f233ac296f08","turn_index":1,"user_text":" \u041f\u0440\u0438\u0434\u0443\u043c\u0430\u0439 \u0434\u0435\u0432\u0438\u0437 \u0443\u043d\u0438\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0442\u0441\u043a\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0444\u0430\u043a\u0443\u043b\u044c\u0442\u0435\u0442\u0430 \u201c\u041f\u0440\u0438\u043a\u043b\u0430\u0434\u043d\u0430\u044f \u043c\u0430\u0442\u0435\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0430 \u0438 \u0438\u043d\u0444\u043e\u0440\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0430\u201d"},{"assistant_initiates":false,"asst_text":"\u0417\u0430 \u043f\u043e\u0441\u043b\u0435\u0434\u043d\u0438\u0435 \u043d\u0435\u0441\u043a\u043e\u043b\u044c\u043a\u043e \u043b\u0435\u0442 \u0432 \u043c\u0438\u0440\u0435 \u043c\u0430\u0448\u0438\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043e\u0431\u0443\u0447\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0431\u044b\u043b\u0438 \u0440\u0430\u0437\u0440\u0430\u0431\u043e\u0442\u0430\u043d\u044b \u0438 \u043f\u0440\u0435\u0434\u0441\u0442\u0430\u0432\u043b\u0435\u043d\u044b \u043c\u043d\u043e\u0433\u0438\u0435 \u0434\u043e\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043e\u0441\u0442\u043e\u044f\u0449\u0438\u0435 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0435\u043a\u0442\u044b. \u041d\u0435\u043a\u043e\u0442\u043e\u0440\u044b\u0435 \u0438\u0437 \u043d\u0438\u0445 \u0432\u043a\u043b\u044e\u0447\u0430\u044e\u0442 \u0432 \u0441\u0435\u0431\u044f:\n\n1. AlphaGo Zero - \u0438\u0441\u043a\u0443\u0441\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0439 \u0438\u043d\u0442\u0435\u043b\u043b\u0435\u043a\u0442, \u0440\u0430\u0437\u0440\u0430\u0431\u043e\u0442\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0439 \u043a\u043e\u043c\u043f\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0435\u0439 DeepMind, \u043a\u043e\u0442\u043e\u0440\u044b\u0439 \u043e\u0431\u0443\u0447\u0438\u043b\u0441\u044f \u0438\u0433\u0440\u0435 \u0432 \u0413\u043e \u0431\u0435\u0437 \u0438\u0441\u043f\u043e\u043b\u044c\u0437\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0434\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u043e\u0442 \u0447\u0435\u043b\u043e\u0432\u0435\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0445 \u0438\u0433\u0440\u043e\u043a\u043e\u0432. \u041f\u0440\u043e\u0435\u043a\u0442 \u043f\u043e\u0442\u0440\u0435\u0431\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043b \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0438\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u0438\u043d\u0432\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0446\u0438\u0439 \u0438 \u0440\u0430\u0437\u0440\u0430\u0431\u043e\u0442\u043a\u0438.\n\n2. OpenAI GPT-3 - \u043e\u0434\u043d\u0430 \u0438\u0437 \u0441\u0430\u043c\u044b\u0445 \u043c\u043e\u0449\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u044f\u0437\u044b\u043a\u043e\u0432\u044b\u0445 \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0435\u0439, \u0441\u043e\u0437\u0434\u0430\u043d\u043d\u0430\u044f \u043a\u043e\u043c\u043f\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0435\u0439 OpenAI. \u041f\u0440\u043e\u0435\u043a\u0442 \u043f\u043e\u0442\u0440\u0435\u0431\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043b \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0438\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u0440\u0435\u0441\u0443\u0440\u0441\u043e\u0432 \u0438 \u0438\u043d\u0432\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0446\u0438\u0439 \u0434\u043b\u044f \u043e\u0431\u0443\u0447\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0438 \u0440\u0430\u0437\u0440\u0430\u0431\u043e\u0442\u043a\u0438.\n\n3. Tesla Full Self-Driving (FSD) - \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0433\u0438\u044f \u0430\u0432\u0442\u043e\u043f\u0438\u043b\u043e\u0442\u0430 \u0438 \u043f\u043e\u043b\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u044c\u044e \u0430\u0432\u0442\u043e\u043d\u043e\u043c\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0432\u043e\u0436\u0434\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f, \u0440\u0430\u0437\u0440\u0430\u0431\u0430\u0442\u044b\u0432\u0430\u0435\u043c\u0430\u044f \u043a\u043e\u043c\u043f\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0435\u0439 Tesla. \u041f\u0440\u043e\u0435\u043a\u0442 \u0432\u043a\u043b\u044e\u0447\u0430\u0435\u0442 \u0432 \u0441\u0435\u0431\u044f \u0441\u043e\u0437\u0434\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0435 \u0438 \u043e\u0431\u0443\u0447\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0435 \u0441\u043b\u043e\u0436\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u043d\u0435\u0439\u0440\u043e\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u0441\u0435\u0442\u0435\u0439 \u0434\u043b\u044f \u0440\u0435\u0448\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0437\u0430\u0434\u0430\u0447 \u0441\u0430\u043c\u043e\u0443\u043f\u0440\u0430\u0432\u043b\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0430\u0432\u0442\u043e\u043c\u043e\u0431\u0438\u043b\u0435\u043c.\n\n\u042d\u0442\u043e \u043b\u0438\u0448\u044c \u043d\u0435\u043a\u043e\u0442\u043e\u0440\u044b\u0435 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u043c\u0435\u0440\u044b \u0434\u043e\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043e\u0441\u0442\u043e\u044f\u0449\u0438\u0445 \u0440\u0430\u0437\u0440\u0430\u0431\u043e\u0442\u043e\u043a \u0432 \u043e\u0431\u043b\u0430\u0441\u0442\u0438 \u043c\u0430\u0448\u0438\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043e\u0431\u0443\u0447\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0437\u0430 \u043f\u043e\u0441\u043b\u0435\u0434\u043d\u0438\u0435 \u0433\u043e\u0434\u044b. \u0421\u0443\u0449\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0443\u0435\u0442 \u043c\u043d\u043e\u0436\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0432\u043e \u0434\u0440\u0443\u0433\u0438\u0445 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0435\u043a\u0442\u043e\u0432, \u0442\u0440\u0435\u0431\u0443\u044e\u0449\u0438\u0445 \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0438\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u0437\u0430\u0442\u0440\u0430\u0442 \u043d\u0430 \u0438\u0441\u0441\u043b\u0435\u0434\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0435, \u0440\u0430\u0437\u0440\u0430\u0431\u043e\u0442\u043a\u0443 \u0438 \u0440\u0430\u0437\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0442\u044b\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0435.","behavior":"degenerate_repetition","conversation_hash":"04fe70d04329ae80600a0551240d72c8","conversation_redacted":false,"conversation_toxic":false,"country":"Russia","empty_output":false,"evidence_codes":[],"label":"absent","label_present":false,"label_qualified":false,"label_source":"Final dense release","language":"Russian","model":"gpt-3.5-turbo-0125","n_chars":1047,"n_turns_in_conversation":10,"n_words":135,"source_row_offset":50065,"source_shard":"turns-00017.parquet","timestamp":"Thu, 29 Feb 2024 14:40:31 GMT","turn_id":"1d401f242eb30a673a4ad3b4","turn_index":2,"user_text":"\u0421\u0430\u043c\u044b\u0435 \u0434\u043e\u0440\u043e\u0433\u0438\u0435 \u0440\u0430\u0437\u0440\u0430\u0431\u043e\u0442\u043a\u0438 \u0438\u0437 \u043c\u0438\u0440\u0430 \u043c\u0430\u0448\u0438\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043e\u0431\u0443\u0447\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0437\u0430 \u043f\u043e\u0441\u043b\u0435\u0434\u043d\u0438\u0435 \u0433\u043e\u0434\u044b"},{"assistant_initiates":false,"asst_text":"\u041a\u0430\u043a \u043d\u0430\u0437\u044b\u0432\u0430\u044e\u0442 \u0441\u0442\u0443\u0434\u0435\u043d\u0442\u0430 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u043a\u043b\u0430\u0434\u043d\u043e\u0439 \u043c\u0430\u0442\u0435\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0438 \u0438 \u0438\u043d\u0444\u043e\u0440\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0438, \u043a\u043e\u0442\u043e\u0440\u044b\u0439 \u0440\u0435\u0448\u0438\u043b\u0441\u044f \u043d\u0430 \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0432\u043e\u0435 \u0441\u0432\u0438\u0434\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0435? \n\n\u0410\u043b\u0433\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0442\u043c-\u0434\u0430\u0442\u0430!","behavior":"degenerate_repetition","conversation_hash":"04fe70d04329ae80600a0551240d72c8","conversation_redacted":false,"conversation_toxic":false,"country":"Russia","empty_output":false,"evidence_codes":[],"label":"absent","label_present":false,"label_qualified":false,"label_source":"Final dense release","language":"Russian","model":"gpt-3.5-turbo-0125","n_chars":186,"n_turns_in_conversation":10,"n_words":21,"source_row_offset":50066,"source_shard":"turns-00017.parquet","timestamp":"Thu, 29 Feb 2024 14:40:31 GMT","turn_id":"2f155b0bf8663dc5044deaf3","turn_index":3,"user_text":"\u041f\u0440\u0438\u0434\u0443\u043c\u0430\u0439 \u0448\u0443\u0442\u043a\u0443 \u043e \u0441\u0442\u0443\u0434\u0435\u043d\u0442\u0435 \u043d\u0430\u043f\u0440\u0430\u0432\u043b\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f\"\u041f\u0440\u0438\u043a\u043b\u0430\u0434\u043d\u0430\u044f \u043c\u0430\u0442\u0435\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0430 \u0438 \u0438\u043d\u0444\u043e\u0440\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0430\""},{"assistant_initiates":false,"asst_text":"\u0428\u0443\u0442\u043a\u0430 \u043e\u0441\u043d\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0430 \u043d\u0430 \u0438\u0433\u0440\u0435 \u0441\u043b\u043e\u0432. \u0421\u043b\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0441\u043e\u0447\u0435\u0442\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0435 \"\u0430\u043b\u0433\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0442\u043c-\u0434\u0430\u0442\u0430\" \u0437\u0432\u0443\u0447\u0438\u0442 \u043a\u0430\u043a \"\u0430\u043b\u044c\u0442\u0435\u0440\u043d\u0430\u0442\u0438\u0432\u0430\", \u0447\u0442\u043e \u0441\u043e\u0437\u0434\u0430\u0435\u0442 \u043a\u043e\u043c\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u044d\u0444\u0444\u0435\u043a\u0442 \u0432 \u043a\u043e\u043d\u0442\u0435\u043a\u0441\u0442\u0435 \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0432\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0441\u0432\u0438\u0434\u0430\u043d\u0438\u044f. \u042d\u0442\u043e \u0438\u0433\u0440\u0430 \u0441\u043b\u043e\u0432 \u0438 \u043d\u0435\u0431\u043e\u043b\u044c\u0448\u043e\u0439 \u044e\u043c\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u043d\u0430\u043c\u0435\u043a \u043d\u0430 \u0442\u043e, \u0447\u0442\u043e \u0441\u0442\u0443\u0434\u0435\u043d\u0442\u044b \u043f\u0440\u0438\u043a\u043b\u0430\u0434\u043d\u043e\u0439 \u043c\u0430\u0442\u0435\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0438 \u0438 \u0438\u043d\u0444\u043e\u0440\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0438 \u043c\u043e\u0433\u0443\u0442 \u0431\u044b\u0442\u044c \u043e\u0447\u0435\u043d\u044c \u0441\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0435\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u0447\u043d\u044b\u043c\u0438 \u0438 \u0430\u043d\u0430\u043b\u0438\u0442\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438 \u043c\u044b\u0441\u043b\u044f\u0449\u0438\u043c\u0438, \u0434\u0430\u0436\u0435 \u043a\u043e\u0433\u0434\u0430 \u0434\u0435\u043b\u043e \u043a\u0430\u0441\u0430\u0435\u0442\u0441\u044f \u043b\u0438\u0447\u043d\u043e\u0439 \u0436\u0438\u0437\u043d\u0438.","behavior":"degenerate_repetition","conversation_hash":"04fe70d04329ae80600a0551240d72c8","conversation_redacted":false,"conversation_toxic":false,"country":"Russia","empty_output":false,"evidence_codes":[],"label":"absent","label_present":false,"label_qualified":false,"label_source":"Final dense release","language":"Russian","model":"gpt-3.5-turbo-0125","n_chars":365,"n_turns_in_conversation":10,"n_words":50,"source_row_offset":50067,"source_shard":"turns-00017.parquet","timestamp":"Thu, 29 Feb 2024 14:40:31 GMT","turn_id":"f5c7e2514e6f47525676634c","turn_index":4,"user_text":"\u0412 \u0447\u0435\u043c \u0441\u043c\u044b\u0441\u043b \u0448\u0443\u0442\u043a\u0438?"},{"assistant_initiates":false,"asst_text":"\u041a\u043e\u043d\u0435\u0447\u043d\u043e, \u0432\u043e\u0442 \u0434\u0440\u0443\u0433\u0430\u044f \u0448\u0443\u0442\u043a\u0430:\n\n\u041f\u043e\u0447\u0435\u043c\u0443 \u0441\u0442\u0443\u0434\u0435\u043d\u0442\u044b 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\u0443\u0441\u043f\u0435\u0448\u043d\u043e!","behavior":"degenerate_repetition","conversation_hash":"04fe70d04329ae80600a0551240d72c8","conversation_redacted":false,"conversation_toxic":false,"country":"Russia","empty_output":false,"evidence_codes":[],"label":"absent","label_present":false,"label_qualified":false,"label_source":"Final dense release","language":"Russian","model":"gpt-3.5-turbo-0125","n_chars":263,"n_turns_in_conversation":10,"n_words":36,"source_row_offset":50068,"source_shard":"turns-00017.parquet","timestamp":"Thu, 29 Feb 2024 14:40:31 GMT","turn_id":"6353ff4f1d649fc0b27878a9","turn_index":5,"user_text":"\u041f\u0440\u0438\u0434\u0443\u043c\u0430\u0439 \u0435\u0449\u0435 \u043e\u0434\u043d\u0443 \u0448\u0443\u0442\u043a\u0443, \u043d\u043e \u0431\u043e\u043b\u0435\u0435 \u043f\u043e\u043d\u044f\u0442\u043d\u0443\u044e"},{"assistant_initiates":false,"asst_text":"\u042d\u0442\u043e \u043d\u0435 \u044f\u0432\u043b\u044f\u0435\u0442\u0441\u044f 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